Growing for a Sustainable Future - BHP/media/bhp/documents/...production performance. • Impacts,...
Transcript of Growing for a Sustainable Future - BHP/media/bhp/documents/...production performance. • Impacts,...
Ian AshbyPresident BHP Billiton Iron Ore
Growing for a Sustainable FutureGlobal Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2007
1 March 2007Page 2
DisclaimerThe views expressed here contain information derived from publicly available sources that have not been independently verified. Norepresentation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information. Any forward looking information in this presentation has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions which may prove to be incorrect. This presentation should not be relied upon as a recommendation or forecast by BHP Billiton.
Nothing in this release should be construed as either an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell shares in any jurisdiction.
1 March 2007Page 3
Continuous Improvement in Safety Performance - WAIO• One Business approach to HSEC
systems and processes
• Focus areas:- Leadership- Behavioural systems- Tolerance
• Programs & actions:- Stop for safety- FRCPs- Risk assessments- Fit for work/life (fatigue management)
- 15 HSEC Standards
• Jan 07 performance 55% improvement on YEJ04 and 17.5% improvement on YEJ06
Safety - 12 Month Rolling TRIFRActual2007 YTD
12
2022
9.910.6
11.712.3
81012141618202224
YEJ04 YEJ05 YEJ06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07
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BHP Billiton Iron Ore - Strategic Framework
• Identify & expand our resource position: drilling programme• Business improvement – delivering results• Maintain integrity and reliability of our infrastructure
• Developing people to drive improvement and safety
• Safety – Continued reduction in TRIFR toward Zero Harm
• Deliver current expansions, eg. RGP 3• RGP4 feasibility study• Samarco expansion
• Implement plans for further expansion beyond 152 Mtpa.• Focus on global business development and exploration
• Maintaining margins & managing costs through the cycle• Deliver production capability
• Knowledge networks accelerating improvements
People
‘Licence to Operate’
World Class Assets
The BHP Billiton Way(Value Added Processes)
Financial Strength and Discipline
Project Pipeline
GrowthOptions
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BHP Billiton Iron Ore Overview• Iron Ore became stand-alone CSG in
November 2006
• Global Iron Ore headquarters in Perth, Western Australia
• Responsible for global iron ore development
• No change for customers - CSM marketing model remains (iron ore, metallurgical coal and manganese)
• Integrated mine, port and rail operations in the Pilbara
• 50% share of Samarco in Brazil
• More than 7000 direct employees and contractors in WA
• 8.7% of WA employees Indigenous (Jan 07)
COLOMBIA
VENEZUELA
PERU
BOLIVIA
ECUADOR
GUYANA
SURINAME
FRENCHGUIANA
PARAGUAY
ARGENTINA
URUGUAY
CHILE
BrazilSamarco
Port Hedland
PERTH
Western Australia
WA Iron Ore
Newman
Pellet Plants, Port
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• Capital investments are delivering ongoing strong production performance.
• Impacts, including Goldsworthy suspension and RGP3 tie-ins, are expected to continue in FY07 offset by business improvements and RGP2 capacity.
• Without the impact of tie-ins, production capability is aligned to RGP2 capacity.
• Goldsworthy remains an important part of future expansion plans.
WAIO 2006 Production Performance
Millio
n Ton
nes
Millio
n Ton
nes (
Half Y
ear)
Continued Strong Production Growth in WA
WAIO 2007 Production Capability
90
95
100
105
110
115
2006 GoldsworthySuspension
Rolling Stock &New Mines
Cycle TimeImprovement +CD4 Installation
Rake WeightImprovement
RGP3 Impacts 2007F
Millio
n Ton
nes
Limited Goldsworthy shipments
Increase in ore cars per rake
Improved rake cycle
times
.
More efficient use
of rail
Impacts of RGP3
interactions.
Potential Upside
26.8
24.4
28.427.1 27.7
52.354.7
2022
2426
2830
3234
Dec Qtr 05 Mar Qtr 06 Jun Qtr 06 Sep Qtr 06 Dec Qtr 0635
45
55
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Focus on Global Business Development and Exploration
Focus regions outside WA
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10131087
1150
2005 2006 2007e
Global Steel Production (Mt)
The Global Steel Industry Continues to Power On
+7%+6%
Calendar YearSource: Public announcements, IISI, BHP Billiton
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China’s Influence is GrowingChina will continue to be the growth engine of the global steel industry in the short to medium term. India has the potential to provide further medium to long term growth.
Source: IISI, AME, Tex, CRU, BHP Billiton
Chinese Crude Steel Production
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Millio
n ton
nes
Calendar Year
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Australia and Brazil will Remain Key Seaborne SuppliersIndia’s role remains uncertain due to its own potential growth needs
Source: Public announcements, CRU, AME, BHP Billiton
Seaborne Iron Ore Supply Capacity
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Millio
n ton
nes
OthersCanadaSwedenSouth AfricaIndiaBrazilAustralia
Calendar Year
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• Challenges, ie: rising costs, are impacting and delaying the delivery of new capacity from traditional low cost producers
• Supply gap has been met by high cost producers – India, domestic China, others
• Rising Indian domestic demand is seeing local shortages and pressure to reduce exports
• China’s domestic growth, while spectacular, is not without its issues
• Smaller producers lack volumes to significantly impact the overall supply/demand balance
Balancing supply and demand is likely to take longer than first thought, due to delays in additional supply and more robust demand
Weak demand
Slow supplyresponse
Rapid supplyresponse
Strong demand
UNDERSUPPLY
OVERSUPPLY
Illustrative Supply capacity is constrained to industry average
Millio
n Ton
nes
Seaborne Iron Ore Market Balance
Strong Market Demand Expected to Continue
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RGP 2 – Ramp Up Complete• OB18 & 25 – Commissioned & producing.• Construction at Port complete:
- CD4: >20Mt throughput since June 06- CD1 & CD3 direct dump to berths A & B- Upgraded OHP#2 conveyors
• Producing at design capacity.
