HISPANIC PROFILE 2010 Implications for the Assemblies of God Daniel R. Sánchez, Ph.D.
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Transcript of HISPANIC PROFILE 2010 Implications for the Assemblies of God Daniel R. Sánchez, Ph.D.
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HISPANIC PROFILEHISPANIC PROFILE
20102010
Implications for theImplications for the
Assemblies of GodAssemblies of God
Daniel R. Daniel R. Sánchez, Ph.D.Sánchez, Ph.D.
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SOURCESSOURCES
This presentation is based following sources:This presentation is based following sources:
1. The Pew Hispanic Center1. The Pew Hispanic Center
2. The U.S. Census Bureau2. The U.S. Census Bureau
3. The Brookings Institution3. The Brookings Institution
4. The Center on Urban Metropolitan Policy4. The Center on Urban Metropolitan Policy
5. Hispanic American Religious Cultures5. Hispanic American Religious Cultures
6. Daniel Sánchez, PhD Thesis, Oxford 6. Daniel Sánchez, PhD Thesis, Oxford
7. Books & Articles7. Books & Articles
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REALITY # 1REALITY # 1
The Hispanic American The Hispanic American population continues to population continues to
grow exponentiallygrow exponentially
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Since 1980 The Hispanic Since 1980 The Hispanic Population Has TripledPopulation Has Tripled
15 MILLION 15 MILLION (1980)(1980)
46 MILLION 46 MILLION (2008)(2008)
((Source: Pew Hispanic CenterSource: Pew Hispanic Center
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Hispanics Projected to Triple Hispanics Projected to Triple Again Again
Population in millions
Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008).
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Change in Hispanic PopulationChange in Hispanic Population From 2000 has grown by almost 1.5 million a yearFrom 2000 has grown by almost 1.5 million a year
2008Population
2000Population
Change2000 to 2008
% Change2000 to 2008
Total 46,822,476 35,204,408 11,617,996 33.0 %
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Hispanic Births Exceed Immigrants Hispanic Births Exceed Immigrants from 2000;from 2000;
Percent Foreign-Born Has Percent Foreign-Born Has PEAKEDPEAKED
Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008). *Not Hispanic.
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Hispanic Growth by BirthsHispanic Growth by BirthsExceeded Growth by ImmigrationExceeded Growth by Immigration
2008 Population
2000 Population
Percent 2008 Percent 2000
Native Born 28,985,169 21,072,230 61.9% 59.9%
Foreign Born 17,837,309 14,132,250 38.1% 40.1%
Total 46,822,471 35,204,480 100.0% 100.0%
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Even if immigration were to stop,Even if immigration were to stop,Hispanics would grow by Hispanics would grow by
1 Million a year1 Million a year2008Population
2000Population
Change2000 to 2008
Growth2000 to 2008
Total 46,822,476 35,204,408 11,617,996 Almost 1.5 million a year
Native Born 28,985,169 21,072,230 7,912,939 Almost a million a year
Foreign Born 17,837,307 14,132,250 3,705,057 Almost half a million a year
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QUESTIONQUESTION
If the Hispanic If the Hispanic Population is multiplying, Population is multiplying, are we multiplying in the are we multiplying in the number of converts and number of converts and
churches?churches?
