ADAPTATION

IMPLEMENTATION: RESEARCH TO IMPACT IN

THREE SECTORS

Resilient

Chicago:

Climate Planning

for the Future

1

Research to Action: Themes

•Collateral Benefits

•Business Case

•Humanitarian Issue

2

FIVE STRATEGIES

Co-Benefits:

Improved Quality of

Life

Source: Hayhoe et al. Journal of Great Lakes Research, 2010.

Temperature: A warmer Chicago

Chicago Metropolitan Area Annual Average Temperatures Observations and projections under multiple emissions scenarios

Higher Emissions:

Lower Emissions:

Projected

number of 100-

degree days

per year in

Chicago

31 days

8 days

Health: Increasing heat-related risks

Source: Hayhoe et al. Journal of Great Lakes Research, 2010

Chicago Metropolitan Area Heat-Related Deaths

Observations and projections under multiple emissions scenarios

Source: Hayhoe, U.S. Global Change Research Program , 2009

Impacts of Chicago’s Changing Climate

Midwest Seasonal Precipitation Events

Projected under high emissions

2010-2039 2040-2069

2040-2069

% changes relative to a 1961-1990 average

2070-2099

Copyright 2010, City of Chicago

Economic Risk of Climate Impacts

Chart source: Oliver Wyman, Corporate Risk Case Study, 2008.

Avg. additional annual cost in 2007 dollars

by climate driver and period

Mitigation-Adaptation Overlap

Adaptation Resources

www.chicagoclimateaction.org

Copyright 2010, City of Chicago

Projections and

potential impacts

Adaptation quick

guide

Corporate risk

analysis

14

Business is Struggling to Address Corporate Responsibility Issues

28%

13% 15%

25% 21% 20% 18%

26% 23% 23% 22%

30% 27%

42% 42%

49%

58%

87%

90% 87%

94%

89% 87%

84%

91%

87% 86% 84%

84%

79%

90% 87%

85%

83%

Global France Germany Indonesia Canada Belgium UK Brazil Italy US Netherlands Singapore Japan Malaysia China UAE India

What Business Should Do

Current Performance

But there is a Shift in Trust-Building From Operational to Societal

16 TRUST BUILDING ATTRIBUTES SOCIETAL

OPERATIONAL

1 Listens to customer needs and feedback

8 Communicates frequently and honestly

7 Has transparent and open business

6 Has ethical business practices

5 Takes actions to address issue or crisis

4 Places customers ahead of profits

3 Treats employees w ell

2 High quality products or services

9 Works to protect/ improve environment

16 Partners w ith third parties

15 Ranks on a global list

14 Delivers consistent f inancial returns

13 Highly regarded, top leadership

12 Innovator of new products

11 Positively impacts the local community

10 Addresses society's needs

SOCIETAL attributes more important

to building future trust

CURRENT TRUST

driven by operational attributes

17

The World Economic Forum

The World Economic Forum

18

More than 70% of corporate

respondents saw risks to their supply

and value chains from climate

disruption

Cdp.net/supplychain

Carbon Disclosure Project

Millennials’ Expectations

19

• 88% believe the for-profit

sector should address social and

environmental issues Source: 8095 survey

• Almost 90% would

choose an employer with

corporate responsibility values

that echo their own and 90%

would consider leaving if a firm’s

corporate responsibility values no

longer matched their

expectations. Source: 2010 Net Impact

Environmental Cost Impact of Supply Chains

On average, US firms

saw supply chain

accounting for 60% of

environmental costs

20

Source: GreenBiz “State of Green Business Report 2013”

Food and Beverage Sector: 92% of

environmental costs in supply chain

CORPORATE RESPONSIBILITY A BUSINESS STRATEGY

Source: MIT Sloan Management Review

2013 “The Innovation Bottom Line”

90% companies note

that sustainability is a

part of business

strategy

• 61%: sustainability

measures added to

company’s profit when

on the agenda of top

management

21

Unlocking

Global

Adaptation

Solutions Country Resiliency Index

to Inform Decision-

Making

22

23

Country

Rankings

2012

ND-GAIN Country Rankings

ND-GAIN Country Rankings

24

ND-GAIN Users

ND-GAIN Users

Food

25

Energy

Infrastructure

Coastal

Infrastructure

Health

Ecosystems

Precipitation change

Freshwater withdrawal

Access to improved water supply

Water

ND-GAIN Vulnerability Sectors and Indicators

26

ND-GAIN Vulnerability Sectors and Indicators

Crop yield change

Food import dependency

Agriculture capacity, including

irrigation and fertilizer

Food

ND-GAIN Vulnerability Sectors and Indicators

Water

Energy

Infrastructure

Coastal

Infrastructure

Health

Ecosystems

27

ND-GAIN Vulnerability Sectors and Indicators

Climate-change-induced disability

adjusted life years

External health resource

dependency

Health workers per capita

Health

ND-GAIN Vulnerability Sectors and Indicators

Water

Energy

Infrastructure

Coastal

Infrastructure Food

Ecosystems

28

ND-GAIN Vulnerability Sectors and Indicators

Land area less than 10m above

sea level

Population living less than 10m

above sea level

Coastal

Infrastructure

ND-GAIN Vulnerability Sectors and Indicators

Water

Energy

Infrastructure

Food

Health

Ecosystems

29

Water

Food

Health

Ecosystems

Coastal

Energy

Transportation

ND-GAIN Vulnerability Sectors

30

LIC/OECD Resiliency

LIC OECD Resiliency

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

31

Australia

China

India

Japan

South Korea

Russia

United States

Laos

Cambodia

Myanmar

Vietnam

Philippines

Indonesia

Thailand

Singapore

Malaysia

Re

sili

ency

1995-2012

ASEAN+ Resiliency

Adaptive Capacity Over Time

32

Myanmar

Cambodia

Laos

Vietnam Philippines

Indonesia

Singapore

Malaysia

Thailand

The ND-GAIN

Matrix

Vuln

era

bili

ty

Readiness 0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8

.2

.3

.4

.5

.6

.1

Greatest

Challenges and

Urgency to

Act

Great

Challenges, but

Adopting

Solutions

Few Present

Challenges, Time to Get

Ready

Well-

Positioned with Few

Challenges

LOW HIGH READINESS

LO

W

HIG

H

VU

LN

ER

AB

ILIT

Y

ND-GAIN Matrix

• Multinational or local

corporation

• Local partner

• ND-GAIN Country rank

below 60

• Measureable resiliency

• http://gain.org/nd-gain-

prize

33

ND-GAIN Corporate Adaptation Award

ND-GAIN Corporate Adaptation Prize

34

Regional Assessments

Sector Assessments

Urban Assessments

Collaborate with us: ND-GAIN Future Plans

Readiness * Vulnerability * Corporate Stakeholders • Joyce Coffee • Managing Director • Notre Dame Global Adaptation

Index • www.nd-gain.org • jcoffee@nd.edu • 1 (574) 807-9322

Collaborate with Us: ND-GAIN Future Plans

Joyce Coffee

Managing Director

Notre Dame Global Adaptation Index

www.nd-gain.org

jcoffee@nd.edu

1 (574) 807-9322

35

Thank You