Global chemicals M&A deals insights Q3 2017...As the global chemicals industry continues to perform...

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With the completion of the Dow DuPont megadeal, focus will now shift to the preplanned carve-outs and the industry realignment that will be triggered thereafter. The completion of this and other megadeals will mark the end of the first phase of a years-long transformation of the chemical industry landscape. Executive summary As the global chemicals industry continues to perform well under positive macroeconomic factors and steady demand, companies continue to look towards inorganic growth for market and portfolio expansion. Nevertheless, investments this quarter are modest in terms of value when compared to a year ago, displaying a continuous shift towards middle market transactions. The third quarter of 2017 brought in 20 transactions for a total value of $10.5 billion. Investments continue to concentrate in the specialty chemicals category, which is expected to see increased demand from a strengthening construction sector in North America and end-user industries in developing countries. While low interest rates and strong cash flows set a backdrop for increased M&A activity, other factors may also influence investments: oil prices are on the rise, natural gas prices are expected to increase in 2018, fertilizer prices remain stable but low due to lower demand, and corporate tax reform remains on the table. We expect companies to continue to invest in M&A as it continues to be an attractive option for improving profitability. Vijay Sarathy and Craig Kocak US Chemicals Strategy and Deals leaders PwC Deals Global chemicals M&A deals insights Q3 2017 Optimize Deals Global Chemicals Deals Insights Q3 2017 Update 1 Optimize deals Value by the numbers 35% Q3 2017 vs. Q2 2017 70% 2017 YTD vs. 2016 YTD $10.5B Q3 2017 Volume by the numbers Q3 2017 vs. Q2 2017 2017 YTD vs. 2016 YTD 20 16% 15% Q3 2017 Source: Thomson Reuters and other publicly available sources 40% 38% Deal value for the first nine months of 2017 was $43.2 billion, 70% lower than the first nine months of last year. There were 78 deals in the first nine months of 2017 a 16% decrease from last year. The average deal size in Q3 was 48% lower than the quarterly average of $1 billion, resulting from a reduction in megadeals. There were five deals greater than $1 billion in Q3 2017 with an aggregate transaction value of $7.2 billion. BASF announced its intentions to acquire Solvay’s global polyamide business for $2.2 billion. Specialty Chemicals accounted for 79% of M&A value this quarter. Acquisitions continue to be driven by strategic investors. Key trends/highlights

Transcript of Global chemicals M&A deals insights Q3 2017...As the global chemicals industry continues to perform...

Page 1: Global chemicals M&A deals insights Q3 2017...As the global chemicals industry continues to perform well under positive macroeconomic factors and steady demand, companies continue

With the completion of the Dow DuPont megadeal, focus will now shift to the preplanned carve-outs and the industry realignment that will be triggered thereafter. The completion of this and other megadeals will mark the end of the first phase of a years-long transformation of the chemical industry landscape.

Executive summary

As the global chemicals industry continues to perform well under positive macroeconomic factors and steady demand, companies continue to look towards inorganic growth for market and portfolio expansion. Nevertheless, investments this quarter are modest in terms of value when compared to a year ago, displaying a continuous shift towards middle market transactions.

The third quarter of 2017 brought in 20 transactions for a total value of $10.5 billion. Investments continue to concentrate in the specialty chemicals category, which is expected to see increased demand from a strengthening construction sector in North America and end-user industries in developing countries.

While low interest rates and strong cash flows set a backdrop for increased M&A activity, other factors may also influence investments: oil prices are on the rise, natural gas prices are expected to increase in 2018, fertilizer prices remain stable but low due to lower demand, and corporate tax reform remains on the table. We expect companies to continue to invest in M&A as it continues to be an attractive option for improving profitability.

Optimize deals

— Vijay Sarathy and Craig KocakUS Chemicals Strategy and Deals leaders

PwC DealsGlobal chemicals M&Adeals insights Q3 2017

Optimize DealsGlobal Chemicals

Deals InsightsQ3 2017 Update 1

Optimize deals

Value by the numbers

35%

Q3 2017vs.

Q2 2017

70%

2017 YTDvs.

2016 YTD

$10.5BQ3 2017

Volume by the numbers

Q3 2017vs.

Q2 2017

2017 YTDvs.

2016 YTD

20 16% 15%Q3 2017

Source: Thomson Reuters and other publicly available sources

WIP40%

38%

• Deal value for the first nine months of 2017 was $43.2 billion, 70% lower than the first nine months of last year.

• There were 78 deals in the first nine months of 2017 a 16% decrease from last year.

• The average deal size in Q3 was 48% lower than the quarterly average of $1 billion, resulting from a reduction in megadeals.

• There were five deals greater than $1 billion in Q3 2017 with an aggregate transaction value of $7.2 billion.

