Future service planning for children and young people with Special Educational Need and

Disability (SEND)

Accelerating Achievement and improving the life chances of children and young people with SEND

Thursday 14 July 2015

The prevalence of SEND in Cambridgeshire

Children going to school in Cambs (Jan 2015)

Around 13,000 children with SEND in Cambridgeshire schools in Jan 2015 (9900 SEN support/ SA+/SA, 2850 statement/EHCP)

Around 210 children with statements placed out of county

Source: Jan 2015 School Censuss

+ around 840 on Early Support caseload

0 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 150

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Out of county statement placements , February 2015

Year group

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 200

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

Children going to school in Cambridgeshire by SEND status - Jan 2015

Total Non - SEND Total SENDAge

The proportion of pupils with any type of SEND has been falling since a peak of 2010

Around 18% has become the standard for proportion of pupils with SEND in the important comparator groupsJan 2015 census – 15.6% of pupils in Cambridgeshire has SEND.

January school census

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 201510%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

22%

24%

Percentage of pupils with SEND (statement, EHCP, SEND support SA+, SA)

Cambridgeshire Statistical Neighbours England

Year

% o

f pup

ils w

ith S

END

But the proportion of pupils with a statement in Cambridgeshire has been increasing since a low in 2011

January school census

Jan 2015 census – 3.5% of pupils in Cambridgeshire had a statement or EHCP

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20150.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

4.0%Percentage of pupils with a statement or EHCP

Cambridgeshire Statistical Neighbours England

Year

% o

f pup

ils w

ith a

stat

emen

t or p

lan

Therefore, the reduction in the proportion of pupils with SEND has come from a fall in the proportion with SA+ or SA

Cambridgeshire started from highest in 2010 now lowestJan 2015 – 12.1% of pupils had SEN support, SA+ or SA, reduction of ~ 2,000 pupils at Cambridgeshire schools since 2014

January school census

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 201510%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

22%

24%

Percentage of pupils with SEND (statement, EHCP, SEND support SA+, SA)

Cambridgeshire Statistical Neighbours England

Year

% o

f pup

ils w

ith S

END

Some types of SEND are more prevalent in Cambridgeshire than statistical neighbours

• ‘Behavioural, emotional, social difficulties’, Autistic Spectrum Disorder, ‘specific learning difficulties’ are more prevalent than statistical neighbours average and England average

• Some types less prevalent, e.g. ‘Speech, language and communication needs’, ‘moderate learning difficulties’

Achievement of children with SEND

SEND makes more impact than FSM… and compared to national, the gaps are bigger in Cambridgeshire

Cambs EYFSP England EYFSP Cambs %L4+ KS2 RW& England %L4+ KS2 RW&M

Cambs %5+ GCSE Grades A*-C inc E&M

England %5+ GCSE Grades A*-C inc E&M

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

67.7 68

88.6 91

66.5 6861.3 60

7679

55.9 56.8

47.351

75.782

41.745.1

18.2 21

32.5

41

23 23.4

7.614

23.3

32

8.212

Gaps at key benchmarks, 2014

Non FSM and non SEN All Pupils FSM but not SEN SEN but not FSM Both FSM and SEN

Prop

ortio

n ac

hiev

ing

benc

hmar

k

79% of all pupils are non FSM and non SEN

73% of all pupils are non FSM and non SEN

73% of all pupils are non FSM and non SEN

Not Published

10

68 8

6 7

10

79

12 11

-44

-34

-39

-28-30

-40

-36

-49

-32

-18

-50

-45

-40

-35

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

Early YearsGLD

KS1 Reading KS1 Writing KS1 Maths KS1 R,W & M KS2 Reading KS2 Writing KS2 Maths KS2 R,W & M 5+ GCSEgrades A*-C

inc E&M

E-Bacc

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Po

ints

Variations in SEN performance at key benchmarks: difference from the national level (ppt) (2014)

England non-SEN Cambridgeshire non-SEN National (all pupils)Cambridgeshire (all pupils) England Any SEN Cambridgeshire Any SEN

Not Published

Source: DfE LAIT and SFRs 2014.

The attainment of Cambridgeshire children with SEN is below that of their peers nationally.

(In 2014 assessments)

SEND splits into groups - SA, SA+, Statement. Statemented children (at school in county) do about as well as would be expected anywhere in the country.

