Growth Opportunities
Transcript of Growth Opportunities
Growth OpportunitiesCapital Markets DayMay 2018
2CMD • May 2018
Growth Opportunities
Growth Opportunities
Our Client Service
ROB BOWENIAN PEACOCK
Breakout
Our Platform& Technology
JON NOBLE
Dealing andInternalisation
MATT BRIEF
ProspectAcquisition
HEIDRUN LUYT
Introduction: Vision and ValuesPETER HETHERINGTON
Risk ManagementJOE McCAUGHRAN
Cost AnalysisPAUL MAINWARING
Growth OpportunitiesBRIDGET MESSER
ConclusionPETER HETHERINGTON
Part I Part II
Regulatory LandscapePETER HETHERINGTON
Q&A
Q&A
3CMD • May 2018
Growth Opportunities
184
257299
320
367 362 370 388
456491
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Our track record of growth10 YEAR REVENUE (£m) 10 YEAR PBT (£m)
97
126
158 163
186 192 195
170
208 214
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
12.015.0
18.520.0
22.5 23.3
28.2 28.2
31.4 32.3
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
10 YEAR DIVIDENDS (p)
9% CAGR12% CAGR
12% CAGR
69
103114
131 141
132 120130
138148
£0
£500
£1,000
£1,500
£2,000
£2,500
£3,000
£3,500
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
10 YEAR OTC CLIENT NUMBERS2 (‘000)
Revenue/client p.a. (£)TSR 236%1, vs 80% FTSE100
1 Basis closing share price 21 May of £8.82; 2 Leveraged OTC clients, active in year
4CMD • May 2018
Growth Opportunities
The recipe for growth
1. Growth from existing countries
2. Growth from new countries
3. Growth from innovation
• Increasing wealth
• Increasing self-directed involvement in financial markets
• Regulatory environment favouring established, compliant providers
3 main levers for growth: Macro trends fuel business growth
5CMD • May 2018
Growth Opportunities
Macro trendIncreasing wealth
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
Source: Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2017
2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015
+$299k, 287%
+$177k, 84%
+$115k, 71%
Australia
US
UK
+$153k, 133%
+$161k, 157%
+$114k, 126%
Singapore
France
Germany
MEAN WEALTH PER ADULT OVER TIME ($)
2017
Number of Billionaires2
637in Asia
563in the US
342in Europe
new billionaire created in Asia every other day
1
AVERAGE GDP GROWTH, LAST 10 YEARS1
1.1%
5.1%
G7countries
Emergingmarkets
1 IMF; 2 UBS/PWC Billionaires Report 2017
6CMD • May 2018
Growth Opportunities
Macro trendSelf-direction becoming the norm
Self-directionbecoming the norm
Increased financial
awareness
Falling trust1
Increased access to
technology
1 Edelman Trust Barometer 2018
7CMD • May 2018
Growth Opportunities
Macro trend
Winners will have:
• A bricks and mortar strategy, and compliant advertising
• Pursue long term, sustainable client relationships
• A business that does not compete on leverage
• Scale and in-house technical expertise
Regulatory change plays to our strengths
This is the IG
business model
Leverage limitsAdvertising restrictions No negative accounts
8CMD • May 2018
Growth Opportunities
The recipe for growth
1. Growth from existing countries
2. Growth from new countries
3. Growth from innovation
• Increasing wealth
• Increasing self-directed involvement in financial markets
• Regulatory environment favouring established, compliant providers
3 main levers for growth: Macro trends fuel business growth
9CMD • May 2018
Growth Opportunities
Growth from existing countries
1. Competitor steal
2. Product steal
3. Grow the addressable market
REVENUE BY MARKET MATURITY (£m)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Mature markets Untapped marketsMaturing markets
£296m
53% mkt penetration1
£173m
23% mkt penetration1
UK AUS FRA SGX GER SPA
Online share traders (‘000)
930 645 390 226 1,010 350