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REALITY # 2REALITY # 2
Hispanics continue to Hispanics continue to spread spread throughout the throughout the country faster than any country faster than any
previous immigrant previous immigrant groupgroup
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Hispanic PopulationHispanic PopulationBy States - 2008By States - 2008
State Hispanic Population
Total Population % Hispanic
California 13,434,896 36,756,661 36.6
Texas 8,815,582 24,326,974 36.2
Florida 3,846,267 18,328,340 21.0
New York 3,232,360 19,490,340 16.6
Arizona 1,964,625 6,500,180 30.2
Illinois 1,961,843 12,901,564 15.2
New Jersey 1,424,069 8,682,661 16.4
Colorado 993,843 4,939,456 20.1
New Mexico 895,150 1,984,356 45.1
Georgia 780,408 9,685,744 8.1
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Hispanic PopulationHispanic PopulationBy States - 2008By States - 2008
State Hispanic Population
Total Population % Hispanic
North Carolina 678,032 9,222,414 7.4
Nevada 672,393 3,600,167 25.9
Washington 642,959 6,549,224 9.8
Pennsylvania 588,950 12,484,297 4.7
Massachusetts 556,573 6,497,967 8.6
Virginia 556,002 7,769,089 6.8
Connecticut 424,191 3,501,252 12.1
Oregon 417,152 3,790,060 11.0
Michigan 408,695 10,003,422 4.1
Maryland 372,650 5,633,597 6.6
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Hispanic PopulationHispanic PopulationBy States - 2008By States - 2008
State Hispanic Population
Total Population % Hispanic
Utah 323,938 2,736,424 11.8
Indiana 322,148 6,367,792 5.1
Ohio 296,059 11,485,910 2.4
Wisconsin 286,058 6,376,792 5.1
Oklahoma 278,676 3,642,361 7.7
Kansas 268,964 2.802,134 9.6
Tennessee 234,868 6,214,888 3.8
Minnesota 217,551 5,220,393 4.0
Missouri 182,059 5,911,605 3.1
South Carolina 177,999 4,479,800 4.0
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Hispanic PopulationHispanic PopulationBy States - 2008By States - 2008
State Hispanic Population
Total Population % Hispanic
Idaho 159,257 1,523,816 10.5
Arkansas 155,309 2,855,390 5.4
Louisiana 152,781 4,410,796 3.5
Nebraska 147,968 2,855,390 5.4
Alabama 128,586 4,661,900 2.8
Iowa 124,030 3,021,557 4.1
Rhode Island 120,662 1,050,788 11.5
Hawaii 108,663 1,288,198 8.4
Kentucky 100,366 4,269,245 2.4
Delaware 62,506 873,092 7.2
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Hispanic PopulationHispanic PopulationBy States - 2008By States - 2008
State Hispanic Population
Total Population % Hispanic
Mississippi 56,632 2,938,618 1.9
D.C. 51,260 591,837 8.7
Wyoming 43,385 532,668 8.1
New Hampshire 39,123 1,315,809 3.0
Alaska 37,420 686,293 5.5
Montana 31,093 967,440 3.2
South Dakota 22,420 804,195 2.8
West Virginia 21,400 1,814,468 1.2
North Dakota 13,634 641,481 2.1
Maine 12,700 1,316,456 1.0
Vermont 6,651 621,270 1.1
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2121
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QUESTIONSQUESTIONS
1. What are the areas across the country 1. What are the areas across the country where we urgently need more evangelistic where we urgently need more evangelistic efforts and churches to reach Hispanics?efforts and churches to reach Hispanics?
2. Do we have a population to church 2. Do we have a population to church ratio? (e.g., 1 church per __ persons)ratio? (e.g., 1 church per __ persons)– One area 1:500; another area 1: 2,00)One area 1:500; another area 1: 2,00)
3. What strategy do we have to reach 3. What strategy do we have to reach them?them?
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REALITY # 3REALITY # 3
There is significant diversity There is significant diversity in the Hispanic populationin the Hispanic population ((Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Roberto Suro and Jeffery S. Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Roberto Suro and Jeffery S.
Passel, Passel, The Rise of the Second GenerationThe Rise of the Second Generation, October, 2003), October, 2003)
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GENERATIONAL DIVERSITYGENERATIONAL DIVERSITY
GenerationGeneration Total PercentTotal Percent (In Millions) (Of Hispanic Pop) (In Millions) (Of Hispanic Pop)
11stst 14.214.2 4040
22ndnd 9.9 9.9 2828
33rd+rd+ 11.311.3 3232
(Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Roberto Suro and Jeffery S. Passel, (Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Roberto Suro and Jeffery S. Passel, The The Rise of the Second GenerationRise of the Second Generation, October, 2003), October, 2003)
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PROJECTIONSPROJECTIONS
GenerationGeneration20002000 20102010 20202020 %% %% %%
11stst 4040 3838 3434
22ndnd 2828 3232 3636
33rd+rd+ 3232 3030 30301. Until 2020 the 11. Until 2020 the 1stst generation will be the largest generation will be the largest
2. The 32. The 3rdrd generation will remain about one third generation will remain about one third
3. From 2020 on, the 23. From 2020 on, the 2ndnd generation will be the largest generation will be the largest
