From: Malcolm Roberts malcolmr@ · PDF filescienBfic!accuracy!of!IPCC!SPM!reports!have!been...

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From: Malcolm Roberts [email protected] Subject: Climate change Date: 22 July 2014 12:14 pm To: Roberts Malcolm [email protected] From: Graham [mailto:[email protected] ] Sent: Sunday, 20 July 2014 4:26 PM To: [email protected] Subject: Climate change Greg Hunt Minister for the Environment Dear Greg, Thank you for your response dated 14 th July and signed on your behalf by Dave Johnson. Since this response, and your various previous responses, have completely failed to address various issues I have raised, while you have only parBally responded to other issues, it is Bmely to summarise, and remind you, of these unresolved issues. I will commence with your most recent response (encl), which refers to my communicaBon of 5 th July. Background informaBon and previously cited evidence is included in the Appendix below. ISSUE 1 – IPCC Poli;cisa;on of Science in the SPM’s In my communicaBons of 5 th July and 6 th July, and my earlier communicaBons with BOM which were cc’d to you, I drew your aMenBon to the increasing concerns of scienBsts around the world, as evidenced in peer reviewed journals, that the IPCC process has become so poliBcised that the scienBfic accuracy of IPCC SPM reports have been compromised. I also supplied you with solid documentary evidence of serious cherry picking or omission bias in IPCC SPM reports, I asked the Director of BOM (you were cc’d) the following quesBons on 10 th June. · Why have BOM cherry picked the data? · Why is BOM misrepresen;ng the IPCC AR5 scien;fic report? · Has BOM advised government of the above facts or is BOM ac;vely involved in selec;vely using data to mislead the government? · Has BOM publicised the good news that AR4 got it wrong with regards to droughts and now there is diminished evidence of worsening droughts and diminished evidence humans are causing droughts? And In my communicaBon to you dated 6 th July I asked the following quesBons. · So what is the Australian government doing about this poli;cisa;on of science by the IPCC? · And what are our leading ‘scien;fic’ organisa;ons, CSIRO, BOM, and the Australian Academy of Science, doing about it? · Are they seen to be proudly leading the way forward, constantly proposing means of reducing this poli;cisa;on? BOM has never addressed these issues or outlined their strategy for prevenBng poliBcisaBon. And although you responded personally to me on 10 th June saying “Many thanks and I will consider

Transcript of From: Malcolm Roberts malcolmr@ · PDF filescienBfic!accuracy!of!IPCC!SPM!reports!have!been...

From: Malcolm Roberts [email protected]: Climate change

Date: 22 July 2014 12:14 pmTo: Roberts Malcolm [email protected]

From: Graham [mailto:[email protected]] Sent: Sunday, 20 July 2014 4:26 PMTo: [email protected]: Climate change!Greg%Hunt

Minister%for%the%Environment

%Dear!Greg,

Thank!you!for!your!response!dated!14th!July!and!signed!on!your!behalf!by!Dave!Johnson.!Since!this!response,!and!your!various!previous!responses,!have!completely!failed!to!address!various!issues!I!have!raised,!while!you!have!only!parBally!responded!to!other!issues,!it!is!Bmely!to!summarise,!and!remind!you,!of!these!unresolved!issues.!!

I!will!commence!with!your!most!recent!response!(encl),!which!refers!to!my!communicaBon!of!5th!July.!Background!informaBon!and!previously!cited!evidence!is!included!in!the!Appendix!below.!ISSUE%1%–%IPCC%Poli;cisa;on%of%Science%in%the%SPM’s

!

In!my!communicaBons!of!5th!July!and!6th!July,!and!my!earlier!communicaBons!with!BOM!which!were!cc’d!to!you,!I!drew!your!aMenBon!to!the!increasing!concerns!of!scienBsts!around!the!world,!as!evidenced!in!peer!reviewed!journals,!that!the!IPCC!process!has!become!so!poliBcised!that!the!scienBfic!accuracy!of!IPCC!SPM!reports!have!been!compromised.!I!also!supplied!you!with!solid!documentary!evidence!of!serious!cherry!picking!or!omission!bias!in!IPCC!SPM!reports,!

I!asked!the!Director!of!BOM!(you!were!cc’d)!the!following!quesBons!on!10th!June.!

· Why%have%BOM%cherry%picked%the%data?

· Why%is%BOM%misrepresen;ng%the%IPCC%AR5%scien;fic%report?

· Has%BOM%advised%government%of%the%above%facts%or%is%BOM%ac;vely%involved%in%

selec;vely%using%data%to%mislead%the%government?