OTC leverage traders (‘000)
148 61 21 30 62 36
OTC penetration %
16% 9% 4% 13% 6% 10%
IG market penetration
FX 31% 19% 29% 19% 10% 13%
CFD 28% 45% 42% 25% 15% 13%
SB 55% n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Market penetration1
3 main tools to grow our client base:
1 Investment Trends 2017 reports
10CMD • May 2018
Growth Opportunities
Growth from existing countriesFewer, better clients
1 OTC leverage traders, active in FY17
£80,000
£12,000
£700
2%
8%
50%
30%
• Huge variation in client value
• Investment Trends does not distinguish between value and volume of clients
• “Market share” has limitations
• Investment Trends is advancing a new methodology this year to report market penetration by value segment
148,000Clients
£475m
Revenue
£3,200Rev per client
FY17 CLIENT SEGMENTATION1
11CMD • May 2018
Growth Opportunities
Growth from new countries
Strong track record of opening new offices
• 15 offices opened or bought since 2002
• 54% of group revenue in FY17, or £266m
Timeline of geographic expansion
Well placed to grow in to additional new markets:
• Regulatory environment favours bricks and mortar
• Highly experienced management team
• Strong global brand
Spain
France
2006
Singapore
Italy
Germany
2007 2011
NetherlandsNOW CLOSED
2013
NorwayNOW CLOSED
2014
Switzerland
2018
US RFEDPLANNED
2009
Nadex, USACQUISITION
2015
Dubai
2002
Australia
2009
Sweden
2008
JapanACQUISITION
2010
SouthAfrica
ACQUISITION
2012
IrelandNOW CLOSED
12CMD • May 2018
Growth Opportunities1 Investment Trends US Foreign Exchange report 2017
Growth from new countries
1 US RFED
• 85,000 active FX traders1
• Poorly served market
• High barriers to entry
2 Smaller launches
• New regulatory regimes being issued
• Regulators will engage with established, trusted providers
3 Regional strategies
• Use education and analysts to access regions that do not have a regulatory regime
• Constantly looking for expansion opportunities
Where next ?
2 Switzerland
• Only new banking license issued in 5 years
1 Dubai
• First CFD retail endorsement
Some examples
13CMD • May 2018
Growth Opportunities
Growth from Innovation“It’s in our DNA”
14CMD • May 2018
Growth Opportunities
Growth from Innovation
Equity indices
Shares16%
Forex
Commodities
Options
9%
16%
46%
16%
13%
H1FY18
H1FY17
OTC LEVERAGED REVENUEBY ASSET CLASS
8%
12%
24%
40%
• 11% of Q3 revenue (reported in Forex)
• Built at low cost in 2013
• Response to client demand
1 Crypto currency CFDs
• £880m in AuA
• 8% cross-sell to leverage
• Added value to the core business
2 Share Dealing for the active trader H1 FY18 AVERAGE CLIENT VALUE1 ACTIVE CLIENT RETENTION2
OTC LevOnly
£2,367£2,681
OTC LevOnly
Multi-Product
60%
72%
1 In countries where IG offers Share Dealing; 2 The percentage of clients trading in H1 FY17, still trading in H1 FY18
Multi-Product
15CMD • May 2018
Growth Opportunities
Growth from Innovation
MTF Initiative
• Offensive
– 1m new listings in Q4 20171
– European preference for this structure & product
• Defensive
– Safe harbour
Well positioned to deliver
• Regulatory expertise
• Attract and convert European
• Strong balance sheet
• Technological prowess
• Deutsche Bank
• Commerzbank
• Unicredit
• Goldman Sachs
• UBS
• BBVA
• Nomura
• BNP
1 European Structured Investment Products Association, Q4 2017 report
ESTIMATED MARKET SIZE
€1.96bnTotal EU (ex UK) Leveraged market
€788mTotal EU (ex UK) CFD market
€118mIG’s EU (ex UK) share
Only possible because of our history of innovation
16CMD • May 2018
Growth Opportunities
Conclusion
• Room to grow from all levers
3 main levers for growth
Macro trends fuel business growth
Strong track record of growth and innovation
• We find a way that works