High Resolution Coupled Model Development and Research at GFDL Whit Anderson Ron Pacanowski Tom...

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High Resolution Coupled Model Development and Research at GFDL Whit Anderson Ron Pacanowski Tom Delworth Tony Rosati Riccardo Farneti Gabriel Vecchi Hyun-Chul Lee Andrew Wittenberg

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Page 1: High Resolution Coupled Model Development and Research at GFDL Whit Anderson Ron Pacanowski Tom Delworth Tony Rosati Riccardo Farneti Gabriel Vecchi Hyun-Chul.

High Resolution Coupled Model

Development and Research at

GFDL

Whit Anderson Ron Pacanowski

Tom Delworth Tony Rosati

Riccardo Farneti Gabriel Vecchi

Hyun-Chul Lee Andrew Wittenberg

Rym Msadek Fanrong Zhang

Rong Zhang Hi-Res Atmos Group

Page 2: High Resolution Coupled Model Development and Research at GFDL Whit Anderson Ron Pacanowski Tom Delworth Tony Rosati Riccardo Farneti Gabriel Vecchi Hyun-Chul.

High Resolution Model development • Scientific Goals:

• Simulated variability and predictability is likely a function of the model

• Developing improved models (higher resolution, improved physics, reduced bias) is crucial for studies of variability and predictability

• Explore ocean’s role in climate variability and change using a high resolution coupled model.

• New global coupled models: CM2.4, CM2.5, CM2.6

2

Ocean Atmos Computer Status

CM2.1 100 Km 250 Km GFDL Running

CM2.3 100 Km 100 Km GFDL Running

CM2.4 10-25 Km 100 Km GFDL Running

CM2.5 10-25 Km 50 Km DOE Running

CM2.6 4-10 Km 25 Km DOE In development

Page 3: High Resolution Coupled Model Development and Research at GFDL Whit Anderson Ron Pacanowski Tom Delworth Tony Rosati Riccardo Farneti Gabriel Vecchi Hyun-Chul.

Observed rainfall

GFDL CM2.1 2° Atmosphere 1° Ocean

Page 4: High Resolution Coupled Model Development and Research at GFDL Whit Anderson Ron Pacanowski Tom Delworth Tony Rosati Riccardo Farneti Gabriel Vecchi Hyun-Chul.

Observed rainfall

GFDL CM2.1 2° Atmosphere 1° Ocean

GFDL CM2.3 1° Atmosphere 1° Ocean

Page 5: High Resolution Coupled Model Development and Research at GFDL Whit Anderson Ron Pacanowski Tom Delworth Tony Rosati Riccardo Farneti Gabriel Vecchi Hyun-Chul.

Observed rainfall

GFDL CM2.1 2° Atmosphere 1° Ocean

GFDL CM2.3 1° Atmosphere 1° Ocean

GFDL CM2.4 1° Atmosphere 1/4° Ocean

Page 6: High Resolution Coupled Model Development and Research at GFDL Whit Anderson Ron Pacanowski Tom Delworth Tony Rosati Riccardo Farneti Gabriel Vecchi Hyun-Chul.

Observed rainfall

GFDL CM2.1 2° Atmosphere 1° Ocean

GFDL CM2.3 1° Atmosphere 1° Ocean

GFDL CM2.4 1° Atmosphere 1/4° Ocean

GFDL CM2.5 1/2° Atmosphere 1/4° Ocean

Page 7: High Resolution Coupled Model Development and Research at GFDL Whit Anderson Ron Pacanowski Tom Delworth Tony Rosati Riccardo Farneti Gabriel Vecchi Hyun-Chul.
Page 8: High Resolution Coupled Model Development and Research at GFDL Whit Anderson Ron Pacanowski Tom Delworth Tony Rosati Riccardo Farneti Gabriel Vecchi Hyun-Chul.
Page 9: High Resolution Coupled Model Development and Research at GFDL Whit Anderson Ron Pacanowski Tom Delworth Tony Rosati Riccardo Farneti Gabriel Vecchi Hyun-Chul.
Page 10: High Resolution Coupled Model Development and Research at GFDL Whit Anderson Ron Pacanowski Tom Delworth Tony Rosati Riccardo Farneti Gabriel Vecchi Hyun-Chul.

Weather <--> Climate Connection

• Improved regional forecast capabilities of U.S. temperatures and precipitation from a week to a season.

• Climate prediction capabilities for high-impact events, including droughts and major floods.

• Enhanced data sets and analyses to identify and interpret weather-climate connections between the tropics and mid-latitudes.

• Improve understanding and predictions of connections between climate variations and high impact weather phenomena (droughts, floods)


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