Global Q115 MEOSbro
description
Transcript of Global Q115 MEOSbro
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SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 1
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
ManpoweremploymentOutlookSurveyglobal
Q1 2015
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SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 2
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
Over 65,000 employers across 42 countries and territories have been interviewed to measure anticipated labor market activity between January and March 2015.
All participants were asked, How do you anticipate total employment at your location to change in the three months to the end of March 2015 as compared to the current quarter?
(Additional details on page 2)
Contents
globalemploymentOutlook 1International Comparisons Americas 3International Comparisons Asia Pacific 7International Comparisons EMEA 10
AbouttheSurvey 17
AboutManpowergroupTM 18global
employm
ent
Outlook
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ManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurvey 1
SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 1
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
10 (11)1
1 (5)1
2 (2)1
%
7 (8)1
18 (21)1
25 (28)1
15 (15)1
41 (45)1
16 (18)1
37 (43)1
4 (10)1
10 (12)1
15 (16)1
3 (5)1
2 (5)1
-4 (-3)1
-3 (-2)1
7 (10)1
1 (3)1
0 (3)1
4 (6)1
14 (20)1
-7 (-5)1
1 (2)1
-4 (0)1
-1 (-1)1
-3 (-2)1
3 (2)1
-2 (1)1
-1 (0)1
-2 (0)1
-1 (2)1
-4 (3)1
-2 (-3)1
1 (0)1
3 (2)1
0 (1)1
6 (5)1
6 (6)1
1 (1)1
12 (12)1
0 (0)1
5 (5)1
5 (10)1 2 (2)1 4 (2)1
10 (8)1 5 (4)1 -5 (-4)115 (17)1 -5 (0)1 -2 (1)1
13 (16)1 1 (1)1 3 (3)1
1 (4)1 3 (6)1 1 (1)1
4 (8)1 1 (1)1 3 (3)1
5 (8)1 2 (4)1 2 (2)1
13 (10)1 8 (4)1 7 (6)15 (8)1 3 (2)1 3 (3)13 1 5
1 (5)1 -4 (-1)1 -3 (-3)1
1 (9)1 0 (0)1 0 (3)1
-1 (2)1
-6 (-4)1
4 (5)1
-1 (-1)16 (8)1 1 (0)1 -4 (-6)13 (3)1 0 (-2)1 -3 (-3)1
-2 (-2)19 (8)1 -4 (-3)1 -4 (-4)1
0 (0)118 (19)1 -3 (1)1 4 (4)1
EMEA Europe, Middle East and Africa.
1. Number in parentheses is the Net Employment Outlook when adjusted to remove theimpact of seasonal variations in hiring activity. Please note that this data is not available for all countries as a minimum of 17 quarters worth of data is required.
1 (4)1
-3 (0)14 (4)1
-8 -7 -2
0 (0)1
-4 (-2)1
-6 (-4)1
10 (13)1
-4 (-2)1
5 (6)1
-1 (0)1
-1 (1)1
-1 (-2)1
-3 (-4)1
-3 (-3)1
16 (16)1
7 -1 -3
-1 (-1)1
6 (6)1
2 (2)1
-2 (0)1
4 (7)1 -3 (1)1 1 (2)1
5 (5)1
* Indicates unadjusted data.
