GENERAL AVIATION IN U.S. EUROPE• Expanded to include rotorcraft & MRO in 2011 ... GLOBAL CIVIL...
Transcript of GENERAL AVIATION IN U.S. EUROPE• Expanded to include rotorcraft & MRO in 2011 ... GLOBAL CIVIL...
GENERAL AVIATION IN U.S. & EUROPEAEROSPACE DESIGN WORKSHOP
BEIJING, CHINA30.NOV.2016
GENERAL AVIATIONGreg BowlesVice President, Global Innovation & Policy, GAMAActive Instrument Rated Pilot (≈1000 hrs)Aerospace Engineer
DEFINITION: General Aviation (GA) ‐ All aviation EXCEPT scheduled commercial
operations & military operations.
GENERAL AVIATION MANUFACTURERS ASSOCIATION (GAMA)
• Founded in 1970 to “foster and advance the general welfare, safety, interests and activities of general aviation.”
• Expanded to worldwide membership in 2001
• Expanded to include rotorcraft & MRO in 2011
• Created Associate Membership for Hybrid & Electric Propulsion in October 2015
• Office Locations:
• Washington, DC , USA (headquarters)
• Brussels, Belgium
• Logo is the Greek symbol for the letter “GAMMA”
First Chinese GAMA Member: AVIC General
MANNED OPERATIONS IN US & EUROPE
OPERATIONS IN US & EUROPEDay 1: Seattle,
WA USA
OPERATIONS IN US & EUROPEDay 1: Seattle,
WA USA
OPERATIONS IN US & EUROPEDay 1: Seattle,
WA USA
Day 1: San Jose, CA USA
OPERATIONS IN US & EUROPEDay 1: Seattle,
WA USA
Day 1: San Jose, CA USA
Day 2: Cheyenne, WY USA
OPERATIONS IN US & EUROPEDay 1: Seattle,
WA USA
Day 1: San Jose, CA USA
Day 2: Cheyenne, WY USA
OPERATIONS IN US & EUROPEDay 1: Seattle,
WA USA
Day 1: San Jose, CA USA
Day 2: Cheyenne, WY USA
Day 3: Washington, DC USA
GLOBAL CIVIL AIRCRAFT POPULATION(≈ 335,000 AIRCRAFT)
(Jetnet LLC, Flight Global, IAOPA World Assembly)
Commercial Airliners ≈ 20,000
Rotorcraft ≈ 20,500
Business Jets ≈ 17,000
Turboprops ≈ 12,500
Mostly Certified Piston Aeroplanes but also Gliders, Lighter Than Air, Experimental, Etc.
≈ 265,000
GLOBAL CIVIL AIRCRAFT POPULATION(≈ 335,000 AIRCRAFT)
(Jetnet LLC, Flight Global, IAOPA World Assembly)
General Aviation ≈ 315,000 Aircraft
GLOBAL GA DISTRIBUTION
North America = 60%
South America = 5%
Africa = 3%
Europe = 26%Asia = 2%
Oceana = 4%
GLOBAL GA DISTRIBUTION
Rotorcraft = 385
Turbojet ≈ 600
Twin Piston = 96
Turboprop = 151
China (as of 2013)
Single Piston = 794
GLOBAL GA DISTRIBUTION
Rotorcraft = 9,966
Turbojet = 12,362
Twin Piston = 13,146
Turboprop = 9,777
USA (as of 2015)
Single Piston = 126,036
U.S. GA OPERATIONS
Fuel – 1,617,770,300 Gal.
