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2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
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8/10/2019 Gartner Top 10 Tech Trends
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Top 10Strategic TechnologyTrends for 2015David Cearley
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Digital Business Sets the Stage
Implement nemodels relying
Improve efficiency/ef
with m
Business Process
Business Moment
Business Model
Evolve processes into newbusiness models
Extend and evolve mode
Extend and evolve procesNew models and processes
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Technology Adoption andMarket Disruption
Time
Growth
Emerging Growth Mainstream
DisruptionClarified and
StartingDisruptionUncertain
DisruptionHappening orHappened
StrateTechnTrend
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Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends fo
The New ITReality Emerges
IntelligenceEverywhere
Merging the RealWorld and the
Virtual World
Computing Everywhere
Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analyti
Cloud/Client Computing
The Internet of Things
3D Printing
1
2
3
Context-Rich Systems
Smart Machines
4
5
6
Software-Defined Applications and Infrast
Web-Scale IT
Risk-Based Security and Self-protection
7
8
9
10
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Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends fo
The New ITReality Emerges
IntelligenceEverywhere
Merging the RealWorld and the
Virtual World
Computing Everywhere
Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analyti
Cloud/Client Computing
The Internet of Things
3D Printing
1
2
3
Context-Rich Systems
Smart Machines
4
5
6
Software-Defined Applications and Infrast
Web-Scale IT
Risk-Based Security and Self-protection
7
8
9
10
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Computing Everywhere Look Beyond Mobile Form Facto
Inside everything All around
Pocketable
Portable Desk
Touch, voice, etc.
Keyboard, mouse
Portable screenWearableConvertible
Many form factors, screen sizes,
interaction styles, platforms, architectures
Technology advances accelerate:Sensors, displays, wireless and more
Gesture
Embrace heterogeneity and l
complete control
Use containment and isolatiofoundational security strategy
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The User Experiencein a Hyper Connected World
Richer I/OModels
EmIm
Consumer-Driven
Mu
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Think "Outside in" and Focus on SoluArchitecture, Design Thinking and Develo
Exploit the natural affinity between agiledevelopment methodologies and UX Pilotand iterate
Create UX pattern libraries that guide applicatio
development teams Personas and use cases
Tool software, so usage data can be extractedand analyzed Continuous feedback
1
2
3
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The Internet of Things Links to Every
Internet 25B Thin
Internet of Information30T Web Pages in Google Index, 2013
Internet 3B Foursqua
Janua
Manage
Monetize
Operate
Extend
Internet of People1.11B People on Facebook,
March 2013
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Identify New Patterns and Define New TecArchitectures for the Internet of Thin
Cloud/"Internet"
En
On-Thing Gateway
AnalytDataApplicationLogic and Rules
UserInterface
101010010101001101010101001010110101011
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ExperimentA $75 Proof of Con
Can Save $75,0
Source: http://supermechanical.tumblr.com/post/51173089463/in-an-internet-of-medical-devices-weve-got-the
"Customer down, magnet$75,000 magnet recoveryto recool the magnet.
These have really worked
monitoring our magnets ain Ohio."
and embrace the "make
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"3d printing is not new but is newly str
Enterprise Consumer
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
81.9%CAGR
Billions ofDollars
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Consumer Shipments Point toMore Pervasive Use
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Shipments
95.4%CAGR
Enterprise Consumer
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Look for Innovation Opportunities FroSimple & Mundane to the Complex and
Airbus A320
Redesigned NacelleHinge Bracket
Injection MoldsCut Tooling Costs
by Up to 97%
Courtesy of EOS
Courtesy of Not Impossible Labs
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Is 3D Print for You? Five Key Quest
Responsive Will we be able to focus more on our needs and less on our manufacturing
KnowledgeDo we need to develop our staff's addmanufacturing skills?
AgileWill we make our product developmeproduction processes more nimble?
CostHow much can we reduce product deoperating and support costs?
Will we be able to create items that wdifficult or impossible to produce befoInnovation
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Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends fo
The New ITReality Emerges
IntelligenceEverywhere
Merging the RealWorld and the
Virtual World
Computing Everywhere
Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analyti
Cloud/Client Computing
The Internet of Things
3D Printing
1
2
3
Context-Rich Systems
Smart Machines
4
5
6
Software-Defined Applications and Infrast
Web-Scale IT
Risk-Based Security and Self-protection
7
8
9
10
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Big Data Security Analytics at the HeNext-Generation Security Platform
Information
Knowledge
Big Data
Logs, Events, Costs, Usage, Attacks, Breaches
DataData DataData
Collect, Correlate
Analyze
Dependencies,Relationships
Patterns,Meaningful
Anomalies
ContextCommunity
Model, Simulate, Act, ProtectContinuousMonitoring
and Analytics
Context-Aware Intelligence
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ManagedTransformed
Filtered
Secured (Somewhat)
Portable
Potable (Fit for Consumpt
Data Lake or Reserv
UnmanagedOriginal
Raw
Natural Security
Not Portable
Consumption Fitness Uncertain
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Context-Rich Systems UnderstanWho, What, When, Where, How and
User-Facing
Context Content SourcesProcess Models
Environment
Community
Identity and Pref.
