Hank Courtright, EPRI: Realizing the Potential for Energy Efficiency and Carbon Reductions
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Transcript of Hank Courtright, EPRI: Realizing the Potential for Energy Efficiency and Carbon Reductions
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Realizing the Potential for Energy Efficiency and Carbon Reductions
Alliance to Save Energy International Policy Leaders DialogueSeptember 25, 2008
Hank CourtrightSenior Vice President
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2© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Electric Power Research Institute
• Founded in 1973
• Independent, non-profit
organization for public-interest
energy and environmental
research
• Collaborative approach involves
~450 participants in over 40
countries
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3© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
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En
erg
y (B
illio
n k
Wh
)The Potential for Electricity Savings
Codes and Standards
1 Includes embedded impact of EE programs implicit in AEO 20082 Utility Programs Encourage Increased Adoption
Market-driven Efficiency 1
+
AEO 2008 Reference Case
Avoided Electricity Consumption in 2030…
+
Maximum Achievable Potential 2
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4© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Action Framework… Four Evolving Infrastructures
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5© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Action Framework…Four Evolving Infrastructures
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6© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Transitioning to Low-Carbon Generation
• Large-Scale Wind, Solar and Biomass
• Nuclear – Advanced Light Water Reactors
• Advanced Coal with Carbon Capture and Storage
• Distributed Rooftop Solar
There is no “silver bullet”
…we need them all!
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7© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
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3500
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
U.S
. Ele
ctri
c S
ecto
rC
O2 E
mis
sio
ns
(mill
ion
met
ric
ton
s)
*Energy Information Administration (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook (AEO)
EPRI Prism Transitioning to Low-Carbon Generation
Technology
Efficiency / ’07 Energy Act
Renewable Generation
Nuclear Generation
Advanced Coal Generation
Carbon Capture & Storage
Plug-in Hybrid Elec. Vehicles
DER (incl. Rooftop Solar)
On a path to de-On a path to de-carbonize the carbonize the
Electricity Electricity SectorSector
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8© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Action Framework…Four Evolving Infrastructures
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9© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Smart Grid Demonstration Project
Distribution ConsumerTransmission Substation Markets
Interactive . . . Two-Way Communications
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10© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
U.S. Peak Demand Reduction
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
U.S
. S
um
mer
Pea
k D
eman
d*
(GW
)
Reduced Peak Demand in 2030…
• Energy Efficiency
• Demand Response
Achievable Potential
* Aggregation of regional summer peak demands; non-coincident
• Realistic Achievable Potential ~ 15%
• Maximum Achievable Potential ~ 21%
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11© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Action Framework…Four Evolving Infrastructures
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12© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Local Energy Networks… an Example
Grid-ConnectedConsumer Portal
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13© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Becoming More Energy Efficient
Utility ProgramsEncourage
Increased Adoption
AchievablePotential
Consumers Respond to Technology Improvements
and Market Effects
Market – Driven Efficiency
Consumers Complywith Efficiency Mandates
Codes and Standards
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14© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
EPRI’s Living Laboratory
Evaluating and testing energy efficiency technology
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15© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Energy Efficiency Demonstration Project
Heat PumpWater Heaters
Variable Refrigerant FlowAir Conditioning
Ductless Residential Heat Pumps and Air Conditioners
Hyper-EfficientResidential Appliances
LED Street andArea LightingEfficient Data Centers
High-profile field demonstrations of six “hyper-efficient” technologies with significant energy savings potential
CO
MM
ER
CIA
LR
ES
IDE
NT
IAL
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16© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Action Framework…Four Evolving Infrastructures
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17© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Auto Industry Interest in PHEVs (and EVs)
PHEV or EREV EV
Production
Demo
Saturn VUE2-Mode BlendedIntro: 2011 CY
Chevrolet VoltExtended Range EV
40-mile EV range16kWh Li-Ion
Intro: 2010 CY
Ford Escape PHEV2008 CY, 21 car fleetwith SCE/EPRI/Utilities
VW Golf TwinDrive30 mile EV range20-car fleet, 2009
Nissan2010 CY Daimler Smart ForTwo
2010 CY
Mitsubishi iMIEV2010 CY, 100 mile range, PG&E, SCE demo
Dodge ZEO150-200 mile range
Subaru R1e50 Mile AER
10-car fleet 2008 CY
Ford/Eaton Trouble Truck10 truck fleet w/ utilities
Toyota Prius PHEV500-car fleet
2009 CY
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18© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Annual Energy Consumption and Carbon Footprint Impact
Benefits of 20 Mile Range PHEV
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19© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
PHEV – Electric Infrastructure Demos
•Understand the integration of electric grid and communications infrastructures
•Validate prior analytical work on environmental and societal benefits
•Understand consumer behavior and acceptance of this new technology
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20© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Action Framework… Four Evolving Infrastructures
Creating the Electricity Network of the Future