But non-statemented children do worse (i.e. school support in new categories)

12

68 8

6 710

79

12 11

-54

-59-61

-55-58

-63-61

-64

-46

-23

-70

-65

-60

-55

-50

-45

-40

-35

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

Early YearsGLD

KS1 Reading KS1 Writing KS1 Maths KS1 R,W & M KS2 Reading KS2 Writing KS2 Maths KS2 R,W & M 5+ GCSEgrades A*-C

inc E&M

E-Bacc

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Po

ints

Variations in performance at key benchmarks for childrenwith statements: difference from the national level (ppt) (2014)

England non-SEN Cambridgeshire non-SEN National (all pupils)Cambridgeshire (all pupils) England with Statement Cambridgeshire with Statement

Not Published

Source: DfE LAIT and SFRs 2014.

13

68 8

6 7

10

79

12 11

-42

-31

-38

-24-22

-35

-31

-45

-31

-16

-50

-45

-40

-35

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

Early YearsGLD

KS1 Reading KS1 Writing KS1 Maths KS1 R,W & M KS2 Reading KS2 Writing KS2 Maths KS2 R,W & M 5+ GCSEgrades A*-C

inc E&M

E-Bacc

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Po

ints

Variations in SA & SA+ performance at key benchmarks: difference from the national level (ppt) (2014)

England non-SEN Cambridgeshire non-SEN National (all pupils)Cambridgeshire (all pupils) England SA/SA+ Cambridgeshire SA/SA+

Not Published

Source: DfE LAIT and SFRs 2014.

Funding allocated to SEND in local authority area

SEND financing system

Much SEND funding comes from Dedicated Schools Grant (DSG) straight from Government

Complicated system, bound up with schools funding more generally and mix of responsibilities and statutory obligations

Some uncertainty about whether that system will continue as it is

There is approx £100m in the system to support children with SEND

Self

Man

agin

g In

stitu

tions

(SM

Is)

Noti

onal

SEN

(in

Scho

ols)

Stra

tegy

and

Com

misi

onin

g di

rect

orat

e

Enha

nced

and

Pre

vent

ative

Ser

vice

s dire

ctor

ate

Child

rens

Soc

ial C

are

dire

ctor

ate

Lear

ning

dire

ctor

ate

Special schools Mainstream schools County Council

£0£5,000,000

£10,000,000£15,000,000£20,000,000£25,000,000£30,000,000£35,000,000£40,000,000£45,000,000

£39,040,783

£24,713,602

£10,578,504£4,836,915

£2,589,817

£9,180,882£9,339,629

£6,061,495

Budget supporting children with SEND 2014-15

Dedicated Schools Grant 2014-15 Council funding 2014-15

(All CSC Disability budget)

Approx £9m from E&PS budget – very difficult to separate out

Mostly home to school transport for SEND

Mostly SEND Placements (£700k of health funding not shown here)

The first £6k of statements (appx £10m) and in-school support for SA and SA+

Overall, this suggests a maximum financial input of around £106m in a

year, + £3-4m pupil premium for SEND+FSM

Mostly SEND Specialist Teachers

Spend on Key Areas

Funded Learners 14/15 Spend Average Learner Cost

£1,855

£21,200,000

£11,400

£907

£20,010,000

£22,100

£157£8,240,000

£52,400

Expenditure on Key Areas Compared to number of SEND Learners

Pupils with Statements / EHCPs in Mainstream Schools, Academies and Post 16 Colleges (Including Schools £6k contribution)

Pupils with Statements / EHCPs attending Cambridgeshire Special Schools

Pupils with Statements / EHCPs attending Out County Provision (SEN Placements)

What areas from previous slide does this include?

The 14/15 Spend includes elements of funding from within Strategy & Commissioning, self-managing institutions (special schools) and the Notional SEN as shown on the previous slide.

Note on Funded Learners – these are ‘full time equivalent’ places – so the number of places that need to be open in order to meet demand at any given time during the year, NOT the number of children in placement over the year

Summary• 13,000 approx with SEND + 210 out county• The proportion of pupils with SA+, SA or SEN support level SEND is falling in

Cambridgeshire faster than the national trend, but the proportion of pupils with statements going to school in Cambridgeshire is higher than elsewhere and seeming to rise over the last few years

• By 2021 there could be 3,130 pupils in Cambridgeshire schools with statements / EHCPs – a 10% increase from 2015. This could imply an increase in budget requirement for statements / EHCP of 10% over next 5 years.

• The total budget for SEND in the county could be as high as £100m. The bulk of this is spent on children with statements in county – although per pupil costs is much higher out of county

• SEND is correlated with low attainment and in Cambridgeshire, the attainment of children with SEN is lower than national. Around 20-25% of children with SEND also are eligible for FSM, and these children have a particularly high chance of not achieving attainment benchmarks.

• SEND is also correlated with lower attendance and a higher likelihood of exclusion.