GURHAN UCAROGLU | Architect M.Sc. | born 1984 in … filea full-scholarship from Royal Dutch/ Shell....

GURHAN UCAROGLU |

pORtfOLiO

GURHAN UCAROGLU | Architect M.Sc. | born 1984 in Ankara, Turkey

Born in Ankara, in 1984, he received his

Bachelor’s from Middle East Technical

University in 2006 with Honor Degree.

In 2009, he received his Master’s from

Delft University of Technology in the

Netherlands, where he was awarded

a full-scholarship from Royal Dutch/

Shell. He has worked in offices in the

Netherlands and Turkey, on projects of

diverse types and scales. Throughout this

time, he has been actively involved in

every stage of architectural projects from

sketch-design to detailing and finishings.

A LiteRAL iNteRveNtiON iN HAvANA2009 | M.Sc. Thesis | urban system of small-scale architectural elements | plywood and steel

To produce space in a peculiar context where the architect could not operate by building or restoring,

‘implantation’ became a convenient and strong metaphor...

intervention axonometric

plan-axonometric +6.00

This story begins with the identification of a ‘potential’ in Centro Habana: A potential released by the weaknesses and the

inconsistencies of the built environment. Over-populated buildings of Centro Habana are falling apart as the chances for

regeneration fade out more and more everyday. However life is getting more vibrant in between the ruins of the city... A creative

potential emerges out of this tension between the society and the buildings. This is an experiment investigating the probability of

materializing this potential. Therefore it needed to be persistent in confronting the constraints of this stagnant context. By means

of this one could start thinking about producing space within space, places within places…

The outcome of this experiment was

a system of small-scale architectural

elements which generate

transformation on the urban-scale.

‘Implants’ are cocoon-like rooms,

formed in-between the Spanish

Colonial houses. ‘Nexus’ are series

of ramps and stairs that link the

implants to each other, to the streets

and to the courtyards. A new set of

spatial codes are developed in this

system via an analysis of the present

ones. Unlike their predecessors

these new codes are designed

to allow for possible necessity of

transformations in the future.

BAmBOOx | 2008 | M.Sc.2 | modular prefab system

BamBoox is a generic system of prefab bamboo containers. Programmatic elements (rooms) are treated as independent spatial units

with modular attributes. This allows for the containers to be used singular or in a variety of multiple arrangements. Different sizes of

containers are prefabricated via simple techniques of weaving, hot-bending, and wire-lacing. The design is inspired by traditional cane

basketry. The woven surfaces improve structural integrity while featuring the peculiar tectonic qualities of bamboo as a raw material.

04. first woven layer

10. double facade

16. lateral load transfer

03. steel wire lacings


15. bamboo containers

02. timber joints

08. moisture protection

14. double facade

01. hot bending

07. precast foundation


06. bamboo container

12. PET fire retardants

18. four-storey mixed-use

05. second woven layer

11. bamboo containers

17. PET fire retardants

stReet ARt pARk | 2007 | M.Sc.1 | 11.680m2 | in-situ concrete

gestures derived from graffiti

01. approach nodes

09. extrusion 10. shrinkings 11. contortions

02. shortcuts 03. obstacles 04. magnitudes

‘Walls’ are used as the principal design element in this project. They are intended to attract graffiti artists, skaters, dancers,

and other kinds of street performers. The functional and tectonic dynamics of the context helped the formation of a design

methodology that is unique for this case.

05. imprint

11. contortions 12. burstings 13. fillings

06. islands 07. borders 08. uses

As a result, this public space generates strong relationships with its surroundings as well as introducing sharp contrasts. This

park connects the cultural and commercial activities in the environment, in a place where surprising experiences can easily occur

any time for the passersby.

ARtist’s ResideNCe iN A CHApeL | 2010 | Loxodrome | €100.000

programmatic demands of the client volumetric adaptation

CREATE WORK LIVE SLEEPWORKCREA

TE

LIVE

SLEE

P

impression of the artist’s atelier (mezzanine) impression of the artist’s office ground floor plan >

ANse sHOppiNG CeNtRe | 2007 | Kartallar Group | $70.000.000 | 67.600m2 | in-situ concrete

Enveloping the retail spaces around a central common-area contributes to a more pleasant experience for the visitor.

Unlike the conventional concept of mall, here, the most of the space is left for daylight, air, and visual access. This would remind

one the traditional Turkish bazaar and the caravanserai, as well as the European arcade. The particular building codes on this

location asked for two separate buildings which were proposed to be connected with a public-deck and glass bridges. These

connections create a comforting experience as they provide visual access to the nearby young forest.

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N.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIP

1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RE

CREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREA

TION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTI

ONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPH

ERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.

1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+REC

REATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+REC

REATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1

990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DI

RECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATI

ON.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.

RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTI

ONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECRE

ATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIOAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERI

PHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERI

PHERY:TIES+DIRECTI ONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIE S+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS

+RECRE ATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PER IPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION/1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DI

RECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERI PHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRE CTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990. PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PE RIPHERY:TIES+DIR ECTIONAL.STR IPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS +RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.ST RIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHER

Y:TIES +DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPH

ERY:TIES+DIREC

1990.TRANSITION.

ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE

.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RE

SIDENTIA

L+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.R

ESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.

1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREAT

I

ON.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RE

CREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECR

EATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.199

0.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE. RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECRE

ATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREA

TION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.

TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRA

NSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESI

DENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECR EATION.1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.19

90.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATI

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90.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.1990.TRANSITION.Z

ONE.RESIDENTIAL+RECREATION.

