Globel Economy & Indian Stock Market, Rameswar

8/13/2019 Globel Economy & Indian Stock Market, Rameswar

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PRESENTED TO

Prof. R.K. Raul

DBA, JNSMSASSAM

UNIVERSITY

PRESENTED BY

RAMESWAR BAIDYA

ROLLNO- 60

MBA RD SEM

JNSMSASSAM

UNIVERSITY

PRESENTATION

ON

GLOBAL ECONOMY & INDIAN STOCK MARKET AREVIEW


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SerialNo. Topic

1 INTRODUCTION OF GLOBAL ECONOMY

2 A BRIEF REVIEW ON THE GLOBAL ECONOMY

3 A REVIEW ON INDIAN STOCK MARKET

4 BIBLIOGRAPHY

#ONTENTS


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INTRODUCTION:The world economy comprises of the economies of all the countries in the world. The period

before 1980s witnessed the individual economies with limited interaction among them. However

the world economies used to interact among themselves to the extent of export and import of

goods and services. lobal economy transcended from the mere export and import of goods to

investment across the countries! capital deployment! global deposits receipts! technology transfer

free movement of human resources! expanding the mar"eting operation and so on. Theglobali#ation also helps the free flow of factors of production li"e capital! human resources and

management expertise across the countries.

$o a global or transactional economy is one which transcends the national borders unhindered by

artificial restriction normally imposed by the government on the flow of goods! services and

factors of production across the national boundaries. Thus! globali#ation turns the individual andseparate economic unit into a single integrated economic unit.


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A !rie" re#ie$ o% 'e (lo!al eco%o)*:The world economy has entered a dangerous period. $ome of the financial turmoil in %urope

has spread to developing and other high&income countries! which until earlier had been

unaffected. This contagion has pushed up borrowing costs in many parts of the world! and

pushed down stoc" mar"ets! while capital flows to developing countries have fallen sharply.%urope appears to have entered recession. 't the same time! growth in several ma(or

developing countries )*ra#il! +ndia and! to a lesser extent! ,ussia! $outh 'frica and Tur"ey-

is significantly slower than it was earlier in the recovery! mainly reflecting policy tightening

initiated in late 010 and early 011 in order to combat rising inflationary pressures.

A$ a r%$ul&, a'( (%$)*&% a $&r%'+&%'*'+ of a&**&/ *' &% U'*&%( S&a&%$ a'( Ja)a',

+loal +ro1& a'( 1orl( &ra(% a% $lo1%( $ar)l/.

I'(%%(, &% 1orl( f*'($ *&$%lf, *' Ja'uar/ "0!", l**'+ a %r$*o' of &% (o1'$*(%$%'ar*o$ (*$u$$%( a$ a r*$2 3u$& 6 4o'&$ a+o 1%' &% Ju'% %(*&*o' of Global

Economic Prospects 5EP7 1a$ r%l%a$%(. A$ a r%$ul&, for%a$&$ a% %%'

$*+'*f*a'&l/ (o1'+ra(%( *' &*$ %(*&*o' of EP.


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9T% +loal %o'o4/ *$ 'o1 %:)%&%( &o %:)a'( ".; a'( .! )%r%'& *' "0!" a'( "0!

5.8 a'( 8 )%r%'& 1%' alula&%( u$*'+ )ura$*'+ )o1%r )ar*&/ 1%*+&$7, %r$u$ &%

.6 )%r%'& )ro3%&%( *' Ju'% for o& /%ar$.

9 )%r%'&

*' "0!.


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/+t is expected that if the crisis expands and mar"ets deny financing to several additional %uropean economies! outturns could be much worse! with global more than 2 percent lower than in the

baseline. 'lthough such a crisis! should it occur! would be centered in %urope! developing countries would feel its effects deeply! with developing country declining by 2. percent by 013.

9 P%ra)$ 4or% *4)or&a'&l/, a)*&al flo1$ &o (%%lo)*'+ ou'&r*%$ a% 1%a2%'%( $ar)l/ a$ *'%$&or$ 1*&(r%1 $u$&a'&*al $u4$ fro4 (%%lo)*'+-ou'&r/ 4ar2%&$ *' &% $%o'( alfof &% /%ar. O%rall, +ro$$ a)*&al flo1$ &o (%%lo)*'+ ou'&r*%$ (%l*'% &o ?!=0 *ll*o' *' &% $%o'( alf of "0!!, o'l/ ;; )%r%'& of &% ?0@ *ll*o' r%%*%( (ur*'+ &% l*2% )%r*o( of

"0!0.

9 ro4 &% ao% a'al/$*$ 1% a' $a/ &a& &% f*$al o'(*&*o'$ ar% $&*ll +%'%rall/ %&&%r *' (%%lo)*'+ ou'&r*%$ &a' *' *+-*'o4% ou'&r*%$, +o%r'4%'& ala'%$ a%

(%&%r*ora&%( / &1o or 4or% )%r%'& of DP *' al4o$& 88 )%r%'& of (%%lo)*'+ ou'&r*%$ a'( $o4% "= (%%lo)*'+ ou'&r*%$ a% +o%r'4%'& (%f**&$ of ; or 4or% )%r%'& of DP *'"0!". A$ a r%$ul&, (%%lo)*'+ ou'&r*%$ a% 4u l%$$ f*$al $)a% aa*lal% &o r%$)o'( &o a '%1 r*$*$.