· Has%BOM%publicised%the%good%news%that%AR4%got%it%wrong%with%regards%to%droughts%and%

now%there%is%diminished%evidence%of%worsening%droughts%and%diminished%evidence%

humans%are%causing%droughts?

And!In!my!communicaBon!to!you!dated!6th!July!I!asked!the!following!quesBons.!

· So%what%is%the%Australian%government%doing%about%this%poli;cisa;on%of%science%by%the%

IPCC?

· And%what%are%our%leading%‘scien;fic’%organisa;ons,%CSIRO,%BOM,%and%the%Australian%

Academy%of%Science,%doing%about%it?

· Are%they%seen%to%be%proudly%leading%the%way%forward,%constantly%proposing%means%of%

reducing%this%poli;cisa;on?

!BOM!has!never!addressed!these!issues!or!outlined!their!strategy!for!prevenBng!poliBcisaBon.!And!

although!you!responded!personally!to!me!on!10thJune!saying!!“Many%thanks%and%I%will%consider%

although!you!responded!personally!to!me!on!10thJune!saying!!“Many%thanks%and%I%will%consider%the%Director's%response%carefully,”!you!have!not!made!any!response!to!these!serious!issues!or!BOM’s!nonVresponse!and!complete!avoidance!of!this!issue.!The!whole!issue!of!poliBcisaBon!of!IPCC!reports!has!also!been!completely!avoided!by!you.!You!have!completely!refused!to!respond!to!this!issue!and!you!have!shown!no!interest,!nor!proposed!any!acBon,!to!prevent!poliBcisaBon!and!strengthen!the!scienBfic!integrity!of!‘climate!change’!reports.!You!have!also!failed!to!respond!to!new!evidence!from!Marohasy!and!colleagues!that!BOM’s!temperature!records!are!corrupted.!Why?!ISSUE%2%–%BOM%and%IPCC%unable%to%agree%on%defini;ons%of%‘climate’%and%‘climate%change’.

!Previously!I!have!asked!BOM!to!define!what!they!mean!by!‘climate’!in!their!various!‘climate’!reports.!In!their!official!response,!although!BOM!contradicted!their!previous!official!published!definiBon!of!‘climate’,!they!were!unable!to!supply!a!clear!definiBon.!Though!you!were!cc’d,!your!nonVresponse!indicates!that!you!found!BOM’s!response!acceptable.!Is!this!correct?!Because!the!popular!term!‘climate!change’!also!has!no!fixed!definiBon,!I!asked:!

· So!when!the!future!of!the!world!is!at!stake,!why!can’t!all!the!scienBsts!agree!about!what!they!mean!by!“climate(change”?

· Why!the!need!for!the!variable!definiBons?· According!to!IPCC!scienBsts!it!seems,!there!is!a!constant!need!to!vary!the!definiBon!of!

‘climate(change’.!!Is!this!normal!for!science!these!days?!Perhaps!“science”!really!means!“poliBcs”!!!It!does!create!the!strong!impression!that!someone!is!trying!to!mislead!or!confuse.

· Or!is!it!simply!too!difficult!for!the!scienBsts!to!define?!Dave!Johnson,!responding!on!your!behalf(see!encl),!defended!this!pracBce!of!constantly!changing!the!definiBon!of!‘climate!change’!saying!“the(IPCC(and(other(organisa4ons(o5en(defines(terms(in(their(documents,%this(ensures(the(meaning(of(the(term(is(consistent(and(understood(throughout(the(document.”!Do!you!endorse!this?!How!can!a!consistent!meaning!result!from!an!inconsistent!definiBon?!In!your!enclosed!response!for!example!(courtesy!Dave!Johnson),!you!uBlised!the!term!‘climate!change’!5!Bmes.!

· How!do!I!know!which!meaning!you!were!using?· Since!you!acknowledge!‘climate!change’!has!no!definite!meaning!unless!it!is!defined!in!

each!document,!why!didn’t!you!supply!a!definiBon?!Your!response!is!extremely!disturbing!as!it!implies!any!document!referring!to!‘climate!change’!(given!the!variable!definiBon!which!you!approve!of)!which!fails!to!supply!a!clear!definiBon!could!be!accused!of!being!deliberately!misleading.!In!fact,!since%BOM/CSIRO%reports%frequently%fail%to%

define%the%variable%unscien;fic%term%‘climate%change’%(1,%2),%according%to%you%such%reports%

should%be%instantly%dismissed%as%being%deliberately%ambiguous%since%they%DO%NOT%wish%to%

“ensure(the(meaning(of(the(term(is(consistent(and(understood(throughout(the(document.”(Is%this%correct?%This%is%a%serious%allega;on%indeed.%Why%not%use%a%fixed%defini;on%instead,%so%that%

sta;ng%specific%defini;ons%for%each%separate%report%is%unnecessary?

