Graphs Analysis

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    fi'nor,

    )"4

    4r

    rrrunAn

    7

    r/1eary

    (

    a"/?-)

    (,),,t/h-a/r?.

    9,.+L

    \

    Figure

    5,3 Abnormal

    Returns

    for

    GN and

    BN

    Firms

    1.12

    -12

    -10

    -€

    -6

    -4

    -2

    O +2

    +4

    +(

    Month

    Relative

    to Annual Report

    Announcement

    Date

    Source: Ray

    Ball

    and P 8rown,

    "An

    Ernpir cal

    Evaluation ofAccounting

    lncome

    NLimbers," Journal

    af Accounting

    Reearch

    (AJtLmn

    1968).

    o. 169. Reprinred

    by

    permis.ion.

    The

    upper

    part

    of Figure

    5.3 shows

    cumulative

    average

    abnormal

    retums

    for the

    GN

    eamings

    announcement

    firms

    in

    the sample;

    the bottom

    part

    shows

    the

    same

    for

    the

    BN

    announcement

    firms.

    As can

    be seen,

    the

    GN

    firms

    strongly

    ouqrerformed

    the

    total

    sam-

    ple

    (the

    total

    sample approximates

    the

    market.wide

    retum),

    and

    the BN

    firrns

    strongly

    underperformed,

    over

    the

    11-month

    period

    leading

    up

    to the

    month

    of eamings

    release.

    5.3.2

    Causation

    Versus

    Association

    Note that

    the retums

    arc cumulative

    inthe diagram.

    While

    there was

    a substantial

    increase

    (for

    GN)

    and decrease

    (for

    BN)

    in

    average

    abnormal

    retums in

    the narrow

    window

    150

    Chapter

    5

     

    E

    4

    E

    o