7/41

9Wa&%%r &% a&ual ou&o4%$ for &% 1orl( %o'o4/ *' "0!" a'( "0!, $%%ral fa&or$

ar% l%ar. *r$&, +ro1& *' *+-*'o4% ou'&r*%$ *$ +o*'+ &o % 1%a2 a$ &%/ $&ru++l% &or%)a*r (a4a+%( f*'a'*al $%&or$ a'( a(l/ $&r%&%( f*$al ala'% $%%&$. D%%lo)*'+

ou'&r*%$ 1*ll a% &o $%ar *'r%a$*'+l/ for +ro1& 1*&*' &% (%%lo)*'+ 1orl(, a

&ra'$*&*o' &a& a$ alr%a(/ %+u' u& *$ l*2%l/ &o r*'+ 1*& *& all%'+%$ of *&$ o1'.

9R%%'& (a&a $u++%$& &a& &% 4o(%ra&*o' *' &% +loal %o'o4/ a))%ar$ &o a%

$lo1%(, &ou+ &% r*$2$ &o &% ou&loo2 r%4a*' o' &% (o1'$*(%. T% o'(*&*o' of &%

4a3or %o'o4*%$ ar% +*%' %lo1-


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T% $o%r%*+' (%& r*$%$ *' a 'u4%r of Euro)%a' ou'&r*%$ 1or$%'%( fur&%r *' "0!! a'( a++raa&%(

1%a2'%$$%$ *' &% a'2*'+ $%&or. ro4 la&% "00@, f%ar$ of a $o%r%*+' (%& r*$*$ (%%lo)%( a4o'+*'%$&or$ o'%r'*'+ $o4% Euro)%a' $&a&%$, *'&%'$*f/*'+ *' %arl/ "0!0. T*$ *'lu(%( %uro Co'% 4%4%r$

r%%%, Ir%la'(, I&al/, S)a*' a'( Por&u+al, a'( al$o $o4% 'o'-%uro Co'% Euro)%a' U'*o' 5EU7 ou'&r*%$.

I%la'(, &% ou'&r/ 1* %:)%r*%'%( &% lar+%$& f*'a'*al r*$*$ *' "00> 1%' *&$ %'&*r% *'&%r'a&*o'al a'2*'+

$/$&%4 olla)$%(, a$ %4%r+%( l%$$ aff%&%( / &% $o%r%*+' (%& r*$*$.

9R%'%1%( &%'$*o'$ *' $o%r%*+'-(%& 4ar2%&$, *+ o*l )r*%$ a'( (%%l%ra&*'+ 1orl( ou&)u& +ro1& a% allo'&r*u&%( &o a $ar) lo$$ of o'f*(%'% &o1ar($ &% %'( of "0!! a'( &% $u$%u%'& ou&)u& o'&ra&*o' *'

&% EU.

9Af&%r '%+a&*% +ro1& ra&%$ *' &% la$& uar&%r of "0!!, a DP o'&ra&*o' *$ for%a$& al$o for &% %+*''*'+ of

&*$ /%ar 5"0!"7 *' &% EU a'( &% %uro ar%a. Bo& Co'%$ a% &u$ %'&%r%( a &%'*al r%%$$*o'. All *' all,

DP *$ )ro3%&%( &o $&a+'a&% *' &% EU a'( o'&ra& / 0. *' &% %uro ar%a &*$ /%ar, a'( &o +ro1 / !. *'&% EU a'( / !.0 *' &% %uro ar%a *' "0!.

9T% o%rall (%f**& *' &% EU *$ $%& &o (%r%a$% fro4 8F of DP *' "0!! &o $o4% F *' "0!" a'(, a&

u'a'+%( )ol**%$, fur&%r &o G *' "0!.

EUROPEAN

E#ONOMY


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9o%r'4%'& (%&-&o-DP ra&*o$ ar% for%a$& &o *'r%a$% *' 4o$& EU M%4%r

S&a&%$ o%r &% for%a$& or*Co'. I' &% %uro ar%a, *'r%a$*'+ *'&%r%$& )a/4%'&$a'( lo1 +ro1& ar% o'&r*u&*'+ &o )u$ u) (%& ra&*o$. T% a++r%+a&% (%&

ra&*o of &% EU *$ for%a$& &o r%a >6 of DP &*$ /%ar a'( >= of DP *'

"0! 5$l*+& u)1ar( r%*$*o'$ r%la&*% &o &% au&u4' for%a$&7. T%

orr%$)o'(*'+ %uro-ar%a f*+ur%$ ar% @" a'( @.

9I'fla&*o' *$ %$&*4a&%( &o $lo1 +ra(uall/ a'( &o fall %lo1 " *' "0!. E'%r+/

)r*%$ a'( *'(*r%& &a:%$ a% %%' &% 4a*' (r*%r$ of o'$u4%r )r*% *'fla&*o'

*' r%%'& uar&%r$.


10/41

9T% %o'o4/ of &% United States started 2012 on a positive note. Job creation exceeded%:)%&a&*o'$, $&o2 4ar2%& *'(*%$ r%+*$&%r%( $ol*( +a*'$, r%(*& o'(*&*o'$ %a$%( 'o&al/,

1*l% al$o o'$u4%r o'f*(%'% a'( $)%'(*'+ *'r%a$%( 4ar2%(l/.

9Eo'o4* a&**&/ *$ %:)%&%( &o +ro1 / ".! )%r %'& *' "0!" a'( ". )%r %'& *' "0!, a

$l*+& u)+ra(% fro4 &% )r%*ou$ for%a$& a'( ao% &% !.= )%r %'& r%or(%( *' "0!!.

