Health Effects of Suspended Particulate Matter Judith C. Chow ([email protected]) John G. Watson...
-
Upload
cory-greer -
Category
Documents
-
view
220 -
download
0
Transcript of Health Effects of Suspended Particulate Matter Judith C. Chow ([email protected]) John G. Watson...
Health Effects of Suspended Particulate Matter
Judith C. Chow ([email protected])John G. Watson
Desert Research InstituteReno, Nevada, USA
Presented at:
The Workshop on Air Quality Management, Measurement, Modeling, and Health Effects
University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia
24 May 2007
Objectives• Report progress for PM and health
effects
• Explain ultrafine particles and their toxicological/ epidemiological associations
• Identify knowledge gaps and future challenges in PM research
Air Quality Decision Making Framework
Emissions (rates, particle
size, and composition)
Transport and
Transformation
Concentrations in Air (composition,
particle size, health indicator)
Human Exposure (outdoor
and indoor)
Human Inhalation
Dose to Target Tissues
Adverse Health Effects
National Research Council, 1998, Research Priorities for Airborne Particulate Matter: I - Immediate Priorities and a Long-Range Research Portfolio
History of Public Policy and PM Science
SCIENCE
1930s-1950s Early Episode studies
1960s-1980s Ecological mortality and inhalation tox. studies
1989-mid 1990s New results from several
epidemiologic studies
U.S. PUBLIC POLICY
1955, 1963 Early national legislation
1967, 1970, 1971 Clean Air Act, amendments,
NAAQS
1987 PM standards revised, TSP-PM10
Pope and Dockery, 2006, JAWMA, 56(6)
History of Public Policy and PM Science (continued)
SCIENCE
1997Vedal’s “Lines that Divide” Growth in PM and health effects research (Vedal,
1997, JAWMA)
2006 “Lines that Connect” Gaps and skepticism (Pope
and Dockery, 2006, JAWMA)
U.S. PUBLIC POLICY
1997-2002 Promulgation of PM2.5 standards,
Legal challenges argued and largely resolved
2006 New proposed standards for
PM2.5 and PM10-2.5
Pope and Dockery, 2006, JAWMA, 56(6)
Particle Size Distribution
0
2
4
6
8
10
0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100Particle Aerodynamic Diameter (µm)
Rel
ativ
e M
ass
Co
nce
ntr
atio
n
Accumulation Coarse
PM 10
PM 2.5
Geological Material, Pollen,
Sea Salt
Sulfate, Nitrate, Ammonium,
Organic Carbon, Elemental Carbon, Heavy Metals, Fine
Geological
Condensed Organic
Carbon or Sulfuric Acid Vapors, Clean Environment
Aitken
Condensation Mode
Droplet Mode
Nucleation
Fresh High Temperature Emissions,
Organic Carbon,
Sulfuric Acid, Metal Vapors
Ultrafine (PM 0.1)
Nanoparticles (PM 0.01)
Watson, 2002, JAWMA, 52(6)
Inhalation Properties
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Particle Aerodynamic Diameter (microns)
De
po
sit
ion
(P
erc
en
t)
Rest Normal Exercise
Nose
Lung
Trachea
Mouth (ISO)
Chow, 1995, JAWMA 45(5); Phalen et al., 1991, Radiat. Protect. Dosim. 38(1/3)
Lung deposition peaks at 40-60% for 30 nm UPTracheal deposition is 20-40% for <10 nm UP
Potential Particulate Matter (PM) Health Indicators
• Ultrafine, fine, or coarse mass size fractions
• Mass, surface area, or number of particles
• Mass, sulfate, acidity, solubility, or transition metals
• Pollens, fungi, molds, or endotoxins
• Synergies with weather or other pollutants
What is now no longer true from 1997 Critical Review?
• “… weak biological plausibility has been the single largest stumbling block to accepting the association as causal.”
• “… evidence supporting development of chronic illness from long-term particle exposure … is weak.”