1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.RESID

ENTIAL+RECREATION.199

0.TRANSITION.Z

ONE.RE

1990.M

AIN.GREEN.SYSTEM.1990

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1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+

LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+

LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LAN

DSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE

.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES

.1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL

+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LANDSC

APE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+

LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURA

L+LANDSCAPE.RESOURCES.1990.NATURAL+LAN

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mu

multiple

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usin

g.multiple.

multi

ple.family.h

ousing.multiple.fa

mily.housi

multip

middle.class.houses

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.middle.class.houses.middle.class.houses.middle.

class.houses.middle.class.houses.middle.cla ss.houses.middle.class .houses.middle.class .

houses.middle.class.houses.middle.class.houses.middle.class.hou

midd

le.class.h

ouses.middle.class.h

ouses.middle.class.houses.mid

dle.class.houses.middle.class.houses.middle.cl

ass.houses.middle.class.houses

.middle.class.hous es.middle.class.

house s.middle.class.houses.middle.class.houses.

middle. class.houses.middle.cla ss.hous es.midd

le. class.hous

middle.class.ho uses.middle.class.houses.middle.class.houses.middle.class.houses.middle.class.houses.middle.cla

ss.houses.midd

singl

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sing l

singl

single.family.housing.single.family.housing.single.family.housing.single.family.housing.sing le.fa

UN.wors

t.housing.UN.worst.housing.UN.worst.housing.UN.worst.housing.UN.worst.hous in

gUN.worst.h

UN.worst.housing.UN.worst.housing.UN.worst.h

UN.wor

UN.worst.housing.UN.worst.housing .UN.worst.h

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g.UN.worst.housing.UN.worst.housing.UN.worst.housing.UN.worst.housing.U N.worst.housin g.U

N.worst.housing.UN.worst.housing.UN.w orst.housing.UN.worst.hou s ing.UN.wo

UN.worst.housing.UN.worst.housin g.UN.worst.h ous

ing.UN.w orst .housin g.UN.w orst.housing.UN. worst.housing.UN. wors

t.housing.UN.worst.housing.UN.worst

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ng.UN.worst.housing.UN.worst.housing.UN.worst.h ousing.U

N.worst.housing.UN.worst.housing.UN.worst.housing.UN.worst.housing.UN.worst.housing.UN.worst.hous

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ing.

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subdivided.colonial.house.subdivided.colonial.house.sub

subdi

vided.colonial.house.subdivided.colonial.house.subdivided.c olonial.house.subdivided.colonial.

subdivided.colonial.house.subdivided.colonial.house.subdivided. colonial .house.subd ivided.colonial.house.subdivided.colonial.house.su

aff

luent.neigh

bourhood.affluent.

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.

1963/71/84/90.INVESTMENT/DEVELOPMENT.1963/84.LIMITATION.DECENTRALIZATION.1963/71/84/90.PRESERVATION/REHABILITATION.1971.INDUSTRIAL.MICRODISTRICT. 1971/84 TRANSPORTATION PROJECTS

C:SUBCENTER

1990 TOURISTIC STRIP 1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.1990.PERIPHERY.1990.MAIN.GREEN.SYSTEM.

OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.

middle.class.houses.single.family.housing.multiple.family.housing.UN.worst.housing.subdivided.colonial.house.

affluent.neighbourhood.

gera

ldin

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ting

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gur

han

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ogluha

vana

socio

political

+

HAvANA sOCiO+pOLitiCAL mAp | 2008 | M.Sc.3

featured exhibitions:. Havana Mappings Exhibition, Delft University of Technology, 2009

. Transformations in the (Post-)Socialist Cities Kiev and Havana’ - 4th

International Architecture Biennale Rotterdam//Parallel Cases, 2009

This map evolved through the effort of understanding the city’s complexity; its social structure, political mechanisms, and the

reciprocal influence between these spheres over the past. Achieving a layer of clarity in the representation of the collected

information was the main challenge. Typography was chosen as the notation tool to deal with the multifold nature of the

collected information. The result became more than just a superimposed mass of text: It is a ‘tool’ that helps revealing the

intangible realities of Havana.

OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANT

Y.TOWNS.

OLD.SHAN

TY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TO

WNS.OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TO

WNS.OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TO

WNS.OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHAN

TY.TOWNS.OLD.SHA

OLD.SH

ANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.

OLD.SHANTY.TOW


OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY

OLD.SHANT

OLD.SH

OLD.SOL

D.SHANTY.TOWNS.

OLD.SHANTY.TO

WNS.OLD.S

OLD.SHA

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OLD.SHA

OLD.SHAN

OLD.SHANT

OLD.SH

OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TO

WNS.OLD.SHANT

OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OL

OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TO

OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.

OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHAN

OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.

OLD.SHANTY

OLD.S

OLD.SHA

OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.

OLD.SHA

NTY.T

OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.O

LD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TO

OLD.SH

ANTY.TO

OLD.SHANTY.

TOWNS.

OLD.SHANTY.TOW

OLD.

SHAOLD.

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OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.

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OLD.SHANTY

OLD.SHA

OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.OLD.SHANTY.TOWN

63.

PRE

1963.PRESER VA

TION.REHABILITATION.PARQUE.METROPOLITANO.1963.PRESER

VATION.REHABILITATION.PARQUE.METROPOLITANO

.1963.PRESERVATION.REHABILITATION.PARQUE.M ETROPOLITANO.1963.P

RESERVATION.REHABILITATION.PARQUE.ME

TROPOLITANO.1963.PRESERVATION.R

63.SANITARY.LANDFILL.SANITA

19

63.P

RESERVATIO

N.REH PRES

ERVATION.REHABI

LI

1963.LIMITA

TION.DECENTRALIZATION.1

963.LIMITATION.DECENTRALIZATION.1963.

LIMITATION.DECENTRALIZATION.1963.LIMITATION.D

EC EN TRALIZATION.1963.LIMITATION.DECENTRALIZA

TIO N.1963.LI MITATION

.DE C ENT RALIZATION.1963.LIM ITATION.DE CENTRALIZATION.1963.LIMITATION. DECENTRALI

ZATION.1963.LIMITATI ON.DECENTRALIZATION.1 963.LIMIT

ATION.DECE NTRALIZATION.1963.LIMI TATI

ON.DE

1963.LI

MITATION.DECENTRALIZATION.1963.LIMIT

ATION.DECE

1963.LIMI

TATION.DECENTRALIZATION.1963.LIMITATION.DECENTRALIZATION.1963

1963.LIMI

TATION.DECENTRALIZATION.1

963.LIMITATION.DECENTRALIZATION.19

63.LIMITATION

1963.NON-CONTIGUOUS.DEVELOPMENT.1963.NON-CONTIGUOUS.DEVELOPMENT.1963.NON-

1963.NON-CONTIGU

OUS.DEVELOPMENT.1963.

1963.NON-CON

TIGUOUS.DEVELOPMENT.1963.NON-CONTIGUOUS.DEVELOPMENT.1963.