Quarter 1 2015 Net Employment Outlook
-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
India
Taiwan
New Zealand
Japan
Turkey
Panama
Singapore
Colombia
Peru
United States
Hong Kong
Mexico
China
Bulgaria
Canada
Ireland
South Africa
Romania
Australia
Brazil
Costa Rica
Greece
Guatemala
Hungary
Slovenia
Israel
United Kingdom
Sweden
Austria
France
Germany
Poland
Czech Republic
Argentina
Norway
Slovakia
Spain
Belgium
Switzerland
Netherlands
Italy
Finland
+45%
+43%
+28%
+21%
+20%
+19%
+18%
+17%
+16%
+16%
+15%
+12%+11%
+10%
+10%
+10%
+10%
+9%+8%
+8%
+8%
+8%
+8%
+8%
+8%
+7%*
+7%
+6%
+5%
+5%
+5%
+5%
+4%
+3%
+3%
+3%*
+3%
+2%
-2%
-3%
-5%
-8%*
Quarter 1 2015Qtr on Qtr ChangeQ4 2014 to Q1 2015
Yr on Yr ChangeQ1 2014 to Q1 2015
Americas
Asia PacificAustralia
China
Hong Kong
Japan
India
New Zealand
Singapore
Taiwan
EMEA
Austria
Belgium
Bulgaria
Costa Rica
Colombia
United States
Czech Republic
Greece
Hungary
South Africa
SloveniaSlovakia
PolandRomania
Canada
Mexico
Peru
Brazil
Argentina
Guatemala
Panama
France
Germany
Finland
Ireland
Netherlands
Norway
Spain
Turkey
Italy
Switzerland
Sweden
Israel
UK
globalemploymentOutlook
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2 ManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurvey
SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 2
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
OutlooksremainpositiveinalleightAsiaPacificcountriesandterritories.First-quarterforecastsarestrongerinfivecountriesandterritoriesincomparisontoQuarter42014,weakeninonlyoneandareunchangedintwo.Employerhiringconfidencestrengthensyear-over-yearinsixcountriesandterritories,declinesinoneandisunchangedinone.EmployersinIndiareportthestrongesthiringplansaswellasthemostoptimisticacrosstheglobe,whiletheregionsweakestforecastisreportedbyAustralianemployers.
Employersineachofthe10countriessurveyedintheAmericasalsoreportpositiveOutlooks.Hiringconfidencestrengthensinfivecountries,dipsinthreeandisunchangedintwowhencomparedtothelastthreemonthsof2014.However,hiringactivityisexpectedtoslowcomparedtolastyearatthistimeinsixcountries,improveinonlythreeandremainunchangedinone.EmployersinPanamareportthestrongestfirst-quarterhiringplanswhilethoseinArgentinaexpecttheweakestjobgrowth.
Fullsurveyresultsforeachofthe42countriesandterritoriesincludedinthisquarterssurvey,plusregionalandglobalcomparisons,canbefoundat
http://manpowergroup.com/press/meos_landing.cfm.
ThenextManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurveywillbereleasedon10March2015toreporthiringexpectationsforthesecondquarterof2015.
*Commentaryisbasedonseasonallyadjusteddatawhereavailable.TheQuarter12015surveyrepresentsthefirsttimesurveyresultsforBulgaria,SloveniaandTurkeyareseasonallyadjusted.DataisnotseasonallyadjustedforFinland,IsraelandSlovakia.
ManpowerGroupinterviewedover65,000employersacross42countriesandterritoriestomeasureanticipatedlabormarketactivity*betweenJanuaryandMarch2015.Allparticipantswereasked,HowdoyouanticipatetotalemploymentatyourlocationtochangeinthethreemonthstotheendofMarch2015ascomparedtothecurrentquarter?
Forecastsindicatethatthehiringpaceinmostoftheworldslabormarketswillnotshiftdramaticallyincomparisontothreemonthsagoorlastyearatthistime.Staffinglevelsareexpectedtogrowbyvaryingmarginsinallbutfourcountriesbutthereislittleevidenceofabroad-basedaccelerationofhiringactivity.Instead,patternssimilartopriorquarterscontinue.EmployerconfidenceinboththeU.S.andtheUKcontinuestograduallyimprove.HiringintentionsinChinaandBrazilremainpositive,buttheenergeticpacethatoncecharacterizedbothlabormarketscontinuestoslowdowntomoremodestlevels.AndthehiringpaceinIrelandandSpainregainsmomentumasOutlooksagainturnpositivefollowingdipsintonegativeterritorythreemonthsago.
Acrosstheglobe,employersin38ofthe42countriesandterritoriesreportpositivefirst-quarterhiringplans.OutlooksaregenerallystrongerwhencomparedtotheQuarter42014andQuarter12014surveys;forecastsimprovein22countriesanddeclineinonly12quarter-over-quarter,andimprovein24countrieswhiledecliningin13year-over-year.HiringconfidencefortheJanuary-MarchtimeframeisonceagainstrongestinIndia,TaiwanandNewZealand.TheweakestandonlynegativeforecastsarereportedbyemployersinFinland,Italy,NetherlandsandSwitzerland.
