Future challenges in transportation (handels 20101011).pptx

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www.trb.se © Per Olof Arnäs, TRB Sverige, @Dr_PO Feel free to tweet about this using the hashtag #drpolecture Future challenges in transporta6on (and logis6cs) Per Olof Arnäs, PhD TRB Sverige [email protected] www.trb.se

description

The transportation industry faces a number of challenges in the near future. This presentation describes the transportation system from different points of view and suggests that the future can be described in four areas: Connected Vehicle, Connected Goods, Connected Business and Connected Infrastructure.

Transcript of Future challenges in transportation (handels 20101011).pptx

Page 1: Future challenges in transportation (handels 20101011).pptx

www.trb.se  ©  Per  Olof  Arnäs,  TRB  Sverige,  @Dr_PO  

Feel  free  to  tweet  about  this  using  the  hashtag  #drpolecture  

Future  challenges  in  transporta6on  

(and  logis6cs)  

Per  Olof  Arnäs,  PhD  TRB  Sverige  per-­‐[email protected]  

www.trb.se  

Page 2: Future challenges in transportation (handels 20101011).pptx

www.trb.se  ©  Per  Olof  Arnäs,  TRB  Sverige,  @Dr_PO  

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How  much  of  the  goods  transported  by  the  haulage  industry  are  loaded  on  pallets?  

Source:  SIKA  

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How  much  of  the  traffic  work*  are  dedicated  to  the  transport  of  pallets?  

* Traffic work = Vehicle km

Source:  SIKA  

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How  much  of  the  transport  work*  are  dedicated  to  the  transport  of  pallets?  

* Transport work = tonne km

Source:  SIKA  

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Number  of  trucks  equipped  to  transport  pallets  

Source:  SIKA  

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What  do  all  the  other  trucks  do?  

Source:  SIKA  

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A  resource-­‐  and  competence  center  16  partners  Turnover  13.5  bn  SEK  (1.4  bn  euro)  7  900  vehicles:  5  900  trucks  2  000  heavy  duty  machines  

10  500  employees  Almost  20%  of  the  Swedish  haulage  industry  2,5  million  orders  for  80  000  customers  Owns  more  than  30  terminals  and  80  quarries  

Updated 2010-02-02

Alltransport    Norrköping  

GDL  Helsingborg  

MLT  Uppsala  

ALWEX  Växjö/Alvesta    

GKF  Frakt  Kris6anstad  

Närkefrakt  Örebro  

BDX  Norrbocen  

GLC  Göteborg  

Samfrakt  Kalmar  

Bilfrakt.se  Skelleeeå/Umeå  

LBC  Frakt  Karlstad  

Sundfrakt  Sundsvall  

Centralen  Trollhäcan  

LBC  Varberg  Varberg  

FORIA  Södertälje  

MaserFrakt  Borlänge  

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LBC-­‐companies  

Owned  by  hauliers  

Regionally  focused  

One-­‐stop  shopping  Construc6on  industry  Waste  management  and  recycling  Tradi6onal  goods  transport  Tank  and  bulk  Forest  transports  Industrial  transports  3PL-­‐services  (storing,  kilng  etc.)  

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Focal  areas  The  work  of  TRB  is  closely  related  to  issues  relevant  for  the  single  haulage  company  Environmental  issues  Logis6cs  Fuel  and  supplies  IT  Procurement  Educa6on  Safety  issues  

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Haulage  companies  own  vehicles  that  are  used  by…  

…transport  companies  that  service…  

…customers  that  own…  

…flows  that  are  controlled  by…  

…logis6cs  principles  

1   2  

3   4  

5  

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Maintenance  

ROI  

U6lisa6on  

Fuel  economy  

Second  hand  value  

Alco  lock  

ISA  –  Intelligent  Speed  Adapta6on  

Cer6ficates  

Driver  Educa6on  

Rules  and  regula6ons  

Safety  

Security  

Selec6on  of  fuel  

Mobile  IT-­‐systems  

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The  role  of  a  vehicle  in  the  informa6on  system  

Data  consumer:  • Order  data  • Traffic  data  • AdministraMve  data  

Data  producer:  • Order  data  • Traffic  data  • AdministraMve  data  • OperaMon  data  

Today,  most  of  this  communicaMon  is  carried  out  by  phone,  paper,  and  pencil.  In  the  70’s,  radio  communicaMon  was  used,  nothing  of  note  has  happened  otherwise…  

To  meet  future  customer  requirements,  all  of  this  communicaMon  needs  to  be  electronic  

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Utlilisa6on  

Cer6ficates  

Educa6on  

Customer  contacts  

Environmental  repor6ng  

Resource  alloca6on  

Route  op6misa6on  

Transport  Management  

Service  Level  

Security   Safety  

Mobile  IT-­‐systems  

System  integra6on  

Track  and  Trace  RFID  

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The  customer  pays  for  transport  work.    Measured  in  tonne  km.  

