Homebuilder Opportunity

34
Homebuilder Opportunity

Transcript of Homebuilder Opportunity

Page 1: Homebuilder Opportunity

Homebuilder Opportunity

Page 2: Homebuilder Opportunity

Have you gotten the most out of the

housing downturn?

(some might say, CRISIS?)

Page 3: Homebuilder Opportunity

Can you see your way to making 10% pre-tax

margins?

(are you making them now?)

Page 4: Homebuilder Opportunity

Are you positioned to make the most of an eventual recovery?

(given current inventory levels, it won’t take much of one to have a significant impact on the industry)

Page 5: Homebuilder Opportunity

Have you used the downturn to invest in your people, processes

and systems?

(“hunkering down” doesn’t count as an investment strategy)

Page 6: Homebuilder Opportunity

Can you see your way to becoming the lowest cost customer to each of your trade partners?

(are you there already?)

Page 7: Homebuilder Opportunity

What if your chief competitor could

answer YES to each of the preceding questions sometime in the next

six months?

Page 8: Homebuilder Opportunity

What would happen to your business?

Page 9: Homebuilder Opportunity

On the flip side . . .

Page 10: Homebuilder Opportunity

. . . what kinds of opportunities would

you have

Page 11: Homebuilder Opportunity

if you were making 10% pre-tax,

Page 12: Homebuilder Opportunity

if the time your people spend

firefighting was a fraction of what it is

today,

Page 13: Homebuilder Opportunity

and instead, they were able to focus almost strictly on work that

adds value in the eyes of your customers?

Page 14: Homebuilder Opportunity

Can’t say for sure, but I think it would look

something like

Page 15: Homebuilder Opportunity

Breakout

Perform

ance

Industry / Market Dominance

Competitive Advantage

Preium Share Price

Extraordinary

ROI

Lowest Total Cost

“Customer of C

hoice”

to Trade Partners“Superior Value” to Customers

“Employer of Choice” to Talent

Page 16: Homebuilder Opportunity

I mean, we could be talking about the likes

of . . .

Page 17: Homebuilder Opportunity

vs.

Page 18: Homebuilder Opportunity

vs.

Page 19: Homebuilder Opportunity

vs.

Page 20: Homebuilder Opportunity

or, finally . . .

Page 21: Homebuilder Opportunity

vs.

Page 22: Homebuilder Opportunity

These companies reinvented their

competitive space and were able to answer YES! to at least a few

of the preceding questions.

Page 23: Homebuilder Opportunity

Let’s look closer at two companies that can

answer YES! across the board

(and have been able to do so for quite

some time)

Page 24: Homebuilder Opportunity

What about the company that invented

LEAN?

Toyota

Page 25: Homebuilder Opportunity

0%

900%

1,800%

2,700%

3,600%

4,500%

5,400%

6,300%

7,200%

8,100%

9,000%

Dec-72 Dec-75 Dec-78 Dec-81 Dec-84 Dec-87 Dec-90 Dec-93 Dec-96 Dec-99 Dec-02 Dec-05 Dec-08 Dec-11

TM F .SPX

Over the past 40 years, Toyota share price has outperformed Ford by nearly 17X!

Page 26: Homebuilder Opportunity

And, one of America’s most successful manufacturers

Page 27: Homebuilder Opportunity

0%

100%

200%

300%

400%

500%

600%

700%

800%

900%

1,000%

97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

DHR GE SI MMM JMHLY TYC PHG .SPX

Over the past 15 years, Danaher stock has outperformed its peers by 764% and the S&P by 800%!

Page 28: Homebuilder Opportunity

But wait, there’s more. . .

Page 29: Homebuilder Opportunity

0%

3,000%

6,000%

9,000%

12,000%

15,000%

18,000%

21,000%

24,000%

Feb-85 Feb-87 Feb-89 Feb-91 Feb-93 Feb-95 Feb-97 Feb-99 Feb-01 Feb-03 Feb-05 Feb-07 Feb-09 Feb-11

DHR GE SI MMM TYC PHG .SPX

Since the inception of its Lean efforts in the mid-80’s, Danaher’s stock has outperformed

that of its peer group and the S&P by more than 21,000%!

Page 30: Homebuilder Opportunity

So what does it mean?

Page 31: Homebuilder Opportunity

Many game-changing opportunities remain in

homebuilding

(Even NVR, the Wall St. darling of the industry, doesn’t have an

insurmountable advantage)

Page 32: Homebuilder Opportunity

Bottom Line

Differentiation will be LESS about WHAT we do and MORE about

HOW we do it

Page 33: Homebuilder Opportunity

Would it be worth 20 minutes of your time to

learn more?