IntheEurope,MiddleEast&Africa(EMEA)regionjobprospectsaremixed:Employersin20of24countriesforecastpayrollgainsinthequarterahead,whileemployersinfourcountriesexpectstaffinglevelstodecline.Thehiringforecastimprovesin12countriesquarter-over-quarter,andstrengthensin15inayear-over-yearcomparison.TurkishemployersreporttheregionsmostoptimistichiringplansforthefirstthreemonthsoftheyearwhilejobgrowthisexpectedtobeweakestinFinland.
TheManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurveyisManpowerGroupsquarterlyindexofemployerhiringconfidence.
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ManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurvey 3
SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 3
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
Argentina +3 (+3)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Argentina joined the survey in Q1 2007 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
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Over30,000employersfrom10countriesthroughoutNorth,CentralandSouthAmericaweresurveyedtomeasureexpectedhiringactivityforQuarter12015.Employerhiringintentionsarepositiveineachcountry,withOutlooksimprovingfromQuarter42014infivecountriesanddeclininginthree.Year-over-year,hiringprospectsstrengtheninthreecountriesbutweakeninsix.
EmployersinPanamareporttheregionsmostoptimistichiringplans,withmorethanoneofeveryfiveemployersindicatingtheywilladdtotheirpayrollsinthefirstthreemonthsoftheyear.JobseekersmaybenefitfromanespeciallyactiveforecastintheTransport&Communicationssector.Colombianemployersarealsoanticipatingafavorablefirst-quarterhiringclimatefueledbyanexpectedsurgeinjobopportunitiesintheFinance,Insurance&RealEstatesectorandcontinuedstronghiringactivityintheServicessector.
OpportunitiesforU.S.jobseekersareexpectedtocontinuegrowingsteadilyastheOutlookisnowthemostoptimisticsinceQuarter22008.ForecastsarepositiveineachindustrysectorandregionwithemployersintheLeisure&Hospitalitysectorreportingthestrongesthiringintentions.AnactivehiringpaceisalsoexpectedintheWholesale&RetailTradesectorwhereemployersreportthemostoptimistichiringplanssinceQuarter12001.Additionally,employerconfidenceintheConstructionsectoraswellasinallfourU.S.regionsisnowstrongerthanatanypointsincebeforetherecession.
InternationalComparisonsAmericasAsimilarlyupbeatforecastisreportedinPeru.SolidjobgainsareexpectedintheFinance,Insurance&RealEstatesector,aswellasintheManufacturingsectorwheretheforecastimprovesconsiderablyinbothquarter-over-quarterandyear-over-yearcomparisons.
EmployersremaincautiouslyoptimisticinCanadawithpositivehiringintentionsreportedinallindustrysectorsandregions.OpportunitiesforjobseekersareexpectedtobethemostfavorableintheFinance,Insurance&RealEstatesectorwherenearlyoneinfiveemployersintendtoaddtotheirpayrollsduringthefirstthreemonthsoftheyear.
InMexico,OutlooksarepositiveinallregionsandinallindustrysectorsdespitesharpdeclinesinthecountrysMining&ExtractionsectorwheretheforecastsinkstoitsweakestlevelsinceQuarter42009.
EmployerscontinuetoforecastjobgrowthinBrazil.However,theforecastremainsatitsleastoptimisticlevelsincethesurveystartedinQuarter42009.Additionally,employersintheManufacturingandtheConstructionsectorsreportthecountrysfirstnegativehiringintentionssincethesurveylaunched.
AlthoughhiringintentionsremainmostlypositiveinArgentina,employersareevidentlyexpressinguncertaintyaheadofthe2015electionsandamidcontinuinghighinflation;thecountrysforecastistheregionsweakestanddipstotheleastoptimisticlevelinmorethanfiveyears.
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4 ManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurvey
SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 4
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
Brazil +6 (+8)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Brazil joined the survey in Q4 2009 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
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Canada +4 (+10)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
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Colombia +15 (+17)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Colombia joined the survey in Q4 2008 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Costa Rica +10 (+8)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Costa Rica joined the survey in Q3 2006 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
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ManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurvey 5
SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 5
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
Guatemala +9 (+8)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Guatemala joined the survey in Q2 2008 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Mexico +10 (+12)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
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50
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Panama +18 (+19)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Panama joined the survey in Q2 2010 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
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50
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Peru +15 (+16)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Peru joined the survey in Q2 2006 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
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6 ManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurvey
SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 6
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
+13 (+16)%United States of AmericaSeasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
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30
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50
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ManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurvey 7
SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 7
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
ManpowerGroupinterviewedover15,000employersineightcountriesandterritoriesacrosstheAsiaPacificregiontomeasurehiringplansinQuarter12015.
