Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and...

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Globalism versus Nationalism Rawi Abdelal April 2019

Transcript of Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and...

Page 1: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

Globalism versus Nationalism

Rawi Abdelal

April 2019

Page 2: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

The past is never dead. It’s not even past.

—William Faulkner, Requiem for a Nun

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Page 3: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

Three themes, three cycles:

A great power transition, still unfolding

Borders and the Other

Inequality and the Center

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Page 4: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

Rise and fall

A great power transition

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Page 5: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath
Page 6: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath
Page 7: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

Re-bordering the borderless world

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Page 8: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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Page 9: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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Page 10: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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Page 11: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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Page 12: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

Some lingering, festering debates

About inequality

The Other

And how the elites let down “the people”

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Page 13: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath
Page 14: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

Debates leading to populism on the Right

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Page 15: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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Page 16: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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Page 17: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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Dutch parliamentary elections, March 2017

Page 18: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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French presidential and parliamentary elections, April-June 2017

Page 19: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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German parliamentary elections, September 2017

Page 20: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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Italian general election, March 2018

Page 21: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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Brazilian presidential election, October 2018

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And on the Left

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Page 23: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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Page 24: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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Page 25: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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Page 26: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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Page 27: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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Italian general election, March 2018

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Mexican general election, July 2018

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And Left-Right

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Page 30: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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France November 2018 – April 2019

Page 31: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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Belgium December 2018

Page 32: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

The weakening middle

Between the angry extremes

With pressures for fragmentation

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Page 33: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

Such as the BRexit

As a matter of consequence

And as metaphor

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Page 34: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

50%50%

80Immigration

51Capitalism

71Internet

69Globalization

78The Green movement

74Feminism

80Social liberalism

81Multiculturalism

79

49

51

62

62

60

68

71

Share of survey participants who supported both leaving

the European Union and felt negative about a number of

concepts

Share of survey participants who supported both remaining in

the European Union and felt positive about a number of

concepts

LeaveRemain

BREXIT:FAULT L INES

OF

GLOB AL IZAT ION

Page 35: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

Such as the 2016 U.S. election

As a revolution (of sorts)

And as allegory

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Page 36: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath
Page 37: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath
Page 38: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath
Page 39: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage.

—John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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Page 40: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath
Page 41: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath
Page 42: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath
Page 43: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

Reflections on the Revolution in France

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Page 44: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath
Page 45: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath
Page 46: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

Inquiries into the Italian “Tsunami”

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Page 47: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath
Page 48: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath
Page 49: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath
Page 50: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath
Page 51: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath
Page 52: Globalism versus Nationalism · In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

The future enters into us, in order to transform itself in us, long before it happens.

—Rainer Maria Rilke

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