Governor’s Drought Interagency Coordinating Group

Charles EsterSRP Water Resource OperationsMay 10, 2012

WY2012: Oct 1– May 5: 7.72”

( 69% of normal)

Verde 8.1”

Salt 7.3”

2009

2008

2010

FEB-MAR-APR (2.13”): 18th driest

2011

APR 12: 0.51”

(normal=0.8”)

FEB 12: 0.43”

(normal=1.9”)

FEB: 14th driest

MAR 12: 1.19”

(normal=1.9”)

APR: 45th driest in 113 years

DEC-MAR 2011-12: 4.75”, 30th driest in 112 winters

MAR: 47th driest

normal

4

SRP Reservoir System StatusDate: May 7, 2012

Verde River132 cfs

Salt River/Tonto Creek256 cfs

1,416,511 AF

1,025 cfs105 cfs

Arizona Canal662 cfs

South Canal559 cfs

Salt River0 cfs

85,122 AFCAP

0 cfs

70%

30%

6

Roosevelt StorageST

ORA

GE

(AF

X 10

00)

5/11 PlanActualSRP

2011 2012

7

Verde System StorageST

ORA

GE

(AF

X 10

00)

2011 2012

5/11 Plan Actual

8

9

TEMPERATURE PRECIPITATION

BELOW BELOW

ABOVE

National Weather Service OUTLOOK For MAY-JUN-JUL 2012, issued 19 April 2012

Watershed Thresholds: WET > 3.5”, DRY < 2.5”

Source: NOAA/NWS/NCEP/ Climate Prediction Center

Probability of: WET 33%, normal 33%, DRY 33% 10

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/season_drought.gif

Sea Surface Temperature AnomaliesAPRIL 2012

Cool Warm

AZ

neutral

COOL

-0.3 C/-0.6 F

WARM

COOL

El Niño/La Niña area

WARM

WARM

12

EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) FORECAST

issued by:NWS Climate Prediction Center, and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society

wintermonsoon

13

Hannagan Meadow

Maverick Fork

Promontory

Winter of 2012/2013?

What Dreams Are Made Of!