NON-CONTIGUOUS.DEVELOPMENT.1963.NON-CONTIGUOUS.DEVELOPMENT.1

963.NON-CONTIGUOUS.DEVELOPMENT.1963.NON-CON TIGUOUS.DEVELOPMENT.1963.NON-CONTIGUOUS.DEVELOPMENT.1

963.NON-CONTIGUOUS.DEVELOPM ENT.1963.NON

-CONTIGUOU

1963.N

ON-CONTIGUOUS.DEVELOP

MENT.1963.NON-CONTIGUOUS.DEVELOPMENT.1963.NON-CONTIGUOUS.DE

VELOPMENT.1963.NON-CONTIGUOUS.D

EVELOPMENT.1963.NON

-CON

1963.NON-CONTIG

1971.PRESERVATION.

1971.PR

1971.FRE

EING.UP.DOCKS

INDUSTRI

197

1.SPE

CIAL.PLANNING.DIST

RICT.1 971.SPECIAL.PLANNI NG.DISTRICT.1971.

SPECIAL. PLANNING.DISTRICT. 1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRIC T.1971.SPE

CIAL.PLANNING.DIS TRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLAN NING.DISTR

ICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLAN

NING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.

DISTRICT.1971.SPECI

1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971

.S

1971.S

PECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRIC

T.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.

PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DIST

RICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANN

ING.DISTRICT.19

1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNI

NG.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNIN

G.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLA

NNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECI

AL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971

.SPECIAL.PLANNING.

DIS

1971.SPECIAL .PLAN

NING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNIN

G.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLAN

NING.DIST

1971.SPEC

IA L.PLANNIN G.DIST

RICT.19 71.SPECI AL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.

PLANN ING.DISTRICT.

1971.SPECIAL.PLAN

NING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.

1971.SPECIAL

.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DIS

TRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.19

71.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.

PLANNIN

1971.SP

ECIAL.PLANNIN

G.DISTRICT.1971.S

PECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.19

1971.SPECI

AL.PLAN NING.DISTRICT.1971.SPE CIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.197 1.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT. 1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT .1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1 971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971 .SPECIAL.

PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.S PECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.197 1.SPECI

AL.PLANNING.DISTRICT. 1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRI CT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRIC T.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPEC

IAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.P

LANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971

.SPECIAL.PLAN

1971.SPECIA

L.PLANNING.DISTRICT.1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DI

1971.SPECIAL.PLANNING.DISTRIC

T.1971.S

INDUSTRIAL.MICRODIST RICT.I

N

INDUSTRIAL.MIC

RODISTRICT.INDUSTRIAL.MICRODISTRICT.INDUSTRIAL.MICRODISTRICT.INDUSTRIAL.MICR

ODISTRICT.INDUSTRIAL.MICRODISTRICT.INDUSTRIAL.MICRODISTRICT.INDUSTRIAL.MICRODISTRICT.I

NDUSTRIAL.MICRODISTRICT.INDUSTRIAL.MICRODIS

TRICT.IND

INDUSTRIAL.MICRODISTRICT.INDU

STRIAL.MICRO

INDUSTRIAL.MICRO

DISTRICT.INDUSTRIAL.MI

CRODISTRICT .INDUSTRIAL.MI

CRODISTRIC

INDUSTRI I

NDUSTRIAL.MIC

RODISTRICT.IN

INDUST

RIAL.MICRODISTRICT.INDUSTRIA

L.MICRODISTRICT.INDU

STRIAL.MIC

INDUSTRI

INDUSTRIAL.MICRODIS

TRICT.INDUSTRIAL.MICRODISTR

ICT.INDIN

DUSTRIAL.MICR

ODIST

INDUSTRIAL.MICR

INDUSTRIAL.MICROIN

DUSTRIAL.MIC

INDUSTRIAL.

MICI

NDUSTRIA

L.MICR

INDUSTRIAL.MICROD

ISTRICIN

DUSTRIAL.M

INDUSTRIAL.MICRODI

S TRICT.IN

INDUSTRIA

L.MICRODISTRICT.IND

INDU

INDUS

INDUSTRIAL.MIC

RODIST

INDUSTRIAL.

MICRINDUSTRIAL.

INDUSTRI

INDUSTRIAL.

MICRODISTR

INDUS

TRIAL.MICRODISTRICT.INDU

STRIAL.MICRO

INDUSTRI

INDUST

RIAL INDUSTRIAL.MICRODISTRICT.I

ND USTRIA L.MICRO DI

IND

INDU INDU

STRI

INDUSTRI

INDUSTRIAL.MIIN

DUSINDUS

INDUST

1971.MICROBRIGADES.1971.MI


1.MICROBRIGADES.1971.MICROBRIGADES.1971.MICROBRIGADES.

1971.MICROBRIGADES.1971.MICROBRIGADES.1971.MICROBRIGADES.1971.MICROBRIG

ADES.1971.MICROBRIGADES.1971.MICROBRIGADES.1971.MICROBRIGA

DES.197

197

1.MICROBRIGADES.1971.MICR

OBRIG

1971.EXPOCUB

A.197

1971.MI

CROBRIGADES.1971.MICROBRIGADES.1971.MICROBRIGA

197

1.MICROBRIGADES.

1971.MICROBRIGADES.1971.

1971.DEVELOPMENT.

OF.THE.PORT.1971.DEVELOPMENT.OF.THE.PORT.

1971.DEVELOPMENT.OF.THE.PORT.

1971.MICROBRIGADES.1971.MIC

1971.

MICR1971. MI


1.MICROBRIGADES.1971.MICROBRIGADES.1971.MICROBRIGADES.1971.MICROBRIGADES.1971.MICROBRIGADES.1971.MICROBRIGADES.1971.MICROBRIGADES.19

71.MICROBRIGADES.1971.MICROBRIG

1971 TR

ANSP

ORTATION NODE

1971 EAST-WEST HIGHWAY 1971 EAST-WEST HIGHWAY 1971 EAST-WEST HIGHWAY 1971 EAST-W

EST HIGHWAY 1971 EAST-W

EST HIGHWAY 1971 E

AST-WEST HIGHWAY 1971 EAST-WEST HIGHWAY 1971 EAST-WEST HIGHWAY 1971 EAST-WEST HIGHWAY 1971 EAST-WEST HIGHWAY 1971 EAST-WEST HIGHWAY 1971 EAST-WEST

1971 AUTO PISTA NACIONAL 1971 AUTOPISTA NACIONAL 1971 AUTOPISTA NACIONAL 1971 AUTOPISTA NACIONAL 1971 AUTOPISTA

C

CC

C C

CC

C

C CC

CCC

C

C

C

1984.

