From why, to what, to how much FROM reality TOTO Kelley Horton.
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Transcript of From why, to what, to how much FROM reality TOTO Kelley Horton.
from why, to what, to how much
FROM realityTO
Kelley Horton
2
Contents
About the Speaker Fantasy to Reality Can it really be that simple (and fun)?
Prioritization Normalization Cost
The Audience Challenge
SpecialtiesKelley Horton, SA
Industrial / Manufacturing Engineer
20 + years in product development
Silicon Valley start-ups
Creating & Leading PMOs
Contact: www.linkedin.com/in/kelleyhorton
Program and Portfolio Management
Enterprise Lean-Agile Practices
Accelerating solution delivery
Building / Coaching high-performing Agile Scrum teams
Lean Agile Visual Controls
Process Engineering
Queen of ‘Sticky Notes’
Kelley Horton is a certified SAFe Agilist who specializes in Lean-Agile transformations
About the presenter
4
Fantasy to Reality
If you are attending this session … I am assuming you have some level of lean agile
practice underway in your organization And you have some working knowledge of Fantasy
Football
5
Fantasy to Reality
Traditional Challenges with Strategic Planning
Pulling people off work in progress to do big estimation efforts with little
input
Funding projects versus funding
teams
Giving a false sense of estimation accuracy based on that little input
Being held to the estimates / dates from this process once funding is
approvedFunding never
materializes for the
things you took the
time to estimate
6
How Much
What
Why
Can it really be that simple?
Prioritizing work based on cost of delay
Normalizing Estimation techniques Knowing your cost
per unit of value delivered
7
Can it really be that simple….Prioritization – Why?
Fantasy - Football Draft Player Selection Criteria Skills / Availability / Quantity Sequence for selecting
Running Backs Wide Receivers Tight Ends QBs Defense / Special Teams Kicker
Reality – Feature Prioritization Weighted Shortest Job First User / Business Value (e.g.
increased Sales Volume) Time Criticality (e.g., first to
market) Risk Reduction / Opportunity
Enablement (e.g., regulatory compliance)
Executive Mandates
How Much
What
Why
*WSJF - Don Reinertsen and SAFe
8
League A Scoring Rules vs. League B Scoring Rules
Can it really be that simple….Normalization – What?
How Much
What
Why
9
Can it really be that simple?Normalization – What?
How Much
What
Why
Player Scoreboard across Leagues
League A League B
10
Fantasy = A vs. B Leagues Reality = Normalized Story Points Agree on estimation approach for
story points An‘ideal developer day = 6 hours = 1 SP’
Never look back (don’t worry about recalibrating)
Make solid commitments in terms of plan dates and cost estimates for your delivery teams
Can it really be that simple?Normalization – What?
How Much
What
Why
11
X-Sm10
Story Points
Sm25 Story Points
Med50 Story Points
Lg100
Story Points
X-Large150
Story Points
XXL200+ Story Points
Can it really be that simple…..Normalization – What?
How Much
What
Why
Jersey-Sizing Features
12
Can it really be that simple?Cost / Unit of Value
*Source – Forbes – The Business of Football 2015
How Much
What
Why
13
Fantasy = Football Wins Reality = Value Delivered (SPs)
Can it really be that simple?Cost / Unit of Value
How Much
What
Why
Quarterly Run Rate
($)
Quarterly SPs
Delivered
= Cost / SP
How Much
What
Why
Things that impact Cost / SP Lack of ‘persistent’ teams (unpredictable velocity) Changing priorities after work is in progress (lost capacity / wasted effort) Poor dependency management with external teams (blocks work) UX process & capacity mismatch (can block work or cause changes to WIP) Poor quality (need more production support resources) High process overhead
Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 20150
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
2600
1600
2500
2900
Cost Per Story Point – example data
Cost Per Story Point
Can it really be that simple?Cost / Story Point
14
How Much
What
Why
X-Sm10
Story Points
Sm25 Story Points
Med50 Story Points
Lg100
Story Points
X-Large150
Story Points
XXL200+ Story
Points
T-Shirt Size Story Point Size Approx. Cost ($2000 / SP)
XS 10 $20,000
S 25 $50,000
M 50 $100,000
L 100 $200,000
XL 150 $300,000
XXL Minimum 200 $400,000
Can it really be that simple…..Cost / SP
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How Much
What
Why
Strategic Planning Simplification
Can it really be that simple?Do the math….
2016Funding
$$
Cost / StoryPoint
=$20 MM
$2,000
In 2016 we can deliver
10,000 SPs
Allows Business partners to make informed trade off decisions based on high level of transparency
Allows Technology team to make firm / fixed price estimates at the beginning of each fiscal year
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How Much
What
Why
Can it really be that simple?Do the math….
A backlog of discrete, releasable features representing the needs of multiple LOBs
Business value articulation & relative scoring, with “mandate” multiplier to facilitate external
influences on sequencing
Rating & ranking appreciates job size
Don’t forget to include an allocation for Tech Debt, Arch Runway; 10% tech debt, 10% Arch Runway
17
18
Back to your‘reality’
If you could implement one technique, which would be the most valuable with the least amount of effort?
1. Why – Prioritization (WSJF)2. What - Story Point Normalization3. How Much - Cost / Story Point
The Audience Challenge
How Much
What
Why
19
Recap
1. In Reality - Keep it simple2. In Fantasy - Always pick………
20
THANK YOU!
M: 704-965-3658LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/kelleyhorton
FROM WHY… TO WHAT… TO HOW MUCH…
FROM realityTO
