Hernandez smbe 2015

17
Background Selection With Non-Equilibrium Demographic Models Ryan D. Hernandez SMBE 2015 [email protected] @rdhernand Raul Torres Talk 23.12: Thursday 10am!

Transcript of Hernandez smbe 2015

Page 1: Hernandez smbe 2015

Background Selection With Non-Equilibrium Demographic Models

Ryan D. Hernandez

SMBE [email protected]

@rdhernand

Raul Torres

Talk 23.12:!Thursday 10am!

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Deleterious mutations will arise in the next generation

Chromosomes in a population with standing variation

The Effect of Negative Selection

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Deleterious mutations will arise in the next generation

Chromosomes in a population with standing variation

Negative selection: the action of natural selection purging deleterious mutations.

The Effect of Negative Selection

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Deleterious mutations will arise in the next generation

Chromosomes in a population with standing variation

Negative selection: the action of natural selection purging deleterious mutations.

The Effect of Negative Selection

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The Effect of Negative Selection

Consequences:!

• Some proportion of chromosomes are eliminated each generation!

➡ Decreased effective population size (f0Ne)!

➡ Decreased neutral variation ( f0π )!

➡Excess of neutral rare variants{Backgr

ound

selectio

n

f0 = exp�� U

s + R

⇥. Charlesworth (MANY, 1993-)

Hudson & Kaplan. Genetics (1995) Many others…

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Wright-Fisher Island model

Many demographic bells and population structure whistles

Various distributions of selective effects

Mutation models (with or w/o CpG effects)

Coding versus non-coding

X versus autosome

Arbitrary recombination maps

Recently optimized…

Forward SimulationsSelection on Finite Sites under COmplex Demographic Events

(SFS_CODE)

Hernandez. Bioinformatics (2008) http://sfscode.sourceforge.net

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Performance

1e−0

50.

001

0.1

110

Run

Tim

e (d

)

1000 10000 1e+05 1e+06 1e+07

θ=ρ=0.001

● ● ●

● ●

50

1000

1e−0

50.

001

0.1

110

1000 10000 1e+05 1e+06 1e+07

θ=ρ=0.005

N=10

,000

●FFPopSimfwdpp_indslim

SFS_CODESFS_CODE (opt)

● ●

●●

20200

50000.

001

0.01

0.1

110

Run

Tim

e (d

)

1000 10000 1e+05 1e+06 1e+07

L

●●

● ●●

● ●●

50

500

0.01

0.1

110

1000 10000 1e+05 1e+06 1e+07

L

N=50

,000●

●●

● ●

10

200

~4.2 CPU years of computation Hernandez. Bioinformatics (2008)!http://sfscode.sourceforge.net

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Weak vs. Strong Background Selection

●●●

0 50 100 150 200

0.65

0.70

0.75

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

γγ

ππππ 0

Maximal effect: -25≤γ≤-5

π/π0: ratio of observed to

expected diversity at

neutral loci, a measure of the effect of

BGS

Deleterious lociNeutral locus

Deleterious loci

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Deleterious lociNeutral locus

Deleterious loci

Beyond Equilibrium: BGS & π

0 2 4 6 8 100.00

000.

0010

0.00

200.

0030

π

γ = 0γ = 2γ = 5γ = 10γ = 20γ = 50γ = 100

0 2 4 6 8 10

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

time (in 2Ne gens)

ππ 0

γ = 2γ = 5γ = 10γ = 20γ = 50γ = 100

0 2 4 6 8 100.00

000.

0010

0.00

200.

0030

π

0 2 4 6 8 10

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

time (in 2Ne gens)

ππ 0

0 2 4 6 8 100.00

000.

0010

0.00

200.

0030

π

0 2 4 6 8 10

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

time (in 2Ne gens)

ππ 0

NA = 10,000!10-fold expansion

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Beyond Equilibrium

Deleterious lociNeutral locus

0 2 4 6 8 10

0.05

0.2

0.5

25

101

time (in 2Ne gens)

Rel

Pop

Size

: (N

CN

A)

Deleterious loci

NA = 10,000

Qualitatively similar patterns across a demographic models: BGS substantially reduces the time to equilibrium

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Beyond Equilibrium: BGS & SFS

ψ: Fraction of SNPs that are singletons

NA = 10,000

10-fold expansion

0 2 4 6 8 10

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

ψ

γ = 0

γ = 2γ = 5

γ = 10γ = 20

γ = 50γ = 100

0 2 4 6 8 10

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

time (in 2Ne gens)

ψψ

0

0 2 4 6 8 10

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

ψ

0 2 4 6 8 10

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

time (in 2Ne gens)

ψψ

0

0 2 4 6 8 10

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

ψ

γ = 0

γ = 2γ = 5

γ = 10γ = 20

γ = 50γ = 100

0 2 4 6 8 10

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

time (in 2Ne gens)

ψψ

0

Deleterious lociNeutral locus

Deleterious loci

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Demographic inference • Complete Genomics Diversity Panel!

• ~50 individuals from each of YRI, CEU, and CHS !

• High coverage Whole Genome Sequencing!

• Neutral sites in the human genome!

• Filtering based on PhyloP!

• High B-value (weak BGS)!

• Low B-value (strong BGS)!

• Four-fold degenerate sites

π/π 0

: Exp

ecte

d di

vers

ity d

ue to

BG

SBGS in the human genome

McVicker et al. PLoS Genet (2009)

∂a∂i{

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Human Demographic InferenceThe most neutral regions of the genome: !

! High B-values and high recombination rates.

−500 −400 −300 −200 −100 0

050

000

1000

0015

0000

2000

00Ef

fect

ive p

opul

atio

n si

ze

Time (kya)

AF−EU−AS shared demographyEU−AS shared demographyAS demographyEU demographyAF demography

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Human Demographic InferenceRegions of strong background selection (Low B) significantly increase the inferred rate of growth

−500 −400 −300 −200 −100 0

010

2030

Rel

ative

eff

pop

size

(Nc/

Na)

Time (kya)

AF−EU−AS shared demographyEU−AS shared demographyAS demographyEU demographyAF demography

High BLow B

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Human Demographic InferenceFour-fold degenerate synonymous sites are a mixture of high and low BGS.

−500 −400 −300 −200 −100 0

010

2030

Rel

ative

eff

pop

size

(Nc/

Na)

Time (kya)

AF−EU−AS shared demographyEU−AS shared demographyAS demographyEU demographyAF demography

Low B4−foldHigh B

−20 −15 −10 −5 0

010

2030

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Conclusions

• The effects of background selection are highly dependent on demographics.!

• Every genome is composed of a mixture of high and low background selection, so pooling sites should be done with caution!!

• More modeling of non-equilibrium BGS is necessary.

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Thanks!

Funding: NIH; QB3; CHARM; CTSI; CFAR

[email protected]

Nicolas Strauli

Dominic Tong

Raul Torres

Lawrence Uricchio

Zach Szpiech

Kevin Hartman

Dan Vasco

Talk 23.12: Thursday 10am! Poster: 555B