PRESERVIN

G.WATERSHED.BASI N.1984.

PRESERVING.WATERSHED.B ASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.P RESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.P

RESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERS

HED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.198 4.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WAT

ERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESE RVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.

WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WAT

ERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESERVING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESER

VING.WATERSHED.BASIN.1984.PRESE

1984.AVOID.

AIRPORT.1984.AVOID.AIRP

ORT.1984.AVOID.AIRPORT.1984.

AVOID.AIRPORT.1984.AVOID.AIRPOR

T.1984.AVOID.AIRPORT.1984.AVOID.AIRPO

RT.1984.AVOID.AIRPORT.1984.AVOID.AIRPORT.1

984.AVOID.AIRPORT.1984.AVOID.AIRPO

RT.1984.AVOID.AIRPORT.1984.AVOID.AIRPOR

1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINI

NG.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINT

1984.MAINTAINING.FERTI

LE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.

1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAN

D.1984.MAINTAINING

1984.MAINTAINING.F

ERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.19

84.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.198

4.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984

.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTIL

E.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTIL

E.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINI

NG.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTA

INING.FERTILE.LA ND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.198 4.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LA

ND.1984.M AINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAN

D.

1984.

MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.

LAND.1984.MAINTAINING

.FERTILE.LA

1984.MAINTAINING.FE

RTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.198

4.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LA

ND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LA

ND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MA

INTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.L

AND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.M

AINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1

984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE

.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE.LAND.1984.MAINTAINING.FERTILE

1984

EAST

-WES

T ALIG

NMEN

T 19

84 EAST-W

EST ALIGNMENT 1984 EAST-WEST ALIGNME NT

1984

1984 E

AST-WEST ALIGNMENT 1984 EAST-WEST ALIGNMENT 1984 EAST-WEST ALIGNMENT 1984 EAST-WEST ALIGNMENT 1984 EAST-W



EST ALIGNMENT 1984 EAST-WEST ALIGNMENT 1984 EAST-WEST ALIGNMENT 1984 EAST-WEST ALIGNMENT 1984 EAST-WEST ALIGNMENT 1984 EAST-WEST ALIGNMENT 1984 EAST-WEST ALIGNMENT 19

84 EAS

T-WES

T AL

IGNM

ENT

1990.COMPACTING.1990.COMPACTING.1990.COMPACTING.1990.COMPACTING.1990.COMPAC

1990.COMPACTING.1990.COMPA

1990.COMPACTING.199

0.COMPACTING.1990.COMPACTING.1990.COMPACTING.1990.COMPACTI

NG.1990.COMPACTING.1990.COMPACTING.1990.COMPACTING.

1990.COMPACTING.

1990.CO

MPACTING.1990.COMPACTING.1990.COMPACTING

.1990.COMP

1990.MAINTAI

NING.COMPACTING.1990.MAIN

TAINING.COMPACTING.1990.MAINTAINING.COMPACTING

.1990.MAINTAINING.C

1990.INVESTM

ENT

1990.MAINTAINING.COMPA CTING.1990.MAINTAININ G.COMPACTING.1990.MAINTAINI NG.COMPACTING.1990.MAINTAINING.COMPACTING.

1990.MAINTAINING.COMPACTING.1990.MAINTAINING.COMP

ACTING.1990.MAINTAINING.COMPACTING.1990.MAI

NTAIN

1990.MAINTAINING.COMPAC

TING.1990.M

1990.MAINTAINING.COMPA

CTING.1990.MAINTAINING.COMPA

CTING.1990.MAINTAIN ING. C

O

1990.MAINTAINING.COMPACTING.199

0.MAI

NT AINING.COMP

1990.MAINTAINING.CO

MPACTING.1990.MAINTAINI

1990.MAINT

AINING.CO

1990.MAINTAINING.COMPACTING.1990.M

1990.MAINTAININ

G.COMPACTING.1990.MAINTAINI

NG.COMPACTING.1990.MAINTAINI

NG.COMPACTING.1990.MAINTAINING.COMPACTING.1990.MAINTAININ G.COMPA

1990.MAINT

AINING.COMPACTIN

G.1990.MAINTAINING.CO

MPACTING.1990.MAINTAINING.COMPACTING.1990.MAINTAININ

1990.MAI

NTAINING.COMPACTING.1990.MAINTAINING.COMP

ACTING.1990.MAINTAINING.COMPACTING.1990.MAINTAINING.COMPACTING.1990.MAINTAINING.CO

MPACTING.1990.MAINTAINING.COM

PACTING.1990.MAIN

TAINING.COMPACTING.1990

.MAINTAINING.COMPACTING.

1990.SCI.CEN

TER.

1990.RESEARCH.

1990.PABEXPO

1999.MEDICINE.SCHOOL

CENTER.

ON.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHE RY:TIES+D IRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+REC

REATION.1990.PERIP HERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TI ES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1

990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATI ON.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RE

CREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RE

N.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIP

1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RE

CREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREA

TION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTI

ONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPH

ERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.

1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+REC

REATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+REC

REATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1

990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DI

RECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATI

ON.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.

RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTI

ONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECRE

ATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIOAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERI

PHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERI

PHERY:TIES+DIRECTI ONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIE S+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS

+RECRE ATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PER IPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION/1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DI

RECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERI PHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRE CTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990. PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PE RIPHERY:TIES+DIR ECTIONAL.STR IPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.STRIPS +RECREATION.1990.PERIPHERY:TIES+DIRECTIONAL.ST RIPS+RECREATION.1990.PERIPHER

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1963/71/84/90.INVESTMENT/DEVELOPMENT.1963/84.LIMITATION.DECENTRALIZATION.1963/71/84/90.PRESERVATION/REHABILITATION.1971.INDUSTRIAL.MICRODISTRICT. 1971/84 TRANSPORTATION PROJECTS

C:SUBCENTER

1990 TOURISTIC STRIP 1990.TRANSITION.ZONE.1990.PERIPHERY.1990.MAIN.GREEN.SYSTEM.

OLD.SHANTY.TOWNS.

middle.class.houses.single.family.housing.multiple.family.housing.UN.worst.housing.subdivided.colonial.house.

affluent.neighbourhood.

