FY 2012 IFRS Results
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Transcript of FY 2012 IFRS Results
FY 2012 IFRS ResultsSteady growth despite economy deceleration
Conference CallMarch 27, 2013
2
Assets and liabilities
RUB bln
RUB bln
Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'1210 10 10 10 10
101 106 111 107 110
23 25 27 30 329 14 12 12 81.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 5.840 29 34 35 43
184 183194 195
209
Cash and equivalents
Due from banks
Securities
Retail loans
Corporate loans
Other assets
…Reliable assets structure
…Loan book growth
…supported by customer-based funding
…with retail outperforming
Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 201218 19 20 20 21
4 4 4 5 68 7 7 8 87 8 8 8 720 22 24 25 2633 31 32 30 3620 18 19 18 2172 72 77 78
81
184 183 194 195209
Retail deposits
Retail accounts
Corp. accounts
Corp. deposits
Securities issued
Due to other banks
Other liabilities
Subordinated loans
Equity
RUB bln
Q4'12Q3'12Q2'12Q1'12Q4'11
7777787470
22333
4541434140
3331282624
SME Administrations Large corporates Individuals
3,2%+
Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12
15.4 17.0 18.520.8 22.3
6.86.8
7.68.4 8.52.2
2.2
Mortgages Consumer and auto loans Credit cards
,13+8% +348,%4,7%+
RUB bln
3
Risk management
Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 28.02.13
11.9% 11.8% 11.6% 12.1% 12.3%
13.8% 13.4% 13.2%14.2%
14,9%
11.9%
Tier 1 Tier 1 + Tier 2
CAR (N1)under CBR rules
11%MIN
Capital position enhanced by subordination
FX structure
Maturity gap up to 5% of the balance
Interest rate risk
12,5%
Including RUB 1 bln of subord3rd tranche
Demand and less than 1 month
From 1 to 6 months
From 6 to 12 months
More than 1 year
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
AssetsLiabilities
RUB bln
Demand and less than 1 month
From 1 to 6 months
From 6 to 12 months
More than 1 year
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80Interest-earning assetsInterest-bearing liabilities
RUB bln
82%
1420 1
Assets
Loans
Due from banks&Securities&Cash
81%
2843
Liabilities
DepositsDue to banks&SecuritiesOther liabilities
Roubles
FX
Roubles
FX
RUB bln
4
Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 20121,980 3,400 3,400 5,445 5,445
8.7%8.9% 10.1% 12.2% 11.9%
4.9%8.3% 8.0%
13.2%12.2%
Large corporates
NPLs, RUB mln Provisions, % of total portfolioNPLs, % of total portfolio
Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012
827 827 777 965 892
4.4%4.3%
3.6% 3.5% 3.5%
3.4% 3.2% 2.7%3.1% 2.7%
Retail
Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 20127,769 8,263 8,120 7,841 7,765
11.5% 11.1%10.4% 10.5% 10.5%
10.7% 10.8%
10.0%9.9% 9.8%
SMEs
Credit quality management
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* NPL includes the whole principal of loans at least one day overdue either on principal or interest as well as not overdue loans with signs of impairment
Q4 2012Q3 2012 Q2 2012Q1 2012Q4 2011
1.17%
2.86%
2.24%
1.02%
1.92%1.83%
2.06%1.65%
1.02%1.77%
Charges to provisions to avg gross loans, QoQCharges to provisions to avg gross loans, YtD
+ Rub 275 mln new NPLs- Rub 351 mln recoveries
+ Rub 111 mln new NPLs- Rub 184 mln recoveries
Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012
10,576 12,490 12,297 14,251 14,102
9.44% 9.25% 9.09% 9.52% 9.40%
7.70%
8.68%
8.08%
9.41%9.02%
NPLs, RUB mlnProvisions, % of total portfo-lio
*
No changes
NPLs categorization: absolute improvement in SME and retail
Annualized cost of riskNPLs dynamics
5
Credit qualityas of 31.12.2012
Large corporates
SMEs Mortgages Other retail
Total
Gross loans, including 44 587 78 928 22 302 10 548 156 365
Current loans 87,8% 90,2% 98,3% 95,2% 91,0%
Past-due but not impaired, of them - 0,2% 1,1% 0,8% 0,3%
Less than 90 days - 0,2% 0,2% 0,7% 0,2%
Over 90 days - - 0,9% 0,1% 0,1%
Impaired, of them 12,2% 9,7% 0,6% 4,0% 8,7%
Less than 90 days - 0,1% - 0,3% 0,1%
Over 90 days 12,2% 9,6% 0,6% 3,6% 8,7%
Total NPLs 12,2% 9,8% 1,7% 4,8% 9,0%
Provisions -11,9% -10,5% -2,7% -5,2% -9,4%
Net Loans 39 296 70 671 21 691 10 004 141 662
Provisions to NPLs Ratio
NPL -
104%
Rescheduled Loans
5.6%
the whole amount of loans with principal overdue for more than 1 day as well as loans with any delay in interest payments.