OB25
CD4
OB18
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RGP 3 – Capacity Increased to 129Mtpa
Mine expansion Area C
Port expansions
Rail upgrades
OB 18
• Expansion of port and rail infrastructure along with Area C capacity
• Expansion at Port includes:
- Car dumper & conveyor upgrades
- Single row East Yard
- Upgrades to C Berth & increased C & D berth flexibility
• All major contracts and component packages awarded
• 35% of construction complete at December 2006
• On schedule, on budget
• First production by end of Q4 CY07 C Berth Port Works
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OB 18
Newman HubIncremental Yandi
Minor Port expansions
Further Rail upgrades
OB 18
RGP4 and Further Expansion
• RGP4 feasibility study to deliver capacity of approx 152Mtpa
• Board decision expected in 1H CY2007
• Centred on Newman with infrastructure upgrades and expansions at satellite orebodies + port and rail operations
• Evaluating a range of further options to expand beyond 152Mtpa subject to market demand
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0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
YE00 YEJ01 YEJ02 YEJ03 YEJ04 YEJ05 YEJ06 YEJ07 YEJ08 YEJ09 YEJ10 YEJ110
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
Aggressive 5 -Year Program to Further Grow Resource Base
• Catch up phase completed• Five-year program underway to significantly grow the resource base
Drill metres Resources
Drill
metre
s
Reported Resource BaseReported Resource Base
Reso
urce
s (Mt
)
*Note: This mineral resource information should be read together with and subject to the notes set out on pages 60-61 of the BHP Billiton Group Annual Report 2006. This document can be viewed at: www.bhpbilliton.com
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Market Driven Costs
Costs Still Challenging but Increases Slowing
• Costs remain challenging, however the rate of increase has slowed.
• Pressures remain in areas such as contractor costs, services and commodity priced consumables
Total Costs* (incl. Freight, Dep'n)
0%
100%
200%
2003A 2004A 2005A 2006A 1H 2007
Rel
ativ
e C
osts
% (A
$/t)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
EBIT
Mar
gin
Government Royalties
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
2003A 2004A 2005A 2006A 1H 2007
Rel
ativ
e %
(A$/
t)
Freight
0%
200%
400%
600%
800%
2003A 2004A 2005A 2006A 1H 2007
Rel
ativ
e %
(A$/
t)
Contract Mining
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
2003A 2004A 2005A 2006A 1H 2007
Rel
ativ
e %
(A$/
t)
Diesel
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
2003A 2004A 2005A 2006A 1H 2007
Rel
ativ
e %
(A$/
t)
1H 2007 Cost Breakdown
Freight20%
Contract Mines20%
Rail 8%
Port 7%
Royalty (Government)
10%
Depreciation & Amortisation
8%
Other 15%
Mining Whaleback10%
*Cost base 2003
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• Availability of skilled personnel, and potential impact on labour productivity, is a major challenge for BHP Billiton and Western Australia
• Largest shortages in trades & semi-skilled personnel
• Preference is to recruit locally
• Taking action in both Operations and Expansion areas:– Expansion: various initiatives
ie: Indigenous training, plus discussing options with State & Federal Governments to supplement shortfalls in local labour supply
– Operations: implemented major culture change program
• Objective is to become the mining industry’s employer of choice
Taking Action to Address Skills Shortage
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Major Investments in Housing & Accommodation• A$150 million housing program announced in
October 2006• Two-year program includes:
• 106 new houses• 112 refurbishments• 100 ‘Eco Units’
• Largest single private or public investment in Pilbara housing for more than 20 years
• Significant contracts awarded to local builders• Complements major construction in Hedland and
Newman over the past two years• First phase of five-year program• All stakeholders must focus on what is
sustainable over the long term
New Port Hedland Home
Eco Unit Under Construction
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Infrastructure Access – Key Issue for Continued Growth • Continued prosperity and growth of the WA iron ore industry is under threat• Declaration will have a massive negative impact on
productivity, efficiency and future investment• Costs far outweigh benefits - A$20 billion vs.
A$100 million*• There are better ways, ie: mine gate sales and
haulage agreements• Working with the WA Government to modernise
existing haulage agreements• Also speaking with prospective miners about possible
transport arrangements• We strongly believe in our position and will continue
to defend it
*Source: Centre for International Economics 2006
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Conclusion
• Market outlook positive• Production capability in the short term will be impacted by
construction tie-ins• Improvement initiatives delivering results• Growth projects continue to be delivered on time and budget• Costs still challenging but increases slowing• Significant drilling to underpin growth• Addressing challenges such as housing and skills shortages• Infrastructure access is a major issue facing the industry• FY07 focus – managing growth and delivering consistent,
predictable and sustainable operating performance
1 March 2007Page 21