gera

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ogluha

vana

socio

political

+

PO

PU

LATI

ON

TEM

PER

ATU

RE

SEA

LEV

ELS

RES

OU

RC

ES

1970

1960

1980

1940

1930

1920

1910

207020

3020

9020

8020

6020

5020

402020

2010

1990

CO

2

C (relative to 1990)o

1931

1900 21

0020

0019

5018

00 2008

1900 21

0020

0019

5018

00 200819

7019

6019

8019

4019

3019

2019

1020

702030

2090

2080

2060

2050

204020

1019

90

billion

C

cm (relative to 1990)

30

12

14

16

6

8

10

4

2

10

15

5

2

1

0

60

40

50

20

10

0

-10

30

3

4

20

25

o

-1

BtC/y (man-made emissions)

billion

C


30

12

14

16

6

8

10

4

2

10

15

5

2

1

0

60

40

50

20

10

0

-10

30

3

4

5

20

25

o

-1


IPCC 4th Assesment Report

Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center

BP Statistical Review of World Energy June

Douglas (1997) & Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level

The World at Six Billion - UNITED NATIONS

S2007

SHELL 2007

FOOD PRODUCTIONNATURAL RESOURCESSIMMONS 2008

TOTAL 2006

ONLY BY OIL

CLUB OF ROME

NATURAL RESOURCES

FOOD PRODUCTION

WORLD OIL PRODUCTION

2012refugees to US & Mexico

from Caribbeansno collapse

2020s1st bionicolympics

2010border skirmishes and conflict

mass migration to Myanmar

2020s

203010% POPULATION MIGRATED

Asia - North America - northern Europe≈15°C drop

Australia - South America - southern Africa≈15°C increase

NATIONAL SECURITYborder management

global conflicteconomic malaise


BUILD DEFENSIVE FORTRESSESto protect resources and reserves

UNLIKELY ALLIANCES MAY OCCURresources for survival rather than

religion, ideology, nationality

00

war - starvation - diseasedecrease in population

re-balance ecological footprint

#Europe=Africa

#Africa=2.5xEurope

2020migration from north to south

#

COLLAPSE

2010and conflictto Myanmar

##

#2016-2020

war causes massmigration fromcoastal areas

$ richest-poorestcountry gap:

80 to 1

Af i 2 5 E

rich can afford “green”Africa is at a state of survival

#2015

rich Europeansmigrate to USA

expensive “green”widens the gap between

rich countries - poor countries

+1°CArctic: ice-free for half of the yearSouth Atlantic: coastal hurricanes

Western U.S.: severe droughts

+4°Coceans take over coastal cities

disappearing glaciers deprive fresh wateragricultural boom in northern Canada

a part of Antartica collapses

+3°CAmazons dry out

El Nino’s pattern becomes the normEurope suffer searing summer heat

GLOBAL WARMING IS NOT MAN-MADE

2030’sartificial precipitation

induction & control

C4 o

Cesera

es

+5°CCIVILIZATION BREAKING DOWN

uninhabitable zones spreadmillions of climate refugees

5°CWNeadees

+6°Cgreat cities are abandoned

oceans are marine wastelandsdeserts across continents

natural disasters are common

Greenlandwarmer 1000 years ago

no melting eventProf. John Christy (IPCC)

supporting studies well-fundedcontroversial studies not

supported - censured$

melting of glaciersis part of a natural process

2015skirmishes over food

and water supply

2010-2020agriculture not severely impacted

major food exporterstruggling to supply food

2030TENSION OVER

RUSSIAN ENERGY

2022skirmish over access to Rhine

2040’smining water

on Mars

2040’sself sustaining

Mars colony

CLUB OF ROC

2040’sNUCLEAR FUSION POWER

3000 years with current reserves(J. Ongena; G. Van Oost.)

2025CHOICE BETWEEN

GAS-NUCLEAR-RENEWABLES

GEOTHERMAL & SOLARenough for 20 billion people

if intermittent sources can be stored

GA2010-2015

SUPER EFFICIENT CARS2/3 less fuel

natural gas vs. oilCO2 emissions rise

slower rate

2025fuel cells enter

household market$

UNLIKELY ALLIANCES MAY OCCUR

DECENTRALISED ENERGY FUTURE:city centers produce power & heat

solar energy via roofs & facades“low energy” standard for all buildings

incentives for renovation of old buildingsnew jobs

0 888 10

one-day sunlightcan produce 8 years of global energy demand

PHOTOVOLTAIC,SOLAR FACADE

BECOME DECORATIVE

RENOVATED OLD BUILDINGS SAVE

80% ENERGY

private efficientthermal power stations

no loss in transmission

clean electricity viaoffshore wind parks

desert solar power stations

ERMAL & SOLAR

efficient transportimproved building insulation

46% of global energy savings


Mars colony

2040’sastreoid mining

2050’sOZONE HOLEDISAPPEARS

2008-2012WAR FOR WATER

one-day sunlight

2010disagreements with Canada

and Mexico over water

CH2010 2015

2011-2015magma power stations

e=Africa6.653.710.930

(US Consensus Bureau) 2070genetic engineering

creates hostile super-race

top10 warmest years1st: 2005(+0.63°C)


2011-2015CARBON

FIXING/BURYING

energy [r]evolution

energy

currenttrends

2025civil & border wars

##2016-2

2012severe drought and cold

Scandinavians move southweardpush back from EU

#

top1010 warmestt years

top10 warmest years2nd: 2003(+0.56°C)

+2°Ccoral reefs vanish

Greenland glaciers begin disappearing

2010 2020

008-2012R WATER 2018

pipelines disruptedby criminals and rebels

2008-2012GREEN GROUPS

ACCEPT NUCLEAR POWER

fi i t t t

2008-2012solar reflector satellites

brings sunlight to north cities

2018RUSSIA JOINS EU

2025EU NEARS COLLAPSE

agriculworld oil

production peak84.5 M barrel/day(US Consensus Bureau)

2020direct confrontation in Gulf



NATURALCO2 emissions(≈ 80 GtC in 2000)

10,25% MAN-MADE(IPCC SRES 2000)

MAN-MADECO2 emissions(≈ 8,2 GtC in 2000)

V

GREENHOUSE EFFECTH2O: 36% - 66%CO2: 9% - 26%

O3 and others: 7% - 8%(GISS-GCM ModelE simulation)

SOLAR VARIATIONhas stronger effect on climate

change compared to man-madeGHG EMISSIONS

The George Marshall Institute

+4°CLondon subermeged

+4°CBoston subermeged

+4°CVenice subermeged

+3°CNile overflown

+3°CBangladesh submerged

+3°CMumbai submerged

+4°CNewYork subermeged

An Abrupt Climate Change Scenario and Its Implications forUnited States National SecurityPeter Schwartz and Doug Randall - 2003

In this report, as an alternative to the scenarios of gradual climatic warming that are so common, we outline an abrupt climate change scenario patterned after the 100-yearevent that occurred about 8,200 years ago...characterized by the following conditions:· Annual average temperatures drop by up to ≈15°C over Asia, North America and northern Europe.· Annual average temperatures increase by up to ≈15°C in key areas throughout Australia, South America, and southern Africa.