!Previous%unanswered%ques;ons

!1. A!human!influence!on!climate!in!local!regions!can!neither!be!idenBfied!or!quanBfied.!Do!

you!agree!or!can!you!provide!scienBfic!evidence!which!so!far!you!have!failed!to!do?%You!

you!agree!or!can!you!provide!scienBfic!evidence!which!so!far!you!have!failed!to!do?%You!agreed!this!is!true!but!somehow!sBll!support!local!policies!for!a!problem!which!has!not!been!detected!locally.!Why?

2. What!is!the!degree!of!human!caused!global!warming!in!Sydney!(which!is!reversible!by!miBgaBon!strategies)?%You!were!unable!to!answer!this!because!of!the!lack!of!evidence!as!noted!above.

3. According!to!your!leMer!“three%centres%calculate%global%temperatures%independently%and%use%tens%of%thousands%of%temperature%observa?ons,%taken%across%the%globe,%on%land%and%sea,%to%calculate%the%datasets”I!then!asked!you:!“In%deriving%the%(global)%data%for%Sydney%what%percentage%of%the%data%sets%were%actually%obtained%from%Sydney?%Are%you%sugges?ng%that%local%climate%policies%should%be%based%upon%what%is%happening%around%the%world%rather%than%a%direct%analysis%of%local%data?%Could%you%please%provide%the%scien?fic%evidence%showing%overseas%climate%data%provides%the%best%basis%for%local%policies?%You!chose!to!completely!avoid!these!quesBons.

4. If!you!have!scienBfic!evidence!of!the!degree!to!which!humans!have!raised!temperatures!and!sea!level!in!Sydney!why!are!you!so!determined!to!refuse!to!release!this!evidence!and!seMle!this!whole!maMer?%You!completely!ignored!this!quesBon.

5. Though!you!stated!that!the!“Australian%government%accepts%the%findings%of”!the!discredited!IPCC!,!when!I!asked,!Do(you(fully(endorse(the(IPCC(and(its(claims?!You!refused!to!answer.!Why?

6. Why!should!the!SA!government!be!leading!the!Australian!government!in!expressing!the!uselessness!of!climate!change!miBgaBon!in!Australia?!Again,!you!preferred!to!completely!avoid!this!quesBon.

7. You!admit!that!you!cannot!quanBfy!or!confirm!any!‘global!warming’,!let!alone!human!causaBon,!in!Sydney,!Melbourne,!Brisbane,!Adelaide,!or!any!local!council!area!in!Australia,!but!yet!you!suggest!that!if!countries!around!the!world!followed!your!example!and!lowered!their!emissions!then!the!problem!you!could!not!detect!in!these!local!areas!would!be!solved!!Which!countries!do!you!believe!are!causing!this!undetectable!global!warming!in!these!local!areas?%Yet,!amazingly,!in!spite!of!all!these!facts,!the!Australian!government!is!encouraging!local!councils!to!waste!taxpayers!and!rate!payers!money!because!“Local%government%is%at%the%forefront%of%managing%the%impacts%of%climate%change”,%even!though,!as!you!admit,!there!is!no!evidence!at!the!local!level.!Do!you!endorse!this?!Is!there!any!scienBfic!jusBficaBon!whatsoever!for!basing!local!policies!on!staBsBcal!global!averages?!!Can!you!please!reveal!the!scienBfic!evidence!which!dictates!that!local!policy!is!best!based!upon!global!averages!rather!than!local!changes?!Again,!you!preferred!to!completely!avoid!all!these!quesBons.

8. You!state!that!the!Australian!government!“accepts%the%science%of%climate%change”.!But!which!version!of!the!science!do!you!accept!and!are!you!referring!to!human!caused!climate!change!or!natural!climate!change?!Again,!you!preferred!to!completely!avoid!this!quesBon.

9. The!goal!of!DirecBon!AcBon!is!totally!unclear.!Is!the!goal!to!miBgate!climate!change!and!control!temperatures!and!sea!level?!Or,!on!the!other!hand,!is!the!goal!simply!to!lower!emission!levels!and!meet!emission!targets?%Again,!you!preferred!to!completely!avoid!this!quesBon.