9


11/41

9T% US a$ &% lar+%$& a'( 4o$& &%'olo+*all/ )o1%rful %o'o4/ *' &% 1orl(. I' "00>, $oar*'+ o*l )r*%$ &r%a&%'%( *'fla&*o'a'( au$%( a (%&%r*ora&*o' *' &% US 4%ra'(*$% &ra(% (%f**&, 1* )%a2%( a& ?>80 *ll*o'. I' "00@, 1*& &% +loal r%%$$*o'

(%%)%'*'+, o*l )r*%$ (ro))%( 80 a'( &% US &ra(% (%f**& $ra'2, a$ US (o4%$&* (%4a'( (%l*'%(, u& *' "0!! &% &ra(%

(%f**& ra4)%( a2 u) &o ?>0 *ll*o', a$ o*l )r*%$ l*4%( o'% 4or%.

9I' "0!0 a'( "0!!, &% f%(%ral u(+%& (%f**& r%a%( '%arl/ @ of DPH &o&al +o%r'4%'& r%%'u%$ fro4 &a:%$ a'( o&%r

$our%$ ar% lo1%r, a$ a )%r%'&a+% of DP, &a' &a& of 4o$& o&%r (%%lo)%( ou'&r*%$. T% 1ar$ *' Ira a'( Af+a'*$&a'

r%u*r%( 4a3or $*f&$ *' 'a&*o'al r%$our%$ fro4 **l*a' &o 4*l*&ar/ )ur)o$%$ a'( o'&r*u&%( &o &% +ro1& of &% US u(+%& (%f**&

a'( )ul* (%& - &rou+ "0!!, &% (*r%& o$&$ of &% 1ar$ &o&al%( '%arl/ ?@00 *ll*o', aor(*'+ &o US +o%r'4%'& f*+ur%$.

+GD, real (ro$' rae

!.; 5"0!! %$&.7

5"0!0 %$&.7

-.; 5"00@ %$&.7.

+U%e)plo*)e% rae

@ 5"0!! %$&.7

@.6 5"0!0 %$&.7

9B-(e /-rpl-/ 012 or e"ici 02->.@ of DP 5"0!! %$&.7

I%"laio% rae 0co%/-)er price/2 5"0!! %$&.7

!.6 5"0!0 %$&.7

US E#ONOMY

E#ONOMY O


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9

T% )a% of %o'o4* +ro1& *' #*'a a))%ar$ &o % +ra(uall/ r%**'+,Ou&)u& +ro1& *' #*'a *$ %:)%&%( &o 4o% a2 &o1ar($ &% &o) %'( of a =F-> a''ual

+ro1& ra'+% *' "0!.

9#*'a$ %o'o4* +ro1& *' "0!! $lo1%( &o @." fro4 &% !0. of "0!0, 1*l% *'fla&*o' 1%'& u) &o ;., 1%ll ao% &% +o%r'4%'&$ or*+*'al &ar+%& of 8.

9I' *%1 of &% (*4 %:&%r'al a'( (o4%$&* +ro1& %'*ro'4%'&, #*'a$ %o'o4* +ro1& *' "0!" a$ %%' ar*ou$l/ $la&%( &o % arou'( >.;, &% lo1%$& +ro1& *' &%'

/%ar$, 1*l% *'fla&*o' 1*ll % rou+& (o1' fur&%r &o arou'( 8. So4% ar% %%' 4or% (o1'%a& aou& &% "0!" +ro1& )ro$)%&$.

9#*'a$ %o'o4* +ro1& 4o(% $&ar&%( &o a'+% *' "0!!, 1*& %:&%r'al (%4a'( 5%:)or&$ 4*'u$ *4)or&$7 o'&r*u&*'+ a $4all%r $ar% &o *&$ o%rall DP +ro1&, *' l *'%1*& +o%r'4%'& %ffor&$ &o r%'(%r #*'a$ lo'+-&%r4 +ro1& 4or% (%)%'(%'& o' (o4%$&* (%4a'(.

9E:)or& +ro1& *' "0!! a&uall/ a4% (o1' &o "0, fro4 &% "6 of "0!0. #*'a$ &ra(% $ur)lu$ *' "0!! al$o 'arro1%( &o US?!;0 *ll*o', (o1' fro4 US?!>0 *ll*o' of

"0!0.

9Off**all/, #*'a$ &o&al )ul* (%& *$ aou& ;0 of *&$ DP, 1* *$ 'o& *+ / *'&%r'a&*o'al $&a'(ar($ a'( %r&a*'l/ u*&% lo1 for $u a fa$&-+ro1*'+ %o'o4/.

9O%rall, $&ar&*'+ 1*& "0!", #*'a$ %o'o4/ *$ $a/*'+ +oo(-/% &o *&$ (oul%-(*+*& ra&%$ of +ro1&. A$ &% %o'o4/ *$ alr%a(/ lar+% a'( fa$& 4a&ur*'+, *& $oul( 'o&

o'&*'u% 1*& $u r%a2'%2 +ro1& a'/4or%

E#ONOMY O

#


13/41

GD, Gro$':

R%al DP +ro1& f%ll $ar)l/ *' &% uar&%r %'(%( D%%4%r "0!! &o 6.! )%r %'&. T*$ 1a$ &%

lo1%$& +ro1& $*'% &% +loal f*'a'*al r*$*$ *' &% $a4% uar&%r of "00>. T% DP +ro1& a$%%' fall*'+ for &% )a$& four uar&%r %au$% of &% o'$*$&%'& a'( $u$&a'&*al fall *' &% +ro1& of

&% *'(u$&r*al $%&or, )ar&*ularl/ 4*'*'+. I' &*$ f*'a'*al /%ar 1% ar% %:)%&%( &o a*%% DP

+ro1& ra&% ra'+*'+ %&1%%' ;.; &o 6.