#

The Great Global Warming SwindleMartin Durkin - 2007

This film by the documentary-maker Martin Durkin presents the arguments of scientists and commentators who don't believe that CO2 produced by human activity is the main cause of climate change.

In a special broadcast event, National Geographic explores the startling theory that Earth’s average temperature could rise six degrees Celsius by the year 2100....National Geographic illustrates, one poignant degree at a time, the consequences of rising temperatures on Earth.Also, learn how existing technologies and remedies can help in the battle to dial back the global thermometer.

Six Degrees Could Change The Worldbased on the book by Mark Lynas - 2008#

In this study Academy of the German Armed Forces focuses on the security challenges which may occur due to the impacts of further climate change.The study was presented in the METREX Hamburg Conference on Climate Change in 2007.

Climate Change and Major Security Challenges for Metropolitan RegionsColonel Roland Kaestner - 2007

#

BEYOND THE LIMITSDonella Meadows, Dennis Meadows, Jørgen Randers - 1992

The Club of Rome is a global think tank and centre of innovation and initiative.The book continues the modeling of the consequences of a rapidly growing global population that was started in Limits to Growth.The Limits t o Growth used the World3 model to simulate the consequence of interactions between the Earth's and human systems.The authors intended to explore the possibility of a sustainable feedback pattern which would be achieved by altering growth trends among the five variables.

World3/911991Club of Rome

#

2005 BT Technology TimelineIan Neild & Ian Pearson - 2005

The authors are not involved in all of the research described in the timeline.They do not necessarily approve or condone what they are predicting will happen.They are just saying these are possible, and listing some obvious implications.The timeline has often been used by various people and companies around the world to start off workshops and brainstorms.

energy [r]evolutionGreenpeace International, European Renewable Energy Council2007

The report details how to halve global CO2 emissions by 2050, using existing technology and still providing affordable energy and economic growth.In short - a revolution in energy policy and an evolution in how we use energy.

MESAP1991DLR

$EXPLORING The Future - Scenarios to 2050Global Business Environment - Shell International 2001

The two scenarios contrast an evolutionary progression from coal, to gas, to renewables (or possibly nuclear) against the potential for a hydrogen economy supported by developments.Business as Usual (based on IPCC A1FI) - The Spirit of a Coming Age (based on IPCC B1)

$

GLOBAL REGIONALENV

IRON

MEN

TAL

MA

RKET

ORI

ENTE

D

B1 B2

A2A1

IPCC SPECIAL REPORT ON EMISSIONS SCENARIOS (SRES)Third Assessment Report (TAR) - 2001

A scientific body tasked to evaluate the risk of climate changecaused by human activity.The IPCC does not carry out research, nor does it monitor climate or related phenomena.A main activity of the IPCC is publishing special reports on topics relevant to the implementation of the UN Framework.

CMIP32005-6PCMDI

A1FI- Aggressive exploitation of fossil fuel resources.- Rapid and successful economic development dissolve.- Strong commitment to market-based solutions.- High savings and commitment to education at the household level.- High rates of investment and innovation in education, technology, and institutions at the national and international levels.- International mobility of people, ideas, and technology.

A2- Economic growth is uneven and the income gap between now-industrialized and developing parts of the world does not narrow.- People, ideas, and capital are less mobile so that technology diffuses more slowly than in the other scenario families. - International disparities in productivity, and hence income per capita, are largely maintained or increased in absolute terms.- Emphasis on family and community life, fertility rates decline relatively slowly, which makes the A2 population the largest.

$#

B1- High level of environmental and social consciousness combined with a globally coherent approach to a more sustainable development. - Governments, businesses, the media, and the public pay increased attention to the environmental and social aspects of development. - Technological change plays an important role. - Economic development is balanced, and efforts to achieve equitable income distribution are effective. - The world invests a large part of its gains in improved efficiency of resource use 'dematerialization', equity, social institutions, and environmental protection.

$#

FU

TU

RES

CA

TALO

G

$

population shifts

war / skirmish

mass death

crisis /conflict

progress

controversy

economic shifts

#

2

LITTLE ICE AGEA.D. 1550-1850

rapid expansion of mountain glaciers3 maxima separated byslight warming intervals

(eobglossary.gscf.nasa.gov)


8 to 1

#Europe=2xAfrica

1861PENNSYLVANIAN

OIL BOOM$ 1922

GROWTH OFVENEZUELAN PRODUCTION

$1928-1939

THE GREAT DEPRESSION$

1956SUEZ CRISIS

1973OIL CRISIS

1979IRANIAN

REVOLUTION

1986NETBACK

PRICING$ 6

KG

1990IRAQ INVADED

KUWAITppr

84

2003USA INVADED

IRAQ

t:

1914-1918WW1

≈ 20.000.000 deaths

1937-1945WW2

≈ 72.000.000 deaths1914-1918WW1

1917-1923RUSSIAN CIVIL WAR

≈ 12.500.000 deathsR

923AR

eaths

1930-1937SOVIET

DEKULAKIZATION≈ 14.500.000 deaths

1945HIROSHIMA≈ 140.000 deaths...

1949-1975MAO ZEDONG’S

REGIME≈ 40.000.000 deaths...

##Europ1937-1945

WW21937

1945NAGASAKI≈ 80.000 deaths...

fUtURe(s) CAtALOGUe | 2008 | M.Sc.3

The idea behind studying future scenarios by bringing them together was to discover their similarities and contrasts. This

comparison stimulates one’s vision of our society by mapping out the relationships and contradictions between the future

projections of different social actors/agencies. Eventually, this catalogue encourages architects to formulate new questions

about their role within the socio-spatial evolution.