Vedal, 1997, JAWMA, 47(5)
Follow-up on PM and Health Effects
• Bates DV (2000). “Lines that connect: assessing the causality inference in the case of particulate pollution.” Environ Health Perspect 108:91-2.
• Pope CA III and Dockery DW (2006). “Health effects of fine particulate air pollution: lines that connect.”
2006 Critical Review and Discussion Summary
Pope and Dockery, 2006, JAWMA, 56(6); Chow et al., 2006, JAWMA, 56(10)
Key Aspects of 2006 Critical Review
• Short-term exposure and mortality
• Long-term exposure and mortality
• Time-scales of exposure
• Shape of concentration-response function
• Cardiovascular disease
• Biological plausibilityPope and Dockery, 2006, JAWMA, 56(6)
Recent Advances in PM Health Effects
• Short term exposure and mortality
– >100 time series studies; single & multiple cities
• Long term exposure and mortality
– Built around 6-City & ACS; growing prospective data base
• Time scales of exposure
– Varied time scales; distributed lags
Chow et al., 2006, JAWMA, 56(10)
Recent Advances in PM Health Effects (continued)
• Shape of the concentration response function
– Lack of apparent threshold; near-linearity through ‘0’
• Cardiovascular disease
– Cardiac events; changes in function; progressive disease
• Biologic plausibility
– Several prevailing theories – evidence for coherence with toxicology
Chow et al., 2006, JAWMA, 56(10)
PM10 O3
SO2 CO NO2
Stieb et al., 2002, JAWMA, 52(4)
Air Pollution Health Effects (Percent Excess Mortality)
Mortality risk in Harvard Six-City Study (Cohort Follow-up)
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
PM2.5 (mg/m3)
Mor
talit
y Ri
sk R
atio Steubenville
Topeka
Watertown
Kingston
St. Louis
Portage
Laden et al., 2006. Environ. Sci. Technol., 40(13)
*Associated with increments of 10 µg/m3 PM2.5 or 20 µg/m3 PM10 or British Smoke exposure Pope and Dockery, 2006, JAWMA, 56(6)
Days of Exposure
Mor
talit
y (%
)
Changes in Mortality Risk* in Exposure
Pope and Dockery, 2006, JAWMA, 56(6)
Cardiovascular Mortality Risks* in long-term exposure
Associated with increments of 10 µg/m3 PM2.5
Health Effects of Ultrafine Particles (UP)
The lag (in days) between concentration and effect
CV: cardiovascular diseaseRE: respiratory disease
(Ibald-Mulli et al., 2002, J. Aerosol Med., 15(2))
Hypotheses on Toxicological Effects of UP
• Inflammatory (i.e., large surface area, react with macrophages and epithelial cells)
• Not efficiently removed by macrophages
• Contain or release more toxic free radicals
• Inhibit phagocytosis (i.e., unable to remove foreign substances)
• Translocate from lung to other organs via bloodstream or lymphatic system
• Effects enhanced by oxidant gases (e.g., ozone)
• Effects are most severe on the elderly and people with compromised respiratory tracts (e.g., chronic obstructive pulmonary disease)
(Sorensen et al., 2003, Mutation Research 544 (2-3))
Conceptual Model of UP/PM and Health Effects (different pathways)
Hypothesis on Interactions between UP and Respiratory System
(Donaldson et al., 2001, Occup. Environ. Med., 58(3))
Summary• Much progress has been made regarding PM
health effects
• Evidence of increasing cardiovascular effects in addition to pulmonary effects
• Better understanding of pathophysiological pathways to link PM-related mortality and morbidity
• Increasing research in the health effects of ultrafine particles
Knowledge Gaps
• Compliance air quality networks need to be designed for epidemiology studies. (Measurements at central site may not represent general population exposure.)
• Particle types and concentrations in toxicological studies are much higher and not representative of ambient air.
• Toxicological studies need to establish associations from animal subjects to humans.
Challenges Ahead
• Enhance air quality monitoring for research
• Assess toxicity of PM components
• Investigate health effects of long-term exposure to air pollutants
• Formulate multi-pollutant research programs
Simmons et al., 2004, NRC