Group 4 _Krogs Metal Fab Final

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    KROG’S METALFAB

    Section CGroup 4

     Ankit Sahu

    Harshita Kumar

    Nidhi Rai

    Rohit Kumar Singh

    Suryaprakash Singh

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    CASE SUMMARY

    • Product profile : metal windows, framing materials, ladders; recentaddition – bronze finished storm windows

    •  2 manufacturing plants – Chicago & Illinois ; Chicago plant had greatershare of manufacturing activity

    • Fire disrupted manufacturing activity at Chicago plant; ~ 50 % of

    workers had to be shifted• Ramifications:

    Lower manufacturing capacity decreased output lower sales in 2013 Higher costs – overtime, hotel bills, meals etc. Losses / Lost profit Industry grew at 7%

    • Decision dilemma – Insurance claim: clause of ‘lost profit compensation’

    • Chief Accountant’s conclusion v/s External Consultant’s analysis

     VERDICT

     Aggressively expend company resources and pursue the

    Insurance Company for the Lost Profit claim

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    CHIEF ACCOUNTANT ANALYSISCHIEF ACCOUNTANT ANALYSISCHIEF ACCOUNTANT ANALYSIS

    Sales in 2012 $5,091,094.00

      Profit in 2012 $109,495.00

     Predicted Sales in 2013, assuming a 7%

    increase$5,447,471.00

      Actual sales in 2013 $3,857,499.00

    (A)Lost Sales $1,589,972.00

    (B)

    Profit in 2012 as a percentage of 2012 sales

    ($109,495 / 5,091,094)

    $0.02

     Lost Profit

    (A*B)$34,195.79

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    FUNDAMENTAL FLAWS IN PETER’S ANALYSIS

    Fixed cost considered as proportion- conceptually incorrect

    o  53% of Total Cost

     Accounts for only excess cost – $250,000

    Ignores/ fails to leverage Insurance clause of lost profit

    o Significant amount left unclaimed

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     ACCOUNT ANALYSIS2012 2013

    Total Sales  $ 5,091,094.00 $ 5,447,470.58

     Variable Cost :

    COGS  $ 4,518,475.00

    Selling Expense  $ 217,124.00

    Total  $ 4,735,599.00

     Variable cost/$sale  $ 0.93 $ 0.93

    Fixed Cost :

     Adm Expense  $ 246,000.00

    Fixed Cost/year  $ 246,000.00 $ 246,000.00

    Total cost  $ 4,981,599.00 $ 5,313,090.93

    Profit  $ 109,495.00 $ 134,379.65

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    HIGH LOW METHOD

    Year 2012 Sales Total Cost

    Highest  $ 603,210.00 $ 486,140.00

    Lowest  $ 303,685.00 $ 354,931.00

     Variable Cost/$sale  $ 0.44Fixed Cost/month  $ 221,899.68

    Fixed Cost/year  $ 2,662,796.20

    Year 2013

    Estimated Sales  $ 5,447,470.58

    Estimated Cost :

    Fixed  $ 2,662,796.20

     Variable  $ 2,386,302.20

    Total  $ 5,049,098.40

    Estimated Profit  $ 398,372.18

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    REGRESSION 1

     $200,000.00 $400,000.00 $600,000.00 $800,000.00$-

    $500,000.00

    $1,000,000.00

    f(x) = 0.36x + 260815.57

    Total Expense

    Total Expense Linear (Total Expense)

     Year 2013

    Estimated Sales $ 5,447,470.58

    Estimated Cost :

    Fixed  $ 3,129,792.00

     Variable  $ 1,981,245.05

    Total  $ 5,111,037.05

    Estimated Profit $ 336,433.53

     Actual Profit  $ (727,836.00)

    Lost Profit $ 1,064,269.53

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    REGRESSION 2

     $200,000.00 $400,000.00 $600,000.00 $800,000.00$-

    $200,000.00

    $400,000.00

    $600,000.00

    f(x) = 0.44x + 221548.16

    Total Expense

    Total Expense Linear (Total Expense)

     Year 2013

    Estimated Sales $ 5,447,470.58

    Estimated Cost :

    Fixed  $ 2,658,576.00

     Variable  $ 2,374,552.43

    Total  $ 5,033,128.43

    Estimated Profit $ 414,342.15

     Actual Profit  $ (727,836.00)

    Lost Profit $ 1,142,178.15

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    REGRESSION 3

     $200,000.00 $400,000.00 $600,000.00 $800,000.00$-

    $500,000.00

    f(x) = 0.4x + 199782.32

    COGS

    COGS Linear (COGS)

     $200,000.00 $400,000.00 $600,000.00 $800,000.00$-

    $20,000.00

    $40,000.00

    f(x) = 0.04x + 1265.84

    Selling Expense

    Selling Expense Linear (Selling Expense)

     $200,000.00 $400,000.00 $600,000.00 $800,000.00

     Administrative Expense

     Administrative Expense

     Year 2013

    Estimated Sales $ 5,447,470.58

    Estimated Cost :

    Fixed  $ 2,658,573.60

     Variable  $ 2,374,007.68

    Total  $ 5,032,581.28

    Estimated Profit $ 414,889.30

     Actual Profit  $ (727,836.00)

    Lost Profit $ 1,142,725.30

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    CONCLUSION 

    Regression method is more appropriate

    Company should aggressively pursue claim forlost profit of $1,142,178

    This lost profit also includes excess cost of$250,000

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    Thank You!