PO

PU

LATI

ON

TEM

PER

ATU

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SEA

LEV

ELS

RES

OU

RC

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1970

1960

1980

1940

1930

1920

1910

207020

3020

9020

8020

6020

5020

402020

2010

1990

CO

2

C (relative to 1990)o

1931

1900 21

0020

0019

5018

00 2008

1900 21

0020

0019

5018

00 200819

7019

6019

8019

4019

3019

2019

1020

702030

2090

2080

2060

2050

204020

1019

90

billion

C


30

12

14

16

6

8

10

4

2

10

15

5

2

1

0

60

40

50

20

10

0

-10

30

3

4

20

25

o

-1


billion

C


30

12

14

16

6

8

10

4

2

10

15

5

2

1

0

60

40

50

20

10

0

-10

30

3

4

5

20

25

o

-1


IPCC 4th Assesment Report

Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center

BP Statistical Review of World Energy June

Douglas (1997) & Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level

The World at Six Billion - UNITED NATIONS

S2007

SHELL 2007

FOOD PRODUCTIONNATURAL RESOURCESSIMMONS 2008

TOTAL 2006

ONLY BY OIL

CLUB OF ROME

NATURAL RESOURCES

FOOD PRODUCTION

WORLD OIL PRODUCTION

2012refugees to US & Mexico

from Caribbeansno collapse

2020s1st bionicolympics

2010border skirmishes and conflict

mass migration to Myanmar

2020s

203010% POPULATION MIGRATED

Asia - North America - northern Europe≈15°C drop

Australia - South America - southern Africa≈15°C increase


global conflicteconomic malaise


BUILD DEFENSIVE FORTRESSESto protect resources and reserves

UNLIKELY ALLIANCES MAY OCCURresources for survival rather than

religion, ideology, nationality

00



#Europe=Africa

#Africa=2.5xEurope

2020migration from north to south

#

COLLAPSE

2010and conflictto Myanmar

##

#2016-2020

war causes massmigration fromcoastal areas


80 to 1

Af i 2 5 E

rich can afford “green”Africa is at a state of survival

#2015

rich Europeansmigrate to USA

expensive “green”widens the gap between

rich countries - poor countries

+1°CArctic: ice-free for half of the yearSouth Atlantic: coastal hurricanes

Western U.S.: severe droughts

+4°Coceans take over coastal cities

disappearing glaciers deprive fresh wateragricultural boom in northern Canada

a part of Antartica collapses

+3°CAmazons dry out

El Nino’s pattern becomes the normEurope suffer searing summer heat

GLOBAL WARMING IS NOT MAN-MADE

2030’sartificial precipitation

induction & control

C4 o

Cesera

es

+5°CCIVILIZATION BREAKING DOWN

uninhabitable zones spreadmillions of climate refugees

5°CWNeadees

+6°Cgreat cities are abandoned

oceans are marine wastelandsdeserts across continents

natural disasters are common

Greenlandwarmer 1000 years ago

no melting eventProf. John Christy (IPCC)

supporting studies well-fundedcontroversial studies not

supported - censured$

melting of glaciersis part of a natural process

2015skirmishes over food

and water supply

2010-2020agriculture not severely impacted

major food exporterstruggling to supply food

2030TENSION OVER

RUSSIAN ENERGY

2022skirmish over access to Rhine

2040’smining water

on Mars


Mars colony

CLUB OF ROC

2040’sNUCLEAR FUSION POWER

3000 years with current reserves(J. Ongena; G. Van Oost.)

2025CHOICE BETWEEN

GAS-NUCLEAR-RENEWABLES

GEOTHERMAL & SOLARenough for 20 billion people

if intermittent sources can be stored

GA2010-2015

SUPER EFFICIENT CARS2/3 less fuel

natural gas vs. oilCO2 emissions rise

slower rate

2025fuel cells enter

household market$

UNLIKELY ALLIANCES MAY OCCUR

DECENTRALISED ENERGY FUTURE:city centers produce power & heat

solar energy via roofs & facades“low energy” standard for all buildings

incentives for renovation of old buildingsnew jobs

0 888 10

one-day sunlightcan produce 8 years of global energy demand

PHOTOVOLTAIC,SOLAR FACADE

BECOME DECORATIVE

RENOVATED OLD BUILDINGS SAVE

80% ENERGY

private efficientthermal power stations

no loss in transmission

clean electricity viaoffshore wind parks

desert solar power stations

ERMAL & SOLAR

efficient transportimproved building insulation

46% of global energy savings


Mars colony

2040’sastreoid mining

2050’sOZONE HOLEDISAPPEARS

2008-2012WAR FOR WATER

one-day sunlight

2010disagreements with Canada

and Mexico over water

CH2010 2015

2011-2015magma power stations

e=Africa6.653.710.930

(US Consensus Bureau) 2070genetic engineering

creates hostile super-race



2011-2015CARBON

FIXING/BURYING

energy [r]evolution

energy

currenttrends

2025civil & border wars

##2016-2

2012severe drought and cold

Scandinavians move southweardpush back from EU

#

top1010 warmestt years

top10 warmest years2nd: 2003(+0.56°C)

+2°Ccoral reefs vanish

Greenland glaciers begin disappearing

2010 2020

008-2012R WATER 2018

pipelines disruptedby criminals and rebels

2008-2012GREEN GROUPS

ACCEPT NUCLEAR POWER

fi i t t t

2008-2012solar reflector satellites

brings sunlight to north cities

2018RUSSIA JOINS EU

2025EU NEARS COLLAPSE

agriculworld oil

production peak84.5 M barrel/day(US Consensus Bureau)

2020direct confrontation in Gulf



NATURALCO2 emissions(≈ 80 GtC in 2000)

10,25% MAN-MADE(IPCC SRES 2000)

MAN-MADECO2 emissions(≈ 8,2 GtC in 2000)

V

GREENHOUSE EFFECTH2O: 36% - 66%CO2: 9% - 26%

O3 and others: 7% - 8%(GISS-GCM ModelE simulation)

SOLAR VARIATIONhas stronger effect on climate

change compared to man-madeGHG EMISSIONS

The George Marshall Institute

+4°CLondon subermeged

+4°CBoston subermeged

+4°CVenice subermeged

+3°CNile overflown

+3°CBangladesh submerged

+3°CMumbai submerged

+4°CNewYork subermeged

An Abrupt Climate Change Scenario and Its Implications forUnited States National SecurityPeter Schwartz and Doug Randall - 2003

In this report, as an alternative to the scenarios of gradual climatic warming that are so common, we outline an abrupt climate change scenario patterned after the 100-yearevent that occurred about 8,200 years ago...characterized by the following conditions:· Annual average temperatures drop by up to ≈15°C over Asia, North America and northern Europe.· Annual average temperatures increase by up to ≈15°C in key areas throughout Australia, South America, and southern Africa.