Hiringplansremainpositivethroughouttheregion,withthestrongesthiringplansagainreportedbyemployersinIndia,TaiwanandNewZealand.OutlooksarestrongerinfivecountriesandterritoriesincomparisontoQuarter42014,weakeninoneandareunchangedintwo.Inayear-over-yearcomparison,Outlooksimproveinsixcountriesandterritories,declineinoneandremainunchangedinone.
Forthefourthconsecutivequarter,employersinIndiareportthemostoptimisticforecastamongall42countriesandterritoriesparticipatinginthesurvey.TheOutlookisunchangedfromthreemonthsagobutnotablystrongerinayear-over-yearcomparison,withconsiderableyear-over-yeargainsforecastinsixofsevenindustrysectorsandtwooffourregions.Talentisexpectedtoremaininshortsupplyacrossallsectors,butespeciallyinorganizationsassociatedwithIT,Finance,ConstructionandConsumerDurables.
AsimilarlyvigoroushiringpaceisexpectedinTaiwanwithemployersreportingthemostoptimisticforecastsincethesurveylaunchedinQuarter22005.Finance,Insurance&RealEstatesectoremployersreportthestrongestfirst-quarterhiringplans,whileOutlooksintheServicesandtheWholesale&RetailTradesectorsclimbtotheirmostoptimisticlevelssincethesurveystarted.
InternationalComparisonsAsiapacificOpportunitiesforJapanesejobseekerscontinuetogrowsteadilyandemployerhiringintentionsarestrongerthanatanypointsinceQuarter22008.ForthefifthconsecutivequarterMining&Constructionsectoremployersexpectthestrongestjobgrowth.Demandforengineers,ITandretailspecialistscontinues,andthisisdrivingforecastsinsixofsevenindustrysectorsandallthreeregionstotheirstrongestlevelssincebeforetherecession.
Buoyedbytheneedtotaptheirmassiveinternalmarket,Chinashiringpaceisexpectedtoremainsteadythroughthefirstthreemonthsof2015.Forecastsarepositiveinallindustrysectorsandallregions.However,Outlooksweakenbyvaryingmarginsinmostsectorsandregionsinayear-over-yearcomparison.OneexceptionistheServicessectorwhere,consistentwiththeshifttowardamoreservices-basedeconomy,theOutlookclimbsslightlyfromlastyearatthistime.
OpportunitiesforjobseekersremainsolidinNewZealandwheretheforecastisnowstrongerthanatanypointsinceQuarter22007.JobgrowthisexpectedtobestrongestintheMining&Constructionsectorwheremorethanfourof10employersindicatetheywilladdtotheirpayrollsinthefirstthreemonthsoftheyear.
ForecastsremainpositiveineachofAustraliasindustrysectorsandinallbutoneregion,butactivityassociatedwiththeimportantminingandresourcessectorremainsflat.Asaresult,overalljobgrowthremainsmodestandtheOutlookweakensslightlycomparedtothreemonthsago.
Australia +7 (+8)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
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8 ManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurvey
SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 8
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
+10 (+11)%ChinaSeasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
China joined the survey in Q2 2005 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
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Hong Kong +15 (+15)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
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India +41 (+45)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
India joined the survey in Q3 2005 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
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Japan +18 (+21)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
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ManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurvey 9
SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 9
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
New Zealand +25 (+28)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
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0
10
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Singapore +16 (+18)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-50-40-30-20-100
10203040506070
Taiwan +37 (+43)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Taiwan joined the survey in Q2 2005 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
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10ManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurvey
SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 10
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
ManpowerGroupsurveyedmorethan20,000employersin24countriesintheEurope,MiddleEastandAfrica(EMEA)regiontomeasureanticipatedQuarter12015hiringactivity.
First-quarterhiringpatternsremainmixedacrosstheregion.Positiveforecastsarereportedin20of24countries,comparedto18of24inQuarter42014.Outlooksimprovein12countriesinaquarter-over-quartercomparisonandweakenineight,andimprovein15countriesyear-over-yearanddeclineinonlysix.Thefirst-quarterforecastisstrongestinTurkey,whiletheweakestandonlynegativeforecastsarereportedbyemployersinFinland,Italy,theNetherlandsandSwitzerland.
