Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes...
Transcript of Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes...
![Page 1: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Águas de Março (the waters of March)
Brian Mapes, with Patrick Kelly University of Miami
![Page 2: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
The song
• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward progression much like the water torrent from those rains flowing in the gutters, which typically would carry sticks, stones, bits of glass, and almost everything and anything" (Wikipedia)
• after dry February for these things to accumulate?
• Poignant, end of summer feeling
Antônio Carlos Jobim
![Page 3: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Águas de Março
Source: CPTEC Web site
![Page 4: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Brant Liebmann’s (NOAA-PSD)
gridded gauge data daily clim.
• East side of SACZ
![Page 5: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
CMAP (obs)
(pentad)
Deviation from clim. Fourier 0+1+2 (high frequency part of anomalies)
![Page 6: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
CMAP (obs) Ensemble
mean of 10 AGCMs
(pentad)
![Page 7: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
![Page 8: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
The dry air of February
![Page 9: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Year to year correlation of March-Feb differences data
![Page 10: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Northern hemisphere <[u]> and North Atlantic u850 @ 25-30N
![Page 11: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
NCEP1 daily climatology (1969-
1996)
v850 at 30N
<[u]>
m/s
latitude (N)
![Page 12: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Barotropic zonal mean flow and TCs
• High-Low tercile <[u]>10-40N composite (ASO)
iBTracs we gridded a TC count variable
![Page 13: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
• High-Low tercile <[u]>10-40N composite (ASO)
Barotropic zonal mean flow and TCs
![Page 14: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
-
-
u*v*
-d/dy(u*v*)
-d/dy(u*v*) in 20-30°N
200mb
Western edge of Tibetan High at 200mb is the main momentum pump for <[u]>
JJA climatology
Patrick Kelly PhD thesis – summer 2012
![Page 15: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
CAM4 does it (overdoes it; due to wet
bias in W. monsoon?)
![Page 16: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Monsoon on steroids: Make soil progressively darker
• Thermal forcing • Change soil color in this box which affects surface albedo •Following figures are differences for “strong minus weak” monsoon
forcing
Mean JJA changes in forcing region
forcing
![Page 17: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Forcing
Biggest change in Eddies on SW corner of Tibetan High
- Δ EMFD at 200mb
![Page 18: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Enhanced eddy torque aloft at 20-30°N
Monsoon strength
Δ zonal EMFD ΔMMC
![Page 19: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Forcing
Δ zonal mean zonal wind
Enhanced easterlies at 20-30°N Vertical Average
latit
ude
![Page 20: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
NASH extends west with stronger Tibetan High
Monsoon forcing
Mean JJA Ψ850
![Page 21: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
![Page 22: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
global (both hemispheres) [u200]
![Page 23: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
zonal mean vertical mean <[u]>
![Page 24: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
JFM u*v* and its -d/dy
![Page 25: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Summary • SH: Dry Feb – Wet March signal in SE Brazil • Appears related to <[u]> easterlies
– dry advection? – PV advection/ Ro wave critical line?
• Like N. Atl. July-Aug midsummer drought • Driven by NW corner of Tibetan High
• Bolivian High stationary wave [u*v*]?
![Page 26: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
![Page 27: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
![Page 28: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
![Page 29: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
![Page 30: Águas de Março (the waters of March) - CLIVAR...• "The inspiration for "Águas de Março" comes from Rio de Janeiro's rainiest month. The lyrics and the music have a constant downward](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070214/61147ba18b111b5db432b883/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)