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Future of EV in Thailand
EV Association of Thailand
Presented by Vivek Vaidya
Vice President, APAC A&T
3rd December 2015
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Presentation Agenda
Global and Regional EV Market Trend
EV Technology R&D
EV Opportunity in ASEAN
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EVs use electric motors instead of an internal combustion engine (ICE) to propel a vehicle. The electricpower is derived from a battery of one of several chemistries including lead acid, nickel metal hydride(NiMH), and lithium-ion (Li-ion).
Neighbourhood Electric Vehicles (NEVs)
Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs)
Extended-range EVs (E-REVs)
Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEVs)
NEVs are a US DOT classification for vehicles weighing less than 3,000 lbs (GVW) and having a top speed of 25 mph. Generally, NEVs are restricted to operate on streets with a speed limit of 35 mph or less.
BEVs are a European classification for small and light vehicles intended for use in urban areas, although they are also capable of operating in a mixed city-highway environment.
E-REVs have an ICE or a secondary source connected in a series configuration to a generator to supply electricity to the batteries. Drive range and speed are comparable to ICE vehicles.
PHEVs have an ICE with a motor along with a battery connected in parallel to the ICE. Generally, they are regarded as full hybrids with a larger motor/battery and a recharge plug.
GEM e2, e4, e6; REVA G-Wiz i; ZENN; ZAP
Smart EV; Th!nk City; BMW Mini
Chevy Volt; Opel Ampera Toyota Prius PHEV
Image Source: GEM, Th!nk Global, General Motors, Toyota, Lightning Car Company
Electric Vehicle Segmentation
Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2012. Source: Frost & Sullivan
http://www.google.co.uk/imgres?imgurl=http://image.motortrend.com/f/auto-news/prius-phev-signals-beginning-of-toyota-plug-in-hybrid-onslaught-in-2011/27495322+w527+st0/toyota-prius-phev-front-three-quarter.jpg&imgrefurl=http://wot.motortrend.com/6599777/auto-news/prius-phev-signals-beginning-of-toyota-plug-in-hybrid-onslaught-in-2011/index.html&usg=__adEygf8CGTAFdg7N8cUrVfMrYeA=&h=330&w=527&sz=31&hl=en&start=5&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=Nk7hgT8RAWjotM:&tbnh=83&tbnw=132&prev=/images?q=Toyota+Prius+PHEV&um=1&hl=en&safe=active&sa=N&tbs=isch:1
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Total EVs are likely to reach 10 million units by 2020. PHEVs to drive growth post 2018
FCEV (0.1%)
HEV (5.6%)
ICE (91.4%)
PHEV (1.6%)BEV (1.3%)
New Energy Vehicle policy showing results
Shift from full hybrids to PHEVs in the West
Beginning of 48V HEVs?
Witness EVs growth increase and HEV growth shrink
Total EV Market: Sales Forecasts for ICE, HEV, PHEV, BEV, and FCEV, Global, 20132020
Uptake of hybrid electric vehicles globally
Chart1
762605881695472902661145780
79224992.4692012842115020.5185931.0166666670
82905391.84536672378770163167.916544521298269.6742716051070
86663321.07771332822362221470.206356341422426.9613543212500
89244262.84301833360766335456.031571975599344.7135848867720
93319290.71001114049548608408.868116059846439.06755765718290
95534836.23697294778180832320.4296929281075600.4698954232141
96776610.583284959039391012997.661292641206119.4096661158034
ICE
HEV
PHEV
BEV
FCEV
Sheet1
Column120132014201520162017201820192020Column2
ICE76,260,58879,224,99282,905,39286,663,32189,244,26393,319,29195,534,83696,776,611104,957,70192.2%
HEV1,695,4722,012,8422,378,7702,822,3623,360,7664,049,5484,778,1805,903,9395.6%
PHEV90,266115,021163,168221,470335,456608,409832,3201,012,9981.0%
BEV114,578185,931298,270422,427599,345846,4391,075,6001,206,1191.1%
FCEV- 0- 01,0702,5007,72018,29032,14158,0340.1%
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Global Power train Split by Propulsion Type- Unit Shipments 2013-2015The need for increased fuel economy and the emergence of clean diesel technologies are propelling the growth of diesels in North America and India, at small rates. Hybrids continue to grow globally.
