HALYK FINANCE Weekly
Transcript of HALYK FINANCE Weekly
Halyk Finance Weekly Update May 16, 2011
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WEEKLY UPDATE
May 16, 2011
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KASE index
Economics
1Q2011 GDP: a stronger consumer demand 2
Labor market overheating 4
Credit in 1Q: demand on the rise, but quality borrowers are scarce 4
Banks
BTA equity still negative despite $6.7bn profit 5
Oil & Gas
KMG EP withdraws Iraqi bid 6
Max Petroleum continues exploration 6
Tethys updates on Kazakh activities, reports 1Q2011 results 6
Global Markets 8
International bonds 11
Domestic bonds 12
KASE 15
International Stock Exchanges 16
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Halyk Finance Weekly Update May 16, 2011
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Economics
1Q2011 GDP: a stronger consumer demand
According to SARK’s preliminary estimates, 1Q11 GDP rose by 6.6% YoY due to a boost in trade, consumer services, and industrial production. Financial services and construction remain depressed. GDP deflator rose by 14.6% YoY on the back of higher commodity prices, utility tariffs and wages in services and public sector.
In seasonally adjusted terms, after a 4.5% QoQ sa surge in the previous quarter, 1Q GDP is almost unchanged (see Table 1). The growth in consumer sectors, such as telecom, trade and hotels and restaurants, was offset by QoQ declines in industrial production, construction, and transportation Financial services rose QoQ, but remained subdued, as lending is still tight amid borrowers’ quality problems and high NPLs (see our note on Credit market in 1Q in this Weekly for more detail). Public sector, which represents around 8% of GDP, continued to rise steadily. Net taxes added 2.5 QoQ sa, exceeding the GDP growth rate.
We maintain our GDP growth forecast unchanged at 6% YoY for 2011, which, we believe, will be driven by (1) export demand that will support growth of industrial production and transportation of
commodities; and (2) consumer demand that will benefit from rising wages and employment and will have a positive impact on trade, food production, telecom and other consumer services (see Signs of overheating in labor market in this Weekly).
Table 1. Preliminary 1Q2011 GDP statistics
Growth, YoY
Growth, QoQ sa
Deflator, YoY %GDP
Agriculture 1.8 4.9 25.6 2.3
Industry 6.0 -1.9 12.8 33.9
Construction 3.1 -3.2 5.1 4.7
Trade 14.3 5.8 4.8 13.0
Hotels and restaurants 10.8 3.0 12.4 1.1
Transport 6.9 -19.8 9.5 6.9
Telecom 14.6 11.0 -11.6 2.3
Financial activity -1.9 8.5 27.7 3.8
Real estate and services to business, incl: 1.8 -3.2 17.9 17.2
Real estate transactions 0.5 n/a 17.5 9.2
Professional, scientific and technical activity 3.7 n/a 23.2 5.6
Administrative services and consulting 2.8 n/a 6.8 2.4
Government administration 0.9 3.7 13.5 1.8
Education 4.6 1.3 23.4 3.9
Healthcare 5.0 1.7 25.4 2.1
FISIM -10.4 -47.6 117.6 -2.7
Net taxes 10.5 2.6 83.8 8.2
Gross domestic product 6.6 0.1 14.6 100.0
Source: SARK, HF estimates
Figure 1. IP and transportation declined in 1Q Figure 2. Consumer services rose sharply in 1Q
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Trade, saTelecom, saHotels and restaurants, sa
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Halyk Finance Weekly Update May 16, 2011
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Figure 3. Public sector VA grows steadily Figure 4. Construction and financial sector are still depressed
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Figure 5. Real GDP
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Index
RGDP RGDP, sa
Source: SARK, HF estimates
Madina Kurmangaliyeva
Halyk Finance Weekly Update May 16, 2011
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Labor market overheating
According to the latest statistics on labor market, March wages reached T87.5 th (+21% YoY). Seasonally adjusted, wage growth accelerated to 3.6% MoM sa due to a surge in industrial wages (+13% MoM). Wages rose in almost all sectors, except for public sector (where they government promised a 30% raise in July) and construction. Employment continued its steady rise (+1.3% YoY in March), unemployment remained low at 5.5%.
We expect high revenues of the oil sector, upturn in consumer demand and the further rise in fiscal social spending to support these trends throughout 2011. Real wages growth is expected to stay at
around 7-8% YoY in 2011, with the average wage rising from T77,500 in 2010 to T91,000.
Figure 1. Average monthly wage, seasonally adjusted
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Madina Kurmangaliyeva
Credit in 1Q: demand on the rise, but quality borrowers are scarce
Last week’s results of NBK 1Q2011 credit market survey may signal the beginning of a recovery. The
survey showed that in 1Q2011:
- Demand for corporate and consumer loans has risen, while demand for mortgage loans continued to lag,
- Despite higher demand, new lending remained low as quality borrowers are hard to find,
- Thanks to foreign-owned banks, competition for good credit risk has intensified leading to lower interest rates, longer terms and bigger loans,
- In the corporate sector, banks prefer to finance working capital needs, while limiting the financing of
ongoing investment projects and avoiding loans to start-ups,
- In retail lending, banks limit lending issued without income verification,
- New equity, local and foreign debt became more accessible.
Banks expect these trends to continue in 2Q11 with further softening of credit requirements and higher demand for loans.
Madina Kurmangaliyeva
Halyk Finance Weekly Update May 16, 2011
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Banks
BTA equity still negative despite $6.7bn profit
On May 13, BTA bank published its 2010 audited results, posting a net profit of T986.3bn ($6.7bn) profit that led to a 16-fold reduction in the capital deficit over the year (from T1.7 trillion to T104.5bn). The 2010 profit is largely attributable to income from restructuring of the bank's bond debt, which amounted to T853.9bn ($5.8bn).
Following 2010 debt restructuring at BTA (T1.7 trillion), Alliance bank (T734.2bn) and Temirbank (T154.9bn), the government controlled 70-80% in each of the three banks. With similar credit quality, the yields on these banks’ debt securities moved in sync (see Figure 1.)
The BTA’s 2010 result is much better than the losses of T1.2 trillion and T1.1 trillion reported in 2008 and 2009, respectively. However, quality of the bank’s earnings is still poor. In 2010, BTA received only 54.2% of the accrued interest (T196.9bn) in cash, while Alliance bank received 85.1% of its accrued interest (T44.4bn) in cash. Additionally, according to the local financial regulator data, the difference
between provisions and NPLs as % of gross loans is greater for BTA than for Alliance bank (10.1% vs.
5.1%). These differences in earnings of the two banks led to the recently formed gap in their yields (see Figure 1).
Figure 1. YTM on BTA Jul’25 and Alliance bank’s Mar’17 bonds.
Source: Bloomberg
Going forward, we believe that a possible sale of the government stake to Sberbank of Russia (S&P:
BBB, Moody's: Baa1) may help lower yields on BTA debt and improve its credit ratings. In this scenario, in addition to benefiting from both the new parent’s credit ratings and potential Kazakh government support, BTA bank would gain from Sberbank’s capacity to rehabilitate the Kazakh bank’s business and, when necessary, inject additional equity in BTA.