Turkeysemployersexpectanactivehiringpacethroughthefirstthreemonthsoftheyear,boostedinpartbybrightprospectsinthecountrysManufacturingsectorwherecontinuingdemandfortalentinautomotiveandtextilecompaniesisexpectedtocreatemoreopportunitiesforjobseekers.PharmaceuticalandConstructionsectoremployersexpectasimilarlyactivehiringpace.
FrancesOutlookhasnowimprovedbymodestmarginsforthreeconsecutivequartersandemployerhiringplansarenowthemostoptimisticsinceQuarter12008.Thestrongestfirst-quarterhiringpaceisreportedbyFinance&BusinessServicessectoremployers.AnexpectedupturninFrancesautomotiveindustryhasManufacturingsectoremployersreportingtheirfirstpositiveforecastinnearlytwoyears.
InternationalComparisonseMeASimilarly,opportunitiesforjobseekersareexpectedtocontinueimprovingintheUnitedKingdom.Thecountrysmostpromisingfirst-quarterforecastsince2008ispropelledinpartbyconsiderablystrongerhiringsentimentintheConstructionsector.Elsewhere,employersinIrelandandSpainappeartohaveregainedconfidence,withfirst-quarterOutlooksinbothcountriesagainturningpositiveafterbriefslipsintonegativeterritoryinQuarter42014.
EmployersremaincautiouslyoptimisticinGermanywherethehiringpaceinallindustrysectorsandmostregionsisexpectedtoremainpositivethroughthefirstthreemonthsoftheyear.EmployersintheFinance&BusinessServicessectorcontinuetoreportthemostpromisinghiringplans.However,theManufacturingsectorOutlooksinkstoitsweakestlevelinovertwoyearsasemployersanticipatehowweakerproductdemandthroughouttheEurozonewillimpacttheircompanies.
Afterdippingslightlyinthepreviousquarter,employerconfidenceinHungaryreturnstoitsmostoptimisticlevelsincethesurveystartedinQuarter32009.TheManufacturingsectorOutlook,followingsixconsecutivequartersofgrowth,isnowthemostoptimisticforecastreportedbyemployerssincethesurveywaslaunched.TheFinance&BusinessServicesOutlookalsomatchesthestrongesthiringintentionsreportedtodatebysectoremployers.
Conversely,employerconfidenceinSwitzerlandandtheNetherlandscontinuestoerodewithConstructionandManufacturingsectoremployersinbothcountriesreportingconsiderableyear-over-yeardeclines.
Austria +1 (+5)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
-
ManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurvey 11
SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 11
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
Belgium +2 (+2)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Bulgaria +5 (+10)%
Bulgaria joined the survey in Q1 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Czech Republic +1 (+4)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Czech Republic joined the survey in Q2 2008 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
+10 (+10)%
Finland -8%Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Finland joined the survey in Q4 2012 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
-
12ManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurvey
SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 12
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
France +3 (+5)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Germany +2 (+5)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Greece +4 (+8)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Greece joined the survey in Q2 2008 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Hungary +5 (+8)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Hungary joined the survey in Q3 2009 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
-
ManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurvey 13
SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 13
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
Ireland +7 (+10)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Israel +7%Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Israel joined the survey in Q4 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Italy -7 (-5)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Netherlands -4 (-3)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
-
14ManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurvey
SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 14
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
Norway +1 (+3)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Poland +1 (+5)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Poland joined the survey in Q2 2008 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Romania +1 (+9)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Romania joined the survey in Q2 2008 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Slovakia +3%Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Slovakia joined the survey in Q4 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
-
ManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurvey 15
SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 15
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
Slovenia +5 (+8)%
Slovenia joined the survey in Q1 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
South Africa +13 (+10)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
South Africa joined the survey in Q4 2006 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Spain 0 (+3)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Sweden +4 (+6)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
-
16ManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurvey
SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 16
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
Switzerland -3 (-2)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Switzerland joined the survey in Q3 2005 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Turkey +14 (+20)%
Turkey joined the survey in Q1 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
United Kingdom +4 (+7)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
-
ManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurvey 17
SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 17
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
TheManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurveyisconductedquarterlytomeasureemployersintentionstoincreaseordecreasethenumberofemployeesintheirworkforcesduringthenextquarter.ManpowerGroupscomprehensiveforecastofemployerhiringplanshasbeenrunningformorethan50yearsandisoneofthemosttrustedsurveysofemploymentactivityintheworld.VariousfactorsunderpinthesuccessoftheManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurvey:
Unique:Itisunparalleledinitssize,scope,longevityandareaoffocus.