IN3LATION:

I'fla&*o', a$ 4%a$ur%( / &% WPI, $l*))%( &o 6.6 )%r %'& *' Ja'uar/ "0!". T*$ 1a$ o' aou'& of a

(ro) *' *'fla&*o' *' )r*4ar/ ar&*l%$. W% %:)%& %a(l*'% *'fla&*o' &o a%ra+% a& >.= )%r %'& *' "0!!-

!". I'fla&*o' *$ %:)%&%( &o %a$% &o ;.= )%r %'& *' "0!"-! af&%r r%4a*'*'+ ao% %*+& )%r %'& *'

&% )r%%(*'+ &1o /%ar$.

INDUSTRY & INVESTMENTS:

W% %:)%& *'(u$&r*al )ro(u&*o' &o +ro1 / a %al&/ 6.> )%r %'& *' "0!"-!. T*$ 1*ll % (r*%' / a$ar) a%l%ra&*o' *' &% %l%&r**&/ +%'%ra&*o' +ro1& &o !.! )%r %'& fro4 =.8 )%r %'& *' "0!!-!".

W% %:)%& ou&)u& of 4a'ufa&ur%( )ro(u&$ &o +ro1 / ;.= )%r %'& *' "0!"-!, (r*%' / arou'( !0

)%r %'& +ro1& *' )ro(u&*o' of au&o4o*l%$, 4a*'%r/ a'( a$* 4%&al$.

INDIAN E#ONOMY


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,UBLIC 3INANCE:9I'(*a$ +ro$$ f*$al (%f**& alloo'%( &o R$.8. la2 ror% / Ja'uar/ "0!" a'( $ur)a$$%( &% u(+%&

%$&*4a&%$ for &% f*$al /%ar "0!!-!". T*$ 1a$ %au$% of a $ar) r*$% *' $u$*(/ *ll, lo1%r-&a'-

%:)%&%( 4o) u) of &a:%$ a'( la2 of a&*o' / &% +o%r'4%'& o' &% (*$*'%$&4%'& fro'&.

9W% %:)%& +o%r'4%'& %:)%'(*&ur% &o r%4a*' *+ *' &% la$& &1o 4o'&$ of "0!!-!". T% &a: r%%*)&$,

o1%%r, ar% u'l*2%l/ &o $o1 a'/ 4a3or )*2u). Al&ou+ &% +o%r'4%'& *$ %:)%&%( &o 4a2% $o4%

)ro+r%$$ o' &% (*$*'%$&4%'& fro'&, &% a4ou'& ra*$%( o' &*$ aou'& 1*ll 'o& % $uff**%'& &o ur&a*l &%

f*$al (%f**&. W% %:)%& D &o o'&*'u% &o %:)a'( a'( a4ou'& &o $*: )%r %'& of DP *' "0!!-!".

CA,ITAL MARKET:

9I'(*a' or)ora&% ra*$%( R$."8,>@8 ror% fro4 &% )r*4ar/ a)*&al 4ar2%&$ *' D%%4%r "0!!. T*$ 1a$

lo1%r &a' &% a4ou'& ra*$%( *' &% )r%%(*'+ 4o'&. T% #MIE O%rall Sar% Pr*% I'(%: 5#OSPI7

ro$% / 8.@ )%r %'& *' %ruar/ "0!", o%r a !.6 )%r %'& r*$% *' &% )r%%(*'+ 4o'&.

9II$ )u4)%( *' R$.";,"!= ror% *' &% I'(*a' %u*&/ 4ar2%&$ *' %ruar/ "0!" 1*l% 4u&ual fu'($

o'&*'u%( &o r%4a*' '%& $%ll%r$ (ur*'+ &% 4o'&. AUM$ of &% 4u&ual fu'( *'(u$&r/ ro$% / a %al&/=.> )%r %'& &o R$.6.6 la2 ror% *' Ja'uar/ "0!" a$ o4)ar%( &o &% )r%%(*'+ 4o'&.


15/41


16/41


17/41


18/41

Sr-c-re o" Glo!al ,ro-cio%:S%&or-1*$% alu% a((%( / r%+*o'

R%+*o'

A+r*ul&ur% I'(u$&r/ S%r*%$ To&al

I'(u$&r/-

A+r*ul&ur%ra&*o

Afr*a !6.; 80.= 8".> !00.0 ".;

A$*a =.8 >.0 ;8.6 !00.0 ;.!

Euro)% "." "=.@ 6@.@ !00.0 !".=

La&*' A4%r*a &%#arr*%a' ;.@ 8.; ;@.6 !00.0 ;.>

Nor& A4%r*a !.! "".8 =6.; !00.0 "0.8

O%a'*a .8 ">." 6>.8 !00.0 >.

Worl( 8.0 0.! 6;.@ !00.0 =.;


19/41


20/41

3acor/ :T%r% ar% $o4% ru*al fa&or$ of &% 1orl( %o'o4/ ar% (*$u$$%( %lo1-

4. OIL ,RICE:

9Worl( 4ar2%& )r*%$ of )r*4ar/ o44o(*&*%$ (%l*'%( 4ar2%(l/ *' &% $%o'( alf of"0!!, u& 1%r% o' &% r*$% a+a*' *' %arl/ "0!", %$)%*all/ o*l )r*%$. Af&%r r*$*'+ / 80 )%r

%'& &o r%a a' all-&*4% *+ a%ra+% /%arl/ )r*% of ?!!! )%r arr%l 5)7 *' "0!!, &%

Br%'& ru(% o*l )r*% *'r%a$%( fur&%r, o$*lla&*'+ arou'( ?!"0 ) *' A)r*l "0!".