Bakytzhan Khochshanov
Halyk Finance Weekly Update May 16, 2011
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Oil & Gas
KMG EP withdraws Iraqi bid
According to KMG EP 1Q2011 financial results released on May 10, 2011, the company's revenues grew to $1,308mn, or by 31% QoQ due to a 34% growth in the average realized prices (from $64.6 to $86.6 per bbl). In the first three months of the year, KMG EP earned a net profit of $403mn (+14% QoQ). The positive effect of the oil price growth on net income was partially offset by increases in operating taxes,
production costs and selling, general and administrative expenses. In 1Q2011, the share of results of associates and joint ventures in KMG EP's revenues amounted to $148mn, up from $82mn in the same period of 2010. The company reported an operating cash flow of $317mn, which is 5x higher than in 2010.
A day after releasing 1Q2011 results, KMG EP said it withdrew from participation in Akkas Field Development project in Anbar province, Iraq. As reported earlier, in October 2010, KMG EP, jointly with Korea Gas Corporation (KOGAS), won a tender for development of the gas field. Since then, the
companies had been negotiating details of the contract with the Iraqi government. In February 2011, Iraq's Oil and Gas Ministry announced a second postponement of the contract signing citing an
unresolved dispute between Kazakh-Korean partners and local authorities. The government of Anbar province, where the gas field is located, demanded that KMG EP and KOGAS build new housing and improve living conditions in the province, mostly inhabited by Sunnites. Following the last year's tender, Sunnite leaders warned that foreigners would be able to develop the gas field only if their investment benefits local residents. In its announcement, KMG EP said the parties failed to resolve their
disagreements, but emphasized that the company still believes that Iraq remains attractive for foreign investment.
We have KMG EP under coverage with a target price of $28.4/GDR and a Buy recommendation.
Miramgul Maralova
Max Petroleum continues exploration
On May 16, Max Petroleum announced positive results achieved at an appraisal well at Zhana Makat oil field. The company noted that the well reaches a high-quality reservoir and that its testing will start upon receipt of government approvals. Last week, Max Petroleum reported that, as a part of the post-salt drilling program, the company started drilling an exploration well at Narmundanak South prospect, targeting a deeper, Triassic section. The company also continues exploration drilling at Asanketken ,
after mechanical problems with the rig slowed down progress there. The results of Asanketken, which too targets the Triassic section, will be announced in the next few weeks, after the target depth is reached.
Max Petroleum proceeds with the program of drilling at its post-salt portfolio according to schedule. We expect more news on post-salt drilling results to come out by the end of this month, which should serve as the price catalyst. However, the results of its first pre-salt well will be much more important, we believe. The company plans to start the pre-salt drilling program in August 2011, expecting first results in 1Q2012.
We have Max Petroleum under coverage with a target price of 37GBp per share and a 'Buy' recommendation.
Miramgul Maralova
Tethys updates on Kazakh activities, reports 1Q2011 results
According to 1Q2011 results released by Tethys Petroleum (TSX: TPL) on May 13, in the first three months of 2011, the company's sales doubled to $4.48mn, compared to $2.12mn in the same period of 2010. The net loss narrowed by 21%QoQ to $6.3mn. Cash and cash equivalents increased 17% in 1Q2011.
Last week, Tethys Petroleum also said it has reached total depth at AKD04 appraisal well, drilling of which was started earlier this year. The AKD04 well data shows signs of hydrocarbons at the two geological levels of interest. The company will now complete casing of the well and then proceed with a testing program. Tethys also reported that it continues testing AKD03 exploration well where it
encountered 400bopd. According to the testing results no commercial oil flow was found at Upper
Halyk Finance Weekly Update May 16, 2011
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Jurassic level. Further testing will take place at another Cretaceous level. Finally, Tethys said that in July
2011 it plans to reach total depth at KBD01 exploration well with observed hydrocarbons in the drilled
section.
We do not currently cover Tethys Petroleum. Over the past week Tethys stock lost 4.7% on the news as the company failed to find commercial oil at Upper Jurassic level of AKD03 well. We expect a report on testing results at Cretaceous to serve as a further stock price catalyst.
Miramgul Maralova
Halyk Finance Weekly Update May 16, 2011
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Global Markets
Interest Rates, %
Kazakhstan Russia Ukraine
NBK ref. rate 7.50 CBR ref. rate 8.25 NBU discount rate 7.75
KAZPRIME 1.63 MOSPRIME 4.07 Ukr Interbank Weighted Rate 3.30
Europe USA UK
ECB ref. rate 1.25 Discount rate 0.75 Minimum lending rate 0.50
LIBOR EUR 3M 1.37 LIBOR USD 3M 0.26 LIBOR BP 3M 0.82
Japan China Korea
Basic discount rate 0.30 Base Rate 6.31 Official rate 3.00
Libor JPY 3M 0.20 Shanghai interbank rate 4.50 KORIBOR 3.46
Belarus
NBRB ref. rate 13.00
Exchange Rates
Country¹ Ticker
Spot 3M Forward impl. yield, % Volatility
%
13-May
Change, %
13-May
Change
1W 1M 6M 1Y 1W 1M Impl³ Hist*
Kazakhstan USDKZT 145.80 (0.1) 0.3 (1.2) (0.5) (0.4) 0.2 1.6 4.0 1.2
Russia USDRUB 28.15 1.6 (0.2) (8.8) (6.1) 3.2 (0.1) (0.6) 10.7 7.0
Ukraine USDUAH 7.99 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 7.5 0.8 2.0 9.5 3.8
Belarus USDBYR 3085 1.6 1.1 1.8 3.3 n/a n/a n/a n/a 3.5
Euro² EURUSD 1.41 (1.8) (3.1) 2.7 11.0 (1.0) (7.5) (13.5) 13.2 11.8
UK² GBPUSD 1.62 (1.0) (0.5) 0.5 8.7 (0.5) (4.2) (1.8) 9.8 8.3
Japan USDJPY 80.80 0.2 (3.9) (2.1) (13.1) (0.2) 0.8 (17.1) 11.0 10.9
China USDCNY 6.50 0.1 (0.5) (2.1) (4.8) (2.0) 0.8 (0.7) 2.5 1.4
Korea USDKRW 1087 0.3 (0.1) (3.6) (5.0) 2.6 1.3 0.2 12.4 7.8
Canada USDCAD 0.969 0.3 1.0 (4.2) (4.7) 0.9 1.2 3.9 9.8 8.3
Australia² AUDUSD 1.057 13.1 11.0 4.1 (5.3) (4.6) (4.6) 2.4 13.6 11.1
Turkey USDTRY 1.60 3.4 5.1 10.9 4.9 6.7 13.6 19.5 13.0 11.5
India USDINR 44.9 0.2 0.8 0.1 (0.5) 6.4 0.9 3.3 8.5 5.5
Brazil USDBRL 1.64 1.3 3.1 (5.0) (7.8) 7.9 6.9 13.7 13.1 9.4
UAE USDAED 3.67 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.5 0.0
Malaysia USDMYR 3.00 (0.2) (0.7) (3.7) (6.3) 3.4 2.0 (0.6) 7.7 4.8
¹Source: Bloomberg Price Source:BGN, except for Kazakhstan, and Ukraine CMPN (Composite New York) ²negative value of forward yield means depreciation
³3M ATM Implied volatility, %
*the annualized st.d. of the relative change of closing price for the 90 most recent trading days.
