Group III diversification: PRS – a fighting grade group...

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CONFIDENTIAL © 2008 Carigali Business Development, PCSB © 2011 Petronas Marketing (Netherlands) B.V. All rights reserved. No part of this document may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means (electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise) without the permission of the copyright owner. Group III diversification: PRS – a fighting grade group III

Transcript of Group III diversification: PRS – a fighting grade group...

Page 1: Group III diversification: PRS – a fighting grade group IIIutsrus.com/documents/seminary_doklady/260911/petronas/bazovye... · Shell GTL1 700kt Shell GTL2 ... Group I Base Oil Refinery

CONFIDENTIAL

© 2008 Carigali Business Development, PCSB

© 2011 Petronas Marketing (Netherlands) B.V.All rights reserved. No part of this document may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means (electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or

otherwise) without the permission of the copyright owner.

Group III diversification:

PRS – a fighting grade group III

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Group I/II and III

80 120

0

90

0,03

0

100

Sats(%)

Sulfur(%)

VI

Group IIIGroup II

Group I

Category Sulphur (%)

Sats (%)

Viscosity Index

Group I >0.03 and/or

<90 80 ≤ VI < 120

Group II ≤0.03 and ≥90 80 ≤ VI < 120

Group III ≤0.03 and ≥90 ≥120

Group IV Polyalphaolefins (PAO)

Group V All others not included in Group I, II, III or IV

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Driver to better base oils - emission

19881990

19911994

19982000

2002

20100.80

0.330.134

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

NO

x, g

/kW

-Hr

Particulate, g/kW-Hr

8.056.76.7

5.4

3.3

1.5

.013

14

1614.4

2007

0.27

Emissions Heading to the Vanishing Point!

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0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Projected group III base oil production (MT per Annum)

Group III production projections

Tatneft 50kt Slavneft 100kt Lukoil 170kt

SK +JX 1Mil tons

No data

Neste 400ktShell GTL1 700kt

Shell GTL2 600kt(2Q 2012)

Neste 500kt UAE

No data

No data

Repsol YPF 310kt (split group II)

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production vs projected demand

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

production vs projected demand (MT per Annum)

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Two group III brand strategy

Petronas Rotterdam Standard

- 4cSt projected 1Q2012- 6cSt available now

- ETRO 3 (2,5cSt only on spot)- ETRO 4 (4cSt)- ETRO 6 (6cSt)

TOP TIER Group III

FIGHTING GRADE group III

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VI

Sulfur(%)

Sats(%)

90

100

0,0300

120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129

4cSt group III limits

130

Room for a fighting grade group IIIPRS Gas to liquid

ETRO

0,0030

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VI

Sulfur(%)

Sats(%)

90

100

0,0300

120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129

6cSt group III limits

130

Room for a fighting grade group IIIPRS Gas to liquid

ETRO

0,0030

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SPLIT figting grade / Approved grades

2012 2015

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10

PETRONAS Group III Base Oils plant is able to provide stable quantity and quality

VGOHCB

Base oil

Solvent Extration

GI base oil

UCO

HCB

CDW/ HF

GIII Base Oil

80%

20%

Gas oil 50% Gas oil

VGO HDT/CDW/HF 50%

GIII Base Oil

Gas Oil

Group I Base Oil Refinery Group III HCB UCO Refinery Petronas Group III

Quantity variableCrude selectiveCompete with fuels

Compete with fuelsVariable UCO quantityVariable UCO qualityNo control to adjust quality

Own equity crudesCan control conversionCompliment fuel production

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Mono-NaphthenesDi-Naphthenes

Poly-Naphthenes

n-Paraffins

Iso-Paraffins

Oxidation Stability

VI

~180

~60

Poor Excellent

Saturates are made-up of many chemical components that determines base oil quality

Iso-Paraffins

SolvencyExcellent Poor

Branching95

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Saturates portion of Group III base oils exhibit wide variation in paraffins and naphthenes

0

100

A-4 B-4 C-4 D-4

6-Ring Naphthene5-Ring Naphthene4-Ring Naphthene3-Ring Naphthene2-Ring Naphthene1-Ring NaphtheneParaffin

Com

posi

tion

, %

A-6 B-6 C-6 D-6

4Cst products 6Cst products

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Application – More liberty for formulators

Automotive 10W-40 formulations without approval support (group II alternative)

Turbine oils

Hydraulic oils

.....

Group I – (77% Sats)

QualityGroup III – 95+ %wt satsApproved formulations Group II – 90+ %wt sats

Non -Approved formulations

Group III – 90+ %wt satsNon -Approved formulations

Approved formulations NON -Approved formulations

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Future synthetic base oil market

Will be split between synthetic base oils coming from

MINERAL SOURCES (ETRO, Yubase, S-oil, Nexbase, PC, Shell XHVI...)

Limiting factor will be the avail of high quality crude / Tapis (ETRO) / hydrocracker bottoms (Yubase, S-oil, Nexbase)

SYNTHETIC SOURCES

PAO : from XOM, Neste, ConocoPhillips, Tatneft...

Limiting factor will be avail of Ethylene

GTL : Shell production starts end 2011 / Sasol has the technology and the option to make base oils but does not have the installation.

No one limiting factor

Gas/coal or any other carbon source (included bio to liquid) can theoretically be used.

(Bio to liquid would make this product carbon neutral).

Combined GTL and the Mineral sources will make up the group III market.

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Other group III fighting grades

Other group III Refinery intermediate product

Solvent extracted hydrocracker bottoms

Rerefined products

How to differentiate PRS 6 from other fighting grades

No chlorine in PRS

Viscosity at 6cSt not 5,5cSt

Future improvement color now 2,5 ASTM D1500 will go down

Future improvement Noack now 11%wt will go down as well

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THANK YOU

Presentation Group III diversification: PRS – a fighting grade group III

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