NGO’S – BUILDING AGE FRIENDLY COMMUNITIES

Ufa - September 2012 – Greg Shaw (IFA)

DEMOGRAPHIC UPHEAVALS

SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES

THE NEW NORM

Drivers of Ageing

2010COUNTRY

POPULATION(Millions)

2050COUNTRY

POPULATION(Millions)

China 1,338 India 1,748

India 1,189 China 1,437

United States 310 United States 423

Indonesia 235 Pakistan 335

Brazil 193 Nigeria 326

Pakistan 185 Indonesia 309

Bangladesh 164 Bangladesh 222

Nigeria 158 Brazil 215

Russia 142 Ethiopia 174

Japan 127 Congo, Dem. Rep.

166

Most Populated Countries 2010 - 2050

Drivers of Ageing

Fertility Rates

Where will residents come from in the future?

Drivers of Ageing

Life Expectancy and Elderly

Support Ratio

Drivers of Ageing

Elderly Support

Ratio2010

2050

Life Expectancy Both Sexes

Percentage Urban

WORLD 9 4 69 50MORE DEVELOPED

4 2 77 75

LESS DEVELOPED 11 4 67 44LESS DEVELOPED (Excl China)

13 5 65 44

LEAST DEVELOPED

17 9 56 27

NTH AMERICA 5 3 78 79Canada 5 2 81 80

STH AMERICA 9 3 73 82ASIA (Excl China) 11 4 68 41China 9 3 74 47

EASTERN AFRICA 17 12 53 22Zambia 17 16 42 37

MIDDLE AFRICA 18 13 48 41

28 Countries currently have life expectancy of 80+ for both sexes

25 Countries have a life expectancy of less than 55 for both sexes.

Elderly Support Ratio - The number of working-age people ages 15-64 divided by the number of persons 65 or older, indicating levels of potential societal support available for the elderly.

Working Age Population(15-64 as a % of the total population)

40% of public service can retire by 2011Universities are gearing up for a hiring boomAverage age of retirement is 58.4 years“Tories consider dropping early retirement provision”The Global and Mail , 29 December 2010

10

91

Lesotho, Africa

Sweden

The Labou

r Marke

t

Face and

Form of Family

Home

Older people’s rights are not being adequately protected

Failure to capture

discriminatory practices

Failure to prohibit age

discrimination

Gaps in protection

Lack of clarity

Inconsistent attention to

narrow range of rights

Dispersal of standards

Outdoor space & buildings

TransportationCommunication &

informationHousing

Respect & social inclusion

Social participationCivic participation &

employmentCommunity support &

health services

Domains of Life

“an age friendly city benefits everyone:

children, the young, the old”

Next Steps - Understanding - Debate - Evidence - Stakeholders - Voices of older people - Priorities

[NGOs] must hold governments accountable while at the same time working with them

to ensure that a more equitable world becomes a reality

Kofi Annan 2003

International Federation on Ageing is ….. International network of experts Source of information and knowledge Educator to public and private sectors Connector of stakeholder groups across

disciplines and sectors Capacity builder Collaborator and partner Voice at the United Nations, World

Health Organization and agencies