Fundamental of Corporate Finance,chpt7

download Fundamental of Corporate Finance,chpt7

of 12

Transcript of Fundamental of Corporate Finance,chpt7

  • 8/3/2019 Fundamental of Corporate Finance,chpt7

    1/12

    Chapter 7

    Interest Rates and

    Bond Valuation

    Prepared and Taught by Lecturer : YIN SOKHNG

    E-mail: [email protected]

    Tel:(855) 16889872 / 17989972

    Chapter Outline

    7.1 Bond Definition

    7.2 More about Bond Features

    7.3 Bond Ratings

    7.4 Different Types of Bonds

    7.5 Bond Markets

    7.6 Inflation and Interest Rates

    7.7 Determinants of Bond Yields7.8 Bond Risky

    2Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    3

    7.1 Bond Definition

    The corporation or government are borrow moneyfrom the public by issuing or selling debt securitiesthat are generically called bonds.

    Normally an interest-only loan (when issued at par),the principal is paid until the end of the loan.

    Interest paid in the form of a periodic coupon.

    Term basis:

    Shortterm basis

    Longterm basis.

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

  • 8/3/2019 Fundamental of Corporate Finance,chpt7

    2/12

    4

    The Bond Indenture Contract between the corporation (borrower)

    and the creditor (bondholders) that includes The basic terms of the bonds

    The total amount of bonds issued

    A description of property used as security, if

    applicable

    Repayment agreements

    Call provisions

    Details of protective covenants

    7.2 More about Bond Features

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    5

    The Indenture Forms of a Bond

    Registered Form: The corporation keeps track of the

    owner.

    Bearer Form: Certificate is the only evidence of ownership.

    Security

    Collateralsecured by other securities

    Mortgagesecured by real property, normally land or

    buildings; Chattel Mortgage (mortgage on a specific

    property)

    Debenturesunsecured bond with original maturity of 10

    years or more Notesunsecured bond with original maturity less than 10

    years

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    6

    Bonds Compared to Stock

    Bondholders arecreditors

    Bonds a liability

    Interest is fixedcharge

    Interest is expense

    Interest tax deductible

    No voting

    Stockholders are owners

    Stock is equity

    Dividends not fixedcharges

    Dividends not expense

    Dividends not taxdeductible

    Voting

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

  • 8/3/2019 Fundamental of Corporate Finance,chpt7

    3/12

    7

    Bond Term

    Par value (face value), F

    Coupon rate, R

    Coupon payment, C

    Maturity date, T

    Discount rate or Yield to maturity, r or YTM

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    8

    7.3 Bond Ratings

    Investment Quality High Grade

    Moodys Aaa and S&P AAA capacity to pay is

    extremely strong

    Moodys Aa and S&P AA capacity to pay is verystrong

    Medium Grade

    Moodys A and S&P A capacity to pay is strong, but

    more susceptible to changes in circumstances

    Moodys Baa and S&P BBB capacity to pay isadequate, adverse conditions will have more impacton the firms ability to pay

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    9

    Bond Ratings - Speculative

    Low Grade

    Moodys Ba, B, Caa and Ca S&P BB, B, CCC, CC

    Considered speculative with respect to capacity to

    pay. The B ratings are the lowest degree of

    speculation.

    Very Low Grade

    Moodys C and S&P C income bonds with no

    interest being paid

    Moodys D and S&P D in default with principal andinterest in arrears

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

  • 8/3/2019 Fundamental of Corporate Finance,chpt7

    4/12

    10

    7.4 Different Types of Bonds

    zero coupon bonds or discount bonds

    e.g. T-billsOne year and less, no coupons

    fixed payment loanse.g. mortgages, car loans- Between 3 and 15years

    coupon bonds

    e.g. -T-notesBetween 2 and 10 years,

    -T-bondsLonger than 10 years,

    -Corporate bondsLonger than 10 years

    consols: no maturity date (forever).

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    11

    Zero coupon bonds

    discount bonds

    purchased price less than face value, F > P

    face value at maturity

    no interest payments

    365

    )(1

    TrFP

    P = Current price F = Face value r = discount rate T = Number of maturity date

    Tr

    FP

    )1( OR

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    12

    Zero coupon bonds

    Yield to maturity, YTM

    OR

    1

    360

    d

    P

    Fr

    r =F - P

    P

    x360

    d

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

  • 8/3/2019 Fundamental of Corporate Finance,chpt7

    5/12

    13

    Fixed-payment loan

    loan is repaid with equal (monthly) payment, PMT

    each payment is combination of principal and

    interest

    Tmmmi

    PMT

    i

    PMT

    i

    PMTPV

    1...

    112

    i

    i

    m

    T

    m

    PVPMT

    )1(

    11

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    14

    r is annual rate

    (effective annual interest rate, EAR)

    but payments are monthly, & compoundmonthly

    r = (1+ im)12 -1

    im = (1+ r)1/12 -1

    im is the periodic rate

    note: APR (annual percentage rate)

    APR = im

    x 12

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    15

    Coupon Bond

    purchase price, PV

    promised of a series of payments until maturity face value at maturity, F (principal, par value)

    coupon payments (6 months), C

    size of coupon payment

    annual coupon rate, R

    face value

    6 mo. pmt.,C = (F x R)/2

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

  • 8/3/2019 Fundamental of Corporate Finance,chpt7

    6/12

    16

    Value of a coupon bond = PV of coupon payment annuity+ PV of face value

    0

    C$

    1

    C$

    2

    C$

    1T

    FC $$

    T

    Information needed to value coupon bonds:Coupon payment dates and time to maturity (T)