Inflation
Country 2010
Last
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Last
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Kazakhstan 6.3 Apr 11 0.5 8.4
Russia 8.8 Apr 11 0.4 9.6
Ukraine 9.1 Apr 11 1.3 9.4
Belarus 9.9 Mar 11 1.9 13.9
Eurozone 0.9 Mar 11 1.4 2.7
UK 2.9 Mar 11 0.3 4.0
Japan 0.0 Mar 11 0.3 0.0
China 4.6 Mar 11 0.1 5.3
USA 1.4 Mar 11 0.6 2.9
Korea 3.5 Apr 11 0.0 4.2
Canada 2.4 Mar 11 1.1 3.3
Australia 2.7 Apr 11 1.6 3.3
Turkey 6.4 Apr 11 0.9 4.3
India 9.5 Apr 11 0.9 8.8
Brazil 5.9 Mar 11 0.8 6.1
UAE 1.7 Mar 11 -0.2 1.2
Malaysia 2.1 Apr 11 0.1 3.0
Halyk Finance Weekly Update May 16, 2011
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Stock Market Indices
Commodities, USD
Index 13-May 1W,% 1M,% 6M,% 1Y,% Impl.Vol¹ Hist.Vol²
MSCI World 1343 (1.2) 0.3 8.6 16.5 n/a 12.5
NASDAQ 100 2379 (0.2) 2.7 11.3 22.3 19.1 14.8
S&P 500 1338 (0.2) 1.8 11.6 15.6 16.7 12.5
DJ Industrial 12596 (0.3) 2.6 12.5 16.8 15.7 11.6
Russel 2000 836 0.3 1.4 16.2 17.7 28.1 18.2
Russel 3000 800 (0.1) 1.8 12.6 16.6 n/a 12.8
FTSE 100 5926 (0.9) (1.4) 2.2 9.1 16.2 14.4
DAX 7403 (1.2) 3.1 9.9 18.4 19.7 16.7
CAC 40 4019 (1.0) 0.3 4.9 7.7 19.4 16.8
Nikkei 225 9649 (2.1) 0.1 (0.8) (9.1) 21.7 30.3
Shanghai SE comp 2871 0.2 (5.9) (3.8) 5.9 n/a 17.5
Hang Seng 23276 0.5 (3.6) (3.9) 14.0 17.1 16.6
India (BSE) 18531 0.1 (5.9) (8.1) 7.3 22.8 20.5
Malaysia (KLSE) 196 1.4 0.4 5.2 16.1 n/a 10.2
KOSPI 2120 (1.3) (0.1) 10.8 25.1 n/a 16.5
Indonesia (JCI) 3832 0.9 2.6 4.5 34.6 n/a 17.9
Thailand (SET) 1085 3.2 0.0 6.5 41.5 n/a 18.2
Pakistan (KSE 100) 11967 0.7 2.0 10.1 16.4 n/a 15.7
KASE 1638 (0.4) (8.0) (0.6) 2.7 n/a 19.2
RTS 1866 (3.6) (9.5) 15.8 26.4 n/a 21.5
Czech (PX) 1266 0.3 1.3 9.5 3.3 n/a 13.0
Hungary (BUX) 23338 (1.6) (2.3) 5.5 (1.6) 19.7 19.5
Poland (WIG) 2823 (1.6) (3.5) 3.0 14.8 14.0 14.2
Romania (BET) 5719 (1.3) (4.5) 11.0 5.2 n/a 17.0
ISE National 100 64585 (5.4) (5.3) (7.1) 11.5 n/a 23.1
Argentina (Merv) 3378 1.9 (0.9) 5.1 48.1 n/a 18.3
Brazil (LBOV) 63235 (1.8) (4.9) (10.1) (2.4) n/a 17.1
Chile (IPSA) 4851 0.8 4.4 (2.6) 25.3 n/a 16.3
Mexico 35045 (0.5) (6.2) (2.8) 8.4 n/a 12.4
Colombia (IGBC) 14263 3.0 0.0 (5.6) 15.5 n/a 17.5
Eqypt (EGX) 5005 1.4 (5.6) (25.8) (27.6) n/a n/a
UAE (ADSMI) 2673 (0.9) 0.5 (2.8) (4.7) n/a 12.6
South Africa (JALSH) 31960 0.3 (1.2) 0.8 14.0 n/a 17.0
¹3M put implied volatility,%
²the annualized st.d. of the relative change of closing price for the 90 most recent trading days.
Unit 13-May 1W,% 1M,% 6M,% 1Y,% YTD,%
1Y
Futures, % Impl¹ Hist²
Brent bbl 113.8 4.3 (6.9) 29.8 30.5 20.1 (3.5) 45.0 30.8
Copper mt 8769.8 (0.4) (7.6) 1.6 23.0 (9.1) 0.5 33.4 24.2
Lead mt 2300.8 (0.7) (15.8) (7.8) 13.1 (10.2) (0.4) n/a 32.3
Zinc mt 2134.5 0.6 (11.1) (10.0) 0.2 (12.7) 2.4 n/a 29.7
Nickel mt 24398.0 (0.8) (7.1) 7.9 7.5 (1.3) (0.9) n/a 33.4
Aluminium mt 2590.3 (0.5) (1.0) 8.9 20.7 5.3 1.0 n/a 19.7
Uranium lb 52.1 (5.1) 2.2 (13.2) 24.6 (14.6) 13.4 n/a 40.3
Ferroalloy mt 2976.2 0.0 0.0 3.8 (0.7) 3.8 n/a n/a n/a
Steel mt 540.0 (4.3) 0.7 5.7 17.5 (1.5) n/a n/a n/a
Natural gas MMBtu 4.2 0.3 1.0 4.5 (22.6) (3.5) n/a 31.2 31.5
Gold t oz 1495.0 (0.0) 2.6 9.2 21.3 5.2 1.5 n/a 14.2
Silver mt 35.4 (0.6) (12.8) 35.8 82.3 14.5 29.8 n/a 48.0
Wheat mt 254.4 (3.0) (3.6) 10.0 56.8 (5.1) 0.5 39.0 39.5
Corn mt 262.6 (0.4) (9.4) 34.3 91.1 15.9 1.8 36.9 35.9
Sugar bu 21.5 4.8 (9.3) 1.6 35.4 (26.8) 9.0 43.7 41.8
Soybean bu 1329.5 0.3 (1.2) 4.1 38.2 (5.6) 0.6 23.0 25.6
Rough rice bu 14.0 (2.5) 0.3 (5.2) n/a (4.1) (1.3) 28.4 32.3
¹put implied volatility,%
²the annualized st.d. of the relative change of closing price for the 90 most recent trading days