88.5 88.2 87.5-88.5
6.2 6.2 6.3-6.6
5.3 5.5 5.4-5.8
0.01 0.03 0.04
80828486889092949698
100
2013 2014 2015
Gasoline Diesel Flex Fuel EV
Powertrain Market: Unit Shipments Split by Propulsion Type, Regional, 20132015Brazil China
99.699.4
98.9-99.3
0.3
0.3
0.3-0.5
0.10.3
0.6-0.8
98.098.298.498.698.899.099.299.499.699.8
100.0
2013 2014 2015Gasoline Diesel EV/HEV
93.5% 92.5-93.5 91.6
2..5%
2.6-3.5 3..5-3.8
3.6% 3.8-4.2 3.8-4.2
0.4% 0.5-0.6 0.7-0.9
86.0
88.0
90.0
92.0
94.0
96.0
98.0
100.0
2013 2014 2015Gasoline Diesel CNG/LPGHybrid EV
71.3% 69-69.5% 69-69.5%
27.0% 28-28.5% 28-28.5%
50.0%60.0%70.0%80.0%90.0%
100.0%
2013 2014 2015
Gasoline Diesel Hybrids EVs
0.7% 1.2-1.4% 1.2-1.4%
46.4% 45-46% 45.6%
2% ~2% 3-4%51.7% 52-53% 51.5-52.5%
0%20%40%60%80%
100%
FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
Gasoline Diesel Alternative Propulsion
North America
Japan India
Vehicle type with maximum growth in 2014 Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2014.. Data are based on Frost and Sullivan estimates where unavailable. Source: Respective national automotive agencies; Frost & Sullivan
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23,253
572
16,949
580
9,001
29,293
21,563
199
16,062
16,0803,799
19,698
1,000
19,474
5,005
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000
Renault
Nissan
General
Motors
Mitsubishi
ToyotaTesla
APACChinaNorth AmericaEurope
70,233
2,144
4,358
1,277
28,880
20,991
32,265
20,370
1,911
0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000
Renault
Nissan
General
Motors
Mitsubishi
ToyotaTesla
NEVPHEVeREVBEV
Total EV Market: Top OEM Breakdown by Region and EV Type, Global, 2014
Comparative Analysis of Top EV OEMs by Region and Type2014Nissan continues to lead the EV market with over 68,000 units sold globally; maximum sales occurred in the United States.
Source: Frost & Sullivan
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110,816
21,828
1,843 3,506 2,68518,191
2,236
22,11030,071
953 2,735 7,331 5,610
28,176
2,500 2,616
25,455
129,217
EV Sales 2015In 2015, over 415,000 units of hybrid electric vehicles are likely to be sold globally, a jump in comparison to 301,000 units sold in 2014.
Total EV Market: Sales by Country, Global, 2015
Note: Numbers have been extrapolated for November and December.
Europe 147,274
Europe35%
NA27%
China31%
Japan6%
South Korea
1%
Total EV Market: Percent Sales Breakdown by Region, Global, 2015
Total EV Market: Percent Sales Breakdown by EV Type, Global, 2015
BEV58.3%
eREV6.9%
PHEV41.2%
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2022
2015
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4
Forecast and Type Split- Electrified PowertrainsClose to 30% of electrified vehicles produced in 2022 are expected to be PHEVs and will replace FHEV by more than 50%. Battery electrics will also grow to almost three fold the current volumes.
