Hanoi, January 29 th 2015 Enrico Weber DEI – Politecnico di Milano IMRR Project 12 – Thac Ba...
21
Hanoi, January 29 th 2015 Enrico Weber DEI – Politecnico di Milano IMRR Project 12 – Thac Ba policy design INTEGRATED AND SUSTAINABLE WATER MANAGEMENT OF RED-THAI BINH RIVER SYSTEM IN A CHANGING CLIMATE
-
Upload
reginald-bradford -
Category
Documents
-
view
213 -
download
0
Transcript of Hanoi, January 29 th 2015 Enrico Weber DEI – Politecnico di Milano IMRR Project 12 – Thac Ba...
Hanoi, January 29th 2015
Enrico WeberDEI – Politecnico di Milano
IMRR Project
12 – Thac Ba policy design
INTEGRATED AND SUSTAINABLE WATER MANAGEMENT OF RED-THAI BINH RIVER SYSTEM
IN A CHANGING CLIMATE
HB =49%
YB=23%
TB=5%
TQ=11%
HY=12%
The Red-Thai Binh River basin
ST
Thac Ba release optimization
All photo from http://cwrct.wrd.gov.vn
Experiment settings
En
erg
y d
em
an
d [G
Wh
]
2 alternative hydropower objectives:
1) max Energy Production
2) min Weighted Deficit
De
ficit we
ight [%
] max ,t t
t
E h R
min ,t t t tt
w D E h R
Off-line Management Problem
or
s.t.
Experiment settingsHorizon: 2002/01/01-2012/07/31
Res
ervo
ir in
flow
[m3/
s]
Stochastic inflow model: AR(0)
Design algorithm
Stochastic Dynamic Programming
First results
Historical
Reservoir level
[GW
h x
year
]
[-]
Yearly Energy Production Yearly Weighted Deficit Yearly Threshold Violation
Day
s x
year
[m]
First results
Historical
EProd opt. constr.
Reservoir level
[GW
h x
year
]
[-]
Yearly Threshold Violation
Day
s x
year
[m]
Yearly Energy Production Yearly Weighted Deficit
First results
Historical
EProd opt. constr.
Reservoir level
[GW
h x
year
]
[-]
Yearly Threshold Violation
Day
s x
year
Deficit opt.
[m]
Yearly Energy Production Yearly Weighted Deficit
First results
Historical
EProd opt. constr.
Reservoir level
[GW
h x
year
]
[-]
Yearly Threshold Violation
Day
s x
year
Deficit opt.
Deficit opt. constr.
[m]
Yearly Energy Production Yearly Weighted Deficit
First results
Historical
EProd opt. constr.
Reservoir level
[GW
h x
year
]
[-]
Yearly Threshold Violation
Day
s x
year
Deficit opt.
Deficit opt. constr.
EProd opt.
[m]
Yearly Energy Production Yearly Weighted Deficit
First results
Historical
EProd opt. constr.
Reservoir level
[GW
h x
year
]
[-]
Yearly Threshold Violation
Day
s x
year
Deficit opt.
Deficit opt. constr.
EProd opt.
Compromise
[m]
Yearly Energy Production Yearly Weighted Deficit
First resultsHistorical
[GW
h]
Deficit Weight
Daily Energy Production
Energy Demand
[-]
First resultsHistorical
EProd opt. constr.
[GW
h]
Deficit Weight
Daily Energy Production
Energy Demand
[-]
First resultsHistorical
EProd opt. constr.
[GW
h]
Deficit Weight
Deficit opt.
Daily Energy Production
Energy Demand
[-]
First resultsHistorical
EProd opt. constr.
[GW
h]
Deficit Weight
Deficit opt.
Deficit opt. constr.
Daily Energy Production
Energy Demand
[-]
First resultsHistorical
EProd opt. constr.
[GW
h]
Deficit Weight
Deficit opt.
Deficit opt. constr.
EProd opt.
Daily Energy Production
Energy Demand
[-]
First resultsHistorical
EProd opt. constr.
[GW
h]
Deficit Weight
Deficit opt.
Deficit opt. constr.
EProd opt.
Compromise
Daily Energy Production
Energy Demand
[-]
Thanks for your attention
XIN CẢM ƠN
