GR Warwick presentation June 2014

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1 © SAMI Consulting Scenarios in a Partnership Future Perspectives at Grant Thornton June 2014 www.samiconsulting.co.uk

Transcript of GR Warwick presentation June 2014

Page 1: GR Warwick presentation June 2014

1© SAMI Consulting

Scenarios in a Partnership

Future Perspectives at Grant Thornton

June 2014

www.samiconsulting.co.uk

Page 2: GR Warwick presentation June 2014

www.samiconsulting.co.uk 2© SAMI Consulting

• Our offer– To enhance the capability to anticipate – To transform emergent thinking into strategy and

implementation

• Consulting, backed up by executive education and research to deliver “robust decisions in uncertain times”

• “You can never plan the future by the past”– Edmund Burke, 1729-1797

SAMI

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• The hard bit starts here!

• Horizon scanning, interviews, research, Jam inputs leading to a list of up to 20 drivers of change

• Starting with the March Workshop and going through to the Partners Conference in May

• Taking the drivers of change and creating mental models which combine both the forecastable elements and expose the big questions

Sense Making Setting Prioriites

ImplementationStrategic Intelligence

Strategy cycle

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Page 4: GR Warwick presentation June 2014

• The hard bit starts here!

• Horizon scanning, interviews, research, Jam inputs leading to a list of up to 20 drivers of change

• Starting with the March Workshop and going through to the Partners Conference in May

• Taking the drivers of change and creating mental models which combine both the forecastable elements and expose the big questions

Sense Making Setting Prioriites

ImplementationStrategic Intelligence

Board awareness

Board awareness

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Board engagement

Board engagement

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• Process leading to 14 key drivers• Role of Three Horizons tool• Role of programme support• Interviews• Desk research• Use of intranet

• Horizon scanning, interviews, research, Jam inputs leading to a list of up to 20 drivers of change

Strategic Intelligence

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MANAGER VISIONARYENTREPRENEUR

Eg, MUSIC, MOVIES, CDs, DVDs

Eg., MUSIC, MOVIES – transformational disruptor -

iTunes

Eg, MUSIC, MOVIES – paradigm buster -

Napster

Three Horizons Mindsets

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• Each led by “emerging” partners• 6 members including future leaders

– New graduate– High flyer

• Each Panel had to complete 6-10 interviews– Insiders, outsiders/clients, futurists– Outsiders reacted very positively– Panel members pleasantly surprised!

Key role of Panels

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Page 9: GR Warwick presentation June 2014

• Scenario workshop– Participants– Style– Inputs– Outputs

• Writing up the scenarios– Naming the scenarios

• Testing the scenarios • Taking the drivers of change and creating mental models which combine both the forecastable elements and expose the big questions

Sense making

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Page 10: GR Warwick presentation June 2014

Scenarios built from drivers in this box plus trends

Fore

cast

able

Incorporate in scenarios and track for the business plan

Important

Less important

UncertainThese could be

really disruptive, to be watched

These trends form part of the back story of the scenarios

The Scenario matrix

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• All Panel members took part in Scenario Workshop

• Also took scenarios out to test with publicEach panel had to find 3 groups, eg– Groups of schoolchildren– Women’s Institute– NFU branch– Asset managers– etc

Key role of Panels

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• Using the scenario to wind-tunnel strategies– Participants in the workshop– Style– Inputs– Outputs

• Starting with the March Workshop and going through to the Partners Conference in May

Setting priorities

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Brainstorm

Calibrate

Options

Process

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Page 14: GR Warwick presentation June 2014

Familiar

Unfamiliar

Uncertain

Current contribution Mature in 2-5 years Mature in 5+ years

Options

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Page 15: GR Warwick presentation June 2014

• Use to steer internal priorities• Use with clients

– Building on strong interest from interviews– And from testing workshops

• The hard bit starts here!

Implementation

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