Game theory and international relations slideshare

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Collective security, game theory and international relations Providence Day School 25 February 2013 Adam Seldis www.mrseldis.com

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Transcript of Game theory and international relations slideshare

Page 1: Game theory and international relations   slideshare

Collective security, game theory and

international relations

Providence Day School25 February 2013

Adam Seldiswww.mrseldis.com

Page 2: Game theory and international relations   slideshare

Is collective security acting in a

country’s best interests?

Page 3: Game theory and international relations   slideshare

RedRed BlackBlack

RedRed

BlackBlack

Player 2

Player 11

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0

03

22

Card game

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Player APlayer A Player BPlayer B TotalTotalPair 1Pair 1Pair 2Pair 2Pair 3Pair 3Pair 4Pair 4Pair 5Pair 5Pair 6Pair 6Pair 7Pair 7Pair 8Pair 8Pair 9Pair 9

Pair 10Pair 10

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DenyDeny ConfessConfess

DenyDeny

ConfessConfess

Prisoner B

Prisoner A1 yr

1 yr3 yrs

0 yrs

0 yrs3 yrs

2 yrs2 yrs

Prisoners’ Dilemma

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How does game theory apply to

international relations?

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Afghan War

EscalatEscalatee

NegotiaNegotiatete

Pull outPull out

EscalatEscalatee

NegotiaNegotiatete

Washington

Taliban

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Afghan War

EscalatEscalatee

NegotiaNegotiatete

Pull outPull out

EscalatEscalatee

Military stalemate = more killings

Military win for Taliban

Military win for Taliban

NegotiaNegotiatete

Military win for

Washington

Stalemate = no more killings

Political win for Taliban

Washington

Taliban

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Afghan War

EscalatEscalatee

NegotiaNegotiatete

Pull outPull out

EscalatEscalatee

NegotiaNegotiatete

Washington

Taliban-1 1 3

-5-3-2

1 0 -3

30-3

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WarWar PeacePeace

WarWar

PeacePeace

Country 2

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War or peace?

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Collective security

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‘League of Nations’. Cartoon taken from Punch

magazine. 28 July 1920

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To what extent was WW1 caused by collective security?

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Is collective security acting in a

country’s best interests?

Page 16: Game theory and international relations   slideshare

Other examples?•Cold War - USA vs USSR

•Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands - Japan vs China

•Falklands/Malvinas Islands - UK vs Argentina

•Nuclear weapons - Iran vs Israel

•http://tinyurl.com/splitorsteal