Gaming Foreign Policy - PAXsims · PDF file16-09-01 1 Gaming Foreign Policy Rex Brynen...
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16-09-01 1 Gaming Foreign Policy Rex Brynen Department of Poli/cal Science, McGill University senior editor, PAXsims Serious Games in Support of Analysis and Training about me Professor, Department of Poli?cal Science, McGill University Middle East poli?cs and security humanitarian, peace, and stabiliza?on opera?ons intelligence analysis serious (poli?cal-military) gaming Policy Staff, Department of Foreign Affairs; Intelligence Assessment Secretariat, Privy Council Office; Senior Nonresident Fellow, Atlan?c Council; consultant to World Bank, UN agencies, others Senior editor, PAXsims (hTp://www.paxsims.org)
Transcript of Gaming Foreign Policy - PAXsims · PDF file16-09-01 1 Gaming Foreign Policy Rex Brynen...
16-09-01
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GamingForeignPolicy
RexBrynenDepartmentofPoli/calScience,McGillUniversity
senioreditor,PAXsims
SeriousGamesinSupportofAnalysisandTraining
aboutme Professor,DepartmentofPoli?calScience,McGillUniversity
MiddleEastpoli?csandsecurity humanitarian,peace,andstabiliza?onopera?ons intelligenceanalysis serious(poli?cal-military)gaming
PolicyStaff,DepartmentofForeignAffairs;IntelligenceAssessmentSecretariat,PrivyCouncilOffice;SeniorNonresidentFellow,Atlan?cCouncil;consultanttoWorldBank,UNagencies,others
Senioreditor,PAXsims(hTp://www.paxsims.org)
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whygame?
Gamescanbeeffec?veeduca?onalandtrainingtools. Engagementandlearning Helpbridgetheoryandprac?ce
Gamescanofferanaly?calinsight. Empathy/alterna?veviews. Crowdsourcing(genera?ngcollec?veinsight). Adversaryresponses. Secondandthirdordereffects. Explorealterna?ves. Adjuncttoothermethods.
Networkingandteam-building.
Inorderto“effectivelypursuean
innovative…strategyavoidoperationaland
technologicalsurprise,andmakethebestof
limitedresources,weneedtoreinvigorate,
institutionalize,andsystematizewargaming
“Whendoneright,wargamesspurinnovation
andprovideamechanismforaddressing
emergingchallenges,exploitingnew
technologies,andshapingthefurthersecurity
environment.Thecanpotentiallymakethe
differencebetweenwiseandunwise
investmenttrajectoriesandmakeourforces
moresuccessfulinfutureconflicts”
“Mid-termwargamingwillfocusonthe
developmentofnewcapabilitiesaswellas
operationalandorganizationalconcepts…
withaneyetoincorporatinginnovative
approachesortechnologiesintothefuture
forceandidentifyingpotentialportfolio
offsets.”
Gaming“acrossdifferenttimehorizonswill
alsoserveacrucialeducationalfunctionby
bringingtogetherdifferentgroupsofdefense
professionalstothinkcriticallyaboutfuture
challenges.”
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someofmygames
Brynania large(100+)weeklongsimula?onofcomplexpeaceopera?onforuniversitystudents
AFTERSHOCK:AHumanitarianCrisisGame educa?onalboardgameforuniversityandprofessionalaudiencesonmul?lateralhumanitarianassistance/disasterreliefopera?ons
someofmygames
FallofTripoli scenario-basedexamina?onofpost-QaddafigovernancechallengespreparedforLibyanNTC(Benghazi,July2011)
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someofmygames
Pales?nianrefugeenego?a?onsimula?on(2009) FCO-supportedChathamHouseproject
UNRWApolicysimula?on(2013) policyrecommenda?onforUNRWACG
Pales?nianrefugeeworkshops(2014) USDoS/FCO-supportedChathamHouseprojectinsupportofKerrynego?a?ons
SyrianRefugeesinLebanonsimula?on(2014-15) educa?onalsimula?onforExeterUniversity,McGillUniversity
someofmygames USEngagementintheMiddleEast(2016) askedbyAtlan?cCouncilMiddleEasttodevelopgameexploringtheimpactofgreaterUSengagement/disengagementonMiddleEast
focusoncrisisstability:canUSeffec?velydeterchallengers,support(andrestrain)allies,buildcoali?ons,mediateandresolvedisputes?
twosimultaneous,semi-linkedgames
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someofmygames
Dstltripreport:https://paxsims.wordpress.com/2016/08/02/dstl-wargaming-trip-report-or-i-visited-portsdown-west-and-all-i-got-was-this-lousy-mug/
someofmygames
ISISCrisis mul?-sidedpol-milmatrixgame examinescounter-ISISchallenges,withemphasisonIraq developedwithMajorTomMouat(DefenceAcademyoftheUK),basedonmatrixgameapproachfirstdevelopedbyChrisEngle
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matrixgames matrixgames*arenarra?ve-basedgamewithnorigidrules
inturn,eachplayerdeclares:1. anac?on2. theoutcome/effectofthatac?on(ifsuccessful)3. reasonswhytheywillbesuccessful
otherplayers(+SME)iden?fyotherargumentsfor/againstsuccess
outcomeisthendetermined umpireadjudica?on balanceofarguments adjustedstochas?cdetermina?on(dice+modifiers)
gameisadjusted,andnextplayertakesturn
*whichinvolvenoactualmatrix
matrixgames strengths
cheap,fast,andeasy flexible mul?sided fullspectrumofdiploma?c/informa?on/military/economicac?onsandeffects
role-playing
weaknesses skilledfacilitator? don’tlookcomplicated(orexpensive)enough sequen?alone-ac?on-at-a-?me languageskills lacksophis?catedmodeling
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ISISCrisis(Iraqedi?on) Sixplayers/teams+op?onalSME1. ISIS2. Kurds3. Iraqigovernment4. Sunniopposi?on5. Iran6. UnitedStates7. SME(unrepresentedplayersandeffects)
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matrixgamevaria?ons mul?-levelgame
largerteams(4-6),withplayersassignedrolesandindividualgoals
groupdecision-makingrules individualinterac?onlimits
mul?pleCOAs,selectone generateslargernumberofpossibleac?on enablesanalysisofroads-not-taken
mul?pleac?onsperteamindifferent(diploma?c,military,economic,other)domains all-of-government reducekine?cbias
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matrixgamevaria?ons distributedandasynchronousgames
playbyemail,skype,messaging,etc
linkedgames forexample,simultaneousSyriaandIraqgames
matrixgamesembeddedinmoreconven?onalwargames RCAT
