Hotels.com Business Case by Patrick (Sungho) Yoon
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Transcript of Hotels.com Business Case by Patrick (Sungho) Yoon
Executive Summary
• Expedia group has been growing fast with its competitive online travel booking service platform,
and the trend of brick-and-mortal travel business moving online. For Hotels.com, this growth has
been fueled by 2 key factors : increasing the number of travel partners and traffic generation.
Much has been worked on to increase the number of travel partners through domestic and
overseas acquisitions of similar kind. On traffic generation side, however, a lot of marketing
resources are being spent to increase the traffic into Hotels.com, which has been damaging the
operating margin.
• The recommendation is to improve the ease of use for our customers to increase the number of
repeat customers who are cheaper to maintain than acquiring new customers. The company
Tripomatic, which provides a travel planning and organizing service, will likely attract more user
base due to its simple-to-use trip planning service. Hotels.com, as well as Expedia's other services,
can benefit from Tripomatic's service due to abilities to 1) develop and maintain more repeat
customers, 2) exploit cross- and up-selling opportunities with Tripomatic's recommendation system
and 3) increase conversion rate from window shoppers to buyers due to simpler decision making
process.
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Agenda
4
1
2
3
4
Analysis of Expedia Group and Hotels.com
Identifying Opportunities and Target Company
Synergy and Risk Analysis
Next Steps
Transportation
Accommodation
Food
Activities
expedia inc.
Today, Expedia Group provides one of the most competitive online
travel booking services in the world
5
Global
Market
• International tourism receipts reached USD 1.16T (2013)
• International tourist arrivals expected to grow from 1.08B to 1.8B by 2030
• Asia Pacific has the strongest prospects (5~6%) followed by Africa (4~6%)
1) UNWTO Tourism Highlights (2014), United Nations World Tourism Organization
1)
+ “Deals”
“Things to Do”
• Potential area to explore
Hotels.com has been a key driver of growth for Expedia, which has
been fueled mainly by two key success factors
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• Hotel reservation booking is 72% of Expedia’s sales (2013)
• Room nights growing 27% in 2012, and 23% in 2013
• Channels of sales : Hotels.com, eLong and Expedia
1)
1) Annual Report, 2013, Expedia Inc.
Core Benefit
# of Travel
Partners
Online Marketplace
“Best Price”
Key
Success
Factors
Core Service
Traffic
Generation
• Expanding the global network
of travel partners
• 260,000 partner hotels, more
than 100 PoS in 60 countries
1
1
2
2
• Customers coming into the
brand websites to shop
• Hotels.com has to be a good
marketing company?
So, is Hotels.com a good marketing company?
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Implications3Yr CAGR
17.6%
3,449
4,030
4,771
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
2011 2012 2013
(USD M)
Revenue
• Revenue has been
increasing fast at 3yr CAGR
of 17.6%, which implies that
both the number of travel
partners and traffic
generation has been
growing healthy.
Source) Annual Report, 2013, Expedia Inc.
13.9%10.7% 7.7%
Operating
Margin-12.6%
• The operating margin has
been declining, which
implies that costs are
outgrowing the revenue.
43%
46%
Cost of Revenue Selling and Marketing
Technology and Content General & Administrative
22.0%
23.2%
16.8%
10.3%
• Selling and Marketing
expense has been mounting,
which suggests that 1)
marketing is fueling the
revenue growth and
2) customers are getting
more expensive to acquire.
22.0%
• Well aware of
the brand and
ready to buy
1. Competitive
pricing
2. Increase
switching cost
3. Improve
ease of use
Who are they? Approach
1. Marketing :
Search engines,
Metasearch,
campaigns, Ads
2. Promotions
• New to the
brand and need
to be convinced
• Need to be
converted from
window shoppers
to buyers
Increasing and maintaining the number of repeat customers can be a
solution to improving the operating margin
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Customers
New Customers
Repeat Customers
Agenda
9
1
2
3
4
Analysis of Expedia Group and Hotels.com
Identifying Opportunities and Target Company
Synergy and Risk Analysis
Next Steps
Top ten market trends in travel industry suggest that our consumers are looking
for tools to save time, but still want personalized and authentic experiences..
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Source) Top 10 Trends in Travel Industry, Mintel Group (Market Research Firm)
Consumers are seeking tools to
help them perfect their productivity.
Life Hacking
Time is of the essence.
Faster Happier
Personalization is a right, not a
privilege.
Make it Mine
Consumers are craving products and experiences that come with a stamp of authenticity.
The Real Thing
Enriching our lives with experiences
has become more important.
Immaterial World
Mobile and GPS technology is enabling us to explore our surroundings like never before.
Access All Areas
Consumers are spending more time in transit. Commutes offer new marketing opportunities.