Location
Calendar
Etc.
History
Connectivity
Patterns
System-Fac
Context
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Mobile Context Fluid Workspace Driveby Convenience and Context
Process and workpractice innovatio
Continued loof IT contro
BYOD andBYOA
Work anywhere
at any time
Employees will own manycomputing devices
Employee autonomy inprocesses, apps, devices
Personal CloudDefines Workspace
http://content.gartner.com/core/component/getcontent?streamingMode=view&objectId=0901cd77803d6044 -
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Real-Time, Context-Aware, Risk-AwaActive: Adaptive Access Contro
Risk engine.
Trust elevation.
Step-up authentication.
Transaction verification.
Contextualinformation.
Get more informatio
Allow access.
STOP Deny access.
Allow access withfine-grained audit.
Other obligation.
E i T d
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Emerging Trend:The Contextual User Experience
Personal Assistants as InContextual Information:
Location Information
Available Endpoints
Human Request for Action
Relevant Services and Content
User Experience Platform:
Intermediary Between Users andContent/Capabilities
Acts for or Interacts With the User toAccomplish Goals:
- The Invisible User Interface
Dynamically Assembles UI Screens/Forms
Siri Cortana
Image MicrosoftImage Apple
Just the Begin
S t M hi C t i
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Information-Based Helpers
Machine-Focused Helpers
Sages
Doers
Autonomous Vehicles
Smart Machine CategoriesBased on What They Do
Movers
Ri Ti t
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Rio Tinto Reinventing Mining and More
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Cornell Robot Credit: Hema Koppula and Ashutosh Saxena, 2013.Robot Learning Lab, Computer Science Department, Cornell University. See http://pr.cs.cornell.edu/anticipation
Cornell's Observant, Predictive Ser
Vi t l P i t A i t t Y Wi
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Virtual Private Assistants You WiHave Just One
Image M
Image Google
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Memorial Sloan Ketteringand IBM Watson
Source: IBM
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Maturity, Adoption and Diffusion
Segment
Early Emerging
Use Cases
Adoption
Accelerates
90% AAd
Smart Advisor 2014 2017 Segm(and202
Virtual PersonalAssistant1
2013 2017
AutonomousPersonal Transport
2020(2)
2030(5)
SemiautonomousRobotic Assistants
2025(2020 to 2030)
2032(2025 to 2040)
1 Growth of use of virtual personal assistants for work purposes i n 2017 to 2018 will exceed iPad's growth i n its first 2 years.
T 10 St t i T h l T d f
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Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends fo
The New ITReality Emerges
IntelligenceEverywhere
Merging the RealWorld and the
Virtual World
Computing Everywhere
Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analyti
Cloud/Client Computing
The Internet of Things
3D Printing
1
2
3
Context-Rich Systems
Smart Machines
4
5
6
Software-Defined Applications and Infrast
Web-Scale IT
Risk-Based Security and Self-protection
7
8
9
10
Unify Cloud and Mobile Strategie
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Unify Cloud and Mobile StrategieCloud/Client Computing
The application is in the cloud.
Cloud is the coordination point and syst Clients can be anything with varying lev
and logic.
Applications can span multiple clients.
Multichannel, Multi-scn., ensemble inte
The experience flows to the user in con Mobile is not about devices it is abou
UX logic
Business logic
UX logicBusiness logic
Data
Data
Shift From Cloud Application Migrati
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Shift From Cloud Application MigratiCloud "Native" Application Develop
http://www.flickr.com/photos/wscullin/3770015203
Conventional Pattern Cloud "Native" Pa
Adapted From Cloud Architecture Tutorial by Adrian Cockcroft (Netflix)
Central SQL Database
Sticky In-Memory Session
Chatty Protocols
Tangled Service Interfaces
Polled InformationFat Complex Objects
Components as Jar Files
Distributed Key/Value
Latency Tolerant Pro
Event-DrivenLightweight Serializable
Components as Ser
Layered Service Inte
Shared Memcached/Red
Java, .NET JavaScript, Python, Rub
Software Defined Applications an
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Software-Defined Applications anInfrastructure: The Future Is Software-
Networking Cloud Servic
StorageReal-Ti
Infrastruct
Security Fabric-BasComput
Data CentersService-Orien
Architect
OpenStackOpen Compute
Model-DrivArchitect
Everything
Is Programmable
The API Economy
Software Defined Architecture
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Software-Defined Architecturefor Application Services
Source: "Software-Defined Architecture for Application in Digital Business" (G00264171)
Inner View
Outer View
Inner View
Outer View
ResourceVirtualization
ManagedResources
Web-Scale IT:
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Web-Scale IT:The Foundation for the Digital Fut
Web-scale IT is a pattern ofglobal class computing thatdelivers the capabilities oflarge cloud servicesproviders to the enterprise
Infraas
WA
CollaborativeAligned
Organization
Velocity-Focused
Processes
IndustriallyDesigned Data
CentersRisk-
EmbracingCulture
Web-ScaleIT
Open
Source
Create Your Blueprint and Road M
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Create Your Blueprint and Road Mfor Web-Scale IT
API-Based Management
Velocity-Focused Processes
Collaboratively-AlignedOrganization
Risk-Embracing Culture
DevOps
1
Web-Oriented
Architecture
2
Indust
DesigInfrastr
3
All Roads to the Digital Future
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All Roads to the Digital FutureLead Through Security
Security Myth:
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Security Myth:Perimeter Defense Will Protect My App
Mobile I
InsiderAttacks
E bl A li i P Th
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Enable Applications to Protect Thems
Application Runtime