Halyk Finance Weekly Update May 16, 2011
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5 year CDS spreads, bps
Sovereign 13-May 1W 1M 6M 1Y Corporate 13-May 1W 1M 6M
USA 43 (0) 1 2 5 KKB 635 77 77 (141)
UK 55 (3) 2 0 (25) Halyk 344 (46) (30) (27)
Germany 37 (2) (5) (0) (8) DBK 213 3 (1) (44)
France 71 (4) 4 (11) 8 SBER 161 7 11 (31)
Japan 82 0 (3) 24 9 VTB 269 5 9 (48)
China 71 1 (1) 10 3 Bank of Moscow 297 (4) (24) 13
Malaysia 77 (0) 2 1 (10) Kookmin Bank 116 3 2 3
South Korea 97 (0) (2) 9 3 Unicredit 142 (6) (10) (7)
Indonesia 135 1 (5) (5) (28) RBS 158 (6) 2 32
Thailand 120 4 5 19 (9) Citi 125 2 5 (34)
Kazakhstan 145 2 4 (38) (29) HSBC 75 (3) 0 5
Russia 134 4 9 (10) (12) Deutsche 90 1 3 (19)
Ukraine 438 10 12 (86) (135) BNP Paribas 99 3 12 (5)
Czech 77 (1) 0 (7) 1 Credit Agricole 127 (3) 15 (17)
Hungary 247 7 3 (62) 37 Natixis 131 0 (14) (22)
Poland 141 1 3 14 33 Barclays 123 7 14 12
Portugal 584 (15) 74 187 403 Raiffeisen 132 (7) (3) (53)
Romania 227 1 8 (57) 1 Erste 125 (2) 4 (40)
Turkey 159 9 12 26 (8) UBS 86 1 1 (11)
Argentina 590 (2) 37 (55) (306) Credit Suisse 86 0 1 (12)
Brazil 102 (2) (5) (2) (19) Bank of China 121 8 14 (7)
Chile 62 1 2 (14) (27) China Dev. Bank 120 7 13 (8)
Mexico 99 (1) (1) (11) (20) Mitsubishi UFJ 86 3 (7) (2)
Colombia 101 1 2 (3) (45)
UAE 98 (7) (3) 5 (5)
South Africa 121 1 3 3 (20)
Source: Bloomberg Price Source:CBGN (Composite New York), except for DBK, Bank of Moscow, Mitsubishi UFJ and Halyk bank CMAN (CMA New York)
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Source: Bloomberg Price source: CBGN(Composite New York) except for Halyk CMA New York
Halyk Finance Weekly Update May 16, 2011
11
International bonds
Issuer
Issue
size,
mn Curr
Coupon
Issue
date
Matur
date
Price YTM,%
1W change
YTM, bps
6M change
YTM, bps Credit Rating,
Fitch|Moody's
|S&P Type % Bid Ask Bid
Ask
Bid
Ask Bid Ask
Alliance Bank 615 USD Fix 10.5 Mar-10 Mar-17 95.1 95.6 11.7 11.6 77 76 69 68 B-│Caa2│B-
ATF Bank 100 USD Var 10.0 Nov-06 n/a 92.4 94.3 9.4 9.2 (0) (0) n/a n/a N.R.│B1│NR
ATF Bank 350 USD Fix 9.0 May-06 May-16 105.1 106.0 7.7 7.5 (0) 7 10 22 BBB│Ba2│NR
ATF Bank 450 USD Fix 9.3 Feb-07 Feb-14 106.4 106.9 6.7 6.5 (2) 3 (6) (21) BBB│Ba2│NR
ATF Bank 200 USD Fix 9.3 Apr-05 Apr-12 103.5 103.9 5.2 4.8 (8) (9) (10) (7) BBB│Ba2│NR
BTA Bank 2082 USD Var 10.8 Aug-10 Jul-18 93.3 93.8 13.4 13.3 235 231 336 333 B-│N.R.│N.R.
BTA Bank 497 USD Fix 7.2 Aug-10 Jul-25 56.9 57.4 14.4 14.3 251 248 392 387 CC│N.R.│N.R.
CenterСredit 500 USD Fix 8.6 Jan-07 Jan-14 101.5 102.0 8.0 7.8 5 (0) 96 97 B│B2│N.R.
DBK 150 USD Fix 6.0 Mar-06 Mar-26 75.7 110.4 9.0 5.0 0 0 100 (174) BBB-│Baa3│BBB
DBK 100 USD Fix 6.5 Jun-05 Jun-20 90.5 118.8 8.0 4.0 0 0 100 (231) BBB-│Baa3│BBB
DBK 100 USD Fix 7.4 Nov-03 Nov-13 103.1 113.0 6.0 2.0 (0) 0 100 (101) BBB-│Baa3│BBB
DBK 777 USD Fix 5.5 Dec-10 Dec-15 104.7 105.2 4.4 4.2 (2) (4) n/a n/a BBB-│Baa3│BBB
Eurasian Bank 500 USD Fix 7.4 Sep-09 Sep-14 110.2 110.9 4.1 3.9 (12) (11) (80) (81) BBB│A3│BBB
Halyk Bank 700 USD Fix 7.3 May-07 May-17 103.8 104.4 6.5 6.4 10 10 (12) (8) BB-│Ba3│B+
Halyk Bank 300 USD Fix 7.8 May-06 May-13 105.9 106.4 4.6 4.4 10 10 (85) (73) BB-│Ba3│B+
Halyk Bank 500 USD Fix 9.3 Apr-08 Oct-13 110.0 110.5 4.8 4.6 7 2 (73) (77) BB-│Ba3│B+
Halyk Bank 500 USD Fix 7.3 Jan-11 Jan-21 102.3 102.8 6.9 6.8 4 4 n/a n/a BB-│Ba3│B+
INTERGAS 600 USD Fix 6.4 May-07 May-17 105.9 106.9 5.2 5.0 (5) (7) 12 1 BB+│Baa3│BB
INTERGAS 250 USD Fix 6.9 Nov-04 Nov-11 102.5 103.0 1.4 0.4 33 26 (70) (149) BB+│Baa3│BB
KazAtomProm 500 USD Fix 6.3 May-10 May-15 106.6 107.0 4.4 4.3 (15) (12) (15) (19) BBB-│Baa3│N.R.
