Health Impacts of and Responses to Climate Change Kristie L. Ebi, Ph.D., MPH.
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Transcript of Health Impacts of and Responses to Climate Change Kristie L. Ebi, Ph.D., MPH.
![Page 1: Health Impacts of and Responses to Climate Change Kristie L. Ebi, Ph.D., MPH.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/5514df61550346b0338b57b3/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Health Impacts of and Responses to Climate
Change
Kristie L. Ebi, Ph.D., MPH
![Page 2: Health Impacts of and Responses to Climate Change Kristie L. Ebi, Ph.D., MPH.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/5514df61550346b0338b57b3/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Pathways by Which Climate Change May Affect Human Health
McMichael et al. 2003
![Page 3: Health Impacts of and Responses to Climate Change Kristie L. Ebi, Ph.D., MPH.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/5514df61550346b0338b57b3/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Health Impacts Depend on Multiple Factors
Geographic factors:Baseline climateAbundance of natural resources (i.e. soil, fresh water
supplies)Elevation
Biological sensitivity:Developmental stagePre-existing medical conditions and/or acquired
factors (i.e. immunity)Genetic factors
Socioeconomic factors:May increase likelihood of exposure to harmful
agents/high risk residencesAssociated with underlying diseases that mediate
riskAffect ability to adapt or respond
![Page 4: Health Impacts of and Responses to Climate Change Kristie L. Ebi, Ph.D., MPH.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/5514df61550346b0338b57b3/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Direction and Magnitude of Climate Change Health Impacts
IPCC 2007
![Page 5: Health Impacts of and Responses to Climate Change Kristie L. Ebi, Ph.D., MPH.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/5514df61550346b0338b57b3/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
McGheehin
![Page 6: Health Impacts of and Responses to Climate Change Kristie L. Ebi, Ph.D., MPH.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/5514df61550346b0338b57b3/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Extreme Weather
![Page 7: Health Impacts of and Responses to Climate Change Kristie L. Ebi, Ph.D., MPH.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/5514df61550346b0338b57b3/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Projected Ozone-Related Deaths, NY Metro Area, 2050s vs 1990s
Kinney et al. 2006
![Page 8: Health Impacts of and Responses to Climate Change Kristie L. Ebi, Ph.D., MPH.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/5514df61550346b0338b57b3/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Distribution of Lyme Disease, 1991-2000 and 2020
00 1-461-46
47-9047-90
91-15991-159
160-266
160-266
267-433
267-433
434-694
434-694
695-1101
695-1101
1102-1738
1102-1738
1739-2145
1739-2145
Tick abundance at model equilibrium
Ogden et al. Int. J. Parasitol. 2005, 2006
![Page 9: Health Impacts of and Responses to Climate Change Kristie L. Ebi, Ph.D., MPH.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/5514df61550346b0338b57b3/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
meanlag1
lo(m
ea
nla
g1
, spa
n =
0.3
)
-30 -20 -10 0 10 20
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
Temp Alberta Salmonella
meanlag1
lo(m
ea
nla
g1
, spa
n =
0.3
)
-30 -20 -10 0 10 20
-0.8
-0.4
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
Temp Alberta Campylobacter
meanlag1
lo(m
ea
nla
g1
, spa
n =
0.3
)
-30 -20 -10 0 10 20
-1.5
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
Temp Alberta E. coli
meanlag1
lo(m
ea
nla
g1
, spa
n =
0.3
)
-20 -10 0 10 20
-2-1
01
2
Temp Nfld-Lab Salmonella
meanlag1
lo(m
ea
nla
g1
, spa
n =
0.3
)
-20 -10 0 10 20
-2-1
01
23
Temp Nfld-Lab Campylobacter
RR of Salmonella increased by 1.2% per degree above - 10˚C
RR of Campylobacter increased by 2.2% (4.5% in Newfoundland) per degree above - 10˚C
RR of E. coli increased by 6.0% per degree above - 10˚C
Fleury et al. 2006
Temperature and Enteric Disease
![Page 10: Health Impacts of and Responses to Climate Change Kristie L. Ebi, Ph.D., MPH.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/5514df61550346b0338b57b3/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
EDF/George Mason/NACCHO Survey of Public Health Directors
Department Has Expertise to Assess Health Risks?
![Page 11: Health Impacts of and Responses to Climate Change Kristie L. Ebi, Ph.D., MPH.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/5514df61550346b0338b57b3/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Climate Change Impacts in 2030 under 750 ppm CO2 Scenario (thousands of cases)
Diarrheal Diseases
Malnutrition
Malaria
Total 4,513,981 46,352 408,227
Climate change impacts
131,980 4,673 21,787
% Increase 3 10 5
Ebi 2008