European Powertrain Market- Sales Split of Electrified Vehicles, Europe, 2015 and 2022
Million Units
PHEV, ~30% FHEV, 26-27%BEV,
30-31%MHEV,11-13%
PHEV, 10% FHEV, 60% BEV, 22%MHEV, 8% 0.40 - 0.41 Mn Units
1.2 - 1.3 Mn Units
Mild Hybrids Full Hybrids Battery Electric
Daimler 30-35%
FIAT 15-20%
FORD 10-15% PSA, BMW 10-12%
Daimler 12-15%
Toyota 40-45%%
PSA - 11-14%
Renault Nissan25-30%
BMW 12-14%
VW 10-11%
Source: Frost & Sullivan
European Powertrain Market- Electrified Vehicles Sales- Market Share of Top Manufacturers, 2022
Note: Range Extenders and FCV have also been included in BEV category, as production volumes are less in comparison.
Tesla 12-14%
Honda 15-20%
Plug In Hybrids
Daimler 12-14%
Toyota22-25%
VW 22-25%
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EV to Watch Out: Tesla Model X, has many firstsA lifestyle SUV creating a new segment for itself lauded as the safest, most aerodynamic and quickest SUV in the world, provides hospital like air in the passenger cell
Safety & ADAS:Safest SUV EVER (NHTSA 5 star)
+ Front trunk acts as large, impact absorbing crumple zone
+ Active sensors with emergency braking and collision avoidance systems
+ Floor mounted battery lowers the centre of gravity which resists rollovers
+ Battery support structure provides incredible side impact protection
+ Medical grade HEPA filter removes pollen, bacteria, viruses and pollution from cabin air
Design:+ Falcon Wing doors allow easy access to 2nd
& 3rd row seats from a tight parking space,+ Panoramic windshield Optimized solar
tinting and obstruction-free+ Storage space front, rear and under the
seat + only EV with 5,000 pound towing+ Automatic keyless entry, with automatically
opening front doors
Most aerodynamic SUV ever with Cd=0.24
P90D AWD250 miles range (EPA est.) 257 miles range (EPA est.)
3.8s 0-60 mph3.2s with Ludicrous Speed
4.8s 0-60 mph
259 hp front, 503 hp rear motor 259 hp front & rear motor
155 mph top speed 155 mph top speed
Autonomous Driving (Autopilot):+ First OEM to provide high
degree of autonomous driving in cars
+ Autosteer, auto lane change, autopark and side-collision warning
+ 85kWh Lithium ion battery+ 8 year, infinite mile battery
and drive unit warranty+ Free access to
supercharger network
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0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
NorthAmerica
SouthAmerica
China India Russia Europe Next 11 Rest-of-World
HD MD
Region
Hybrid and Electric Truck Market: Electric Truck Penetration Rate and Unit Shipment Forecast, 20132022
2013
2022 Regional Shares
2022
~600
~48,600
24%
32.2%
22%
28%
30%
100% 76% 18%
67.8%
78% 72% 71%
70%
Uni
ts
80%82% 17% 83%29% 20%
Electric Truck MarketPenetration and Unit Shipment ForecastElectric truck penetration in the HD truck segment will be limited by the slow pace of advancement in battery and charging technologies; China is expected to observe the highest demand for MD-HD electric trucks by 2022.
Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2013. Source: Frost & SullivanHD 16 T and above, MD 6 T to 16 T.
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x Ranking of region according to the market size of electric MD and HD truck volumes
China
Global Sharefor Electric: 68.3%
India
Global Sharefor Electric: 0.3%
Latin AmericaGlobal Sharefor Electric: 1.2%
RussiaGlobal Sharefor Electric: 0.8%
EuropeGlobal Sharefor Electric: 12%
North AmericaGlobal Sharefor Electric: 13.5%
Rest-of-WorldGlobal Sharefor Electric: 2.8%
1
457
63
2
68%
32%
~33,200
~200
83%17%
~2,400 (36.7%)
80%
20%
82%
18%
Hybrid and Electric Truck Market: Top RegionsMD and HD Electric Truck Forecast, Global, 2022
Note: Ball size denotes market size by unit shipment(%) denotes the market penetration of electric MD and HD trucks in the respective regions
~1,350
~8,500
~400
~600
72%
28%
~5,800
MD Trucks
HD Trucks
78
%~130
76%
24%
~6,500
Snapshot of Global MD and HD Electric TrucksBy 2022, the share of electric trucks is likely to reach 1.1% of total truck sales; the MD segment will account for around 70% of electric trucks in 2022.
Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2013. Source: Frost & Sullivan
82%
18%
22%
78%
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Presentation Agenda
Global and Regional EV Market Trend
EV Technology R&D
EV Opportunity in ASEAN
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Components and Systems change due to emergence of EVs and Hybrids
Cha
ssis
2005 2012 2018
Pow
er tr
ain
Conventional Vehicles Electric Vehicles
Hydraulic Power Steering
Electro Hydraulic Power Steering
Electric Power Steering Column, Pinion, and Rack
Active Front Steering
Steer by
Wire
Hydraulic Braking System
Electro Hydraulic Braking System Brake By Wire (Electro Mechanical Braking)
Hydraulic Braking System + Electric Vacuum Pump
Electric Motors (35 kW 250 kW) Induction/PMM/SR DrivesConventional IC Engines (Gasoline/Diesel)
Lead Acid Batteries (Starting, Lighting, Ignition) Lead Acid Batteries (SLI) + Lithium Ion Batteries (10 kWH 75 kWH)
Manual/Automatic/Dual Clutch Transmissions and Differential
Engine Coolant Pumps Electrical Coolant Pumps
Integrated Transmission (variator-based) and Differential with Electric Motor
Conventional Transmission and Differential Systems In-Wheel Motors, without Transmission and Differential
Stee
ring
Bra
king
Engi
neG
earb
oxB
atte
ry
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis
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Components and Systems change due to emergence of EVs and Hybrids
Pow
er S
yste
ms
2005 2012 2018
Acce
ssor
ies
Conventional Vehicles Electric Vehicles
Power Harness 12V
DC/DC Converters, MOSFETs, 8-bit Microcontrollers
Power Harness 12V/ 300V- 400V
CAN/TT-CAN/Flex RayLIN/CAN
Rubber and Synthetic Isolators Power Train
Sound Generators for Noise Generation
Conventional HVAC System E-HVAC System (Electric Compressors)
Water Pumps Electric Water Pumps
Pow
er E
lect
roni
csH
VAC
& P
umps
Noi
seDashboard Battery SOC, Battery Temperature Indicator, Motor
Speed, Vehicle Speed, Distance CalculatorDashboard Speed, Fuel indicator, RPM
Inte
riors
&
Acou
stic
s
Das
h
High-frequency Acoustic Isolators
Stepped DC/DC, DC/AC Converters, IGBTs, 16-32 bit Microcontrollers, Inverters
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis
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Hybrid Vehicle Technology Electric Vehicle Technology
Full Hybrid Vehicle Mild Hybrid Vehicle BEV eREV PHEV NEV
Chevrolet Volt
Toyota Prius PHEV
Nissan Leaf Mahindra RevaToyota Prius V Honda Insight
Source: Frost & Sullivan
NiMH Li-ion NiMH Li-ion Li-ion Li-ion Li-ion Li-ion
12 Volt 48 Volt Hybrid PHEV/eREV BEV
Energy Content ~300 Wh 0.25 1 kWh 0.2 3 kWh 6-18 kWh 16-60 kWh
Power ~3 kW 8 11 kW 10 50 kW 50 120 kW 50 120 kW
Voltage 12 V 48 V 120/400 V 400 V 400 V
Weight ~ 5 kg ~ 10 Kg 10-40 Kg 80-200 Kg 200-500 Kg
Cooling - AC cooling/ Liquid Air/ Liquid Liquid Liquid
Electric Propulsion TechnologyAlthough mild and full hybrid EVs use NiMh batteries, they will shift to Li-ion batteries in the next 23 years.
Total EV Market: Electric Propulsion Technology, Global, 2014
Image Source: Toyota, Honda, Nissan, GM , Toyota, Mahindra
Electric Propulsion Technology
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Future Battery Chemistries Technology RoadmapLi-S and Zn-air batteries are likely to be adopted within the next 8 years followed by Li-air batteries in about a decade.