9T% $ur+% 1a$ &r*++%r%( / a'$ *4)o$%( / &% EU a'( &% U'*&%( S&a&%$ o' o*l*4)or&$ fro4 &% S/r*a' Ara R%)ul* a'( &% I$la4* R%)ul* of Ira'," a$ 1%ll a$ /

$)%ula&*o' aou& %$ala&*'+ +%o)ol*&*al &%'$*o'$ *' &% r%+*o'.

9 M%&al$ )r*%$ ar% %:)%&%( &o fall 4o(%ra&%l/ *' "0!" a$ *'(u$&r*al ou&)u& $lo1$ *' #*'a

a'( &% %uro ar%a fa%$ r%%$$*o'. oo( )r*%$ a% o4% (o1' fro4 &% *+$ of "0!!,

u& r%4a*' %l%a&%(. ur&%r %a$*'+ *$ %:)%&%( *' &% $%o'( alf of "0!" a'( "0!.


21/41

T%$% &r%'($ ar% %:)%&%( &o o'&r*u&% &o a fur&%r 4o(%ra&*o' of *'fla&*o' 1orl(1*(%.

Vola&*l*&/ *' o44o(*&/ )r*%$ 1*ll r%4a*' a o'%r' for '%& o44o(*&/ %:)or&%r$ a'(

*4)or&%r$ al*2%. %o-)ol*&*al fa&or$ 4a/ )u$ o*l )r*%$ &o %%' *+%r l%%l$, )o$*'+ a'

a((%( (o1'$*(% r*$2 &o &% 1orl( %o'o4* ou&loo2


22/41

2. INTERNATIONAL MARKET:-

9Ma'a+*'+ &% 4aro%o'o4* ola&*l*&/ *'(u%( / f*'a'*al flo1$ )r%$%'&$ a all%'+%

for %4%r+*'+ 4ar2%& a'( (%%lo)*'+ ou'&r/ )ol*/4a2%r$. Wa%$ of a)*&al *'flo1$ &a&

ar% *' %:%$$ of a' %o'o4/$ a$or)&*% a)a*&/, or *+l/ $)%ula&*% *' 'a&ur%, 4a/l%a( &o %:a'+%-ra&% o%r$oo&*'+, *'fla&*o', r%(*& oo4$ a'( a$$%& )r*% ul%$.

9 Mor% *4)or&a'&l/, ola&*l% a)*&al flo1$ arr/ r*$2$ for f*'a'*al a'( %o'o4* $&a*l*&/,

1*& &% &r%a& of $u((%' $&o)$ a'( 1*&(ra1al$ of *'&%r'a&*o'al a)*&al o1*'+ &o

%*+&%'%( r*$2 a%r$*o' )o&%'&*all/ o'&r*u&*'+ &o &% $)r%a(*'+ f*'a'*al r*$%$.


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However Af&%r 4u &ur4o*l (ur*'+ "0!!, +loal a)*&al 4ar2%&$ r%+a*'%( $o4%

$&a*l*&/ *' %arl/ "0!" a$ o'%r'$ o%r a' %$ala&*o' of &% %uro ar%a r*$*$

a'( &% )o$$**l*&/ of a ar( la'(*'+ of &% #*'%$% %o'o4/ %a$%( 5a& l%a$& for

'o17, a'( +ro1& )ro$)%&$ *' &% U'*&%( S&a&%$ $%%4%( &o a% *4)ro%(.Dur*'+ &% f*r$& uar&%r of "0!", 4o$& %4%r+*'+ %o'o4*%$ a% $%%' l%$$

ola&*l*&/ *' )r*a&% a)*&al *'flo1$, 4or% 4o(%ra&%( $1*'+$ I %:a'+% ra&%$ a'(

4o(%$& $&o2 4ar2%& +a*'$. or "0!" a$ a 1ol%, &o&al '%& )r*a&% a)*&al

*'flo1$ &o %4%r+*'+ ou'&r*%$ ar% )ro3%&%( &o % )o$*&*%, &ou+ $o4%1a&

%lo1 "0!! l%%l$.

INFLATION OUTLOOK:


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INFLATION OUTLOOK:-

*I'fla&*o' a$ *'r%a$%( 1orl(1*(% (ur*'+ "0!!, (r*%' / a 'u4%r of fa&or$, )ar&*ularl/ &%

a(%r$% $u))l/-$*(% $o2$ &a& a% )u$%( u) foo( a'( o*l )r*%$ a'( $&ro'+ (%4a'( *' lar+%(%%lo)*'+ %o'o4*%$ a$ a r%$ul& of r*$*'+ *'o4%$. R%fla&*o'ar/ 4o'%&ar/ )ol**%$ *' 4a3or

(%%lo)%( %o'o4*%$ a% al$o o'&r*u&%( &o u)1ar( )r%$$ur%.