10. I!noBce!also!that!although!CSIRO,!the!Chief!ScienBst!and!many!others!base!their!climate!science!upon!per!capita!emissions,!when!I!asked!you!about!this!you!responded,!staBng!that!“Australia’%mi?ga?on%policies%are%based%upon%a%number%of%metrics,%including%per%capita%emissions…..”But!there!has!never!been!any!scienBfic!evidence!confirming!that!a!per!capita!strategy!is!the!best!means!of!controlling!climate,!although!according!to!the!Climate!Commission,!an!

average!Indian!ciBzen!produces!only!1/16th!the!emissions!of!average!Australian.!The!

totally!ficBBous!and!meaningless!nature!of!average!per!capita!emissions!is!perfectly!clear,!as!I!have!indicated!elsewhere:!“If(an((undefined)(average(Indian(person,(who(allegedly(produces(only(1/16th(the(emissions(of(the((undefined)(average(Australian,(moves(to(Australia(but(adopts(exactly(the(same(life(style(in(Australia(as(he/she(did(in(India,(then(automa4cally(he(or(she(will(suddenly(be(producing(sixteen(4mes(more(emissions!”Australia’s%high%per%capita%emissions%are%due%to%our%low%popula?on%combined%with%rela?vely%high%transport%and%industrial%emissions,%especially%from%aluminium%and%metal%produc?on%(63,%64),%or,%%according%to%the%government’s%FiTh%Na?onal%Communica?on%on%Climate%Change,%our%high%per%capita%emissions%are%caused%by%“the%dominance%of%resourceVbased%industries%in%our%economy%and%its%reliance%on%lowVcost%fossil%fuels.”%Therefore,(when(our(typical(low(emission(Indian(ci4zen(moves(to(Australia,(irrespec4ve(of(his(lifestyle,(he(will(become(just(as(responsible(for(the(emissions(from(Aluminium(smelters(as(are(other(Aussies!But(wait,(it(also(depends(upon(what(state(of(Australia(our(typical(Indian(ci4zen(moves(to!(If(he(moves(to(Queensland(he(will(produce(more(than(double(the(emissions(of(those(he(would(produce(if(he(crossed(the(border(into(NSW%(Ben%Cubby,%Greenhouse%gas%emissions%s?ll%on%the%rise,%data%shows)!Clearly!this!is!all!nonsense.!Highly!discriminatory!per!capita!emissions!have!always!been!an!obsession!with!those!who!see!climate!change!as!a!means!of!enforcing!their!socialisBc!dreams!of!equity.!A!far!more!important!metric!from!a!scienBfic!viewpoint,!is!emissions!per!square!kilometre,!as!this!acknowledges!the!importance!of!natural!carbon!sinks.!Such!a!measure!of!course,!would!reveal!Australia!has!one!of!the!lowest!emission!levels!in!the!world.!Given!the!fact!that!soil!sequestraBon!and!natural!carbon!sinks!are!claimed!to!be!central!to!Direct!AcBon(you!predict!“minimum%150%million%tonnes%of%CO2%equivalent%per%annum%to%be%captured%in%soil%carbons%by%2020”),!it!is!extremely!disturbing!that!you!endorse!the!unscienBfic!poliBcal!discriminatory!measure!of!per!capita!emissions!rather!than!emissions!per!square!kilometre.!To!date!you!have!failed!to!produce!any!scienBfic!evidence!whatsoever!to!support!the!view!endorsed!by!yourself!and!various!others!that!per!capita!emissions!are!the!most!relevant!metric!as!far!as!miBgaBng!climate!change!is!concerned.

!Many!of!the!above!quesBons!may!be!very!quickly!answered!given!the!resources!available!to!you,!however,!your!persistent!evasiveness!conBnues!to!force!me!to!repeat!the!same!quesBons!Bme!and!again.!Given!the!importance!of!these!issues!I!am!hopeful!you!may!respond!more!construcBvely!this!Bme!and!save!us!both!from!wasBng!further!Bme.!Regards!Graham!Williamson

%

%

APPENDIX

%Issue%1%–%IPCC%Poli;cisa;on%of%Science%in%the%SPM’sThis!issue!involves!poliBcisaBon!of!the!SPM’s!and!is!completely!separate!to!the!reported!corrupBon!of!scienBfic!procedures!involved!in!preparaBon!of!the!various!IPCC!scienBfic!reports,!which!has!been!covered!elsewhere.!In!fact,!though!these!reports!are!based!upon!voluminous!scienBfic!evidence,!from!the!IAC!and!IPCC!scienBsts!themselves,!you!have!completely!refused!to!address!this!issue!also.

address!this!issue!also.!Returning!to!the!maMer!of!the!poliBcisaBon!of!the!SPM’s.!Recently,!Brian!Wible,!senior!editor!of!Science,!in!a!series!of!3!papers!in!Science,!has!drawn!aMenBon!to!concerns!about!the!poliBcisaBon!of!science!by!the!IPCC!(Science%4%July%2014:%345.6192.34Va):!“In%April%in%Berlin,%governments%approved%the%third%of%three%reports%comprising%the%fiTh%assessment%report%(AR5)%of%the%Intergovernmental%Panel%on%Climate%Change%(IPCC).%The%report%from%Working%Group%1%(WGI)%made%clear%that%human%impact%on%climate%change%is%almost%certain.%WGII%showed%that%impacts%of%climate%change%are%evident%and%poised%to%worsen.%WGIII%focused%on%how%to%mi?gate%the%emissions%that%cause%global%warming%(1).”