• BASF announced its intentions to acquire Solvay’s global polyamide business for $2.2 billion.

• Specialty Chemicals accounted for 79% of M&A value this quarter.

• Acquisitions continue to be driven by strategic investors.

Key trends/highlights

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$387$494

$227

$911

$2,290

$1,972 $1,721

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$580$550 $525

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Sector category analysisM&A activity continues to concentrate in the specialty chemicals category, as companies expand their offerings and strengthen their position in specific market segments in response to pressures from increased competition. In Q3 2017, specialty chemicals accounted for 67% of deal value and 50% of transaction volume.

0

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CommodityChemicals

Fertilizersand Agricultural Chemicals

IndustrialGases

SpecialtyChemicals

Diversifiedand Other

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Source: Thomson Reuters and other publicly available sources

Highlights of Q3 2017 deal activity

Optimize DealsGlobal Chemicals

Deals InsightsQ3 2017 Update 2

Source: Thomson Reuters and other publicly available sources

Global chemicals M&A deal volume and value

Global chemicals M&A deals by disclosed value

Deal value ($B)

Deal volume

Source: Thomson Reuters and other publicly available sources

Dow/ DuPontCytec/ Solvay

Praxair/Linde

Bayer/ Monsanto

ChemChina/Syngenta Evonik/Air Products

PMD; BASF/ChemetallPotash Corp of Saskatchewan/

Agrium Inc.

$17 $14 $9$26

$87

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$21

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Disclosed deal value Deal volume (R-Axis)

Deal activityTotal deal value this quarter was $10.5 billion, 40% lower than last quarter. Year to date, deal value is 70% lower than last year due to a reduction in the number of industry changing megadeals.

There were 20 deals this quarter, 38% fewer than last quarter. Year to date, deal volume is 16% lower than last year. Average deal size this quarter remains well below $1 billion.

Largest transaction In September, it was announced that BASF will acquire Solvay’s global polyamide business for $2.2 billion. The acquisition includes twelve production sites, four R&D centers, and ten technical support locations, helping further expand BASF’s engineering plastics portfolio.

Blackstone/Solvay Acetow

Carlyle/Atotech

Air Liquide /Airgas

DuPont-FMC asset swap

Clariant/ Huntsman

Megadeals greater than $1 billionFive deals with disclosed value greater than $1 billion contributed to $7.2 billion of total transaction value this quarter. This is 73% less than the quarterly average of $26.9 billion.

4Q16

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18

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Strategic investors Financial investors

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Share of deal volume by acquirer region

Asia and Oceania North America South America

UK and Eurozone Europe ex-UK and Eurozone Africa/Undisclosed

Key trends and insights

Optimize Deals Global Chemicals

Deals InsightsQ3 2017 Update 3

Source: Thomson Reuters and other publicly available sources

Deal value ($B)

Deal volume

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Financial investor share of M&A activity

Financial buyer share of total value

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Share of deal value by acquirer region

Asia and Oceania North America South America

UK and Eurozone Europe ex-UK and Eurozone Africa/Undisclosed

Financial vs. strategic investorsStrategic investors continue to contribute to the largest share of deal activity in the sector. Seventy-four percent of value and 50% of volume was attributed to transactions between sector participants. This contribution is lower than previous quarters indicating an increase in interest from private equity due to higher expected returns.

Regional analysisThe Asia and Oceania region remains active by volume, accounting for 55% of targets and 55% of acquirers in the sector this quarter. By value, the Asia and Oceania region accounts for 41% of targets and 39% of acquirers in 2017, indicating that deals in this region are less valuable than other regions.

Source: Thomson Reuters and other publicly available sources

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Share of disclosed deal volume by target region

Asia and Oceania North America South America

UK and Eurozone Europe ex-UK and Eurozone Africa/Undisclosed

39

%

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70

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Share of disclosed deal value by target region

Asia and Oceania North America South America

UK and Eurozone Europe ex-UK and Eurozone Africa/Undisclosed

Key trends and insights

Optimize Deals Global Chemicals

Deals InsightsQ3 2017 Update 4

Regional analysis (continued)

Chemicals deals by region

Europe ex-UK and EurozoneLocal: 3 deals, $0.7 billionInbound: 2 deals, $0.2 billionOutbound: 2 deals, $7.1 billion

South AmericaLocal: 2 deals, $0.4 billionInbound: 0 dealsOutbound: 0 deals

UK and EurozoneLocal: 4 deals, $2.6 billionInbound: 2 deals, $0.8 billionOutbound: 5 deals, $1.5 billion

Asia and OceaniaLocal: 41 deals, $15.5 billionInbound: 2 deals, $2.3 billionOutbound: 2 deals, $1.5 billion

North AmericaLocal: 16 deals, $10.8 billionInbound: 6 deals, $9.8 billion Outbound: 3 deals, $3 billion

Africa/UndisclosedLocal: 0 dealsInbound: 0 dealsOutbound: 0 deals

Source: Thomson Reuters and other publicly available sources

Source: Thomson Reuters and other publicly available sources

Looking forward in 2017With three quarters behind us, 2017 will be remembered for the closing of the industry-changing megadeals. Two of the largest global megadeals, ChemChina/Syngenta and Dow/DuPont, were completed in the past few months. Focus is on the remaining three global megadeals larger than $10 billion and it is expected the acquirers will step up their efforts to bring these deals to fruition, including necessary divestitures/spin-offs, some of which could be significant and drive deals activity down the road.

Additionally, we have been observing the US dollar weakening and crude oil price recovering in Q3. If the trend continues, we expect demand increase for chemical products and stronger balance sheet for chemical companies which may in turn drive M&A activity. Other factors that may positively impact deals

volume remain unchanged, such as ample cash held by strategic and financial buyers.

In the short term, inorganic growth through acquisitions and/or portfolio realignment through divestitures/spin-offs will remain a practical way for chemical companies to try to enhance shareholder value. In the longer term, deal activities could see a further boost if repatriation tax holiday as part of Trump’s tax reform becomes reality.

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Optimize dealsKey trends and insights

Top 10 chemicals deals 20171

Optimize Deals Global Chemicals

Deals InsightsQ3 2017 Update 5

Top 10 chemicals deals 2016

Top 10 chemicals deals 2015

Announced Target name Target nation Acquirer name Acquirer nation Status Deal value2 Category

05/22/17 Huntsman Corp. United States Clariant AG Switzerland Pending 6,730 Specialty Chemicals

01/25/17 Hengli Investment (Dalian) Co. Ltd. China Hengli Petrochemical Co. Ltd. China Pending 2,610 Specialty Chemicals

02/21/17National Titanium Dioxide Co. Ltd.-Titanium Dioxide Business

Saudi Arabia Tronox Ltd. United States Pending 2,215 Diversified and Other

09/19/17 Solvay SA-Polyamides Business France BASF SE Germany Pending 2,152 Specialty Chemicals

04/17/17 Williams Olefins LLC United States NOVA Chemicals Corp. Canada Completed 2,100 Industrial Gases

02/24/17 Daesung Industrial Gases Co. Ltd. South Korea Korea Industrial Gas Holdings Inc. South Korea Completed 1,766 Industrial Gases

04/27/17 Shanghai SECCO Petrochemical Co. Ltd. ChinaSinopec Shanghai Gaoqiao Petrochemical Co. Ltd.

China Pending 1,682 Commodity Chemicals

03/31/17 DuPont Crop Protection3

United States FMC Corp. United States Pending 1,625Fertilizers and Agricultural

Chemicals

05/03/17 Shanghai Enjie New Material Technology Co. Ltd. ChinaYunnan Chuangxin New Material Co. Ltd.

China Pending 1,606 Specialty Chemicals

09/04/17 Royal Adhesives & Sealants LLC United States HB Fuller Co. United States Pending 1,575 Specialty Chemicals

Announced Target name Target nation Acquirer name Acquirer nation Status Deal value2 Category

05/18/16 Monsanto Co. United States Bayer AG Germany Pending 56,598Fertilizers and Agricultural

Chemicals

02/03/16 Syngenta AG Switzerland CNAC Saturn (NL) BV Netherlands Completed 41,840Fertilizers and Agricultural

Chemicals

12/20/16 Linde AG Germany Praxair Inc. United States Pending 35,164 Industrial Gases

08/30/16 Agrium Inc. Canada Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc. Canada Pending 13,093Fertilizers and Agricultural

Chemicals

05/06/16Air Products & Chemicals Inc.-Performance-Materials Operations

United States Evonik Industries AG Germany Completed 3,800 Industrial Gases

06/17/16 Chemetall GmbH-Surface Treatment Business Germany BASF SE Germany Completed 3,200 Commodity Chemicals

10/07/16 Atotech BV Germany Investor Group United States Completed 3,200 Diversified and Other

10/17/16Sealed Air Corp.-Diversey Care & Related Hygiene Business

United States Bain Capital Private Equity LP United States Completed 3,200 Diversified and Other

01/29/16 Axiall Corp. United States Westlake Chemical Corp. United States Completed 2,329 Specialty Chemicals

02/03/16 Syngenta AG Switzerland CNAC Saturn (NL) BV Netherlands Pending 2,260Fertilizers and Agricultural

Chemicals

Announced Target name Target nation Acquirer name Acquirer nation Status Deal value2 Category

12/11/15 EI du Pont de Nemours & Co. {DuPont} United States The Dow Chemical Co. United States Completed 62,141 Specialty Chemicals

11/17/15 Airgas Inc. United States Air Liquide International SA France Completed 10,630 Diversified and Other

07/29/15 Cytec Industries Inc. United States Solvay SA Belgium Completed 5,516 Specialty Chemicals

03/27/15The Dow Chemical Co.- Chlor-Alkali & Derivatives Business

United States Olin Corp. United States Completed 5,000 Specialty Chemicals

12/11/15 Dow Corning Corp. United States The Dow Chemical Co. United States Completed 4,800 Diversified and Other

08/16/15 Adama Agricultural Solutions Ltd. Israel Hubei Sanonda Co. Ltd. China Completed 2,916Fertilizers and Agricultural

Chemicals

08/12/15 CF Industries Nitrogen LLC United States CHS Inc. United States Completed 2,800Fertilizers and Agricultural

Chemicals

08/07/15 Jiangsu Hengli Chemical Fibre Co. Ltd. ChinaDalian Rubber&Plastics Machinery Co. Ltd.

China Completed 2,429 Specialty Chemicals

07/13/15 ALENT plc United KingdomMacDermid Performance Acquisitions Ltd.

United Kingdom Completed 2,131 Specialty Chemicals

10/30/15 Samsung SDI Co. Ltd.-Chemical Business South Korea Lotte Chemical Corp. South Korea Completed 2,040 Specialty Chemicals

1) Despite half of the GE water business relating to chemicals, the deal was captured by the industrial manufacturing deals insights report instead.2) In US$ millions.3) DuPont/FMC asset-swap deal value is estimated based on publicly disclosed revenue and EBITDA numbers of the business and comparable transaction multiples.

Source: Thomson Reuters and other publicly available sources

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Authors

Craig KocakUS Chemicals Deals leaderPhiladelphia, Pennsylvania [email protected](267) 330-2777

Vijay SarathyUS Chemicals leaderBoston, Massachusetts [email protected](617) 794-5926

Marcus MorawietzGlobal Chemicals leaderFrankfurt, [email protected]+49 699 716 74 67

Seamus JiangUS China Inbound Deals leaderUS Chemicals Deals lead MDPhiladelphia, Pennsylvania [email protected](267) 330-1862

About PwC

© 2017 PwC. All rights reserved. PwC refers to the US member firm or one of its subsidiaries or affiliates, and may sometimes refer to the PwC network. Each member firm is a separate legal entity. Please see www.pwc.com/structure for further details. This content is for general information purposes only, and should not be used as a substitute for consultation with professional advisors.

About the dataThe information presented in this report is an analysis of deals in the global chemicals industry. Deal information was sourced from Thomson Reuters and includes deals for which targets have an SIC code that falls into chemicals mid-industry group. Certain adjustments have been made to the information to exclude transactions which are not specific to chemicals or incorporate relevant transactions that were omitted from the SIC industry codes.

This analysis includes all individual mergers, acquisitions, and divestitures for disclosed or undisclosed values, leveraged buyouts, privatizations, minority stake purchases, and acquisitions of remaining interest announced between October 1, 2014 and September 30, 2017, with a deal status of completed, partially completed, pending, pending regulatory and pending completion and excludes all rumors and seeking buyers. Additionally, transactions that are spin-offs through distribution to existing shareholders are included.

Percentages and values are rounded to the nearest whole number which may result in minor differences when summing totals.

Smart deal makers are perceptive enough to see value others have missed, flexible enough to adjust for the unexpected, aggressive enough to win favorable terms in a competitive environment, and circumspect enough to envision the challenges they will face from the moment the contract is signed. But in a business environment where information can quickly overwhelm, the smartest deal makers look to experienced advisors to help them fashion a deal that works.

PwC’s Deals group can advise chemicals companies and chemicals-focused private equity firms on key M&A decisions, from identifying acquisition or divestiture candidates and performing detailed buy-side diligence, to developing strategies for capturing post-deal profits and exiting a deal through a sale, carve-out, or IPO. With more than 9,800 deals professionals in 75 countries, we can deploy seasoned teams that combine chemicals industry skills with local market knowledge virtually anywhere and everywhere your company operates or executes transactions.

Although every deal is unique, most will benefit from the broad experience we bring to delivering strategic M&A advice, due diligence, transaction structuring, M&A tax, merger integration, valuation, and post-deal services.

In short, we offer integrated solutions, tailored to your particular deal situation and designed to help you extract peak value within your risk profile. Whether your focus is deploying capital through an acquisition or joint venture, raising capital through an IPO or private placement, or harvesting an investment through the divesture process, we can help.

For more information about M&A and related services in the global chemicals industry, please visit www.pwc.com/us/deals or www.pwc.com/us