Kazkom 750 EUR Fix 6.9 Feb-07 Feb-17 93.5 94.0 8.3 8.2 16 16 (32) (32) B-│B2│B
Kazkom 500 USD Fix 7.5 Nov-06 Nov-16 96.2 96.7 8.4 8.3 35 34 (134) (134) B-│B2│B
Kazkom 350 GBP Fix 7.6 Feb-07 Feb-12 100.3 100.5 7.0 6.7 59 59 (266) (266) B-│B2│B
Kazkom 400 USD Fix 7.9 Apr-04 Apr-14 101.2 101.7 7.4 7.2 35 34 (183) (184) B-│B2│B
Kazkom 500 USD Fix 8.5 Apr-03 Apr-13 101.8 102.2 7.5 7.3 36 39 (163) (160) B-│B2│B
Kazkom 250 USD Var 8.5 Jun-07 Jun-17 87.4 87.7 10.2 10.2 (1) 5 (164) (157) CC│B3│CCC+
Kazkom 500 USD Fix 8.0 Nov-05 Nov-15 100.7 101.0 7.8 7.7 27 27 (148) (148) B-│B2│B
Kazkom 200 USD Var 8.6 Jul-06 Jul-16 87.5 87.8 10.4 10.3 10 9 (167) (159) CC│B3│CCC+
Kazkom 100 USD Var 9.2 Nov-05 n/a 79.2 81.9 9.5 9.1 12 (1) (25) (57) CC│Caa1│CCC
Kazkom 300 USD Fix 8.5 May-11 May-18 95.7 96.2 9.3 9.2 51 48 n/a n/a B-e│B2e│B
KazTemZhol 350 USD Fix 7.0 May-06 May-16 110.9 111.6 4.5 4.4 (18) (18) (24) (30) BBB-│Baa3│BBB-
KazTemZhol 700 USD Fix 6.4 Oct-10 Oct-20 105.5 106.3 5.6 5.5 (17) (17) (20) (24) BBB-│Baa3│BBB-
KazakhGold 200 USD Fix 9.4 Nov-06 Nov-13 98.6 99.8 10.0 9.5 0 6 (447) (213) WD│N.R.│N.R.
KMG 1400 USD Fix 8.4 Jul-08 Jul-13 111.3 111.7 2.9 2.7 (5) (6) (162) (162) BBB-│Baa3│BBB-
KMG 1600 USD Fix 9.1 Jul-08 Jul-18 121.9 123.6 5.4 5.1 (7) (15) (94) (109) BBB-│Baa3│BBB-
KMG 1500 USD Fix 11.8 Jul-09 Jan-15 125.7 126.4 4.1 4.0 (11) (14) (130) (129) BBB-│Baa3│BBB-
KMG 1500 USD Fix 7.0 May-10 May-20 110.3 111.0 5.5 5.4 (17) (14) (101) (102) BBB-│Baa3│N.R.
KMG 1250 USD Fix 6.4 Nov-10 Apr-21 105.6 106.4 5.6 5.5 (14) (12) (100) (95) BBB-│Baa3│BBB-
Tengizchev 1100 USD Fix 6.1 Nov-04 Nov-14 105.7 106.6 4.4 4.1 (10) (5) (31) (22) BBB-│Baa3│N.R.
Temirbank 61 USD Fix 14.0 Jun-10 Jun-22 120.1 120.6 10.8 10.8 1 1 (107) (106) B-│N.R.│B
Nurbank 150 USD Fix 9.4 Oct-06 Oct-11 100.0 101.0 9.3 6.8 (2) (12) (785) (686) N.R.│B3│B
ZhaikMunai 450 USD Fix 10.5 Oct-10 Oct-15 103.8 108.6 9.4 8.1 (4) (24) n/a n/a N.R.│B3│B
Price source: CBBT (Composite Bloomberg Bond Trader), BVAL, BGN, KAZA
Halyk Finance Weekly Update May 16, 2011
12
Domestic bonds
Fixed coupon
Debt Instrument
Issue
Size, mn KZT
Coupon Rate, %
Rem
Life, years
Last Trade Current Bid* Current Ask*
Price YTM, % Date Price YTM, % Price YTM, %
AIC-Invest B2 5,000 12.0 0.0 100.3 10.0 05/04/11 100.0 12.0 100.0 10.0
AIC-Invest B3 10,000 12.0 0.3 99.8 12.7 20/04/11 100.0 12.0 100.6 10.0
Almatyenergosbyt B1 900 15.0 4.1 107.9 12.5 11/05/11 106.2 13.0 113.0 11.0
ATF Bank B4 4,500 8.5 3.5 101.5 8.0 13/04/11 98.5 9.0 111.2 5.0
BankCenterCredit B17 5,000 8.5 1.0 99.4 9.0 24/03/11 99.5 9.0 103.4 5.0
Becker&K B1 8,000 10.0 4.7 100.0 10.0 12/04/11 111.9 7.0 130.6 3.0
CentAsian PE Co. B1 20,000 12.5 7.6 84.7 16.0 01/03/11 84.9 16.0 93.1 14.0
Central Asia Cement B1 2,700 9.0 0.2 100.0 9.0 24/03/11 99.1 13.0 100.0 9.0
DBK-Leasing B1 5,000 8.0 4.7 107.0 6.3 08/04/11 106.0 6.5 124.4 2.5
Ekibastusz GRES-1 B1 10,000 12.0 3.6 115.4 7.3 05/03/11 109.1 9.0 115.8 7.0
Eurasian Bank B6 5,000 11.0 4.3 99.7 11.1 13/01/10 103.4 10.0 110.7 8.0
Eurasian Bank B9 35,000 13.0 0.4 115.6 8.7 29/04/11 114.3 9.0 122.5 7.0
Eximbank B1 10,000 9.0 2.5 84.2 17.0 12/05/11 81.7 18.5 88.8 14.5
Eximbank B2 10,000 9.0 1.1 90.8 18.5 29/04/11 91.1 18.5 94.7 14.5
Food Contract B3 15,000 10.5 1.7 103.5 9.0 02/06/10 102.3 9.0 105.5 7.0
Food Contract Corp B2 15,000 8.0 1.8 101.2 7.3 15/04/11 98.3 9.0 103.4 6.0
Halyk Bank B13 5,000 13.0 7.5 115.6 10.0 19/04/11 115.5 10.0 125.0 8.4
Halyk Bank B7 4,000 7.5 3.6 98.2 8.0 07/07/10 96.9 8.5 103.2 6.5
Halyk Bank B9 3,000 7.5 4.1 96.5 8.5 19/04/11 96.5 8.5 103.6 6.5
Kaspi Bank B6 10,000 8.5 4.0 86.2 13.0 19/04/11 86.4 13.0 92.1 11.0
Kaz Mortgage Co B11 5,000 6.9 3.9 83.6 12.0 01/02/11 90.2 10.0 96.4 8.0
Kaz Mortgage Co B18 5,000 11.0 1.5 104.1 8.3 15/04/11 102.8 9.0 105.8 7.0
Kazcat B1 5,000 10.0 1.6 91.4 16.0 25/04/11 91.7 16.0 94.3 16.8
Logicom B2 1,700 11.0 2.6 101.8 10.3 27/01/11 97.8 12.0 107.0 8.0
Mangys Power Distr B3 700 12.0 0.5 103.1 9.0 29/09/10 102.4 7.0 104.6 3.0
Mangys Power Distr B4 500 12.0 1.0 104.7 8.0 12/01/11 104.5 7.0 108.5 3.0
