Globalization – what is it about?

Manfred Steger; Globalization – a very short introduction

Perceptions of the World

Different levels:

• tribal, local,

• regional,

• national,

• international

• and global.

Globalization indicates that we are dealing with the highest level of relations in the world

Tomas Ries 14.10.2004

NEW HISTORICAL ERA - WAVES

TIME

… 8000 BC 1700 2000

ABILITY TO MANIPULATE MATTER

GATHER-HUNT

AGRICULTURE

INDUSTRY

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGICAL WAVES

Tomas Ries 14.10.2004

WORLD SOCIETY – EARLY GLOBALISED

PREMODERN SOCIETIES

MODERN STATES

GLOBALISING COMMUNITY

1 %EXXON-MOBILDAIMLER-CHRYSLERMITSUBISHICITIGROUP

14 %

USAJAPANSINGAPOREHONG KONGSWEDENITALYTAIWAN

5 % SOUTH KOREA(CHINA, INDIA 10%)ESTONIAHUNGARYTHAILAND

15 %BRAZILEGYPTRUSSIASYRIA(CHINA, INDIA 40%)

65 %ANGOLA(CHINA, INDIA 50%)RWANDASUDANZAIRE

Tomas Ries 14.10.2004

WORLD SOCIETY - STRATAGNP pc ppp 000 USD

1% GLOBALISED ELITE

30

DAIMLER-BENZNOKIA

SONY-ERICSSON

25

USASWITZERLAND

JAPAN

13% RICH GLOBALISING20

HONG KONGFINLAND, SWEDEN

ITALY, TAIWANPRC 1, INDIA 1

822.5

2% EARLY GLOBALISING15

SPAINSOUTH KOREA

124.8

4% LATE MODERN10

CZECH REPUBLICARGENTINA

HUNGARY233.7

15% PRIMITIVE MODERN05

BRAZILRUSSIA

VENEZUELA891.0

32% PREMODERN01

34% MISERY

PRC 3, INDIA 3ANGOLA, LAOS

RWANDA1,925.2

2,066.2

FLOW WORLD

COLLISION

IMPLOSION

Tomas Ries 14.10.2004

WORLD SOCIETY – EARLY GLOBALISED

PREMODERN SOCIETIES

MODERN STATES

GLOBALISED COMMUNITY

1 %EXXON-MOBILDAIMLER-CHRYSLERMITSUBISHICITIGROUP

14 %

USAJAPANHONG KONGSWEDENITALYTAIWAN

5 % SOUTH KOREA(CHINA, INDIA 10%)CZECH REPHUNGARYTHAILAND

15 %BRAZILEGYPTRUSSIASYRIA(CHINA, INDIA 60%)

65 %ANGOLARWANDASUDANZAIRE

THE EMPIRE“OECD community”

Tomas Ries 14.10.2004

L’EMPIRE, C’EST NOUS – THE GLOBAL FAT CATS

G7Other OECDChina & India

POSTMODERN COMMUNITY - CooperGLOBALISERS - FriedmanCORE - Barnett

?

?

Tomas Ries 14.10.2004

EXTERNAL POLITICAL TENSIONS - EARLY GLOBALISED

YUGOSLAVIA

REFUGEESINSTABILITYCRIME

IRAQ- KUWAIT

VITAL INTERESTSDISORDER

FALKLANDS

CHALLENGE

MAGHREB

REFUGEESMIGRATIONPOVERTY ISRAEL-

PALESTINE

TERRORISM

INDIA-PAKISTAN

RADIATIONDISORDER

CHECHNYA

PRC-TAIWAN

DETERRENCEDISORDER

SIERRA LEONE

EVACUATION

COLUMBIA

CRIME

PANDEMIC DISEASE

L’EMPIRE - C’EST NOUS

TRANSNATIONALSTRATEGICTERROR

AFRICA

ARAB WORLD

Tomas Ries 14.10.2004

THE WHITE MAN’S BURDEN DEVELOPMENT AND DEMOCRACY

1.ORDER AND SECURITY

2.ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

3.SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT (Middle Class)

4.DEMOCRACY

You must first develop structural stability.

Only thereafter is stable democracy possible.

This is why development aid is not enough. And this is our dilemma.

Tomas Ries 14.10.2004

IMPERIAL SECURITY

AGENDA

PREMODERN SOCIETIES

MODERN STATES

GLOBALISED COMMUNITY

1 %

14 %

5 %

15 %

65 %

SYMBIOSIS (WEF)

LEADERSHIP + STRATEGYG7, NATO, EU

INTEGRATE EU, OECD, WTO

ASSIST, PROTECT IMF, WB, UNDP, NATO

ASYMMETRIC REALPOLITICSOSCE, NATO, EU

??? BENEVOLENT COLONIALISM ???UN? NATO? ESDP?

Tomas Ries 14.10.2004

THREAT ANALYSIS - EARLY GLOBALISED

SEVERITY

EXISTENCE

VITAL

COMFORT

MORAL

LIKELIHOOD

REMOTE POSSIBLE LIKELY HAPPENING

MADRID

LONDON

9.11

STRATEGISK TERROR

FLU

SARS

DEADLY PANDEMIC

GLOBAL ECONOMIC DEPRESSION

GLOBAL ECONOMIC CRASH