#

The Great Global Warming SwindleMartin Durkin - 2007

This film by the documentary-maker Martin Durkin presents the arguments of scientists and commentators who don't believe that CO2 produced by human activity is the main cause of climate change.

In a special broadcast event, National Geographic explores the startling theory that Earth’s average temperature could rise six degrees Celsius by the year 2100....National Geographic illustrates, one poignant degree at a time, the consequences of rising temperatures on Earth.Also, learn how existing technologies and remedies can help in the battle to dial back the global thermometer.

Six Degrees Could Change The Worldbased on the book by Mark Lynas - 2008#

In this study Academy of the German Armed Forces focuses on the security challenges which may occur due to the impacts of further climate change.The study was presented in the METREX Hamburg Conference on Climate Change in 2007.

Climate Change and Major Security Challenges for Metropolitan RegionsColonel Roland Kaestner - 2007

#

BEYOND THE LIMITSDonella Meadows, Dennis Meadows, Jørgen Randers - 1992

The Club of Rome is a global think tank and centre of innovation and initiative.The book continues the modeling of the consequences of a rapidly growing global population that was started in Limits to Growth.The Limits t o Growth used the World3 model to simulate the consequence of interactions between the Earth's and human systems.The authors intended to explore the possibility of a sustainable feedback pattern which would be achieved by altering growth trends among the five variables.

World3/911991Club of Rome

#

2005 BT Technology TimelineIan Neild & Ian Pearson - 2005

The authors are not involved in all of the research described in the timeline.They do not necessarily approve or condone what they are predicting will happen.They are just saying these are possible, and listing some obvious implications.The timeline has often been used by various people and companies around the world to start off workshops and brainstorms.

energy [r]evolutionGreenpeace International, European Renewable Energy Council2007

The report details how to halve global CO2 emissions by 2050, using existing technology and still providing affordable energy and economic growth.In short - a revolution in energy policy and an evolution in how we use energy.

MESAP1991DLR

$EXPLORING The Future - Scenarios to 2050Global Business Environment - Shell International 2001

The two scenarios contrast an evolutionary progression from coal, to gas, to renewables (or possibly nuclear) against the potential for a hydrogen economy supported by developments.Business as Usual (based on IPCC A1FI) - The Spirit of a Coming Age (based on IPCC B1)

$

GLOBAL REGIONALENV

IRON

MEN

TAL

MA

RKET

ORI

ENTE

D

B1 B2

A2A1

IPCC SPECIAL REPORT ON EMISSIONS SCENARIOS (SRES)Third Assessment Report (TAR) - 2001

A scientific body tasked to evaluate the risk of climate changecaused by human activity.The IPCC does not carry out research, nor does it monitor climate or related phenomena.A main activity of the IPCC is publishing special reports on topics relevant to the implementation of the UN Framework.

CMIP32005-6PCMDI

A1FI- Aggressive exploitation of fossil fuel resources.- Rapid and successful economic development dissolve.- Strong commitment to market-based solutions.- High savings and commitment to education at the household level.- High rates of investment and innovation in education, technology, and institutions at the national and international levels.- International mobility of people, ideas, and technology.

A2- Economic growth is uneven and the income gap between now-industrialized and developing parts of the world does not narrow.- People, ideas, and capital are less mobile so that technology diffuses more slowly than in the other scenario families. - International disparities in productivity, and hence income per capita, are largely maintained or increased in absolute terms.- Emphasis on family and community life, fertility rates decline relatively slowly, which makes the A2 population the largest.

$#

B1- High level of environmental and social consciousness combined with a globally coherent approach to a more sustainable development. - Governments, businesses, the media, and the public pay increased attention to the environmental and social aspects of development. - Technological change plays an important role. - Economic development is balanced, and efforts to achieve equitable income distribution are effective. - The world invests a large part of its gains in improved efficiency of resource use 'dematerialization', equity, social institutions, and environmental protection.

$#

FU

TU

RES

CA

TALO

G

$

population shifts

war / skirmish

mass death

crisis /conflict

progress

controversy

economic shifts

#

2

LITTLE ICE AGEA.D. 1550-1850

rapid expansion of mountain glaciers3 maxima separated byslight warming intervals

(eobglossary.gscf.nasa.gov)


8 to 1

#Europe=2xAfrica

1861PENNSYLVANIAN

OIL BOOM$ 1922

GROWTH OFVENEZUELAN PRODUCTION

$1928-1939

THE GREAT DEPRESSION$

1956SUEZ CRISIS

1973OIL CRISIS

1979IRANIAN

REVOLUTION

1986NETBACK

PRICING$ 6

KG

1990IRAQ INVADED

KUWAITppr

84

2003USA INVADED

IRAQ

t:

1914-1918WW1

≈ 20.000.000 deaths

1937-1945WW2

≈ 72.000.000 deaths1914-1918WW1

1917-1923RUSSIAN CIVIL WAR

≈ 12.500.000 deathsR

923AR

eaths

1930-1937SOVIET

DEKULAKIZATION≈ 14.500.000 deaths

1945HIROSHIMA≈ 140.000 deaths...

1949-1975MAO ZEDONG’S

REGIME≈ 40.000.000 deaths...

##Europ1937-1945

WW21937

1945NAGASAKI≈ 80.000 deaths...

OtHeR wORks

modular prefab housing concept study | SVESMI | 2008 office canteen rendering | Loxodrome | 2010

Dutch farmhouse extension | Loxodrome | 2010 greenhouse company logistics building | Loxodrome | 2010

modular prefab mosque design | competition | 2010 urban regeneration for a college campus | 2006

community centre | 2004 interactive exhibition design | IABR | 2009

Gurhan Ucaroglu | 2010 | gurhanucaroglu.com

http://gurhanucaroglu.com

GURHAN UCAROGLU | Architect M.Sc. | born 1984 in … filea full-scholarship from Royal Dutch/ Shell....

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Transcript of GURHAN UCAROGLU | Architect M.Sc. | born 1984 in … filea full-scholarship from Royal Dutch/ Shell....