Mangys Power Distr B5 800 16.0 1.7 116.7 7.0 04/02/11 112.8 8.0 120.0 4.0
Mangys Power Distr B6 800 16.0 2.9 121.9 8.0 01/02/11 120.2 8.0 132.3 4.0
Nurbank B2 4,000 9.0 0.1 99.8 10.0 19/04/11 N/A N/A N/A N/A
Nurbank B5 5,000 7.5 5.0 82.2 12.0 12/11/10 80.2 13.0 90.3 10.0
Nurbank B7 10,000 11.0 2.5 100.0 11.0 11/05/11 97.9 12.0 106.6 8.0
Orda Credit B2 1,500 12.0 1.7 97.0 14.0 11/05/11 0.0 0.0 N/A N/A
RG Brands B4 1,500 8.0 0.2 100.5 6.0 27/04/11 99.5 10.0 100.4 6.0
RG Brands B5 1,500 8.0 1.4 97.2 10.0 06/04/11 98.7 9.0 101.3 7.0
RG Brands B6 2,000 8.0 3.4 87.6 12.5 26/04/11 84.1 14.0 86.5 13.2
Samruk-Kazyna b23 75,000 6.5 9.4 105.7 5.7 11/05/11 100.0 6.5 115.1 4.5
Sberbank B4 5,000 9.0 6.3 116.0 6.0 18/02/11 110.0 7.0 134.1 3.0
Temirbank B10 4,500 6.8 5.5 72.0 12.0 17/03/11 67.0 13.0 91.7 9.0
Temirbank B3 2,200 8.0 11.4 62.6 14.8 02/02/11 62.2 15.0 80.7 11.0
Temirbank B4 5,000 9.0 4.1 0.0 0.1 12/01/06 73.1 12.0 100.0 8.0
Temirbank B7 3,000 8.5 4.0 60.1 14.8 28/03/11 59.4 15.0 78.8 11.0
Temirbank B8 3,500 8.5 1.0 0.0 0.1 23/08/06 75.9 12.0 100.0 8.0
Tsesna Astyk B1 3,000 9.0 0.6 90.0 28.6 10/05/11 N/A N/A N/A N/A
Tsesna Bank B2 3,000 9.0 1.2 98.7 10.0 05/03/11 100.0 9.0 102.3 7.0
*As of 5/13/2011
Source: KASE
Halyk Finance Weekly Update May 16, 2011
13
Floating coupon
Debt Instrument
Issue Size,
mn KZT
Coupon
Rate, %
Rem Life,
years
Last trade Current Bid* Current Ask*
Price YTM, % Date Price YTM, % Price YTM, %
ABDI Company B1 9000 8.8 1.7 77.7 27.0 11/5/2011 75.8 29.0 79.8 25.0
Agri Credit Corp.B1 3000 8.3 1.2 100.4 8.0 25/03/2011 99.8 8.5 103.3 5.5
AtamekenAgro B2 11000 10.5 7.2 105.2 10.2 2/3/2011 105.0 10.2 128.8 6.2
ATF Bank B5 13000 9.2 1.0 101.2 8.0 19/04/2011 101.2 8.0 105.2 4.0
ATF Bank B6 13000 8.8 2.8 97.9 8.0 1/2/2011 97.1 10.0 107.1 6.0
ATF Bank B7 15000 8.2 0.5 100.7 8.1 1/7/2010 102.5 4.7 104.4 0.7
BankCenterCredit B10 3000 9.1 4.4 96.3 8.7 29/03/2011 96.8 10.0 111.8 6.0
BankCenterCredit B11 2000 7.7 4.6 98.4 8.1 19/01/2011 89.9 10.5 104.7 6.5
BankCenterCredit B13 4000 9.1 4.9 83.8 11.7 19/03/2010 96.6 10.0 113.0 6.0
BankCenterCredit B14 5000 9.1 5.4 96.3 10.0 19/04/2011 96.3 10.0 114.1 6.0
BankCenterCredit B15 3000 7.7 6.0 93.7 9.0 18/11/2010 96.0 10.0 115.3 6.0
BankCenterCredit B20 3500 7.5 12.5 94.5 8.2 19/01/2011 114.1 8.0 156.6 4.0
BankCenterCredit B4 2000 10.3 0.4 102.0 6.0 11/2/2011 100.4 9.0 101.9 5.0
BankCenterCredit B6 1300 8.2 3.6 94.6 10.0 6/5/2011 94.6 10.0 107.1 6.0
BankCenterCredit B7 2000 7.7 4.0 98.5 8.1 19/01/2011 92.5 10.0 106.0 6.0
BankCenterCredit B8 2000 10.0 4.3 100.0 10.0 28/03/2011 99.6 10.1 114.4 6.1
BankCenterCredit B9 4500 9.1 4.3 98.6 9.5 19/04/2011 98.6 9.5 113.5 5.5
Batys Transit B1 18830 8.6 7.9 95.0 9.5 15/04/2011 95.0 9.5 106.2 7.5
BTA Ipoteka B14 10000 8.7 2.9 55.5 34.0 12/5/2011 n/a n/a n/a n/a
BTA Ipoteka B3 2000 8.3 0.6 99.0 9.8 5/4/2011 n/a n/a 99.9 8.5
BTA Ipoteka B7 4000 8.8 1.2 98.6 10.0 5/4/2011 n/a n/a n/a n/a
BTA Ipoteka B8 7000 8.6 2.3 93.1 12.0 5/4/2011 n/a n/a 99.9 8.6
BTA Ipoteka B9 4000 8.2 4.8 83.3 13.0 11/5/2011 n/a n/a 83.3 13.0
Caspian Beverage H B1 500 12.0 1.9 85.0 22.4 6/5/2011 84.4 23.0 89.6 19.0
Delta Bank B1 3000 8.7 1.4 71.5 32.0 26/01/2011 n/a n/a n/a n/a
ERKA B1 2500 10.0 2.5 102.7 8.9 7/2/2011 100.0 10.0 104.5 8.0
Eurasian Bank B2 3000 7.5 0.6 101.2 6.0 4/2/2011 101.4 5.0 102.5 3.0
Eurasian Bank B3 10000 9.1 1.9 98.5 10.0 12/5/2011 97.6 10.5 101.9 8.0
Eurasian Bank B4 10000 7.8 3.3 93.8 10.0 19/04/2011 93.9 10.0 99.4 8.0
Eurasian Bank B7 5000 8.3 7.7 90.9 10.0 15/04/2011 101.7 8.0 114.0 6.0
Eximbank B3 10000 9.0 4.2 96.5 10.0 14/02/2011 96.6 10.0 103.5 8.0
Halyk Bank B10 5000 7.7 4.5 86.5 11.6 21/04/2011 86.4 10.5 89.6 9.6
Halyk Bank B11 4000 6.4 4.9 91.1 10.5 7/12/2010 95.5 7.5 103.8 5.5
Halyk Bank B12 10000 10.6 6.4 102.8 10.0 11/5/2011 100.4 10.5 121.2 6.5
Imstalconb2 4400 10.6 5.4 99.3 8.9 11/10/2010 98.4 11.0 106.7 9.0
Jairem GOK B2 3900 9.1 1.9 99.8 8.9 21/01/2011 97.5 11.2 105.2 6.7
JP Morgan E1 1320 5.1 4.8 102.3 5.1 7/2/2011 110.9 9.5 119.8 7.4