Total EV Market: Future Battery Chemistries in EVs, Technology Roadmap, Global, 20152030
2015 2020 2025 2030
Li-ion
Li-S
Zn-air
Li-air
LaunchEnergy Density
Cost
Lifecycle
LaunchEnergy Density
Cost
Lifecycle
LaunchEnergy Density
Cost
Lifecycle
LaunchEnergy Density
Cost
Lifecycle
Second Generation EVs Third Generation EVs
110-150 Wh/kg > 250 Wh/kg
$300-$400/kWh $150-$200/ kWh
700-1,500 cycles > 1,500 cycles
Prototype and Testing Introduction
500-600 Wh/kg (theoretical) 400 Wh/kg (practical)
$400-$500/ kWh $100-$150/ kWh
500-1,000 > 1,000
Prototype and Testing Introduction
450-500 Wh/kg 380 Wh/kg (practical)
$400-$500/kWh $100-$150/kWh
150-800 > 1,000
Prototype Introduction800-900 Wh/kg
(theoretical) 600 Wh/kg
$500-$600 kWh $300-$400/ kWh100-300 >1,000
Source: Frost & Sullivan
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0 20 40 60 120 140 180 20080 100 220160 240
NEV/QC
CEV
PHEV/eREV
HPEV
Motor Power (kW)
4 25
30 150
47 140
120 230
Analysis of Motor Rating by ApplicationMore than 95 per cent of the motors used in EVs are in the 40120 kW band
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis
Ideal Power rating band for economies?
m-HEV
f-HEV
20 140
60 240
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Chademo GB/T Combo 1 Combo 2
Regional SupportJapan China US Germany
Connector
Vehicle Inlet
SAE Approval
IEC Approval
OEM Support
E.g., Nissan, Suzuki, Toyota, Mitsubishi, Mazda, Kawasaki
E.g., Most of the Chinese OEMS such
as BYD, Denza
E.g., Chrysler, Ford, General Motors
E.g., Volkswagen, BMW, Audi, Daimler,
Porsche
Communication Protocol
CAN CAN PLC PLC
Total EV Market: Acceptable DC Charging Standards, Global, 2014
Source: Frost & Sullivan
EV Direct Current (DC) Charging Connectors Chademo has been accepted as a global standard by the IEC; however, SAE has not yet approved it.
Key: International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC); Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE); Guobiao standards (GB/T) controller area network (CAN); programmable logic controller (PLC) Image Source: Renault
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Presentation Agenda
Global and Regional EV Market Trend
EV Technology R&D
EV Opportunity in ASEAN
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Thailand, Malaysia & Indonesia have all embarked on eco-friendly vehicles and have come up with their policies/initiatives
Eco & Green Car Programs: Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand
Low Cost Green Car in Indonesia
Eco cars in Thailand
EEVs
in Malaysia
Domestic Market Focused
Price Cap ensures affordability
Basic features / No frills
Strong Export Orientation
Production Volume Focus
Euro 4 + / advanced
Regional Aspirations
No Binding Conditions
Conventional to Advanced
Technology
Source:: Frost & Sullivan
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50.5% 51.2% 83.9% 82.9%74.9% 74.5%
42.1%41.0%
13.5% 14.0%
25.1%25.2%
1.2%
1.3%
2.5% 2.8%
0.2%0.1%
0.1% 0.3%
5.8%
5.9% 0.03%
0.05%
0.4%0.5%
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014
Uni
ts (M
illio
n)
Year
Gasoline Diesel Hybrid EV CNG/NGV FFV(E85)
ASEAN Powertrain MarketUnit Shipment Forecast by Powertrain MixGasoline will continue to dominate the ASEAN markets. Regional powertrain differences exist.