Projective:TheManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurveyisthemostextensive,forward-lookingemploymentsurveyintheworld,askingemployerstoforecastemploymentoverthenextquarter.Incontrast,othersurveysandstudiesfocusonretrospectivedatatoreportonwhatoccurredinthepast.
Independent:Thesurveyisconductedwitharepresentativesampleofemployersfromthroughoutthecountriesandterritoriesinwhichitisconducted.ThesurveyparticipantsarenotderivedfromManpowerGroupscustomerbase.
Robust:Thesurveyisbasedoninterviewswithover65,000publicandprivateemployersacross42countriesandterritoriestomeasureanticipatedemploymenttrendseachquarter.Thissampleallowsforanalysistobeperformedacrossspecificsectorsandregionstoprovidemoredetailedinformation.
Focused:Formorethanfivedecadesthesurveyhasderivedallofitsinformationfromasinglequestion:
FortheQuarter12015research,allemployersparticipatinginthesurveyworldwideareaskedthesamequestion,HowdoyouanticipatetotalemploymentatyourlocationtochangeinthethreemonthstotheendofMarch2015ascomparedtothecurrentquarter?
AbouttheSurveyMethodologyTheManpowerEmploymentOutlookSurveyisconductedusingavalidatedmethodology,inaccordancewiththehigheststandardsinmarketresearch.Thesurveyhasbeenstructuredtoberepresentativeofeachnationaleconomy.Themarginoferrorforallnational,regionalandglobaldataisnotgreaterthan+/-3.9%.
NetEmploymentOutlookThroughoutthisreport,weusethetermNetEmploymentOutlook.Thisfigureisderivedbytakingthepercentageofemployersanticipatinganincreaseinhiringactivityandsubtractingfromthisthepercentageofemployersexpectingtoseeadecreaseinemploymentattheirlocationinthenextquarter.TheresultofthiscalculationistheNetEmploymentOutlook.NetEmploymentOutlooksforcountriesandterritoriesthathaveaccumulatedatleast17quartersofdataarereportedinaseasonallyadjustedformatunlessotherwisestated.
SeasonaladjustmentshavebeenappliedtothedataforallparticipatingcountriesexceptFinland,SlovakiaandIsrael.ManpowerGroupintendstoaddseasonaladjustmentstothedataforthesecountriesinthefutureasmorehistoricaldataiscompiled.NotethatinQuarter22008,ManpowerGroupadoptedtheTRAMO-SEATSmethodofseasonaladjustmentfordata.
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SMARTJOBNO: 08003 QuARTeR12015
CLIeNT: MANpOweR
SuBJeCT:MeOSQ115gLOBALTwOCOLOuRuSLeTTeR
SIZe: A4
DOCNAMe: 08003MpCp_gLOBAL_2COL_uS_LeTTeR_Q115 pAge: 18
ARTwORkSIZe: 279.4mmx215.9mm(11inchesx8.5inches)DATe:20.11.14
87ChARTeRhOuSeSTReeTLONDONeC1M6hJTeL+44(0)2075534744
ManpowerGroup(NYSE:MAN)hasbeentheworldsworkforceexpertformorethan65years.Wesource,assess,developandmanagetalentacrossawiderangeofskillsandindustries.OurManpowerGroupfamilyofbrandsExperis,Manpower,ManpowerGroupSolutions,andRightManagementhelps400,000clientsin80countriesandterritoriesimproveworkforceperformance,whileconnectingmorethan600,000individualstomeaningfulwork.ManpowerGroupwasnamedoneoftheWorldsMostEthicalCompaniesforthefourthconsecutiveyearin2014,confirmingourpositionasthemosttrustedbrandintheindustry.www.manpowergroup.com
AboutManpowergroupTM
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