Provisions to 90
days+ NPLs
107%
RUB mln
6
Geographical diversificationCorporate loans
Corporate deposits
Retail deposits (without debit card accounts)
Retail loans
15%
37%
21%
13%
14%
Moscow Oblast
Moscow Other regions
RUB123,515
mln
South regions
North-West regions
26%
34%8%
28%
4%
Moscow Oblast
MoscowOther regions
RUB25,896
mln
South regions
North-West regions
24%
56%
10%
6%
4%
Moscow Oblast
Moscow
Other regionsRUB
81,014mln
South regions
North-West regions
29%
48%
9%3%
11%
Moscow Oblast
Moscow
Other regionsRUB
32,850mln
South regions
North-West regions
7
Financial highlights
FY’12 FY’11 Q4’12 Q3’12
Net interest income 9 058 7 456 2 394 2 253
Net fee and commission income 5 061 4 822 1 324 1 320
Total operating income b.p. 14 793 12 889 3 743 3 875
Operating expenses (8 652) (8 353) (2 421) (2 051)
Charges to Provisions (2 722) (2 304) (451) (1 083)
Net profit 2 331 1 594 544 583
+21%
+5%
+15%
+4%
+18%
+46%
RUB mln
8
2011 2012
-6,503.0 -7,553.0
13,959.016,611.0
Interest ExpensesInterest Income
+4.6%
Revenues from core business
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012
-1,620.0 -1,856.0 -2,010.0 -2,067.0
3,769.0 4,118.0 4,263.0 4,461.0
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012
2,149.0 2,262.0 2,253.0 2,394.0
1,126.01,291.0 1,320.0 1,324.0
127.0220.0 302.0 0,03
…driven mostly by interest incomeOperating income up…
Net fee income breakdown Segment structure of core revenues
Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012
414326 377 391 408
337256
304 300 301
253
219250 265 224
364
325360 364 391
1,368
1,1261,291 1,320 1,324
Settlements Cash transactions Other Cards RUB mln
+0.3%-3.2%
71%
21%
3%5%
Cards
Other Corporate business
Retail business
Cards
Other
Corporate business
Retail business
Interest income Non-interest income
2011 2012
7,456.09,058.0
4,822.0
5,061.0
611.0
674.0
Net interest income Net feesOther income
+14.8%
52%
16%
27%
5%
RUB bln RUB bln
9
Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012
5.7% 6.3%7.2% 7.6%
6.7%
5.1% 5.3% 5.8% 6.1% 6.4%
0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Corporate term depositsRetail term depositsCurrent accounts
NIM gains on repricing of loans and depositsLoan yields surged forward… …outpacing cost of deposits
NIM decompositionSpread dynamics
Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012
10.3% 10.3% 10.8% 10.9% 11.3%
15.7%14.8% 14.9% 14.9% 15.4%
3.4%5.3% 6.1% 5.3% 6.4%
Yields on corporate loansYields on retail loans
Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012
7.1% 6.9% 6.7% 6.7% 7.1%
10.7% 10,9% 11.2% 11.4% 11.7%
3.7% 4.0% 4.4% 4.7% 4.6%
Interest SpreadYield on earning assets (net)Cost of funds
2011 2012
4.3%
4.7%
Loans Deposits Other Base effect
+0,44%
-0,10%
-0,05%
-0,18%
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012
4.68% 4.80% 4.64% 4.74%
+46 bps
10
Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012
1,352 1,258 1,260 1,236 1,357
193 145 191 155209
440300 351 335
397
420339 336 325
458
Personnel expensesAdministrative expensesRent & Costs related to premises and equipmentOther
Cost efficiency in focus
RUB mln
+18%+0.7%
Staff expenses composition
Operating efficiency dynamics CIR on way to improvement
Operating expenses breakdown
2009 2010 2011 2012
48.7%
72.5%
64.8%
58.5%
50.0%
37%22%
38% 37% 40%
13% 51%49% 54% 50%
50%27%
14% 9% 10%
Salary Benefits Bonuses
Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
-2.4-2.0
-2.1 -2.1 -2.4
3.8 3.4 3.8 3.9 3.7
64.0%60.0%
56.7%52.9%
64.7%
Operating expensesOperating income before provisionsCost/Income
Mid-term target
RUB bln
11
-2,304.0 -2,722.0
4,536.06,141.0
Operating profit before provisions and taxesProvisions
Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12
-358.0 -830.0-1,083.0
-451.0
1,360.01,635.01,824.0
1,322.0
Earnings generation capacity