Powertrain Market: Unit Shipment Forecast by Powertrain Mix, ASEAN, 2013 and 2014
MalaysiaThailand Indonesia
~1.26
~0.64 ~0.66~1.03
~1.12
~1.18
67.4%
29.4%
1.0%2.0%
0.2%
2013
~3.0 Million
6768%
2930%
2014
3.03.2 Million
~1.0%
~2.0%~0.2%
~0.1%
Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2013. Source: Frost & Sullivan
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Solution Considered Usage
Reasons for Acceptance
Top Mode to be replaced
Top Occasion Top Cities
Motorized Mover
Motorized Chair
Covered Two
Wheeler
Compact Electric Vehicle
Acceptance of Compact Electric Vehicles Is the highest followed by covered two wheeler, motorized mover is the best accepted last mile connectivity solution
42%
39%
49%
52%
1. Environmentally friendly (20%)
2. Improves Speed (14%)3. Economic (14%)
1. Walking (59%)2. Individual (53%)3. Public (33%)
1. To a store2. To work3. Entertainment or leisure
1. Jakarta2. Shanghai3. Beijing4. New Delhi5. Mexico City
1. Environmentally friendly (24%)
2. Economic (15%)3. Convenient (12%)
1. Individual (64%)2. Walking (48%)3. Public (35%)
1. To work2. To a store3. Entertainment or leisure
1. Environmentally friendly (23%)
2. Economic (17%)3. Convenient (13%)
1. Individual (71%)2. Walking (35%)3. Public (42%)
1. To work2. To a store3. Entertainment or leisure
1. Environmentally friendly (28%)
2. Economic (22%)3. Convenient (11%)
1. Individual (74%)2. Public (42%)3. Walking (29%)
1. To work2. To a store3. To see friendsor family
1. Shanghai2. Beijing3. Jakarta4. New Delhi5. Rio
1. Jakarta2. Shanghai3. Beijing4. Rio5. Mexico City
1. Jakarta2. Shanghai3. Beijing4. Mexico City5. New Delhi
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis
Acceptance of Compact Electric Vehicle, World , 2025
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Acceptance of Micro-mobility solutionsJEI seems to have an inverse correlation to acceptance of micro mobility solutions. The acceptors also happen to be cities from emerging markets
Jakarta
Shanghai
Beijing
New Delhi
Mexico City
Motorized Mover Motorized Chair Two Wheeler Compact Electric Vehicle
Considered Usage
Impact on Travel
Considered Usage
Impact on Travel
Considered Usage
Impact on Travel
Considered Usage
Impact on Travel
Considered Usage
Impact on Travel
Top 2Cannot imagineBottom 2Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis
Acceptance level of Micro-mobility solutions, World , 2012
Chart1
-9.772.8-17.6
-3252.8-15.3
-20.969.1-10
-29.470.6-10
-24.266.8-9
-22.366.4-11.4
-25.355466379960.4-14.2
-21.465.2-13.4
-14.857.9-27.3
-18.449.4-32.2
Can not imagine
Top
Low
Sheet1
Considered usageImpact on travelConsidered usageImpact on travelConsidered usageImpact on travelConsidered usageImpact on travelConsidered usageImpact on travel
Can not imagine-9.70-32.00-20.90-29.40-24.20-22.30-25.36-21.40-14.80-18.40
Top72.8052.8069.1070.6066.8066.4060.4065.2057.9049.40
Low-17.60-15.30-10.00-10.00-9.00-11.40-14.20-13.40-27.30-32.20
JakartaShanghaiBeijingNew DelhiMexico City
Chart1
-1269.9-18.1
-33.748.7-17.7
-17.675.9-6.4
-12.780.3-7
-13.270.1-6.8
-25.665.7-8.7
-19.460.7-19.9
-21.762.8-15.5
-18.449.3-32.3
-26.343.9-29.8
Can not imagine
Top
Low
Sheet1
Considered usageImpact on travelConsidered usageImpact on travelConsidered usageImpact on travelConsidered usageImpact on travelConsidered usageImpact on travel
Can not imagine-12.00-33.70-17.60-12.70-13.20-25.60-19.40-21.70-18.40-26.30
Top69.9048.7075.9080.3070.1065.7060.7062.8049.3043.90
Low-18.10-17.70-6.40-7.00-6.80-8.70-19.90-15.50-32.30-29.80
JakartaShanghaiBeijingNew DelhiMexico City
Motorised Chair
Chart1
-9.186.4-4.6
-28.366.1-5.5
-1080-10
-1477.5-8.5
-17.476-6.6
