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The Future of Technology

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Outline

• Technology• Key Technologies for the Future• Technology Management• Guidelines for Thriving

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Technology

• Technology is the practical application of knowledge.

• Types– Direct– Supportive– Enabling

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Types of Technology

Technologies embodied in a product

Technologies used in the development, manufacture, distribution, marketing, etc. of a product

Technologies used to enhance the effectiveness or efficiency of supportive or direct technologies

Enabling

Supportive

Direct

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Product Technology Clusters

Enabling

Supportive

Direct

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Economic Driving Force

Enabling

Supportive

Direct

50’s 60’s 70’s 80’s 90’s 00’s

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Information Technologies

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Characteristics of the New Economy

• Creativity• Informatization• Knowledge

management• Continuous, integrated

education• Innovation• Digitization

• Mass customization• Virtualization• Interactive integration• Disintermediation• Immediacy• Glocalization

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Information and Creativity

Noise

Data

Knowledge

Wisdom

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Key Information Technologies

• Computer• Internet• Telecommunications• Image• Software systems

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Technology Actualization

• Research• Management• Development• Embodiment

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Technology Actualization Process

Research

ManagementDevelopment

Embodiment

Def

initi

on

Open

Closed

StrategicTacticalEmphasis

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Tasks

• Identify and understand the driving forces for change

• Delineate customer needs• Understand competitive strategies• Forecast technological capability

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Technology Forecasting

• Surveillance– Scanning– Monitoring– Tracking

• Trend Analysis– Precursor developments– Trend extrapolation– Pearle curve– Learning curve– Substitution analysis

• Expert Opinion– Interviews– Survey– Group techniques

• Integrative– Scenarios– Cross impact– Mathematical models

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Guidelines for Thriving

• Gain a broader perspective• Look for what’s changing• Find the squeak of the pigs• Focus on the space between• Search for synergy• Expect beauty• Exploit the potential of information technologies

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Market Opportunity & Threat

CustomersCompetitors Technologies

Social Political

EconomicDemographic

Scientific

Opportunity Threat

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The Glocal Vantage

Market

Stakeholders OrganizationCapability

OrganizationCapacity

Strategy

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Potential of Information Technologies

Effective Individuals

High Performance Teams

Integrated Enterprises

Extended Enterprises

Internetworked Business

Source: Digital Economy, Dan Tapscott

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Glocal Vantage, Inc.

• PO Box 161475• Austin, TX 78716• (512) 632-6586• paul.schumann@glocalvantage.com• www.glocalvantage.com• http://incollaboration.com• Twitter: innovant2003

Paul Schumann

• Futurist and innovation consultant• Application of web 2.0 to market & strategic intelligence

systems• Web 2.0 tools & technologies• Application of web 2.0 to democratic processes• Broad perspectives on the future• Services

– Strategic market research & technology forecasting– Intelligence systems consulting– Seminars, webinars & presentations

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This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution

license. You may distribute, remix, tweak, and build upon this work,

even commercially, as long as you credit me for the original creation

as Paul Schumann, Glocal Vantage Inc, www.glocalvantage.com.