2011 2012
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
23.3%
7.8%
3.5%
9.1%
11.9%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2.45%
0.88%
0.38%
0.91%1.21%
Net profit developmentOperating profit
ROA, %ROE, %
1,594.0
2,331.0
Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12
526.0678.0
583.0 544.0
2011 2012
+35% +46%RUB blnRUB bln
Mid-term target: back to 20% Mid-term target: 1.5% – 2%
12
Key takeaways of 2012 & 2013 plansLower market competition
Limited SME loan demand due to macro expectations
Strong growth in mortgages
Stable inflow of deposits with moderate interest rates policy
Tier 2 strengthening with subordinated deposit
Improvement of cost-to-income
Moderate growth 12 - 14%
Margin protection at 4,5%
Close monitoring of credit quality with adequate provisioning
Interest rates - slight growth on both IEA/IBL
Control over operating expenses & operating efficiency project going forward
2012 highlights
2013 expectations
Base case macro
scenario
GDP growth 3,5%
Oil price > $100.00
Inflation 6%
USD/RUB 32 EUR/RUB 42
13
Questions and answers
[email protected] http://www.vbank.ru/en/investors
Elena Mironova
Deputy Head of IR
+7 495 620 90 71
Andrey Shalimov
Deputy Chairman of
the Management Board
Julia Vinogradova
Advisor to the Chairman of
the Management Board
14
DisclaimerSome of the information in this presentation may contain projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future events or the future financial performance of Bank Vozrozhdenie (the Bank). Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Bank’s present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Bank will operate in the future. The Bank cautions you that these statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks, uncertainties and other important factors that we cannot predict with certainty. Accordingly, our actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what we have expressed or forecasted in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements speak only as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. We do not intend to update these statements to make them conform with actual results.
The Bank is not responsible for statements and forward-looking statements including the following information:- assessment of the Bank’s future operating and financial results as well as forecasts of the present value of future cash flows and
related factors;- economic outlook and industry trends;- the Bank’s anticipated capital expenditures and plans relating to expansion of the Bank’s network and development of the new
services;- the Bank’s expectations as to its position on the financial market and plans on development of the market segments within which the
Bank operates;- the Bank’s expectations as to regulatory changes and assessment of impact of regulatory initiatives on the Bank’s activity.
Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and other factors include:- risks relating to changes in political, economic and social conditions in Russia as well as changes in global economic conditions;- risks related to Russian legislation, regulation and taxation;- risks relating to the Bank’s activity, including the achievement of the anticipated results, levels of profitability and growth, ability to
create and meet demand for the Bank’s services including their promotion, and the ability of the Bank to remain competitive.Many of these factors are beyond the Bank’s ability to control and predict. Given these and other uncertainties the Bank cautions not to place undue reliance on any of the forward-looking statements contained herein or otherwise. The Bank does not undertake any obligations to release publicly any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, except as may be required under applicable laws.