Hazard, Vulnerability & Risk
description
Transcript of Hazard, Vulnerability & Risk
Application of GIS
PRESENTED
BY
SEENUM & FAREEN
APPLICATION OF GIS/RSAPPLICATION OF GIS/RS
OIL & MINERAL EXPLORATION (O.G.D.C, Oil companies,)
management of water resources ( AKRSP, WAPDA)
natural hazard mapping (FFC, NESPAK
SOCIO-ECONOMIC SURVEY & MAPPING (S.O.P & Primary education project in NWFP, Baluchistan, Sind, N.As & A.K.)
Educational Institution NCE In Geology, University of Peshawar, GIS Centre Punjab University and Brunal College for distance learning Islamabad/Rawalpindi, Environmental Sciences and Geography Departments in University of Peshawar.
APPLICATION OF GIS/RSAPPLICATION OF GIS/RS
LAND-USE PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT Property Registration & Development Use of parcels during different years (For diff crops) Owner changes & keeping up to date record Developmental plans like Peshawar Master plans Urban Planning and management
Survey of Pakistan, SUPARCO, Peshawar Development Authority, Capital Development Authority, Planning Environment & Development AJK)
hazard: the probability of occurrence of a potentially damaging phenomenon,vulnerability: the degree of loss resulting from the occurrence of the phenomenon
Hazard and risk Hazard and risk assessmentassessment
Monitoring for early warning
Remote Sensing & GIS
• Remote Sensing and Geographical Information Systems (GIS) are widely used for the assessment of natural hazards, especially in Natural Hazard Zonation and Mapping
Definition of a flood.
• A flood is any high stream flow which overtops the natural or artificial banks of a stream.
• A flood is a body of water that inundates land that is in frequently submerged and in doing so causes or threatens to cause damage and loss of life.
• Flooding is a natural and recurring event for a river or stream.
Flooding is a natural hazard
• Potential damaging natural phenomena;
• Occuring with a certain probability;• Within a specific period of time;• In a certain area.
Flood statistics.
http://www.munichre.com/press/press/990315_eng.htm
Reasons for increasing annual flood losses-1• Climatic change;• Changes in land use:
– urbanization;– deforestation;– drainage and engineering works; e.g. canalizations
Reasons for increasing annual flood losses-2• Increasing population levels due to
migration into marginal lands.
TYPES OF FLOODS
• Flash floods;• Single event floods;• Multiple event floods;• Seasonal floods.
Flash floods-1
• An extreme, though short-lived, form of inundation;
• Associated with violent thunderstorms or cloudbursts;
• Storm lasts (usually) < 24 hrs;• Rainfall intensity >>> infiltration capacity;• Runoff rapid, hence • Common in mountaineous and desert
areas.
Single event flood.
• Floods with a single main peak;• Relatively simple hydrograph;
substantially longer duration than flash floods
• Rainfall: several hours or days duration.
Multiple event floods.
• Duration of flooding extends over a periods of several weeks or months;
• Most disastrous type of flooding;
Seasonal flood-1.
• Multiple event flood occuring annually in the wet season on a massive scale;
• Flood extending over several months;• Often disastrous floods
FLOOD CAUSES.
• Climatological:– excessive levels of precipitation; high intensity
and/or long duration;– melting snow or rain falling on melting snow;– melting ice.
• Climatological factor in combination with other factors: e.g causing estuarine floods and sea floods:– wind direction and strength;– intensity of low pressure systems
Example: Flood modeling in BangladeshExample: Flood modeling in Bangladesh
Mississippi, July 1988 and 1993
Flood causes-2.
• Climatological factor in combination with other factors (continu):– tidal stage;– the geometry of the sea basin;– the nature of the coast line.
• Other, only indirectly, if at all, with climatological events:– tsunamis produced by earthquakes;– river ponding behind natural dams caused by
mass movements, glacial advances etc.
Flood causes-2.
• Other, only indirectly, if at all, with climatological events (continu):– failure of natural and man-made levees;– failure of man-made dams;– mass movements entering enclosed or
semi-enclosed waterbodies;– rupture of a glacial lake or release of sub-
glacial water (GLOF);
Floods & use of remote sensing.• Major drawback optical sensors
cannot penetrate cloud;• Therefore Radar has been using which
has the capability to penetrate into clouds.
Remote Sensing for Flood Hazard Studies: applications.
• Mapping spatial distribution of inundated areas;• Mapping spatial distribution of flood effects;• Indirect mapping to make flood susceptibility
maps using flood indicators; • Flood hazard zonation using sequential
imagery and or integrating different types of imagery;
• Damage assessment post flood;• Planning of emergency & relief operations;
Remote Sensing for Flood Hazard Studies: applications.
• Monitoring for early warning;sequential inundation stage mapping;
• Generating DEM’s for modelling etc.;• Combining DEM with areal extent map to
find flood depth map.
Geomorphological effects of the 1993-flood
hills
floodplain
TM images: bands 7, 5, and 3
Missouri River Floodplain, Glasgow, Missouri, USA.
http://edcwww2.cr.usgs.gov/moberly/preflood.gif
Totally inundated floodplain.
Sand deposits, from levee breaches.
Predicting River FloodingThere are three methods:1. Monitoring the progress of a storm in order to
provide a forecast or early warning to those who may be affected by a flood.
2. Using Statistical techniques to predict the frequency & its return period of floods of a given magnitude.
3. Using models & mapping to determine the aerial extent of flood hazard of a given magnitude.
CLIMOGRAPH OF DISTRICT CHARSADDA (Average Climate Between 1960-1990)
0102030405060708090
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
DecemberMoths
RAIN
FALL
IN M
M
051015202530354045
TEM
PERA
TURE
IN
OC
Rainfall
Maximum TemperatureMinimum Temperature
Using Statistical Techniques
Based on the records of hydrologic events at a specific locality on the observing river system.
For each year we record one highest flow discharge of the river.
As a result a record of annual maxima over a period of years is taking into consideration.
The longer the available data set, the more valid are the predictions based on the data especially it is very useful for very high frequency floods.
RIVER SWAT AT KALAMFLOOD FREQUENCY RECURRENCE CURVE
18,400
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000
Annual Maximum Discharge (Cusecs)
Re
curr
en
ce In
terv
al (
Ye
ars
)
Example: Flood modeling in BangladeshExample: Flood modeling in Bangladesh
Regional flood hazard:
Based on:NOAA AVHRRGeomorphological mappingMapping historic floods
Relation flooding with GeomorphologyLanduse
Existing Policies for the Reduction of Natural Hazards in Pakistan Non-Intervention Policy
Compensatory Policy
System Management Policy
Corrective or Engineering Protection Policy
More stress in Pakistan is on post-disaster activities
Pre-Disaster Activities are either
missing or less
THANKS TO ALL
• SEENUM AMAN• FAREEN QAZI