Wible!concluded:

“the%SPM%is%intended%to%balance%governmental%and%scien?fic%input……To%promote%discussion%of%whether%and%how%to%reform%IPCC%in%advance%of%the%15th%Mee?ng%of%the%Conference%of%the%Par?es%to%the%UN%Framework%Conven?on%on%Climate%Change%(UNFCCC)%in%November%2015,%Science%invited%several%WGIII%members%to%share%their%perspec?ves%on%what%happened%in%Berlin%and%what%it%means%for%the%IPCC%and%climate%policy.”In!Gedng!serious!about!categorizing!countries!(Science%4%July%2014:%34V36),!Victor!and!colleagues!further!point!out!that!“IPCC%is%a%government%controlled%process”:“But%IPCC%is%a%governmentVcontrolled%process.%Its%lineVbyVline%approval%of%the%SPM%yields%the%lowest%common%denominator%of%what%is%scien?fically%accurate%and%not%too%toxic%for%governments.%A%small%number%of%countries%can%block%findings%that%a%large%number%of%scien?sts%working%over%many%years%with%extensive%review%have%agreed%are%robust.%Disentangling%IPCC%from%poli?cs%is%impossible,%especially%where%IPCC%engages%social%science%research%that%has%policyVrelevant%conclusions.%Yet%IPCC%as%a%scien?fic%body%can%sharpen%its%messages%by%focusing%more%afen?on%on%the%authorVapproved%technical%and%policy%summary%documents.”

Although!Science!is!to!be!applauded!for!drawing!aMenBon!to!the!criBcally!important!issue!of!IPCC!poliBcisaBon!of!science,!they!have!not!gone!anywhere!near!far!enough.!The!series!of!papers!in!Science!relate!to!governments!deleBng!country!sensiBve!data!relaBng!to!increased!emissions,!from!the!SPM.!But!this!ignores!much!more!fundamental!distorBons!of!science!in!the!SPM’s!(1,!2,!3,!4,!5).!It!can!be!clearly!seen!that!the!IPCC!employ!two!fundamental!mechanisms!to!poliBcise!or!corrupt!the!conclusions!contained!in!the!SPM.!The!first!of!these!is!to!corrupt!the!content!of!the!SPM!by!uBlising!omission!bias!or!cherry!picking!to!ensure!vital!data!contained!in!the!scienBfic!report!is!omiMed!from!the!SPM.!The!second!mechanism!uBlised!by!the!IPCC!is!to!selecBvely!emphasise!the!data!in!the!SPM!so!that!data!which!does!not!support!the!underlying!agenda!is!relegated!to!the!‘fine!print’.!Let!us!examine!some!examples!of!corrupBon!of!the!science!in!the!SPM,!firstly!from!the!IPCC!Climate!Change!2013:!The!Physical!Science!BasisWorking!Group!I!Report,!and!the!resulBng!IPCC!AR5!Working!Group!1!Summary!for!Policymakers!(SPM).!And!secondly,!from!the!AR5!WG2!Climate!Change!2014:!Impacts,!AdaptaBon!and!Vulnerability!report!and!the!resulBng!AR5!WG2!SPM.!

1. The%Climate%Change%2013:%The%Physical%Science%Basis%Working%Group%I%Report

!Droughts

In!my!second!query!I!stated!as!follows.!!BOM%Contradicts%IPCC%Regarding%Droughts

Recently,!in!their!much!heralded!AR5!ScienBfic!Report,!the!IPCC!very!clearly!concluded!that!global!droughts!are!NOT!increasing,!there!is!no!reliable!evidence!humans!are!causing!droughts,!droughts!were!much!worse!before!the!industrial!revoluBon,!and!previous!IPCC!drought!predicBons!were!exaggerated!or!alarmist!(3).!Yet,!in!spite!of!these!very!clear!conclusions,!alarmists!and!government!funded!scienBfic!insBtuBons,!including!BOM!and!CSIRO!(4,!5,!6,!7),!have!a!history!of!catastrophic!predicBons!regarding!human!caused!climate!change!and!increasing!droughts!(3).!In!fact,!in!spite!of!the!very!clear!conclusions!of!IPCC!scienBsts,!BOM!has!yet!to!officially!announce!the!good!news!that!humans!are!not!causing!droughts!and!global!droughts!are!not!increasing.!Why?!When!will!BOM!cease!contradicBng!!IPCC!scienBsts!and!advise!government!of!the!scienBfic!truth!concerning!droughts?!BOM!responded!thus:!BOM%Contradicts%IPCC%Regarding%Droughts