Transumers
Growing urbanization requires re-imagined, revitalized city states that inspire their citizens.
Rebirth of Cities
Work like an adult, play like a
kid.
Play Ethic
Intense physical and sensory experiences give life, brands and products deeper meaning.
Sense of the Intense
.. and customer insight indicate that customers become “sticky” when
decisions are simple to make
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“To keep your customers, keep it simple.”
by Patrick Spenner and Karen Freeman
1)
1) To keep your customers, keep it simple, Patrick Spenner and Karen Freeman, HBR, Issue of May 2012
• Definition of “Sticky” = Likely to follow through on an intended purchase, buy the
product repeatedly, and recommend it to others
• Survey of more than 7,000 customers and hundreds of marketing executives
• Questions were asked about respondents’ attitudes and purchase experiences
across variety of product & service categories including shopping duration, effort
required, relationship with the brand, likelihood of repurchasing and recommending
Study Design
Key Findings
• After studying more than 40 variables that affect stickiness, the single biggest
driver of stickiness, by far, was “Decision Simplicity”
• The ease with which consumers can gather trustworthy information about a
product & confidently and efficiently weigh their purchase options
Search and
book for flight
1
Even today, planning and organizing a trip still requires immense
amount of time and efforts from our customers
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Let’s follow a customer journey towards a holiday vacation…
• Our typical customer from Korea, planning for a week’s vacation
with his family during Christmas season in Strasbourg, France
Search and
book hotels
2
Search and
book local
transportation
3
Search for
local activities
4
Itinerary TicketsBudget &Routes
KeyBenefits
• Hotels.com can sell more room-nights to repeat customers who
values online trip planning tools that save their time and efforts
1
Accommodation
Trip planning service would operate as a frontend user interface, winning
customer loyalty as an easy-to-use trip planning and organizing tool
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Trip PlanningService
Automatically generates- Itinerary- Estimated budget- Routes on downloadable maps- Makes bookings- Manages tickets
• Take full advantage of repeat customers and provide entire service
offerings
2
“Things to Do”
Transportation
Activities
Tripomatic S.R.O. provides a simple tool to plan and organize trips,
integrating transportation, accommodations, and local activities
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Tripomatic, S.R.O.
• Private company
• Executive Head : Mr. Lukas Nevosad
• Office : Brno, Czech Republic
• Revenue : USD 908,895 (2012)
• 15 employees (2012)
• Homepage : tripomatic.com
Service Features
• Service concept : “Saves you from painful trip planning”
• Provides trip planning and organizing service with offline navigation and travel templates
• Service available today for PC, tablets and mobile (iOS, Android, Blackberry)
Business Model
• Operates as a metasearch company
with advertising being the main
source of revenue
• Recommends services that are not
yet picked up by the customers
• Major travel partners (current)
– Accommodation : Booking.com
– Transportation : Rentalcars.com,
local transport websites
– Activities : Viator.com, official
venue websites
Planning for tour activities with Tripomatic on the Web
15
Click here to watch a promotional video
Agenda
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1
2
3
4
Analysis of Expedia Group and Hotels.com
Identifying Opportunities and Target Company
Synergy and Risk Analysis
Next steps
Synergy potential between Hotels.com (and Expedia) with Tripomatic is
beyond just increasing the number of repeat customers
17
1
Develop pool of repeat
customers
• Customer benefit from trip planning
service will help us develop more repeat
customers who are more profitable
3
Increased conversion rate
• Tripomatic’s service can increase the
conversion rate of window shoppers to
buyers due to more simplified decision
making process
2• Upside potential to cross-sell and up-sell
through Tripomatic’s recommendation
system
Increased opportunities to
cross-sell and up-sell
Potential risks associated with the acquisition
18
• Assessment of technologies
in place during due
diligence process
Technical difficulties in
service integration
• Need to assess current
business relationship with
Booking.com and
Rentalcars.com
Business relationships
with Priceline
Conceivable? Likely?Key Risks Mitigation Plan
Tripomatic’s business
not taking off
• Become a partner first
through a strategic
investment and acquire
later when the business
really takes off
Agenda
19
1
2
3
4
Analysis of Expedia Group and Hotels.com
Identifying Opportunities and Target Company
Synergy and Risk Analysis
Next Steps
Next steps
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Action Items2015
Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug.
1. Internal Analysis
1.1. Identify areas of synergy
1.2. Quantify synergies
2. Due Diligence
2.1. Contact target company and sign confidentiality
agreement
2.2. Conduct due diligence
2.3. Valuation and deal structure
3. Develop Business Plan
3.1. Marketing, operations, HR, finance, partners
4. Negotiation
5. Transaction & Deal Closure