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LINGUISTIC DIVERSITYLINGUISTIC DIVERSITY
GenGen SpanishSpanish BilingualBilingual EnglishEnglish DominantDominant DominantDominant
11stst 72%72% 24%24% 4%4%
22ndnd 7%7% 47%47% 46%46%
33rd+rd+ 0%0% 22%22% 78%78%
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CHALLENGESCHALLENGES
1. Reaching and discipling the 1. Reaching and discipling the immigrant generation primarily immigrant generation primarily utilizing the Spanish languageutilizing the Spanish language2. Reaching and discipling the 2. Reaching and discipling the 22ndnd and 3 and 3rdrd generation with bi- generation with bi-lingual and English-dominant lingual and English-dominant strategiesstrategies
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COUNTRY OF ORIGIN COUNTRY OF ORIGIN DIVERSITYDIVERSITY
Group Number Percent
Mexican 30,746,270 65.7
Puerto Rican 4,150,862 8.9
All other (Spanish/Hispanic)
1,77,278 3.8
Cuban 1,631,001 3.5
Salvadoran 1,560,416 3.3
Dominican 1.334,228 2.8
Guatemalan 985,601 2.1
Colombian 881,609 1.9
Spaniard 629,758 1.3
Honduran 607,970 1.3
Ecuadorian 590,602 1.3
Peruvian 519,349 1.1
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Country of OriginCountry of Origin
Group Number Percent
Nicaraguan 351,704 0.8
Venezuelan 210,337 0.4
Argentinean 204,707 0.4
Panamanian 153,245 0.3
Chilean 127,747 0.3
Costa Rican 121,655 0.3
Bolivian 93,745 0.2
Uruguayan 60,730 0.1
Other Central American 43,352 0.1
Other South American 21,945 0.0
Paraguayan 18,365 0,0
Total 46,882,476 100
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ASSIMILATION STAGE ASSIMILATION STAGE DIVERSITY DIVERSITY
Contributing FactorsContributing Factors
1. Schooling – From day one kids start learning 1. Schooling – From day one kids start learning English & about the American English & about the American CultureCulture
2. Media (Radio, TV, Movies, Music, etc.) 2. Media (Radio, TV, Movies, Music, etc.)
3. Peer Group – Classmates, friends 3. Peer Group – Classmates, friends
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Assimilation Stage DiversityAssimilation Stage DiversitySocial Contacts & LanguageSocial Contacts & Language
Gen.Gen. Outside Outside
Contacts LanguageContacts Language
1st Few Spanish1st Few Spanish
2nd Some Bilingual 2nd Some Bilingual (Spanish dominant)(Spanish dominant)
3rd Many Bilingual 3rd Many Bilingual (English dominant)(English dominant)
4th Most English (only)4th Most English (only)
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ECONOMIC STATUS ECONOMIC STATUS DIVERSITYDIVERSITY
22ndnd and 3 and 3rdrd generation generation Hispanics have made Hispanics have made
significant strides financially significant strides financially yet typically newly arrived yet typically newly arrived Hispanics have the most Hispanics have the most difficult time financiallydifficult time financially
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Financial NeedsFinancial Needs
Some Hispanics Some Hispanics have great have great financial needsfinancial needs
1/3 of Hispanic 1/3 of Hispanic children live below children live below the poverty levelthe poverty level
Ministry ImplicationsMinistry Implications
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Purchasing Power ProjectionsPurchasing Power Projections
The purchasing power of The purchasing power of Hispanics will grow from: Hispanics will grow from:
One trillion in 2008 One trillion in 2008
toto
2.5 trillion in 20202.5 trillion in 2020Stewardship implications? Church planting vision?Stewardship implications? Church planting vision?
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REALITY # 4REALITY # 4
Hispanic Americans are the Hispanic Americans are the group with the largest group with the largest
percentage of children and percentage of children and young peopleyoung people
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HISPANIC MEDIAN AGEHISPANIC MEDIAN AGE (27) (27)Source: Current Population Survey, March 2000
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YOUTHYOUTH
““In America, one in five In America, one in five people under the age of people under the age of
18 is Hispanic.”18 is Hispanic.”
Source: D’vera Cohn, Washington PostSource: D’vera Cohn, Washington Post
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GOSPEL RECEPTIVITYGOSPEL RECEPTIVITY
Hispanic children and youth Hispanic children and youth are generally more receptive are generally more receptive to the Evangelical Message to the Evangelical Message than their parentsthan their parents
Source: Pew Hispanic Center, 2002 National Source: Pew Hispanic Center, 2002 National Survey of Latinos, 53.Survey of Latinos, 53.
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““Hispanic Churches In American Public Life”Hispanic Churches In American Public Life”Pew Center & Notre Dame U.Pew Center & Notre Dame U.