“The%Bureau%of%Meteorology%and%CSIRO%report%on%trends%in%drought%and%rainfall%in%the%Australian%region.%Trends%in%mean%rainfall%are%different%to%trends%in%episodic%drought.%The%climate%record%shows%that%Southern%Australia%has%experienced%cool%season%rainfall%declines%and%climate%models%project%rainfall%to%decrease,%on%average,%over%much%of%southern%and%eastern%Australia%through%the%decades%ahead.%The%IPCC%FiTh%Assessment%Report%states%that%there%is%low%confidence%in%detec?ng%changes%in%drought%when%drought%is%assessed%at%the%global%scale.%This%assessment%arises%in%part%from%the%difficulty%in%defining%a%global%drought%index.%This%is%because%the%defini?on%of%drought%changes%from%one%climate%zone%to%another.%However,%the%IPCC%noted%that%there%were%likely%changes%in%drought,%including%an%increase%in%the%frequency%and%dura?on%of%drought,%at%regional%scales.%The%IPCC%SREX%report%assessed%that%anthropogenic%influence%had%contributed%to%some%changes%in%the%drought%paferns%observed%in%the%second%half%of%the%Twen?eth%Century,%with%varying%confidence%dependent%on%regional%scale%and%loca?on.%A%general%conclusion%of%climate%change%science,%highlighted%in%IPCC%and%Bureau%of%Meteorology%reports,%is%that%global%warming%results%in%intensifica?on%of%the%hydrological%cycle,%meaning%that%we%can%expect%more%serious%droughts%and%floods%in%various%places%at%various%?mes.”%Although!I!made!the!point!that!the!IPCC,!in!their!AR5!ScienBfic!Report,!very!clearly!concluded!that!global!droughts!are!NOT!increasing,!there!is!no!reliable!evidence!humans!are!causing!droughts,!droughts!were!much!worse!before!the!industrial!revoluBon,!and!previous!IPCC!drought!predicBons!were!exaggerated!or!alarmist.!Your!response!was!to!point!out!that!“The%IPCC%FiTh%Assessment%Report%states%that%there%is%low%confidence%in%detec?ng%changes%in%drought%when%drought%is%assessed%at%the%global%scale%and%the%IPCC%noted%that%there%were%likely%changes%in%drought,%including%an%increase%in%the%frequency%and%dura?on%of%drought,%at%regional%scales”.%And!although!you!claim%“The%IPCC%SREX%report%assessed%that%anthropogenic%influence%had%contributed%to%some%changes%in%the%drought%paferns%observed%in%the%second%half%of%the%Twen?eth%Century,%with%varying%confidence%dependent%on%regional%scale%and%loca?on”,!in!fact!the!IPCC!SREX!report!states!there!is!“Low(confidence(in(aUribu4on(of%changes(in(drought(at(the(level(of%single(regions(due(to(inconsistent%or(insufficient(evidence.”!In!!Chapter!2!of!the!WG1!AR5!Report,!and!in!the!Technical!Summary,!IPCC!scienBsts!admit!their!previous!claims!regarding!droughts!were!alarmist!or!exaggerated!(1).!!In!Chapter!2!of!the!WG1!AR5!Report,!Chapter!10!of!the!WG1!AR5!Report,!and!the!Technical!Summary,!IPCC!scienBsts!showed!thatglobally%droughts%are%NOT%increasing,%there%is%no%reliable%evidence%that%humans%are%

causing%droughts,%and%droughts%are%much%less%severe%in%modern%;mes%as%atmospheric%CO2%

causing%droughts,%and%droughts%are%much%less%severe%in%modern%;mes%as%atmospheric%CO2%

levels%have%risen.%All%these%conclusions%were%completely%deleted%from%the%highlighted%

conclusions%of%the%IPCC!AR5!Working!Group!1!Summary!for!Policymakers!(SPM).!Table!SPM.1!of!the!SPM!made!only!vague!references!to!diminishing!evidence!of!humans!causing!droughts!and!reducing!confidence!of!a!global!increase!in!droughts.!But!the!vitally!important!conclusion!that!droughts!are!much!less!serious!in!modern!Bmes,!since!emissions!increased,!was!completely!deleted!from!the!SPM.!Why%doesn’t%the%SPM%accurately%reflect%the%conclusions%contained%in%the%body%of%the%scien;fic%

report%with%respect%to%droughts?%Who%is%responsible%for%this?