25/41

A re#ie$ o% I%ia% /oc5 )ar5e:

T% I'(*a' $&o2 4ar2%& *$ o'$*(%r%( o'% of &% 4o$& )ro4*$*'+ %4%r+*'+

4ar2%& *$ a4o'+ &% &o) %*+& 4ar2%&$ of &% 1orl(. T% $&o2 %:a'+%

Mu4a* 1* 1a$ %$&al*$%( *' !>=; a$ &% 'a&*% $ar% $&o2ro2%r$

a$$o*a&*o' a$ %ol%( o%r &% /%ar$ *'&o *&$ )r%$%'& $&a&u$ a$ &% )r%4*%r$&o2 %:a'+% *' &% ou'&r/. A& )r%$%'& "8 $&o2 %:a'+%$ o)%ra&%$ all o%r

&% I'(*a. T% $&o2 %:a'+%$ )ro*(%$ fa*l*&*%$ for &ra(*'+ $%ur*&*%$,

$%ur*&*%$ 4ar2%& )ro*(%$ a o44o' )la&for4 for &ra'$f%r o fu'($ fro4 &%

)%r$o' 1o a$ %:%$$ fu'( &o &o$% 1o '%%( &%4. S%ur*&*%$ 4ar2%& *$

r%+ula&%( / &% SEBI.

S l(* P && & & ( f S & "0!! f *


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Sar%ol(*'+ Pa&&%r' a& &% %'( of S%)&%4%r "0!! for o4)a'*%$

l*$&%( o' &% NSE

T% $ar% ol(*'+ )a&&%r' a& &% %'( of S%)&%4%r "0!! for o4)a'*%$ l*$&%( o'&% NSE a' % (%)*&%( *' &% follo1*'+ &al%-


27/41

Pr*4ar/ Mar2%&-A' a++r%+a&% of >,;6!,>6 4*ll*o' 5US ? !@!,=;; 4*ll*o'7 1a$ ra*$%( / &%

+o%r'4%'& a'( &% or)ora&% $%&or *' "0!0"0!!, o4)ar%( &o !0,0>,886

4*ll*o' 5US ? "",>" 4*ll*o'7 *' "00@"0!0 5a (%r%a$% of !;.0@ )%r%'&7.Pr*a&% )la%4%'& aou'&%( for @0.;= )%r%'& of &% (o4%$&* &o&al r%$our%

4o*l*Ca&*o' / &% or)ora&% $%&or.

Tre%/:T% *$$u%r$ 4o*l*C% r%$our%$ &rou+ )ul* *$$u%$ a'( )r*a&% )la%4%'&$.

T% r%$our%$ &a& ar% ra*$%( / or)ora&% a'( &% +o%r'4%'& fro4 (o4%$&*

a$ 1%ll a$ *'&%r'a&*o'al 4ar2%&$ ar% )r%$%'&%( *' Tal%. T% &o&al r%$our%$

4o*l*C%( &rou+ or)ora&% a'( +o%r'4%'& $%ur*&*%$ *' "0!0"0!!

(%r%a$%( / !; )%r%'& o4)ar%( &o &% f*+ur%$ for &% )r%*ou$ /%ar. T%r%$our%$ 4o*l*C%( *' "0!0"0!! a4ou'&%( &o >,;6!,>6 4*ll*o' 5US ?

!@!,=;; 4*ll*o'7 a$ a+a*'$& !0,0>,886 4*ll*o' 5US ? "",>" 4*ll*o'7 *' "00@

"0!0.

Re/o-rce Mo!ili/aio% !* Go#er%)e% a% Corporae Secor:


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Re/o-rce Mo!ili/aio% !* Go#er%)e% a% Corporae Secor:


29/41

O-co)e o" pri)ar* )ar5e:

I' "0!0"0!!, &% %'&ral +o%r'4%'& a'( &% $&a&% +o%r'4%'&$orro1%( 8,=@8,>"0 4*ll*o' 5US ? !0=,>= 4*ll*o'7 a'(

!,080,@0 4*ll*o' 5US ? ",0! 4*ll*o'7, r%$)%&*%l/. T% +ro$$

orro1*'+$ of &% %'&ral a'( &% $&a&% +o%r'4%'&$ &a2%'

&o+%&%r 1%r% u(+%&%( 6.8 )%r%'& lo1%r, fro4 6,"6,!@04*ll*o' 5US ? !>,!;" 4*ll*o'7 *' "00@"0!0 &o ;,>;,"!0 4*ll*o'

5US ? !0,6>> 4*ll*o'7 *' "0!0"0!!. T%*r '%& orro1*'+$ al$o

(%r%a$%( / !>.;; )%r%'&, fro4 ;,0@",8!0 4*ll*o' 5US ?

!!",>!8 4*ll*o'7 *' "00@"0!0 &o 8,!8=,@60 4*ll*o' 5US ? @",>@@

4*ll*o'7 *' "0!0"0!!.

( 2


30/41

S%o'(ar/ Mar2%&-

Corporae Sec-riie/:

T% %:a'+%$ *' &% ou'&r/ off%r $r%%'-a$%( &ra(*'+ $/$&%4. T%r% 1%r%!0,"0 &ra(*'+ 4%4%r$ r%+*$&%r%( 1*& SEBI a& &% %'( of Mar "0!! 5Tal%

!-=7. T% 4ar2%& a)*&al*Ca&*o' a$ +ro1' o%r &% )%r*o(, *'(*a&*'+ &a& 4or%

o4)a'*%$ ar% u$*'+ &% &ra(*'+ )la&for4 of &% $&o2 %:a'+%. T% 4ar2%&

a)*&al*Ca&*o' aro$$ I'(*a 1a$ arou'( R$ 6>,80,8@ 4*ll*o' 5US ? !,;",;@>

4*ll*o'7 a& &% %'( of Mar "0!!. Mar2%& a)*&al*Ca&*o' ra&*o *$ (%f*'%( a$ &%4ar2%& a)*&al*Ca&*o' of $&o2$ (**(%( / &% DP. T% all-I'(*a 4ar2%&

a)*&al*Ca&*o' ra&*o (%r%a$%( &o >6.>@ )%r%'& *' "0!0"0!! fro4 @8." )%r%'&

*' "00@"0!0. T% &ra(*'+ olu4%$ o' &% $&o2 %:a'+%$ a% %%'

