GOES-R Proving Ground Activities at the NWS Storm Prediction Center Dr. Russell S. Schneider Chief,...
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Transcript of GOES-R Proving Ground Activities at the NWS Storm Prediction Center Dr. Russell S. Schneider Chief,...
GOES-R Proving Ground Activitiesat the
NWS Storm Prediction Center
Dr. Russell S. SchneiderChief, Science Support Branch
NWS Storm Prediction Center
Chris SiewertGOES-R Proving Ground (Norman)
NESDIS Supported OU-CIMMS Research Associate
NWS Storm Prediction Center
GOES-R Proving Ground Meeting –
May 2009
“Where America’s Weather and Climate Services Begin”
“The Storm Prediction Center exists solely to protect the life and property of the American
people through the issuance of timely, accurate watch and forecast products dealing with tornadoes and other hazardous mesoscale
weather phenomena.”
Worcester, Mass: 9 June 1953
F4: 90 Killed, 1288 Injured,10,000 Homeless, 46 Mile Path115 killed in Flint: 8 June 1953
114 killed in Waco: 11 May 1953
Chicago Area Outbreak: 21 April 1967
Belvidere F4: 90 Killed, 1288 injured,10,000 Homeless, 46 Mile Path
Oak lawn F4: 33 killed 500+ injured
• Tornadoes, Hail & Wind
• Fire weather (Day 1- 8)• Winter weather• Excessive rainfall
Storm Prediction Center
Hazardous Phenomena
National Weather Center• Co-location !!!
• SPC
• WFO Norman
• NSSL
• WDTB
• CIMMS
• OU School of Meteorology
• CAPS, OCS
• Private Sector (nearby)
NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed
Two Main Program Areas…
Experimental
Warning
Program
Experimental
Forecast
Program EFP
EWP
Prediction of hazardous weather events from a few hours to a week
in advance
Detection and prediction of hazardous weather events up to several hours in
advance
JDOP
Pre-STORM
NEXRAD IOT&E II VORTEX
Early algorithms DOPLIGHT MAPS,
COPS,
QED,
Pre-AWIPS
WDSS
AWIPS
WDSS II,JPOL,
COMET,IHOP,
Dual Pol, TIMEX, STEPS,PAR,
SHAVE, ProbWarn
Late ’70s 1985 1989 1994-95 1996 1997 2001 +
Establishing the “Culture of Collaboration” A glance at pioneering Collaborative Projects between NSSL and the
local NWS forecast office (WFO-OUN)
3
1997 2000 - 2001 2002 2003 2004 - 2005
WintWinter er
WeatWeather her
ExpeExperimerime
ntnt
WintWinter er
WeatWeather her
ExpeExperimerime
ntnt
Convectio
n-Allowing
WRF mod
el forecasts
Convectio
n-Allowing
WRF mod
el forecasts
Convection-Allowing ensemble
s
Convection-Allowing ensemble
s
Mesoscal
e Ensemble
s
Mesoscal
e Ensemble
s
IHOIHOP P
forecforecastinastin
g g suppsupportort
IHOIHOP P
forecforecastinastin
g g suppsupportort
ConvecConvective tive
parameparameterizatioterizatio
nn
ConvecConvective tive
parameparameterizatioterizatio
nn
2007 - 2008
SPC Arrives…Spring Experiments begin…
2006SE SE SE SESESpring Experiments…Spring Experiments…Spring Experiments…Spring Experiments…
4
Norman
Kansas City
NOAA Hazardous Weather Test Bed• HWT – Experimental Forecast Program Objectives
• Advance the science of weather forecasting and prediction of severe convective weather consistent with NOAA strategic goals
• Enhance collaboration between researchers and forecasters on topics of mutual interest through real-time forecasting and evaluation activities during active severe weather
• Provide for thorough examination and efficient delivery of scientific advances for SPC and NWS operations
Disciplined collaboration to advance forecast
operations
HWT-EFP Spring Experiments http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/projects/hwt/index.html
When:• 8 am to 4 pm M-F from 3rd week of April into 1st week of June
Where:• In National Weather Center HWT between OUN and SPC
Participation:• ~ 60 researchers and forecasters from U.S. and international
government agencies, academia, and the private sector
• 6-10 active participants at any time
Adding the GOES-R Proving Ground • First year of a multi-year effort
• Year 1: focus on core product developers• Year 2: add WFO, SPC and NESDIS forecasters• Year 3: add diverse satellite specialists
• Goals• Day 1 product testing & risk reduction
• Ingest, display, training, integration, evaluation
• Day 2 product ideas through focused collaboration• Aid successful AWIPS-2 integration• Bring a satellite perspective to the heart of radar
country
Initial Products & Examples• 3 GOES-R PG products currently available at the
SPC-HWT• Cloud-top Cooling Rate (UW-CIMSS)
• Convective Initiation (CI) Nowcast (UW-CIMSS)
• 10-km Total Lighting (SPoRT)
• Goal:• Provide product developers with useful feedback on
product usefulness/performance through detailed interactions with forecasters
• Daily & Weekly Schedule (2009)
Opportunities to Grow
2010 Plans:• Invitations &Announcements in January & February
• Experiment likely begins in late April• Expanded product suite & participation
• including WFO invitations through SSD Chiefs
Visits• Mix core one week participants & multiday “drop ins”
• Build multi faceted collaborative environment• Integration with other HWT components including V2