The  haulier’s  costs  are  driven  by  traffic  work.  

Measured  in  vehicle  km.  

The  transport  company  wants  to  maximise  the  amount  of  transport  work  and  minimise  the  amount  of  traffic  work  

This  mechanism  is  

fundamental  to  all  transport  opera6ons!  

vehicle  km  

tonne  km  

MAX  

Page 16: Future challenges in transportation (handels 20101011).pptx

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From  order  to  invoice  (transporta6on  company)  

Basic  data  From/To/What/When  Owner:  the  customer  

Resource  alloca6on  What  vehicle?  Owner:  Traffic  controller  

Cargo  informa6on  Loaded  amount  Owner:  Supplier  

Proof  of  Delivery  Time/date/signature  Owner:  Driver  

Pricing  Owner:  Financial  dept.  

Enough  informa6on  to  create  invoice  

All  of  these  steps  cost  money!  

Page 17: Future challenges in transportation (handels 20101011).pptx

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Goal:  De-­‐couple  the  dependecy  between  administa6ve  cost  and    order  volume  

Number  of  orders  per  year  

Total  cost  for  administra6on  of  

all  orders  

An  increase  in  the  number  of  orders  lead  to  increased  cost  

Handle  excep6ons  –  not  transac6ons!  

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Cabotage  ”Cabotage  is  the  transport  of  goods  or  passengers  between  two  points  in  the  same  country.”  (Wikipedia)  

Sweden  has  a  rela6vely  high  salary  level  compared  to  several  of  the  nearby  countries  such  

as  the  Bal6c  states  and  Poland  

Mainly  FTL  –  low  barrier  The  simple  reposi6oning  of  a  semi-­‐trailer  

only  requires  a  trailer  truck  and  a  GPS  

As  soon  as  value  added  service  elements  are  introduced  in  the  end  points,  cabotage  becomes  more  difficult  LTL  Consumer  contact  Construc6on  industry  Etc.  

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Four  strategies  to  reduce  the  environmental  footprint  of  transporta6on  

Use  less  fuel  Educa6on  Feedback/follow-­‐up  system  

U6lise  vehicles  more  efficiently  Planning  systems  

Informa6on  sharing  throughout  the  chain  

Use  alterna6ve  sources  of  energy  Limited  availability  Warran6es  from  engine  manufacturers  

Reduce  distances  in  6me  Resolve  conges6on  

Use  low-­‐intensity  periods  Redirect  traffic  dynamically  

Image:  Aspen  Petroleum  

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Service  level  

Transport  Quality  

Price  

Reliability  Environmental  footprint  

Lot  sizing  

Stock  levels  

System  integra6on  

Environmental  repor6ng  

Security  

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Central  warehouse  –  tradi6onal  layout  

•  Manufacturers  deliver  to  the  same  warehouse  

•  Sales  offices  have  their  own  warehouses  close  to  their  markets  

•  Sales  offices  order  from  the  central  warehouse  

•  Several  transportaMon  companies  involved  

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Example,  decentralised  system  

•  A  customer  in  Östersund  (middle  of  Sweden)  orders  products  before  15.00  day  0.  The  warehouse  is  in  Helsingborg  (south  of  Sweden).  

•  Delivery  within  44  hours  (before  11  day  2)  

•  Day  0:    –  Order  registra6on  

•  Day  1:    –  Picking  –  Prepare  shipment  –  Pick  up  by  hauler  –  Line-­‐based  transport  to  des6na6on  terminal  

•  Dag  2:    –  Distribu6on  to  consignor  before  11  o’clock  

Day  0   Day  1   Day  2  

15:00   11:00  44  h  

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Central  warehouse  –  new  layout  

•  Manufacturers  deliver  to  the  same  warehouse  

•  Sales  offices  collect  orders  and  work  the  market  

•  The  central  warehouse  delivers  directly  to  the  customer  

•  Probably  only  one  transportaMon  company  involved  

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Example,  centralised  system  

•  The  same  customer  in  Östersund  order  products  before  15  day  0.  The  warehouse  is  in  Brussels.  

•  Delivery  is  s6ll  carried  out  within  44  hours  (before  11  day  2)  •  Day  0:    

–  Customer  orders  electronically.  The  order  is  sent  directly  to  the  forklie  in  the  central  warehouse.    –  Picking  is  instantaneous  

–  Shipment  prepared  for  the  ”Sweden  line”  –  Pick  up  by  hauler,  transport  to  transshipment  loca6on  in  Sweden  (ca  16  h)  

•  Day  1:    –  Transshipment  at  line-­‐based  terminal  

–  Line-­‐based  transport  to  receiving  terminal  

•  Day  2:    –  Distribu6on  to  consignor  before  11  o’clock  

Dag  0   Dag  1   Dag  2  

15:00   11:00  44  h  

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Lot  sizing  

Uniqueness  

Length  

Goods  or  products  Goods  Heterogeneity  

Width  

Repe66veness  

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What  makes  some  goods  heterogeneous?  

Difficulty  of  handling  

Poor  stowability  

Extended  liability  

Low/high  density  

FOUR  

DIMENSIONS  

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Informa6on  

Handling  

Coordina6on  Planning  

Time  

Control  Tower  

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Counter  

Customer  order  point/Warehouse  

Resellers

Customers

Production

Wholesaler, ”Supply chain manager”

Frie

s D

eep fry

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Transport  

Traffic  

Goods  Vehicles/  vessels  

Ways  and  terminals  

Sjöstedt,  L.  (2005)  A  conceptual  framework  for  analysing  policy  maker's  and  industry  roles  and  perspec6ves  in  the  context  of  sustainable  goods  transporta6on  In  Barriers  to  sustainable  transport  :  ins0tu0ons,  regula0on  and  sustainability  Rietveld,  P.  and  Stough,  R.  (Eds)  Spon,  London,  pp.  198-­‐222.  

The  haulage  industry  mainly  focuses  on  the  vehicles  

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LokalisaMon  Land  use  

Sourcing  och  distribuMon  

Products  

LocaMon  FaciliMes  

Sjöstedt,  L.  (2005)  A  conceptual  framework  for  analysing  policy  maker's  and  industry  roles  and  perspec6ves  in  the  context  of  sustainable  goods  transporta6on  In  Barriers  to  sustainable  transport  :  ins0tu0ons,  regula0on  and  sustainability  Rietveld,  P.  and  Stough,  R.  (Eds)  Spon,  London,  pp.  198-­‐222.  

Transport  buying  companies  tradiMonally  focus  on  products  and  their  movements  

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Transport  

Traffic  

Goods  Vehicles/  vessels  

Ways  and  terminals  

LocalisaMon  Land  use  

Sourcing  and  distribuMon  

Products  

LocaMons  FaciliMes  

Sjöstedt,  L.  (2005)  A  conceptual  framework  for  analysing  policy  maker's  and  industry  roles  and  perspec6ves  in  the  context  of  sustainable  goods  transporta6on  In  Barriers  to  sustainable  transport  :  ins0tu0ons,  regula0on  and  sustainability  Rietveld,  P.  and  Stough,  R.  (Eds)  Spon,  London,  pp.  198-­‐222.  

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Haulage  companies  own  vehicles  that  are  used  by…  

…transport  companies  that  service…  

…customers  that  own…  

…flows  that  are  controlled  by…  

…logis6cs  principles  

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How  will  the  future  play  out  for  transporta6on  companies?  

It  is  Mme  to  connect  the  various  enMMes  to  each  other  

6  

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Connected|Vehicle  Seamless  communica6on  WiFi,  3G/4G,  GPRS,  Satellite,  RFID  etc.  

First:    

Replace  current  data  with  electronic  alterna6ve  

Then:    Create  new  func6onality  that  uses  the  new  infrastructure  

GIS-­‐services  Vehicle  management  

Infotainment  ”Run6me”  cost/revenue  6cker  

Subscribe  to  vehicle  func6onality  as  needed,    e.g.  extra  horse  powers  

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Connected|Business  

When  data  becomes  readily  available,  data  

mining  becomes  possible  Visualisa6ons  and  mash-­‐ups  to  assist  decision  making  

Large-­‐scale  and  frequent  route-­‐  and  load  op6misa6ons  

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Connected|Goods  The  goods  will  be  able  to  inherit  and  process  the  state  of  their  load  carrier  

The  goods  will,  by  their  own  accord,  be  able  to  change  route  and  otherwise  affect  their  movement  

The  RFID  technology  taken  to  the  next  step  

True  distributed  decision  making  

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Connected|Infrastructure  

Slot  management  

Conges6on  control  

Dynamic  road  pricing  

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And  finally…    The  Internet  became  accesible  for  Swedish  consumers  15  years  ago    

A  (bad  and  expensive)  mix  between  Teletext  and  the  Yellow  Pages  

Not  very  precy  

Only  nerds  owned  computers  

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And  finally…  Today,  15  years  later,  we  have  

sites  like  Google  Flu  Trends  Based  on  what  people  google  and  where  their  computer  is  located  

Two  weeks  ahead  of  the  official  flu  tracker  

www.google.org  

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How  will  we  use  the  technology  in  15  years?  

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Thank  you!  

Per  Olof  Arnäs  per-­‐[email protected]  

www.trb.se  twiger.com/Dr_PO