1*&'%$$*'+ )%'o4%'al +ro1& o%r &% )a$& f%1 /%ar$. Tra(*'+ olu4%, 1*

)%a2%( a& ;;,!6>,0 4*ll*o' 5US ? !,""",!6! 4*ll*o'7 *' "00@"0!0, )o$&%( afall of !;.!" )%r%'& &o 86,>"8,=0 4*ll*o' 5US ? !,08>,6@> 4*ll*o'7 *' "0!0

"0!!.


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Go#er%)e% Sec-riie/:T% &ra(*'+ *' 'o'-r%)o +o%r'4%'& $%ur*&*%$ o' NSE a$ %%' (%l*'*'+ o'$*(%ral/

$*'% "008"00;. T% a++r%+a&% &ra(*'+ olu4%$ *' %'&ral a'( $&a&% +o%r'4%'& (a&%(

$%ur*&*%$ o' SL (%l*'%( fro4 8,"!=,0"" 4*ll*o' 5US ? @,8"! 4*ll*o'7 *' "00@"0!0

&o 8,0;,8@" 4*ll*o' 5US ? @0,>! 4*ll*o'7 *' "0!0"0!!.

Deri#ai#e/ Mar5e:T% 'u4%r of *'$&ru4%'&$ aa*lal% *' (%r*a&*%$ a$ *'r%a$%(. To %+*' 1*&, SEBI

o'l/ a))ro%( &ra(*'+ *' *'(%: fu&ur%$ o'&ra&$ a$%( o' &% N*f&/ ;0 I'(%: a'( &%

BSE 0 5SENSE7 I'(%:. O' &% NSE, &%r% ar% fu&ur%$ a'( o)&*o'$ a$%( o' &%

%'4ar2 *'(%: N*f&/ ;0, #N IT I'(%:, Ba'2 N*f&/ I'(%:, a'( N*f&/ M*(a) ;0, a$ 1%ll

a$ fu&ur%$ a'( o)&*o'$ o' ""6 $*'+l% $&o2$ 5a$ o' O&o%r 0, "0!!7. O' &% BSE,

fu&ur%$ a'( o)&*o'$ ar% a$%( o' &% BSE-0 5SENSE7, BSE TE#2, BSE BANKE,

BSE O*l a$, a'( BSE SENSE 4*'*, a$ 1%ll a$ fu&ur%$ a'( o)&*o'$ o' @@ $*'+l%

$&o2$ 5a$ o' O&o%r 0, "0!!7. T% 4*'* (%r*a&*% 5fu&ur%$ a'( o)&*o'$7 o'&ra&$ o'

&% N*f&/ ;0 a'( &% SENSE 1%r% *'&ro(u%( for &ra(*'+ o' Ja'uar/ !, "00>. T% &o&al%:a'+% &ra(%( (%r*a&*%$ 1*&'%$$%( a alu% of "@",8>,=;0 4*ll*o' 5US ? 6,;;0,;>>

4*ll*o' *' "0!0"0!! a$ a+a*'$& !=6,6>,@@0 4*ll*o' 5US ? ,@"!,>"; 4*ll*o'7 *' &%

)r%%(*'+ /%ar.


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#a)*&al Mar2%& Tur'o%r o' S&o2 E:a'+%$ *' I'(*a-

T% NSE a'( &% BSE 1%r% &% o'l/ &1o $&o2 %:a'+% &a& r%)or&%( $*+'*f*a'& &ra(*'+

olu4%$. W*& &% %:%)&*o' of &% #alu&&a S&o2 E:a'+% a'( &% U&&ar Pra(%$S&o2 E:a'+%, all &% o&%r $&o2 %:a'+%$ *' I'(*a (*( 'o& r%)or& a'/ &ra(*'+

olu4%$ (ur*'+ "0!0"0!!. T% NSE o'$ol*(a&%( *&$ )o$*&*o' a$ &% 4ar2%& l%a(%r /

o'&r*u&*'+ =6.6 )%r%'& of &% &o&al &ur'o%r *' I'(*a *' "0!0"0!!, a'( =@.;> )%r%'&

*' f*r$& alf of "0!!"0!". Loo2*'+ a& &% &r%'($ *' &ur'o%r *' &% NSE a'( &% BSE fro4

"00>"00@ &o &% f*r$& alf of "0!!"0!", o'% f*'($ &a& "0!0"0!! $a1 a (%l*'% *'

&ur'o%r o' &% %:a'+%$, 4a*'l/ o' aou'& of &% r*$*$ a'( &% u'%r&a*'&*%$ *'+loal f*'a'*al 4ar2%&$. T% &ur'o%r o' &% NSE (%l*'%( / !.;; )%r%'& *' "0!0

"0!! o4)ar%( &o &% &ur'o%r *' "00@"0!0, a'( &% &ur'o%r o' &% BSE (*))%( /

!@.>6 )%r%'& o%r &% $a4% )%r*o(. T% a%ra+% (a*l/ &ur'o%r o' &% NSE $&oo( a& US

? .!8 *ll*o' *' "0!0"0!! o4)ar%( &o US ? .;8 *ll*o' *' "00@"0!0. Tou+ &%

a%ra+% (a*l/ &ur'o%r o' &% BSE (%r%a$%( / !=.=@ )%r%'& &o US ? 0.@= *ll*o' *'