Paved Airports – 5,194
Hours Flown – 23,271,000
USA (2015)
Pilots – 590,038
AIRPORTS IN THE USA
2015 GA TC AEROPLANE PRODUCTION
Maximum Takeoff Weight (Thousand Kg)
Price
(USD
)
101 5 50 100
Piston AeroplaneTurboprop
Turbofan
$100M
$10M
$1M
$100K
$10K
$50K
$500K
$5M
$50M
Source: GAMA Annual Industry Review
FAA Part 23
‐ Piston Aeroplanes
Small Aeroplanes Manufactured Annually20,00018,00016,00014,00012,00010,0008,0006,0004,0002,000
0
1947
-19
50 -
1955
-
1960
-
1965
-
1970
-
1975
-
1980
-
1985
-
1990
-
1995
-
2000
-
2005
-
2010
-
GAMA Statistical Data
Average Aeroplane = 48 Years Old
‐ Turboprop Aeroplanes ‐ Turbofan Aeroplanes
U.S. GA TOWER OPERATIONS (FAA & CONTRACT ITINERANT)
1300015000170001900021000230002500027000
Actual Operations 2000 Forecast
GA Ope
ratio
ns (Tho
usands)
U.S. GA TOWER OPERATIONS (FAA & CONTRACT ITINERANT)
1300015000170001900021000230002500027000
Actual Operations 2000 Forecast 2004 Forecast
GA Ope
ratio
ns (Tho
usands)
U.S. GA TOWER OPERATIONS (FAA & CONTRACT ITINERANT)
1300015000170001900021000230002500027000
Actual Operations 2000 Forecast 2004 Forecast 2006 Forecast
GA Ope
ratio
ns (Tho
usands)
U.S. GA TOWER OPERATIONS (FAA & CONTRACT ITINERANT)
1300015000170001900021000230002500027000
Actual Operations 2000 Forecast 2004 Forecast 2006 Forecast
GA Ope
ratio
ns (Tho
usands)
U.S. GA TOWER OPERATIONS (FAA & CONTRACT ITINERANT)
1300015000170001900021000230002500027000
Actual Operations 2000 Forecast 2004 Forecast 2006 Forecast
2007 Forecast 2008 Forecast 2009 Forecast 2010 Forecast
2011 Forecast 2012 Forecast 2014 Forecast 2015 Forecast
GA Ope
ratio
ns (Tho
usands)
‐
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
16‐19
20‐24
25‐29
30‐34
35‐39
40‐44
45‐49
50‐54
55‐59
60‐64
65‐69
70‐74
75‐79
80+
U.S. FAA Active Private Pilots v. Age
19652015196619671968201420132012201120102009200820001995199019851980
Type Design Introductions
19400
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010Year
4-Seat Entry-Level Aeroplanes
Aircraft Bluebook Price Digest Fall 2009 Vol. 08‐03
35
70
105
140
175
Base
Reta
il Pric
e ($ 1
,000)
1984
Part 2
3 Re
gulatory
Review
Implem
ented
Between 1994 and 1996, approximately 800 rule changes to part 23 were enacted.… they
made it more costly to certify a simple airplane. Essentially the regulatory scope of part 23 has been shifted to more directly address the complex airplanes to the
detriment of simple airplanes.FAA Part 23 – Small Airplane Certification Process Study, July 2009
FUTURE GROWTH IN GA
• Safety – What are the key safety issues in GA?
• Time to Market & Cost (New Part/CS‐23)
• Innovation – How can GA be more attractive?
FUNDAMENTAL SHIFTS IN SOCIETY
FUNDAMENTAL SHIFTS IN SOCIETY
DRIVERLESS CAR MARKET WATCH
Ford CEO expects fully autonomous cars by
2020
Volkswagen expects first self driving cars on the market by
2019
GM: Autononomous cars could be deployed by 2020 or sooner
BMW to launch autonomous iNext
in 2021
First autonomous Toyota to be
available in 2020
Elon Musk now expects first fully autonomous Tesla by 2018,
approved by 2021
Next generation Audi A8 capable of fully autonomous driving in
2017
Driverless cars coming to showrooms by 2020 says
Nissan’s CEO
EARLY DRONE OPERATIONAL CONSIDERATIONS
WHAT WE WILL DISCUSS
• GA Safety• Airplane Design Assurance• Aircraft Design Standards• New Innovation & Safety• The Future for General Aviation in China
CONTACT INFORMATIONGregory J. Bowles ([email protected])Vice President, GAMA Global Innovation & PolicyChairman, ASTM F44, General Aviation Aircraft Committee
General Aviation Manufacturers Association1400 K St. NW Ste. 801Washington, DC 20005USA+1.202.393.1500www.GAMA.aero
ASTM International100 Barr Harbor Drive
PO Box C700West Conshohocken, PA 19428‐2959
USA+1.610.832.9585www.ASTM.org