Guest Lecture weather briefing -- climate -- compositing -- paper review -- guest of the guest...
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Transcript of Guest Lecture weather briefing -- climate -- compositing -- paper review -- guest of the guest...
Guest Lecture
weather briefing -- climate -- compositing -- paper review -- guest of the guest lecture -- wrap up
Current weather: national radarIR satellite
Forecasted weather: forecast loopwinds
Swell forecast: surf
Weather? Climate?
current state of the atmosphere
time averaged weather: rain, temp, wind, etc..
Ex: summer rainfall averages 100mm(80, 70, 120, 200, 30 )NEVER HAD 100mm!
(20,10,50,60,360)NOT EVEN CLOSE!
STATISTICAL FICTION
Greek word: “klima”Word History The ancient Greeks believed that the earth sloped from the equator to the north pole. They thought that this sloping caused the different weather conditions found in different regions of the world. Therefore they called each of the regions a klima, which was also the word for "slope" or "inclination." Klimawas borrowed into Latin as clima, and from Latin it was taken into French where it was spelled climat. In English it became climate, a word which we now use more often to mean the weather conditions themselves than the region where they occur.
Climate variability?Climate change?Climate sceptic?
Caribbean rain-belt variability2001 2002 2003 2004
2005 2006 2007 2008
2009 2010 2011 2012
Caribbean rain-belt early rain season rainfall climatology
There is no weather in southern California during the summer. The climate in southern California during the summer is hot and dry.
HOW?
Compositing1980-1989
1960-1969
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/cgi-bin/data/composites/printpage.pl( or type into google noaa psd monthly composite )
Correlation / Regression plotting tool