Kaspi Bank B4 7000 7.6 0.1 100.1 6.0 28/04/2011 100.0 7.0 100.1 5.0
Kaspi Bank B5 3500 8.7 0.7 99.1 10.0 28/04/2011 98.5 11.0 99.8 9.0
Kaspi Bank B7 5000 9.8 7.1 89.7 12.0 11/5/2011 85.5 13.0 94.2 11.0
Kaspi Bank B8 6000 9.3 7.7 130.4 9.0 23/06/2010 121.0 6.0 136.5 4.0
Kaz Mortgage Co B12 5000 6.7 5.9 85.3 10.0 18/03/2011 81.3 12.0 89.0 10.0
Kaz Mortgage Co B16 5000 6.2 5.7 83.6 11.5 13/05/2011 83.6 11.5 89.4 10.0
Kaz Mortgage Co B17 10000 8.4 5.1 93.7 10.0 28/04/2011 88.3 11.5 95.6 9.5
Kaz Mortgage Co B19 5000 10.2 2.2 101.1 10.5 1/2/2011 100.9 10.5 104.8 8.5
Kaz Mortgage Co B2 3000 7.5 2.4 102.3 8.3 5/5/2011 100.8 9.0 105.2 7.0
Kaz Mortgage Co B20 8000 11.0 4.6 103.8 10.0 31/01/2011 107.4 9.0 109.3 8.5
Kaz Mortgage Co B21 10000 8.0 7.6 100.0 8.0 22/04/2011 100.0 8.0 112.1 6.0
Kaz Mortgage Co B3 5000 7.7 2.9 100.7 9.3 5/5/2011 99.0 10.0 104.0 8.0
Kaz Mortgage Co B4 5000 7.2 2.9 98.0 9.9 5/5/2011 97.8 10.0 108.1 6.0
Kaz Mortgage Co B7 5000 6.8 0.4 100.6 5.8 14/02/2011 101.4 5.0 102.2 3.0
Kaz Mortgage Co B8 5000 6.8 3.4 100.6 8.5 28/04/2011 96.3 10.0 102.0 8.0
KazExportAstyk B2 6000 8.7 0.1 101.0 5.0 18/03/2011 100.1 8.0 100.6 4.0
KazInvestBank B1 1250 8.8 1.6 96.5 11.0 3/3/2011 n/a n/a n/a n/a
Kazkommertsbank B4 7000 8.7 3.9 96.0 11.4 19/04/2011 95.7 11.5 108.6 7.5
Kazkommertsbank B5 5500 8.2 4.3 93.0 11.6 6/5/2011 92.7 11.7 106.5 7.7
Kazkommertsbank B6 10000 8.7 6.3 87.1 11.5 17/01/2011 85.5 12.0 103.4 8.0
Kazkommertsbank B7 10000 7.7 7.5 85.2 10.5 31/12/2010 84.8 10.7 105.8 6.7
Kazkommertsbank B8 10000 9.0 7.9 84.8 12.0 19/04/2011 85.4 12.0 106.4 8.0
KazTransCom B2 3000 10.0 1.5 99.6 11.0 8/12/2010 102.3 9.7 104.3 7.8
KedenTransServis B1 5000 8.3 0.9 96.4 12.8 5/5/2011 n/a n/a n/a n/a
KSMK B1 1300 9.9 0.9 47.4 50.0 14/09/2009 n/a n/a n/a n/a
Halyk Finance Weekly Update May 16, 2011
14
KSMK B2 1300 9.9 1.5 54.1 41.3 28/05/2010 n/a n/a n/a n/a
Nurbank B6 5000 7.4 3.7 112.7 4.0 27/12/2010 110.8 6.0 125.9 2.0
Ordabassy B2 12000 8.0 0.5 30.0 n/a 29/03/2011 n/a n/a 70.0 n/a
Sat & C B1 15000 9.8 3.6 94.5 10.5 15/12/2010 99.4 10.0 105.6 8.0
Sberbank B3 3000 8.5 0.5 101.8 5.0 22/04/2011 101.7 7.0 103.6 3.0
Temirbank B18 10000 8.0 8.8 79.2 13.9 4/4/2011 75.0 15.0 93.3 11.0
Tort Kudyk B1 2000 11.5 0.5 103.0 8.1 18/11/2010 101.8 9.7 103.6 5.7
Tsesna Bank B5 3000 8.3 3.1 95.5 10.0 4/5/2011 90.6 12.0 99.0 8.7
Tsesna Bank B6 4000 8.3 4.6 77.9 15.0 28/03/2011 90.5 11.0 101.1 8.0
*As of 5/13/2011
Source: KASE
Halyk Finance Weekly Update May 16, 2011
15
KASE
Stock Ticker Last Price
Weekly
Weighted
Average Price
One week change,%
Volume, last
week, KZT mn
Avg daily
volume,
3mths, KZT mn
Mkt Cap ($mn)
52-week low
52-week high
AktobeMunaiGaz p AMGZp 25000 1.5 161.9 18000 28500
BankCenterCredit CCBN 515 505 4.0 2.6 19.6 138.7 495 673
BTA Bank BTAS 3.5 4 (18.6) 8.6 1.7 1061.8 4 900
ENRC GB_ENRC 2087.6 2090 (0.6) 3.6 1.2 18446.9 1800 2600
Halyk Bank HSBK 355 349 2.9 2.5 8.6 3187.3 250 445
Halyk Bank p HSBKp 168.4 0.0 450.8 168 186
Kazakhmys GB_KZMS 3000 3021 (4.9) 33.4 5.4 11018.5 2155 3800
KazakhTeleCom KZTK 19190 18948 (0.1) 327.3 22.9 1438.3 11800 20850
KazakhTeleCom p KZTKp 9001 9250 0.9 1.5 75.0 6000 9990
Kazcat ZERD 1.4 2.7 29.2 1 3
Kazkommertsbank KKGB 469.7 452 (3.3) 3.3 3.7 2512.0 356 616
Kazkommertsbank p KKGBp 210 0.2 180.1 195 242
KazMunaiGaz RDGZ 19400 19180 2.1 107.3 8.1 9348.0 15155 21000
KZACi p KAZIp 335 335 3.4 0.4 34.5 300 390
MangystauMunaiGaz p MMGZp 9200 1.4 68.8 4000 10450
Rakhat RAHT 1000 0.0 24.7 1000 1300
SAT & Company SATC 71.1 71 5.9 1.5 572.3 70 72
Temirbank TEBN 500 0.0 135.3* 500 500
Temirbank p TEBNp 500 0.0 17.2 200 500
Tort Kudyk TKUDp 9 3.2 4.8 9 9
Tsesna Bank TSBN 865 0.1 121.7 833 970
Ust'-Kam TMC p UTMKp 4440 0.2 3.3 4000 5399
Source: KASE
*Based on the last price of GDR.
Halyk Finance Weekly Update May 16, 2011
16
International Stock Exchanges
Unresolved Greek debt crisis and the increasingly likely monetary tightening in China weighed donw on the international stock and commodity markets. Kazakhstan-based stocks tracked the international markets, with few exceptions.