    Coupon payment (C) per period and Face value (F)

    Coupon rate (R) and Discount rate (r or YTM)

    TTr

    F

    rr

    CPV

    )1()1(

    11

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    17

    PV, F and YTM

    PV = F then YTM = coupon rate

    PV < F then YTM > coupon rate (at a discount)

    PV > F then YTM < coupon rate (at a premium)

    PV and YTM move in opposite directions

    interest rates and value of debt securities move in

    opposite directions

    if rates rise, bond prices fall

    if rates fall, bond prices rise

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    18

    Interest Rate Risk

    Price Risk

    Change in price due to changes in interest rates

    Long-term bonds have more price risk than short-

    term bonds

    Reinvestment Rate Risk

    Uncertainty concerning rates at which cash flows

    can be reinvested

    Short-term bonds have more reinvestment rate risk

    than long-term bonds

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

  • 8/3/2019 Fundamental of Corporate Finance,chpt7

    7/12

    19

    Figure 7.2

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    20

    Current yield,

    approximation of YTM for coupon bonds

    ic =annual coupon payment, C

    bond price, PV

    ic

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    21

    Yield-to-maturity

    Yield-to-maturity is the rate implied by the current

    bond price Finding the YTM requires trial and error if you do not

    have a financial calculator and is similar to the process

    for finding r with an annuity

    YTM = [C + (FPV)/T]/(F + PV)/2

    C = Coupon payment

    F = Face/Par value of bond

    PV = Current price of bond

    T = Maturity date

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

  • 8/3/2019 Fundamental of Corporate Finance,chpt7

    8/12

    22

    Holding period return sell bond before maturity

    return depends on

    holding period interest payments

    resale price

    t

    tt

    tP

    PP

    P

    CRET

    1

    giRETc

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    23

    Holding period return

    RET : Rate of Return at Holding Period

    : Current yield

    C : Coupon payment

    : Price at T period

    : Price at T+1 period

    g : Rate of Capital Gains or the Change of

    Price

    ic

    PtPt+1

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    24

    Consols Bond

    0

    C$

    1

    C$

    2

    C$ ...$C

    forever

    r

    CPV

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

  • 8/3/2019 Fundamental of Corporate Finance,chpt7

    9/12

    25

    7.5 Bond Markets

    Primarily over-the-counter transactions with

    dealers connected electronically

    Extremely large number of bond issues, butgenerally low daily volume in single issues

    Makes getting up-to-date prices difficult,

    particularly on small company or municipal

    issues

    Treasury securities are an exception

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    26

    Bond Quotations

    Highlighted quote:

    ATT 7 06 7.7 554 97.63 -0.38

    What company are we looking at?

    What is the coupon rate? If the bond has a $1000 face

    value, what is the coupon payment each year?

    When does the bond mature?

    What is the current yield? How is it computed?

    How many bonds trade that day?

    What is the quoted price? How much did the price change from the previous day?

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    27

    Treasury Quotations

    Highlighted quote:

    9.000 Nov 18 133:27 133.28 24 5.78

    What is the coupon rate on the bond?

    When does the bond mature?

    What is the bid price? What does this mean?

    What is the ask price? What does this mean?

    How much did the price change from the previous

    day?

    What is the yield based on the ask price?

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

  • 8/3/2019 Fundamental of Corporate Finance,chpt7

    10/121

    28

    7.6 Inflation and Interest Rates

    Real rate of interestchange in purchasing

    power

    Nominal rate of interestquoted rate ofinterest, change in purchasing power and

    inflation

    The ex ante nominal rate of interest includes

    our desired real rate of return plus an

    adjustment for expected inflation

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    29

    Inflation

    if inflation is high

    lenders demand higher nominal rate, especially

    for long term loans

    long-term i depends A LOT on inflation

    expectations

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    30

    The Fisher Effect

    The Fisher Effect defines the relationship

    between real rates, nominal rates and inflation

    (1 + R) = (1 + r)(1 + h), where

    R = nominal rate

    r = real rate

    h = expected inflation rate

    Approximation

    R = r + h

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

  • 8/3/2019 Fundamental of Corporate Finance,chpt7

    11/12

    31

    Inflation and Present Value

    rrCPV

    T

    1

    11

    r = Discount rate

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    32

    Term Structure of Interest Rates

    Term structure is the relationship between timeto maturity and yields, all else equal

    It is important to recognize that we pull out theeffect of default risk, different coupons, etc.

    Yield curvegraphical representation of theterm structure

    Normalupward-sloping, long-term yields are

    higher than short-term yields Inverted downward-sloping, long-term yields are

    lower than short-term yields

    7.7 Determinants of Bond Yields

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    33

    Figure 7.6.A. Upward-Sloping Yield Curve

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

  • 8/3/2019 Fundamental of Corporate Finance,chpt7

    12/12

    34

    Figure7.6. B. Downward-Sloping Yield Curve

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    35

    7.8 Bond risky

    Why are bonds risky?

    Default risk

    Risk that the issuer fails to make promised payments on

    time

    Zero for govt debt

    Other issuers: corporate, municipal, foreign have somedefault risk

    Greater default risk means a greater yield

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    36

    Inflation risk Most bonds promise fixed dollar payments

    Inflation erodes the real value of these payments

    Future inflation is unknown

    Larger for longer term bonds

    Interest rate risk Changing interest rates change the value (price) of a bond

    in the opposite direction.

    All bonds have interest rate risk

    But it is larger for the long term bonds

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance