1800

1900

2016

7,432,663,000

World Population Increase2050

9,725,147,000

1,186,178992,224

4,393,296

738,442

2,477,5361,217,360

5,266,848

706,792

The world's food production will have to increase by 60%

African Population Increase >2050

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

19

61

19

66

19

71

19

76

19

81

19

86

19

91

19

96

20

01

20

06

20

11

20

16

20

21

20

26

20

31

20

36

20

41

20

46

Nig

eri

an P

op

ula

tio

n x

10

00

Afr

ican

Po

pu

lati

on

x1

00

0

Population in Africa & Nigeria >2050

Total Population - Both sexes (1000)

Nigeria Total Population - Both sexes (1000)

Productivity

Latin America Africa Asia

10t/Ha 21t/Ha12t/Ha

Cassava Producing Countries

0

200,000,000

400,000,000

600,000,000

800,000,000

1,000,000,000

1,200,000,000

1,400,000,000

1,600,000,000

1,800,000,000

2,000,000,000

Y2012

Pro

du

cti

on

t/Y

Sugarcane WO

Maize WO

Rice WO

Wheat WO

Cassava WO

Potatoes WO

Soybean WO

Sweet potato WO

Bananas WO

Yam WO

Production of Major Crops in World – 2012

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Y1

99

8

Y1

99

9

Y2

00

0

Y2

00

1

Y2

00

2

Y2

00

3

Y2

00

4

Y2

00

5

Y2006

Y2

00

7

Y2

00

8

Y2

00

9

Y2

01

0

Y2

01

1

Y2

01

2

Evo

luti

on

rela

tive t

o 1

998

Maize WO

Wheat WO

Cassava WO

Rice WO

Evolution of Cassava/Cereals Production in World

1998-2012

African Cassava Yield Increase

R² = 0.9802

R² = 0.97761

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1961 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2011 2020 2030 2040 2050

WheatCassava

Afr

ican

Fo

od

Pro

du

ctiv

ity

Incr

eas

e (

%)

15.4 t/Ha

1.0 b people

10.8 t/Ha

0.35 b people

African Food Productivity Increase

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Cu

mu

lati

ve P

erc

en

tag

e I

ncre

ase

Increase Cassava Indexes in Africa

Africa Yield (T/Ha)

Africa Production (M Tons)

Africa Area (M Ha)

% I

ncre

ase /

Year

12.0%

10.0%

8.0%

6.0%

2.0%

4.0%

0.0%

426 Mt

30 t/Ha

14.2 MHa

Cassava Productivity

Poverty

Africa Asia

>15t/Ha

>20t/Ha

<10t/Ha

Latin America

Food Security

Industry

A Global Alliance

For the

Improvement of Cassava

Developing

a Global Vision for Cassava

Advocate for cassava

Look for gaps in R&D at the global

level: to promote Investment, transfer

modern science into cassava, inviting

top labs in the world

Steer communication on cassava

through strategic meetings, global

meetings, websites, publications…

What Will GCP21 Do?

GCP21 Cassava Chain

GCP21 Push-Pull Concept

Breaking the circle of poverty

Using Cassava Waste

$2000/Mt

$20/Mt

Cassava

Poverty

Circle

Virus Eradication

10t/Ha

15t/Ha

20t/Ha

GCP21 Strategic Meetings

1- Meeting of experts with one question

2- Elaborating a RoadMap

3- Publishing the RoadMap for a

Reference

4- Organizing subsequent actions, pilot

projects, meetings,

communications…

1- Strategic R&D for Cassava 2010

2- Declaring War on Cassava Viruses - RTB

3- Preserving Cassava Landraces – RTB, GB

4- Cassava-Based Feed System – RTB, WF, LSF, HT

5- Establishing a Cassava Seed System – RTB, HT

6- Gari Revolution in Nigeria – RTB, HT, L&F, A4HN

7- Modernization of Cassava Production in Africa

8- Cassava Data Accuracy and Production Forecast

9- Developing Cassava Artificial Seeds - RTB …

GCP21 Strategic Meetings

CMD

CBSD

Whiteflies

A War on Cassava Viruses

Can we prevent CBSD to reach West

Africa?

Can we decrease the impact of cassava

viruses in Africa?

Can we prevent CBSD and CMD to spread

in the rest of the world?

Declaring a War on Cassava

Viruses in AfricaBellagio, May 6-10, 2013

Action Frames

Outreach for Alliance Membership

i) Viruses, surveillance and diagnostics

ii) Climate Change

iii) Whiteflies &IPM

iv) Breeding

v) Seed systems

vi) Capacity development

vii) Policy and Advocacy

viii) Economic value

Road Map for War on Cassava VirusesY01 Y02 Y03 Y04 Y05 Y06 Y07 Y08 Y09 Y10 Y11 Y12 Y13 Y14 Y15 Y16 Y17 Y18 Y19 Y20

Frame Work for Action Plan

Action Frames Organizations involved Immediate Midterm Longterm

Out-Reaching & Rallying All, but FARA, ASARECA, CORAF

i) Viruses, surveillance and diagnostics

IITA, CIAT, CIRAD, IRD, NARs, Regional Networks & Centers, Extension services at large

ii) Climate, cassava landscape and pest and diseases

CIAT

iii) Whiteflies and IPMIITA, CIAT, and NARs & Regional Centers

iv) Breeding IITA, CIAT, and NARs

v) Seed systemsIITA, CIAT and NARs, FAO, NGOs, Private sector, Extension Services, Communities

vi) Capacity developmentIITA, CIAT, NARs, FAO, Regional Networks & Centers, Extension services at large

vii) Policy and Advocacy GFAR, FARA, Regional Networks

viii) Economic valueIFPRI, Regional Networks, Consultants

An agricultural island in a hot spot of Biodiversity

Plant Protection Platform

• Creation of a Pan-African Cassava Surveillance Network

– PACSUN

• Development of an International Cassava Transit Site in

La Reunion – DICSit

• Creation of Cassava Diagnostic Network in Africa

– CDNA

• Organization of Diagnostic Training Courses

– Beca : Univ La Reunion

1- Consensus during the meeting for using cassava

peels for animal feed: fish, pigs, chicken…

2- Organize several pilot projects to incorporate

cassava and cassava waste in various animal feed

Establishing a Cassava-Based Feed

System in Africa

Pilot 1: Use of cassava peels for small ruminants

and chicken

Pilot 2: Fermentation of cassava waste to

produce fish feed

2014 2050

Nigerian population: 160M >>>>> 450M

Cassava production: 52Mt >>>>> 150Mt

Cassava waste: 14Mt >>>>> 42Mt

Animal feed: 10Mt >>>>> 21Mt

Fish production: 600kt >>>>> 4.5Mt

Fish feed: 600kt >>>>> 4.5Mt

Fish feed price: $2000/Mt >> ???

Cassava Waste for Animal & Fish Feed

Production of Cassava Peels Pellets

for chicken & small Ruminant Feed

Drying to 15% or less consistently achieved within 6 hours of

sun drying @ 21-300C and humidity levels up to 90%

Confidential and Proprietary Information of BioTork, LLC

Proposed Pilot Project to produce fish feed

BioTork Adapted

Heterotrophic

Algae, Fungi

High-Fat Algae Meal

Animal Feed for Livestock

and AquacultureAlgae Oil

PPD

Low DMC

roots

Cassava

peels

Cassava

effluents

Cassava

siftings

9.4 M tons of gari

36 M tons fresh roots

3-4 M farmers

14 M tons of waste

400-1000 gari markets

400,000 – 1,000,000 people

Feeds 100-130 M people

$2-8 billions / Year

GCP21 Strategic Meetings: Gari

Revolution in Nigeria

Gari Revolution in Nigeria

Using high

DMC cassava

varieties

Using

efficient

machines

Using waste to

feed animals

Making more

nutritious gari

products

Sending

children back

to school

Improving

ecology and

health

Improving the

gari marketing

system

Accessing banking loans and market information

Provide money to

gari producers

and processors

Gari Revolution in Nigeria

IITA, ILRI, RTB, L&F, A4NH,

GAIN, WISHH, H+, NGOs

Business, Banks

FMARD, Gari Assoc.

Several Donors

Gari Revolution in Nigeria

Land Clearance

New varieties

Mechanization

Service Providers

Cooperatives of Farmers

Affordable Bank Loans

Best Agronomic Practices

Weed Control

Securing Markets

GCP21 Strategic Meetings:

Modernization of Cassava Production in

Africa

CHANGE IN

SUITABILITY

FOR MAIZE -

2050Negative

Positive

Contrasting responses between

maize and cassava: 2-3oC temp

rises, changes in prec

Change In suitability for Maize 2050

Source: Andy Jarvis

CHANGE IN

SUITABILITY

FOR CASSAVA

- 2050Negative

Positive

Change In suitability for Cassava 2050

Source: Andy Jarvis

Cassava first food crop in sub-saharan Africa

Cassava can adapt to all sort of soils

Cassava is resilient to global warming

Cassava cannot sustain flooding

Cassava is prone to pests and diseases

Cassava needs a lot of manpower

Cassava roots cannot be stored = distance to processing

or consumers

Need accurate data!

Need accurate tools for previsions!

GCP21 Strategic Meetings 2017: Cassava Data Accuracy & Production

Forecasting under Climatic Change and

Urbanization in Africa

Peace on Hearth with Cassava!