The large-caps were mostly down: Uranium One (-8%), Cameco (-7.6%), Zhaikmunai (-7.3%), ENRC (-5.3%), Kazakhmys (-4.9%). Among the mid-caps, Kazakhgold GDR lost 11.9% on concerns that the Assaubayev’s will renege on their agreement with Polyus Gold. Frontier Mining (+12.2%) rose on the news of South Benkala project acquisition and the completion of $5mn debt funding. Among the small-
caps, the biggest losers were Kazakhstan Kagazy (-30.6%), Caspian Oil & Gas (-23.5%), Xtract Energy (-11%) and Aurum Mining (-10.6%), while the best performer was Oxus Gold (+9.1%).
Miramgul Maralova
Stock Ticker Crnc 13-May
Volume
of
trade,
5d avg,
USD th
Mkt
cap,
USD
mn
Change, % 52-
week
low
52-
week
high
Primary
Exch. 1W 1M YTD 1Y
ENRC ENRC LN GBp 835.5 28,504 17427 (5.3) (10.2) (20.3) (21.0) 801.0 1127 LSE
Ivanhoe Mines IVN US USD 24.05 32,739 15723 (0.5) (9.9) 4.9 67.8 11.5 29.29 NYSE
Ivanhoe Mines IVN CN CAD 23.30 17,530 15713 (0.1) (9.5) 1.3 57.2 12.4 28.98 TSX
Kazakhmys KAZ LN GBp 1213.0 39,427 10516 (4.9) (13.9) (24.8) (1.9) 955.5 1700 LSE
Cameco CCO CN CAD 25.44 63,824 10358 (7.6) (6.0) (36.9) (1.8) 21.6 44.28 TSX
Cameco CCJ US USD 26.24 95,624 10357 (7.6) (6.8) (35.0) 4.6 20.7 44.81 NYSE
KMG E&P GDR KMG LI USD 20.80 9,321 8750 (2.9) (8.3) 4.9 (4.2) 17.0 24.93 LSE
Centerra Gold CG CN CAD 19.15 15,454 4660 3.0 11.7 (3.5) 59.6 10.5 23.23 TSX
Dragon Oil DGO LN GBp 525.0 3,450 4387 0.6 (9.5) (2.4) 19.3 361.8 614 LSE
Uranium One UUU CN CAD 3.80 43,511 3752 (8.0) (0.5) (21.0) 65.9 1.6 7.02 TSX
Halyk Bank GDR HSBK LI USD 9.50 538 3107 0.2 (7.3) (5.5) 13.4 6.8 12.58 LSE
KKB GDR KKB LI USD 6.55 9 2552 (1.5) (11.4) 10.1 (6.4) 4.7 8.70 LSE
Zhaikmunai GDR ZKM LI USD 10.61 296 1963 (7.3) (16.8) (13.7) 24.8 5.5 13.60 LSE
Kazakhtelecom ADR KZTA GR EUR 6.00 2 1388 0.8 0.8 0.0 33.3 3.9 6.90 DAX
Tethys Petroleum TPL CN CAD 1.21 700 325 (4.7) (17.7) (24.8) (34.9) 1.2 2.19 TSX
Max Petroleum MXP LN GBp 16.00 794 239 (3.0) (8.6) (12.3) (11.1) 9.0 29.50 LSE
KazakhGold KZG LI USD 1.85 9 221 (11.9) (26.0) (52.6) (76.9) 1.8 8.24 LSE
Victoria Oil & Gas VOG LN GBp 5.20 2,141 177 (7.1) 1.4 (7.1) 67.7 2.5 6.95 LSE
Kentor Gold KGL AU AUD 0.13 282 146 0.0 (18.8) (27.8) 71.1 0.0 0.20 ASE
Temirbank GDR T3M GR EUR 9.60 n/a 136 0.0 8.3 (7.7) (2.5) 4.9 11 n/a
Steppe Cement STCM LN GBp 43.25 42 125 0.0 (1.7) (19.2) (35.0) 40.0 67.8 LSE
Frontier Mining FML LN GBp 4.13 210 124 12.2 (26.6) (44.9) (26.6) 3.6 9.00 LSE
Chagala Group GDR CHGG LI USD 3.30 n/a 70 0.0 (8.3) (2.9) (4.3) 3.0 4.00 LSE
Sunkar Resources SKR LN GBp 26.00 157 67 (3.7) (10.3) (38.1) (78.3) 16.8 52 LSE
Alhambra Resources ALH CN CAD 0.58 32 62 1.8 (34.1) (38.9) 93.3 0.2 1.20 Venture
Hambeldon Mining HMB LN GBp 4.88 16,349 59 0.0 8.4 (32.9) (5.6) 4.1 8.50 LSE
Kryso Resources KYS LN GBp 13.88 98 57 0.0 (7.5) (17.1) 29.1 8.4 19.75 LSE
BMB Munai KAZ US USD 0.97 88 54 1.0 1.6 12.8 9.4 0.5 1.22 NYSE
Manas Petroleum MNAP US USD 0.43 64 54 (7.6) (24.1) (29.2) (34.6) 0.4 0.70 OTC BB
Xtract Energy XTR LN GBp 3.25 172 46 (11.0) (16.2) (18.8) 116.7 1.0 5.48 LSE
Orsu Metals OSU CN GBp 15.75 6 40 5.0 (6.0) (27.6) (1.6) 10.5 26.50 LSE
Orsu Metals OSU LN CAD 0.23 35 37 (2.2) (6.2) (33.8) (10.0) 0.2 0.40 TSX
Caspian Energy CEK CN CAD 0.20 37 35 (9.1) (23.1) (9.1) 5.3 0.1 0.26 LSE
Roxi Petroleum RXP LN GBp 4.63 11 32 0.0 (13.9) (21.3) (46.3) 4.1 13.25 LSE
Caspian Oil & Gas CIG AU AUD 0.01 205 18 (23.5) 0.0 85.7 30.0 0.0 0.02 ASE
Centr. Asia Resources CVR AU AUD 0.05 4 16 0.0 6.7 65.5 20.0 0.0 0.06 ASE
Caspian Services CSSV US USD 0.16 0 8 3.2 0.0 6.7 (57.9) 0.1 0.40 OTC BB
Oxus Gold OXS LN GBp 1.20 54 8 9.1 (14.3) (77.1) (85.4) 0.7 9.75 LSE
Shalkiya Zinc SKZ LI USD 0.14 n/a 8 0.0 (22.2) (6.7) (30.0) 0.1 0.40 LSE
Aurum Mining AUR LN GBp 3.13 26 6 (10.6) (13.8) (45.6) (94.0) 1.2 16.50 LSE
Kazakh. Kagazy GDR KAG LI USD 0.05 1 5 (30.6) (68.8) (80.0) (72.2) 0.1 0.25 LSE
Caspian Holdings CSH LN GBp 0.48 6 3 (2.0) (9.4) (22.6) (26.2) 0.3 0.75 LSE
All quotes in local currency, unless otherwise noted
Sources: Bloomberg, Halyk Finance
Halyk Finance Weekly Update May 16, 2011
17
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Macro Sabit Khakimzhanov, 7 (727) 244-6541 [email protected] Madina Kurmangaliyeva, 7 (727) 330-0157 [email protected] Financial Sector. Fixed Income Securities Bakytzhan Khochshanov 7 (727) 2446-984 [email protected] Sabina Amangeldi, 7(727) 344-6986 [email protected]
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