"0!0"0!!, *& (%l*'%( $u$&a'&*all/ / 4or% &a' 80 )%r%'& &o $&a'( a& US ? 0.;>*ll*o' *' &% f*r$& alf of "0!!"0!" 5o4)ar%( &o "0!0"0!!7. T*$ a' % (%)*&%( *'

&% follo1*'+ (*a+ra4-


33/41


34/41

Tra(*'+ r%u%'/ o' NSE a'( BSE-T% )%r%'&a+% of o4)a'*%$ &ra(%( o' &% BSE 1a$ u*&% lo1 *' o4)ar*$o' &o &a& o'

&% NSE (ur*'+ &% )%r*o( A)r*l "0!0 &o S%)&%4%r "0!!. I' S%)&%4%r "0!!, o'l/ ;;.@@

)%r%'& of &% o4)a'*%$ &ra(%( o' &% BSE, 1*l% @=.=! )%r%'& of &% o4)a'*%$

&ra(%( o' &% NSE.

E:a'+% -1*$% Bro2%r$ a'( Su-ro2%r$ *' I'(*a-


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E:a'+% 1*$% Bro2%r$ a'( Su ro2%r$ *' I'(*a


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,ri)ar* )ar5e:

I' "0!0"0!!, &% +o%r'4%'& a'( &% or)ora&% $%&or oll%&*%l/ 4o*l*C%( =,>;!,@= 4*ll*o' 5US ?

!=;,>;6 4*ll*o'7 fro4 &% )r*4ar/ (%& 4ar2%&, a (%r%a$% of .= )%r%'& o4)ar%( &o &% )r%%(*'+

/%ar$ 'u4%r$. Aou& =8." )%r%'& of &% r%$our%$ 1%r% ra*$%( / &% +o%r'4%'& 5&% %'&ral a'(&% $&a&% +o%r'4%'&$7, 1*l% &% ala'% 1a$ 4o*l*C%( / &% or)ora&% $%&or &rou+ )ul* a'(

)r*a&% )la%4%'& *$$u%$. T% &ur'o%r *' &% $%o'(ar/ (%& 4ar2%& *' "0!0"0!! a++r%+a&%(

=","=8,!68 4*ll*o' 5US ? !,6!>,6>" 4*ll*o'7, !8.>" )%r%'& lo1%r &a' &a& *' &% )r%*ou$ f*$al /%ar.


37/41

Seco%ar* Mar5e:T% a++r%+a&% $%o'(ar/ 4ar2%& &ra'$a&*o'$ *' (%& $%ur*&*%$ 5*'lu(*'+ +o%r'4%'& a'( 'o'-+o%r'4%'&

$%ur*&*%$7 (%r%a$%( / !;.=8 )%r%'& &o =","=8,!68 4*ll*o' 5US ? !,6!>,6>" 4*ll*o'7 *' "0!0"0!! fro4

>;,=>0,0;0 4*ll*o' 5US ? !,@00,!! 4*ll*o'7 *' "00@"0!0. No'-+o%r'4%'& $%ur*&*%$ aou'&%( for a

4%a+%r "."0 )%r%'& of &% &o&al &ur'o%r *' &% (%& 4ar2%&. T% NSE aou'&%( for aou& =.=> )%r%'& of

&% &o&al &ur'o%r *' (%& $%ur*&*%$ 5*' o& -$% a'( 'o'--$% $%ur*&*%$7 *' "0!0"0!!.

*ff * l( ( * *


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D*ff%r%'% %&1%%' &% /*%l( +%'%ra&%( / &% -$% or)ora&% $%ur*&*%$

4a&ur*&/ u'(%r &% (*ff%r%'& &*4% )%r*o( ar% (%)*&%( fro4 &% (*a+ra4 %lo1-


39/41

or%*+' I'%$&4%'&$ *' I'(*a-Tr%'($ *' II I'%$&4%'&T% &r%'( *' II *'%$&4%'&$ (ur*'+ &% )%r*o( fro4 "000- "00=- "00> *$ *'r%a$%( $*+'*f*a'&l/ 1*l% %:)%r*%'*'+ a '%+a&*% +ro1& ra&% *' &% /%ar %&1%%' "00>-"00@. Af&%r &% "00>-"00@

&% f** '%& *'%$&4%'& a+a*' *'r%a$%$ a'( $&oo( &% f*+ur% +*%' %llo1. T% II a+a*' %:)%r*%'*'+ '%+a&*% f*+ur% *' 4a/, au+u$& a'( $%)&%4%r *' "0!!. ro4 &% %lo1 &al% *& *$ %a$*l/

(%)*&%(. I' S%)&%4%r "0!0, &% '%& *'%$&4%'& of "6,6>0 4*ll*o' / II$ 1a$ &% *+%$& 4o'&l/ '%& *'%$&4%'& *' "0!0"0!!. T% &o&al '%& *'%$&4%'& / II$ *' "0!0"0!! $&oo( a& US

? ",""6 4*ll*o', a'( *& (r*%( u) *' &% f*r$& alf of "0!!"0!" a& US ? ",08" 4*ll*o'


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BIBLIOGRA,6YBooks:

4evin.$ $%56,+T7 ''7$+$ : ;,T


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THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION

Globel Economy & Indian Stock Market, Rameswar

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