GFIA Flockman_Presentation150215 (Final minor changes AO) (2)

20
Global Forum for Innovations in Agriculture David Filmer MA (Cantab) March 2015

Transcript of GFIA Flockman_Presentation150215 (Final minor changes AO) (2)

Page 1: GFIA Flockman_Presentation150215 (Final minor changes AO) (2)

Global Forum for Innovations in Agriculture

David Filmer MA (Cantab)

March 2015

Page 2: GFIA Flockman_Presentation150215 (Final minor changes AO) (2)
Page 3: GFIA Flockman_Presentation150215 (Final minor changes AO) (2)

Executive Summary

Population increase – more food needed

Middle classes looking for a safe, healthy diet

Chicken meat used more than ALL other meats

60 billion chicken grown in 2014 – 8 per person

FLOCKMAN uses precision livestock farming

Produces more chicken meat from less feed

Increases grower profit by 5 US cents per bird

Potential: 5 cents x 60 billion = 3 billion US $

Better lifestyle, health and welfare for the birds

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1989 1st European WPSA Symposium EDP Applications in Poultry Management (Denmark)

Typical ‘Step Feeding’ of Protein

% P

rote

in in

Die

t

Age

Diet 1

Diet 2

Diet 3

Diet 4

Periods of under feeding

Periods of over feeding

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Ministry of Agriculture LINK Project (1998)

Integrated Management Systems for

Poultry Production

Aim was to grow birds on a target growth curve

Developed a ‘Real-time’ growth model

Continuous ‘Feed-back’ loop

Model changed daily to keep birds on target

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Before Fitting Growth Model

Model results

x Actual

Model

Model protein

Model lipid

+ Plan

x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x xx x x

xx

xx

x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x+

+ + + ++ + ++ + + ++ + ++ + + ++ + ++

++

++

++

++

++

++

++

++

++

++

+

Day0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

We

igh

t, g

0

500

1000

1500

2000

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After Optimising Growth Model

Model results

x SRI00237

Model

Model protein

Model lipid

+ Plan

x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x xx x x

xx

xx

x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x+

+ + + ++ + ++ + + ++ + ++ + + ++ + ++

++

++

++

++

++

++

++

++

++

++

+

Day0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

We

igh

t, g

0

500

1000

1500

2000

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Verification Trial – (8 houses)

Item Control FLOCKMAN Benefit

Weight sold (T) 335 344 9

Feed used (T) 667 636 -31

Weight value $251,250 $258,000 $6,750

Feed cost $132,000 $129,000 $3,000

Crop margin $119,250 $129,000 $9,750

House margin $29,813 $32,250 $2,437

Annual margin

6.5 crops/year

$193,782 $209,625

(35K birds/house)

$15,843

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FLOCKMAN

Simple retrofit to existing feed augers, lights

No feed/bird weighers, computers, modems

Feedback changes the birds daily intake

Active crops: better digestion, so less feed

Better lighting programs – dawn/dusk dimming

Improves immune defence system and welfare

Low cost – quick return on investment

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The FLOCKMAN Box

FLOCKMAN has 5 ON/OFF/AUTO switches. For FLOCKMAN

Control, ALL must be in ‘AUTO’, Green light ‘ON’. The Keypad

enters flock details. The LCD display shows data. Status bar LED

lights show what’s happening inside the house.

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FLOCKMAN Trial - Liveweight per bird (grams)

Control (H 13, 12, 10, 4, 5, 8): FLOCKMAN (H 14, 7, 11, 3, 6, 9)

2095 2140

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

1 2 3 4 5

Gra

ms

Weeks of Age

Control Liveweight

FLOCKMAN Liveweight

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FLOCKMAN Trial - Feed Conversion Ratio

Control (H 13, 12, 10, 4, 5, 8): FLOCKMAN (H 14, 7, 11, 3, 6, 9)

1.596

1.554

0.80

0.90

1.00

1.10

1.20

1.30

1.40

1.50

1.60

1.70

1 2 3 4 5

Rati

o F

eed

/LW

Weeks of Age

Control FCR

FLOCKMAN FCR

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FLOCKMAN Trial - European Production Efficiency Factor (EPEF)

Control (H 13, 12, 10, 4, 5, 8): FLOCKMAN (H 14, 7, 11, 3, 6, 9)

370 389

200

250

300

350

400

450

1 2 3 4 5

Weeks of Age

Control EPEF

FLOCKMAN EPEF

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FLOCKMAN Trial – Margin (Bird value minus Feed costs) (per bird)

Control (H 13, 12, 10, 4, 5, 8): FLOCKMAN (H 14, 7, 11, 3, 6, 9)

-$0.01

$0.00

$0.01

$0.02

$0.03

$0.04

$0.05

$0.06

$0.07

$0.08

1 2 3 4 5

Ex

tra

Ma

rgin

$/b

ird

Weeks of Age

FLOCKMAN Target

FLOCKMAN minus Control

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9 FLOCKMAN Field Trials (minimum 8 houses per trial)

Statistical analysis of benefit in Feed Conversion Ratio

0.062

0.090

0.069

0.033 0.041

0.100

0.056 0.054 0.053

0.062

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10

0.12

Average

Trial 1 Trial 2 Trial 3 Trial 4 Trial 5 Trial 6 Trial 7 Trial 8 Trial 9 p value =

0.00001

FC

R

FLOCKMAN Benefit

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9.7

21.6

3.7

15.4 13.3

35.0

18.7 20.2 20.5

17.6

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Average

Trial 1 Trial 2 Trial 3 Trial 4 Trial 5 Trial 6 Trial 7 Trial 8 Trial 9 p value =

0.0002

EP

EF

FLOCKMAN Benefit

9 FLOCKMAN Field Trials (minimum 8 houses per trial)

Statistical analysis of benefit in EPEF

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9 FLOCKMAN Field Trials (minimum 8 houses per trial)

Statistical analysis of benefit in margin over feed cost per bird

6.62

13.67

4.41

8.49

6.87 6.96

5.04

7.56 6.44

7.34

-2.00

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

Average

Trial 1 Trial 2 Trial 3 Trial 4 Trial 5 Trial 6 Trial 7 Trial 8 Trial 9 p value =

0.00002

US

cen

ts p

er

bir

d

FLOCKMAN Benefit

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9 International Trials 2.2 Million Birds Results 36-46 day old A/H flocks

ITEM Average

BENEFIT

Minimum

BENEFIT

Mortality 1.01% 0.28%

Liveweight (g) 40 10

FCR 0.062 0.046

EPEF 17.6 11.0

Margin/bird US cents 7.34 5.34

Margin/house US $ $2,569 $1,869

Margin/house/year

6.5 crop cycles/year

$16,698 (35K birds/house)

$12,148 (35K birds/house)

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Latest UK Results: Harry Shepherd Dec 2014

Age (days) Final Liveweight Ross Target % Target

33 (Females) 2.000kg (4.41lb) 1.838kg 108.8%

41 (Females) 2.668kg (5.88lb) 2.512kg 106.2%

47 (Males) 3.874kg (8.52lb) 3.546kg 109.2%

Average 42.46 3.134kg (6.91lb) 2.856kg 108.3%

Days Weight Dead FCR EPEF

42.46 3.134 kg 3.81% 1.651 430

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FLOCKMAN Benefits

Better results, profits and sustainability

Better chicken lifestyle, health and welfare

Return on investment in under 6 months

Helps feed the world; low carbon footprint

Welcome to:

Governments, integrators, investors

Do visit us on stand D262 for business talks and to meet

Harry Shepherd, successful UK FLOCKMAN user and

FLOCKMAN client consultant