DynamicInteraction Application
Source Code
Hig
Vu
RuntimeApplication
Self-Protection
Security-AwareApplication
Design
Top 10 Strategic Technology Tren
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Top 10 Strategic Technology Trenfor 2015
Proactively analyze disruptive technology
create a vision of the future technology la
Link trend analysis to the impact on peop(employees and customers), the business
Establish strategic decision models to tak
disruptive impacts
Focus on the EA role as a visionary, an ana catalyst for disruptive trend analysis acrthe business
The New ITReality Emerges
IntelligenceEverywhere
Merging the Real
World and theVirtual World
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Top 10 Mobile Technologies and Capabilities for 2015 and 20
Nick Jones (G00260239) Hype Cycle for the Internet of Things, 2014
Hung LeHong and Alfonso Velosa (G00264127)
Hype Cycle for 3D Printing, 2014Pete Basiliere and Michael Shanler (G00263487)
Hype Cycle for Advanced Analytics and Data Science, 2014Alexander Linden (G00262076)
Context-Aware Security and Intelligence-Sharing Concepts MCreate Intelligence-Aware Security ControlsLawrence Pingree and others (G00261239)
Recommended Gartner Researc
For more information, stop by Gartner Research Zone.
R d d G t R
http://www.gartner.com/document/2665315?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=top%2010%20mobile&refval=142595080http://www.gartner.com/document/2804217?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=internet%20of%20things&refval=142595329http://www.gartner.com/document/2803426?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Hype%20Cycle%20for%203D%20Printing,%202014&refval=142621473http://www.gartner.com/document/2812517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=advanced%20analytics&refval=142595450http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2812517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=advanced%20analytics&refval=142595450http://www.gartner.com/document/2812517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=advanced%20analytics&refval=142595450http://www.gartner.com/document/2812517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=advanced%20analytics&refval=142595450http://www.gartner.com/document/2812517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=advanced%20analytics&refval=142595450http://www.gartner.com/document/2812517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=advanced%20analytics&refval=142595450http://www.gartner.com/document/2812517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=advanced%20analytics&refval=142595450http://www.gartner.com/document/2812517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=advanced%20analytics&refval=142595450http://www.gartner.com/document/2803426?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Hype%20Cycle%20for%203D%20Printing,%202014&refval=142621473http://www.gartner.com/document/2803426?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Hype%20Cycle%20for%203D%20Printing,%202014&refval=142621473http://www.gartner.com/document/2803426?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Hype%20Cycle%20for%203D%20Printing,%202014&refval=142621473http://www.gartner.com/document/2804217?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=internet%20of%20things&refval=142595329http://www.gartner.com/document/2804217?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=internet%20of%20things&refval=142595329http://www.gartner.com/document/2804217?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=internet%20of%20things&refval=142595329http://www.gartner.com/document/2804217?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=internet%20of%20things&refval=142595329http://www.gartner.com/document/2804217?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=internet%20of%20things&refval=142595329http://www.gartner.com/document/2804217?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=internet%20of%20things&refval=142595329http://www.gartner.com/document/2804217?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=internet%20of%20things&refval=142595329http://www.gartner.com/document/2804217?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=internet%20of%20things&refval=142595329http://www.gartner.com/document/2665315?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=top%2010%20mobile&refval=142595080http://www.gartner.com/document/2665315?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=top%2010%20mobile&refval=142595080http://www.gartner.com/document/2665315?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=top%2010%20mobile&refval=142595080http://www.gartner.com/document/2665315?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=top%2010%20mobile&refval=142595080http://www.gartner.com/document/2665315?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=top%2010%20mobile&refval=142595080http://www.gartner.com/document/2665315?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=top%2010%20mobile&refval=142595080http://www.gartner.com/document/2665315?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=top%2010%20mobile&refval=142595080http://www.gartner.com/document/2665315?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=top%2010%20mobile&refval=142595080 -
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Hype Cycle for Smart Machines, 2014
Kenneth F. Brant and Tom Austin (G00263827) Software-Defined Architecture for Applications in Digital Bus
Yefim V. Natis and Ross Altman (G00264171)
Hype Cycle for Cloud Computing, 2014David Mitchell Smith (G00263850)
Web-Scale IT Influences the Market and Enterprises for ClouCameron Haight (G00260838)
Runtime Application Self-Protection: A Must-Have, EmergingSecurity TechnologyJoseph Feiman (G00229122)
Recommended Gartner Researc
For more information, stop by Gartner Research Zone.
Si l t f i i th l f t d ' bi
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2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 43
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