Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS...
Transcript of Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS...
Challenges for the Aeronautical Industry Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015
Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015
Axel FLAIG
Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS
© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015
Content
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• Business Opportunities
• Challenges and Paradigm Shifts
• Airbus Strategy
• Technologies & Future Configurations
• Development and Industrialization Process
• Boosting Innovation and Technology Development
© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
Airbus aircraft are a familiar sight around the world
Presence
- An Airbus takes off
or lands every
2 seconds
15,979+ Aircraft sold
60 Produced monthly
25,000+ Daily flights
9,282 Delivered
September 2015
Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015
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Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015
Meet the Airbus family from 100 to 500+ seats
The Airbus Family
A320 Family A330 Family A350 XWB A380
The market leader The right aircraft, right now The Xtra that makes a difference Own the sky
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Aviation drives our global economy
Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015
Growth
- Air traffic doubles
every 15 years
58million
Jobs supported
50million
Tonnes of freight
3billion
Passengers
$2.4trillion
Global GDP annually
Source: ATAG 2014
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What are the market opportunities?
Traffic will double in the next 15 years
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1,550
22,927
Potential for more than 32,600 deliveries in the next 20 years
20-year General Market Forecast
8,108
32,585 new aircraft
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Passenger Transport Demand evolution
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017 2022 2027 2032
Air traffic has doubled
every 15 years
Airbus GMF 2015ICAO total traffic
Source: ICAO, Airbus
World annual RPK (trillion)
4.6%
2014-2034
x2
© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015
Smart & Efficient mobility
Reduce Environmental impact
What are the key challenges?
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Strengthen European leadership
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More and more Aviation Mega Cities ….
New challenges or new opportunities?
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91 Mega cities
2034 forecast
Typical Mega City demography:
More than 10 Million people; Up to 400 Nm wide
Potential new market for regional transport
Source: WWW
© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
Customer needs are changing
New challenges or new opportunities?
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Typical ram-up curve…
INDIGO 530
AIRASIA 475
LUFTHANSA 469
EASYJET 415
US AIRWAYS 261
A320 customers….
(total orders)
Industrial ramp-up and maturity
CEAS, 7th September 2015 Delft
2012 2013
Flight TestDevelopment Customer deliveries
A350 production ramp-up
2014 2015 2016 2017
Rate 1
Rate 2
To Rate 10
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© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
What do we need to stay competitive?
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Reduce cost (RC and NRC) & Leadtime
• Improve performances
(aerodynamic, weight, propulsion)
• Increase cabin productivity
Increase Customer Value
• Non Recurrent Cost (development process)
• Recurrent cost (manufacturing)
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Derivatives
Efficiency New products
2050 2010 2030
The AIRBUS strategy
Incremental
Innovation
Disruptive
Concepts
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Balance between incremental and breakthrough
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Strategic roadmaps: Ultra efficient engines
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Ultra efficient engines
Advanced
turbofan Hybrid propulsion
Long-term Mid-term Short-term
CROR
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© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
Strategic roadmaps: Aerodynamic efficiency
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Aerodynamic efficiency
Sharklet Future concepts
Long-term Mid-term Short-term
Laminar flow
Riblets
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Strategic roadmaps: More efficient operations
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More Efficient operations
Long-term Mid-term Short-term
Innovative
cockpit Formation flight
Future ATM
Green trajectories
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Strategic roadmaps: Systems and avionics
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Systems and avionics
Long-term Mid-term Short-term
More
Electrical Aircraft
Integrated Modular
Avionic 2nd Generation
E-taxi
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Strategic roadmaps: Advanced materials & manufacturing
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Advanced material
Long-term Mid-term Short-term
Composite &
metallic
technologies
Termoplastic
Dry fibber
Out of autoclave CFRP
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Electrical Network
Printing
© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
Strategic roadmaps: Innovative structures
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Innovative structures
Long-term Mid-term Short-term
ALM
Bionic
structure
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Fully integrated
fuselage
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New Paradigm for Development and Industrialization
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Seamless Digital Development and Industrialization process
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Detailed Digital A/C
Virtual Testing
Model based
Muti-disciplinary Optimization
& Component Design
Virtual Product Development Digital Factory
© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
Boosting Innovation
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SPRINTs
Technologies
Speed and ambition SPRINTs
Business needs
Accelerated techno
maturation
Pull for
innovative ideas
Universities
REs
Suppliers
…
© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
Summary
• Growing global business potentials for the European Aeronautical Industry.
• Minimizing environmental impact and overcoming congestion on ground and air
are key for sustaining the growth.
• Production rates beyond 50 A/C per month are changing the entire industrial system
incl. supply chain.
• Airbus follows a 2 fold strategy for maximizing customer value and competitiveness
of existing products while preparing the next “Game-changer”.
• New propulsion systems will open the design space for novel configurations.
• Significant increase in effort & resources are required for wider exploration and
maturation of break-through technologies & novel configurations.
• A seamlessly integrated “Virtual Development and Industrialization Process”
shortens development time and secures steep ramp-up of production.
Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015
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© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015
Make Technology Fly
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© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015
© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document. This document and all information contained herein is the sole property of AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. No intellectual property rights are granted by the delivery of this document
or the disclosure of its content. This document shall not be reproduced or disclosed to a third party without the express written consent of AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. This document and its content shall not be used for any purpose other than that for which it is
supplied. The statements made herein do not constitute an offer. They are based on the mentioned assumptions and are expressed in good faith. Where the supporting grounds for these statements are not shown, AIRBUS Operations S.A.S will be pleased to
explain the basis thereof. AIRBUS, its logo, A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321, A330, A340, A350, A380, A400M are registered trademarks.
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