!Australian!scienBst!Dr!Lisa!Alexander!was!a!lead!author!of!Chapter!2!of!the!WG1!AR5!Report,!while!!Professor!Nathaniel!Bindoff!was!a!coordinaBng!lead!author!for!Chapter!10!of!the!WG1!AR5!Report.!!Dr!Lisa!Alexander,!Professor!Nathaniel!Bindoff,!and!Dr!John!Church,!were!also!lead!authors!for!the!AR5!WG1!Technical!Summary.!InteresBngly,!Dr!Lisa!Alexander,!Professor!Nathaniel!Bindoff,!and!Dr!John!Church,!were!also!draming!authors!for!the!IPCC!AR5!Working!Group!1!Summary!for!Policymakers!(SPM),!while!Viviane!Vasconcellos!de!Menezes,!Dr!ScoM!Power,!and!Dr!Stephen!Rintoul,!were!dram!contribuBng!authors.!

2. The%AR5%WG2%Climate%Change%2014:%Impacts,%Adapta;on%and%Vulnerability%report

In!Chapter!18!of!the!AR5!WG2!Climate!Change!2014:!Impacts,!AdaptaBon!and!Vulnerability!report!IPCC!scienBsts!clearly!conclude!(4),!“neither%the%detec?on%of%an%effect%of%climate%change%on%civil%conflict%nor%an%assessment%of%the%magnitude%of%such%an%effect%can%currently%be%made%with%a%degree%of%confidence.”%!But!not!only!was!this!conclusion!deleted!from!the!AR5!WG2!SPM,!the!SPM!provided!a!very!different!conclusion:“Climate%change%can%indirectly%increase%risks%of%violent%conflicts%in%the%form%of%civil%war%and%interVgroup%violence%by%amplifying%wellVdocumented%drivers%of%these%conflicts%such%as%poverty%and%economic%shocks%(medium%confidence).%Mul?ple%lines%of%evidence%relate%climate%variability%to%these%forms%of%conflict”

Why%doesn’t%the%SPM%accurately%reflect%the%conclusions%contained%in%the%body%of%the%scien;fic%

report%with%respect%to%violent%conflicts?%Who%is%responsible%for%this?

!InteresBngly,!Professor!HoeghVGuldberg,!and!Dr!Elvira!Poloczanska,!were!contribuBng!authors!to%Chapter!18!of!the!AR5!WG2!Climate!Change!2014:!Impacts,!AdaptaBon!and!Vulnerability!report!and!both!were!also!draming!authors!for!the!AR5!WG2!SPM.!!BOM!Deputy!Director!Dr!Neville!Smith,!was!a!review!editor!for!Chapter!18.!Anyone%remotely%interested%in%scien;fic%truth%should%be%extremely%concerned%and%alarmed%by%

the%results%of%poli;cisa;on%of%the%IPCC%%process.

So%what%is%the%Australian%government%doing%about%this%poli;cisa;on%of%science%by%the%IPCC?%And%

what%are%our%leading%‘scien;fic’%organisa;ons,%CSIRO,%BOM,%and%the%Australian%Academy%of%

Science,%doing%about%it?%Are%they%seen%to%be%proudly%leading%the%way%forward,%constantly%

proposing%means%of%reducing%this%poli;cisa;on?%Or%are%they%invisible,%pretending%the%issue%does%

not%exist%and%hoping%it%will%go%away.

%

ISSUE%2%–%BOM%and%IPCC%unable%to%agree%on%defini;ons%of%‘climate’%and%‘climate%change’.

%What%is%‘climate’?

As!noted!below,!BOM!produces!what!it!calls!an!Annual!Climate!Statement!and!BOM!claims!“the%

