Getting over ‘Regrexit’ - Post Brexit Real Estate Opportunities
Transcript of Getting over ‘Regrexit’ - Post Brexit Real Estate Opportunities
Getting over RegrexitPost Brexit Real EstateOpportunities
13th July 2016
Bruce DearHead of London Real Estate
Eversheds LLP | 01/05/2023 |
Plans!?
"Any plan beats no plan" Timothy Geithner - 2008
“The prime minister should have had a plan“
Iain Duncan-Smith - 2016
"Any plan beats no plan" Mark Carney - 2016
Eversheds LLP | 01/05/2023 |
Canaries and Reasons to be Cheerful
− Be thankful for the Great Financial Crisis of 2008
− Most investors dislike uncertainty
− The canaries are coughing
− Austerity is Posterity!
Eversheds LLP | 01/05/2023 |
Opportunities
PR engagement - not just with the obvious suspects
Product Provision for People
Remaking the Regulatory,
Business and Legal Landscape
Eversheds LLP | 01/05/2023 |
Over correction as values declineMispricing
REPG Partner Away Day
*
* Not the worst performing Sterling…
Eversheds LLP | 01/05/2023 |
SterlingEffect on inward investment…
Weak sterling
Low interest
rates
Falling prices
*If they believe the UK story…
Eversheds LLP | 01/05/2023 |
Private equity• Uncertain economies
bring higher yields• Higher yields bring
private equity houses• If they believe the
long-term UK story
Build to Rent• Vital part of US and
European housing solutions• High land prices and
Help to Buy held it back• BTR’s big moment?
Patient Capital• Government may not
be spending• Patient institutional
capital• Public sector must
create investible propositions• Keynsian Conversion
London market• Buyers’ market?• Declining occupier
demand?• Passporting and
relocation issues
Housing• Government policy was
to support the market• Some price correction
likely
Distressed opportunities• A more conventional
downturn than 2007/8• Insolvencies, pre-packs,
loan to own• Development and
valuation risk