Gold Rate - Explaining the 1970s Bull Market

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    Explaining the 1970s Bull Market

    Gold Rate

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    1. GOLD CHART OF THE 1970S

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    $-$100

    $200$300$400$500$600

    $700

    US$ Per Ounce of GoldLondon PM Fixed Averages 1971 - 1980

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    1. At the beginning of the decade the gold rate

    was at US$ 35. Ten years later the price was

    US$ 870 for one ounce

    2. This is a percentage gain of 2,3870%.

    3. During the same time the Dow Jones

    Industrial Average increased from 809 to 839

    points a total gain of 3.7% for the whole

    decade

    2. BACKGROUND

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    1. On a free market, the gold rate is determined

    by supply and demand

    2. Major factors are the central banks who can

    sell and buy gold in large quantities as a

    monetary policy, the state of the national and

    world economy and international conflicts andcrises

    2. BACKGROUND

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    1. The 1970s experienced a gold bull market, as

    his precious metal could now be nationally

    and internationally freely traded after the

    Bretton Woods collapse

    2. Besides that, demand for gold also

    skyrocketed because of the dire economictimes more western nations went through in

    this decade

    2. BACKGROUND

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    1. The 1970s experienced a gold bull market, as

    his precious metal could now be nationally

    and internationally freely traded after the

    Bretton Woods collapse.

    2. Besides that, demand for gold also

    skyrocketed because of the dire economictimes more western nations went through in

    this decade.

    2. BACKGROUND

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    1. Their economies were characterized by low

    growth, high inflation, a high unemployment

    rate and increasing national debt and an

    expansion of money supply, which basically

    made their currencies less valuable.

    2. All these factors let investors diversify theirportfolios towards material assets, and gold in

    particular.

    2. BACKGROUND

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    1. Other factors for an increase in the gold rate

    were the oil crisis, the Iranian revolution and

    the Soviet Unions invasion ofAfghanistan.

    2. BACKGROUND

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    2. BACKGROUND

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    $-$100

    $200$300$400$500$600

    $700

    US$ Per Ounce of GoldLondon PM Fixed Averages 1971 - 1980

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    1. 1971:Devaluation of US dollar

    2. 1st May 1972: One ounce of gold has a

    v

    alueof more than US$ 50. This is for the first time

    after Black Friday (1864)

    3. 19th May 1973: End of the Bretton Woods

    System, the post-war monetary order whichregulated currency exchange rates and setting

    a fixed gold-dollar conversion rate

    2. TIMELINE

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    1. 14th May 1973: Gold leaped for the first time

    in London to over US$ 100

    2. 14th November 1973: Limitations on gold

    trade were lifted

    3. October 1973 until March 1974: Oil crisis

    caused by members of the OPEC whodeclared an oil embargo. This led to dramatic

    effects on national economies

    2. TIMELINE

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    1. 1975: Trading in gold futures began at the

    New York Commodity Exchange (COMEX)

    2. 21th December 1974: US President Gerald

    Ford allowed the private possession of gold;

    other countries followed suit

    3. 7th/8th January 1976: Jamaica agreement:floating exchange rates

    2. TIMELINE

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    1. 1979: Iran revolution to overthrow Irans

    monarchy

    2. 27th December 1979: Gold traded for more

    than US$ 500

    3. 4th November 1979: Iran hostage crisis

    2. TIMELINE

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    1. 24th December 1979: Invasion of

    Afghanistan by the Soviet Union

    2. 21st January 1980: The London Bullion

    Market reported a gold price of $850, the

    Commodity Exchange of New reported a

    gold rate of US$ 873

    2. TIMELINE

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    2. TIMELINE

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    $-$100

    $200$300$400$500$600

    $700

    US$ Per Ounce of GoldLondon PM Fixed Averages 1971 - 1980

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