AffiliationAffiliation 11STST GenerationGeneration
22ndnd GenerationGeneration
33rdrd GenerationGeneration
CatholicCatholic 74%74% 72%72% 62%62%
EvangelicalEvangelical 15%15% 20%20% 29%29%
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IMPLICATIONSIMPLICATIONS
1. Winning and discipling children1. Winning and discipling children
2. Winning and discipling youth2. Winning and discipling youth
3. Training teachers for both3. Training teachers for both
4. Training ministers of children, youth4. Training ministers of children, youth
5. Sensitizing pastors to this challenge5. Sensitizing pastors to this challenge
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REALITY # 5REALITY # 5
Hispanics are showing more Hispanics are showing more receptivity to the evangelical receptivity to the evangelical message than ever before message than ever before
in the history of this countryin the history of this country
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Hispanics and DenominationsHispanics and DenominationsPercent Catholic | Protes/Evan | Other Christian | Other Faiths | Secular
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Hispanics’ Hispanics’ Views of Religious GroupsViews of Religious Groups
Percent Favorable | Unfavorable | No Opinion
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Catholic Hispanics and Views Catholic Hispanics and Views of Other Religious Groupsof Other Religious Groups
Percent Favorable | Unfavorable | No Opinion
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Evangelical Hispanics and Evangelical Hispanics and Views of Other Religious Views of Other Religious
GroupsGroupsPercent Favorable | Unfavorable | No Opinion
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% of Hispanics Who Are % of Hispanics Who Are Born-Again or Evangelical Born-Again or Evangelical
ChristiansChristians
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NATIONAL ORIGINNATIONAL ORIGIN& Religious Affiliation& Religious Affiliation
Country/AreaCountry/Area % Evangelical% EvangelicalCentral America Central America 29% 29% Puerto Rico Puerto Rico 29%; 29%; Cuba Cuba 20%20%South America South America 18%18%Mexico Mexico 16% 16% Dominican Republic Dominican Republic 15%; 15%; ““All other Hispanics” All other Hispanics” 38%.38%.
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Latest PEW StudyLatest PEW Study
More than 50% More than 50% of Hispanics are seeking a of Hispanics are seeking a more direct and personal relationship with more direct and personal relationship with God God than what they find in their traditional than what they find in their traditional (Catholic) religious practices(Catholic) religious practices
Pew Hispanic Center, “Changing Faiths: Latinos and Transformation Pew Hispanic Center, “Changing Faiths: Latinos and Transformation of American Religion.” 2007of American Religion.” 2007
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EVANGELISTIC IMPLICATIONSEVANGELISTIC IMPLICATIONS
The Hispanic fields are white unto harvestThe Hispanic fields are white unto harvest
The religious background of many The religious background of many Hispanics favorably predisposes them to Hispanics favorably predisposes them to the evangelical message if it is presented the evangelical message if it is presented in a positive, sensitive wayin a positive, sensitive way
Most of our church members need to be Most of our church members need to be trained on how to share the good news trained on how to share the good news with Roman Catholic friends.with Roman Catholic friends.
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CONCLUSIONS CONCLUSIONS
1. Overall findings suggest the need 1. Overall findings suggest the need for new ways of thinking and for new ways of thinking and strategizing regarding the Hispanic strategizing regarding the Hispanic population in this countrypopulation in this countryExamples: K-Mart, Chase BankExamples: K-Mart, Chase Bank
(Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family (Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family Foundation, 2002 National Survey of LatinosFoundation, 2002 National Survey of Latinos
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CONCLUSIONS CONCLUSIONS
2. Many Hispanic immigrants are already 2. Many Hispanic immigrants are already evangelical or are very evangelical or are very receptive to the receptive to the gospelgospel. .
This has significant implications for This has significant implications for evangelism and church planting among evangelism and church planting among Hispanics.Hispanics.
(Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family Foundation, (Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family Foundation, 2002 National Survey of Latinos2002 National Survey of Latinos
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CONCLUSIONSCONCLUSIONS
3. Two processes – 3. Two processes – assimilation assimilation and and
immigrationimmigration – are taking place side-by- – are taking place side-by-side in the Hispanic communities, often side in the Hispanic communities, often within a single familywithin a single family
We need many Spanish-speaking as well We need many Spanish-speaking as well as bi-lingual churchesas bi-lingual churches
(Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family (Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family Foundation, 2002 National Survey of LatinosFoundation, 2002 National Survey of Latinos
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CONCLUSIONSCONCLUSIONS
4. Because Hispanics are spreading 4. Because Hispanics are spreading throughout the country so rapidly we throughout the country so rapidly we desperately need many new Hispanic desperately need many new Hispanic churches in many cities and towns across churches in many cities and towns across America.America.
(Source: “Latino Growth in Metropolitan America, ”The (Source: “Latino Growth in Metropolitan America, ”The Brookings Institution Center on Urban & Metropolitan Brookings Institution Center on Urban & Metropolitan Policy and the Pew Hispanic Center) Policy and the Pew Hispanic Center)
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CONCLUSIONSCONCLUSIONS
5. The Hispanic population has tripled in 5. The Hispanic population has tripled in the last 35 years and will triple again in the the last 35 years and will triple again in the next 45 years.next 45 years.Have the number of Hispanic churches Have the number of Hispanic churches tripled? Will they triple in the future?tripled? Will they triple in the future?
(Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family (Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family Foundation, 2002 National Survey of LatinosFoundation, 2002 National Survey of Latinos
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CONCLUSIONSCONCLUSIONS
6. There is a need for denominational 6. There is a need for denominational strategists to adapt quickly to vast change strategists to adapt quickly to vast change presents special challenges in metro areas presents special challenges in metro areas that started with small Hispanic that started with small Hispanic populations and have experienced populations and have experienced sudden, substantial growth.sudden, substantial growth.
(Source: “Latino Growth in Metropolitan America, ”The (Source: “Latino Growth in Metropolitan America, ”The Brookings Institution Center on Urban & Metropolitan Brookings Institution Center on Urban & Metropolitan Policy and the Pew Hispanic Center) Policy and the Pew Hispanic Center)
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Hispanic ProfileHispanic Profile
1. The Hispanic population is growing 1. The Hispanic population is growing exponentially – (are we – in evangelism & exponentially – (are we – in evangelism & church planting?)church planting?)
2. Hispanics continue to spread 2. Hispanics continue to spread throughout the country – (where do we throughout the country – (where do we need churches the most?)need churches the most?)
3. There is significant socio-cultural 3. There is significant socio-cultural diversity among Hispanic (what’s our diversity among Hispanic (what’s our strategy to reach all segments?) strategy to reach all segments?)
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Hispanic ProfileHispanic Profile
4. Hispanics have the largest % of children 4. Hispanics have the largest % of children and youth (what’s our strategy to reach and youth (what’s our strategy to reach and disciple them?)and disciple them?)
5. Hispanics are now more receptive to the 5. Hispanics are now more receptive to the Gospel message than ever before (what Gospel message than ever before (what are we doing to maximize our outreach to are we doing to maximize our outreach to them?) them?)
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CHALLENGECHALLENGE
““The explosive growth of the Hispanic The explosive growth of the Hispanic population coupled with their population coupled with their unprecedented response to the Gospel unprecedented response to the Gospel requires that extraordinary measures requires that extraordinary measures be taken to bring in the harvest that the be taken to bring in the harvest that the Lord has placed before us.”Lord has placed before us.”
Source: Daniel SanchezSource: Daniel Sanchez
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OUR RESPONSE OUR RESPONSE
HOW WILL LIFEWAY RESPOND HOW WILL LIFEWAY RESPOND
TO THIS CHALLENGE?TO THIS CHALLENGE?
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ResourcesResources
To obtain additional copies of this To obtain additional copies of this presentation of purchase the book presentation of purchase the book Hispanic Realities Impacting America visit Hispanic Realities Impacting America visit the Church Starting Network website the Church Starting Network website www.churchstarting.net
You may contact Dr. Sanchez through his You may contact Dr. Sanchez through his e-mail address e-mail address [email protected]
Or call Or call 817 454 9016817 454 9016
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% of Hispanic Catholics % of Hispanic Catholics Who Are CharismaticsWho Are Charismatics
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% of Hispanic Protestants % of Hispanic Protestants Who Are Pentecostals or Who Are Pentecostals or
CharismaticsCharismatics
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% Who Say Religion is Very % Who Say Religion is Very ImportantImportant
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% Who Attend Church Weekly% Who Attend Church Weekly
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% Who Pray Daily% Who Pray DailyAmong those who belong to a particular religion
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% Who Say Miracles % Who Say Miracles Still Occur Today as in Ancient Still Occur Today as in Ancient
TimesTimesAmong those who belong to a particular religion
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% Who Say “Jesus % Who Say “Jesus Will Return to Earth in My Will Return to Earth in My
Lifetime”Lifetime”Among those who belong to a particular religion