-14.480-5.5
-24.867.6-7.7
-23.371-5.7
-15.370.6-14.1
-1766.5-16.4
Can not imagine
Top
Low
Sheet1
Considered usageImpact on travelConsidered usageImpact on travelConsidered usageImpact on travelConsidered usageImpact on travelConsidered usageImpact on travel
Can not imagine-9.10-28.30-10.00-14.00-17.40-14.40-24.80-23.30-15.30-17.00
Top86.4066.1080.0077.5076.0080.0067.6071.0070.6066.50
Low-4.60-5.50-10.00-8.50-6.60-5.50-7.70-5.70-14.10-16.40
JakartaShanghaiBeijingNew DelhiMexico City
Covered Two Wheeler
Chart1
-686.6-7.4
-23.267.3-9.5
-13.780.8-5.5
-14.681.3-4
-15.376.7-8
-15.776.2-8
-15.273.4-11.5
-19.871.2-9
-9.577.2-13.3
-13.376-10.7
Can not imagine
Top
Low
Sheet1
Considered usageImpact on travelConsidered usageImpact on travelConsidered usageImpact on travelConsidered usageImpact on travelConsidered usageImpact on travel
Can not imagine-6.00-23.20-13.70-14.60-15.30-15.70-15.20-19.80-9.50-13.30
Top86.6067.3080.8081.3076.7076.2073.4071.2077.2076.00
Low-7.40-9.50-5.50-4.00-8.00-8.00-11.50-9.00-13.30-10.70
JakartaShanghaiBeijingNew DelhiMexico City
Compact Electric Vehicle
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24
Key Challenges in ASEAN EV Industry
Lack of Standardization
among EV component
technologies
Economies of Scale Lack of
Volumes resulting in high
price
Low Consumer confidence in
terms of safety and range
anxiety along with low fuel
costs
EV infrastructure at nascent stage and all stake
holders need to work together to
increase EV penetration
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25
EV Opportunity in ASEAN
Local government push for EVs by
providing incentives
Key technologylearning
from other Global regions resulting
in faster technologydevelopment
EV Market at nascent stage and potential ASEAN production
hub
Regional and Global OEMs focus on
EV market
Future of EV in ThailandSlide Number 2Slide Number 3Total EVs are likely to reach 10 million units by 2020. PHEVs to drive growth post 2018Global Power train Split by Propulsion Type- Unit Shipments 2013-2015The need for increased fuel economy and the emergence of clean diesel technologies are propelling the growth of diesels in North America and India, at small rates. Hybrids continue to grow globally.Slide Number 6Slide Number 7Forecast and Type Split- Electrified PowertrainsClose to 30% of electrified vehicles produced in 2022 are expected to be PHEVs and will replace FHEV by more than 50%. Battery electrics will also grow to almost three fold the current volumes.EV to Watch Out: Tesla Model X, has many firstsA lifestyle SUV creating a new segment for itself lauded as the safest, most aerodynamic and quickest SUV in the world, provides hospital like air in the passenger cellSlide Number 10Slide Number 11Slide Number 12Components and Systems change due to emergence of EVs and HybridsComponents and Systems change due to emergence of EVs and HybridsSlide Number 15Future Battery Chemistries Technology RoadmapLi-S and Zn-air batteries are likely to be adopted within the next 8 years followed by Li-air batteries in about a decade.Slide Number 17Slide Number 18Slide Number 19Thailand, Malaysia & Indonesia have all embarked on eco-friendly vehicles and have come up with their policies/initiativesASEAN Powertrain MarketUnit Shipment Forecast by Powertrain MixGasoline will continue to dominate the ASEAN markets. Regional powertrain differences exist. Slide Number 22Acceptance of Micro-mobility solutionsJEI seems to have an inverse correlation to acceptance of micro mobility solutions. The acceptors also happen to be cities from emerging marketsKey Challenges in ASEAN EV IndustryEV Opportunity in ASEAN