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Governors’ Biofuels Coalition Pathways to Win-Win-Win Outcomes Ernie Shea 25x’25 Project...
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Transcript of Governors’ Biofuels Coalition Pathways to Win-Win-Win Outcomes Ernie Shea 25x’25 Project...
Governors’ Biofuels CoalitionPathways to Win-Win-Win Outcomes Ernie Shea25x’25 Project CoordinatorMarch 13, 2013
25x’25- America’s Energy Future
25x’25: A National Alliance
Operates as an autonomous project of the Energy Future Coalition
Organized to explore agriculture and forestry’s role in America’s energy future
Evolved to now include conservation, environment, business, defense and rural development organizations and leaders
The 25x’25 VisionBy the year 2025,
America’s farms, ranches and forests will provide 25 percent of
the total energy consumed in the U.S. while continuing to
produce safe, abundant and affordable food,
feed and fiber.
We Will Meet This Goal By: Producing transportation fuels Harnessing wind energy Converting biogas emissions Capturing solar and hydro energy Providing biomass for generating heat and
power Encouraging energy efficiency
1,000 Partners Strong:
Today (2012) Goal (2025)
~9.14 QuadsRenewable Energy = 9.3%
98.29 QuadsTotal EnergyConsumed
27.25 QuadsRenewable Energy = 25%
Where are we going
EIA predictsconsumption of108 Quads by 2025
Where We Are Now?
Coal 20.46%
Natural Gas 25.53%Petroleum 36.23%
Nuclear 8.48%
Hydroelectric 3.26%Geothermal 0.23%
Solar/PV 0.12% Wind 1.20%Biomass 4.50%
U.S. Primary Energy Consumption by source, 2011
Outcomes of 25x’25 27.8 quads of energy $640 billion boost to economy 4.7 million new jobs A more secure nation A cleaner environment Improved public health Heightened respect for U.S. agriculture
RealitiesFossil fuel resources are finiteGlobal energy consumption is increasing (nearly 30% by 2030)The world population is growing (9.2 billion by 2050)Fast-developing economies like India and China are demanding more resources Greenhouse gas emissions are increasing (World carbon dioxide emissions expected to increase by 1.9% annually between 2001 and 2025)
America’s Mega ChallengesNational Security Economic Recovery
Environmental Improvement
America’s Mega ChallengesNational Security Economic Recovery
Environmental Improvement
Public Health
What we know about aromatics… Represent 20% to 30% of each gallon of gasoline by
volume (provide octane and suppress premature combustion).
Are comprised of benzene, toluene, and xylene (BTX). Are created in crude oil refining, requiring more oil,
energy, and cost than other gasoline constituents. U.S. market consumes 30-40 billion gallons per year Primary contributors to Ultra Fine Particle (UFP) and
Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbon (PAH) emissions Uncombusted BTX also constitutes black carbon, with
significant short-term greenhouse gas effect.
Aromatics and Public Health EPA has called ambient particulate matter (PM) one of
the nation’s greatest heath threats
PM from vehicular emissions represents greatest danger
Gasoline PAHs are carcinogenic, mutagenic and genotoxic
Health studies link gasoline aromatics to human mortality and a myriad of health problems including autism, childhood obesity, premature birth, birth defects, infant brain damage, etc., along with respiratory conditions and cancers.
Solution Pathways
LegislativeMarket Forces
Regulatory Action
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Mandatory Language Arising from Daschle – Dole ‘CLEAN OCTANE’ Provision in 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments
CAA 202(a): EPA “shall by regulation prescribe … standards applicable to the emission of any air pollutant from … new motor vehicles or new motor vehicle engines, which … cause, or contribute to, air pollution which may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare.”
CAA 202(l): For toxic pollutants, EPA “regulations shall contain standards for such fuels or vehicles, or both, which the Administrator determines reflect the greatest degree of emission reduction achievable.…”
Passed after extensive debate on the Senate floor by a vote of 69 – 30
Bottom Line
PM / UFPs / PAHs from light vehicles pose major potential health risks to urban populations through multiple avenues;
There is insufficient research underway to understand these risks; and
No clear regulatory path to mitigate them.
Path Forward
Research and science tell us that we have a serious problem
For whatever reason EPA, whose principle mission is to protect public health, has chosen not to take action
Recently finalized CAFE/GHG rules could very well exacerbate this problem
Governors can provide much needed leadership in drawing national attention to this issue and encouraging EPA to take appropriate action
Points to Ponder
There is no silver bullet We face a formidable opponent We lack a comprehensive long range plan for realizing
the full potential of biofuels Spending too much time competing with ourselves for
leadership Time is not on our side The entire value chain and rural America will suffer if we
do not prevail
www.25x25.orgwww.facebook.com/25x25Alliance