As!noted!below,!BOM!produces!what!it!calls!an!Annual!Climate!Statement!and!BOM!claims!“the%purpose%of%the%Annual%Climate%Statement%is%to%describe%the%climate%of%the%past%year”.!!The!annual!climate!statement!analyses!short!term!weather!data,!whether!daily,!seasonal,!or!annual,!and!compares!this!data!to!official!‘climate’!records.!The!problem!is,!BOM!point!out!that!weather!data!does!not!become!‘climate’!unBl!it!can!be!averaged!over!a!certain!period,!a!period!which!BOM!states!is!30!years!(1,!2).!As!BOM!point!out,!weather!data!of!minimum!30!year!duraBon!can!then!be!averaged!to!produce!hypotheBcal!average!annual!climate!data.!The%essen;al%point%of%course%is%that%data%input%must%be%of%at%least%30%years%dura;on%in%order%to%produce%annual%average%climate%

data.%In!the!case!of!the!Annual!Climate!Statement!however,!BOM!uBlises!weather!data!from!daily!observaBons,!or!from!1!season!or!1!year!and!then!describes!this!as!consBtuBng!the!‘climate!of!the!past!year’,!and!even!compares!it!to!official!climate!data!derived!from!averaged!weather!data!of!at!least!30!years!duraBon.Although!BOM!were!given!an!opportunity!to!explain!this!corrupBon!of!the!term!‘climate’!and!the!deliberate!misleading!of!the!people!of!Australia!they!compounded!the!problem!and!contradicted!themselves!by!admidng!that!“annual%climate%anomalies%are%departures%from%normal,%calculated%bycomparing%the%climate%over%12%months%with%the%climate%from%a%climatological%reference%period.” But!they!had!already!explained!that!“annual!climate”!can!only!be!ascertained!using!averaged!input!data!of!at!least!30!years!duraBon!!So!why!do!they!describe!the!Annual!Climate!Statement!as“describing%the%climate%of%the%past%year”!when!input!data!of!1!year!or!less!are!used?%I!have!pleaded!with!BOM!to!give!me!a!clear!and!scienBfically!accurate!definiBon!of!the!term!‘climate’,!as!used!in!their!Annual!Climate!Statement,!but!they!could!not!bring!themselves!to!do!so.!Environment%Minister%Greg%Hunt%approves%of%BOM%Corrup;on%of%Science%and%Misleading%

of%the%Australian%PeopleThough!this!maMer!was!brought!to!the!aMenBon!of!the!Minister!he!has!so!far!declined!to!respond!or!take!acBon.!Or!is!BOM!only!acBng!according!to!the!instrucBons!of!the!Minister!and!the!Australian!government?!BOM%CORRESPONDENCE

Dr%Robert%Vertessy

Bureau%of%Meteorology%

GPO%Box%1289%

Melbourne,%3001%

Australia

%

Dear!Dr!Vertessy,

Thank!you!for!your!enclosed!reply,!dated!6th!June.2014!,!to!my!below!communicaBons!of!3rd!June!

and!27th!May!provided!on!your!behalf!by!Neil!Plummer.First!I!drew!aMenBon!to!your!report!which!BOM!described!as!“the%Annual%Climate%Statement”%which%”is%to%describe%the%climate%of%the%past%year”!and!your!official!BOM!definiBons!of!the!term!“climate”.!As!I!stated!previously:

BOM%Climate%Defini;ons%Contradict%BOM%Report

Your!report!hMp://www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/annual/aus/!,!and!your!claim!that!“the%purpose%of%the%Annual%Climate%Statement%is%to%describe%the%climate%of%the%past%year”,!contradicts!your!own!definiBon!of!climate!(1,!2).!You!provide!two!official!definiBons!of!‘climate’,!the!first!defining!climate!as!weather!averaged!over!a!30!year!period,!and!the!second!staBng!that!“Climate%is%what%you%expect;%Weather%is%what%you%get.”%How!can!you!have!an!annual!climate!statement!describing!the!‘climate’!of!the!past!year!when!you!admit!by!your!own!definiBons,!that!such!short!term!weather!data!is!‘weather’,!not!‘climate’?!Your!own!definiBons!contradict!your!report!and!confirm!that!your!report!has!no!

‘climate’?!Your!own!definiBons!contradict!your!report!and!confirm!that!your!report!has!no!scienBfic!basis.

You!responded!thus:

BOM!Climate!DefiniBons!Contradict!BOM!ReportClimate!is!the!staBsBcal!analysis!of!weather!over!a!given!Bme!period.!This!analysis!produces!many!different!climate!variables,!such!as!annualVmean!temperature!or!the!staBsBcal!characterisBcs!(for!example!a!probability!density!funcBon)!of!rainfall!over!some!period.!Climate!can!be!defined!over!weeks,!months!or!years.Climatology!is!a!reference!or!baseline!period!for!climate!staBsBcs.!Climatology!and!climate!are!two!separate!terms!with!different!meanings.!A!climatology!is!generally!defined!over!at!least!30!years!in!the!scienBfic!literature.!For!example,!annual!climate!anomalies!are!departures!from!normal,!calculated!by!comparing!the!climate!over!12!months!with!the!climate!from!a!climatological!reference!period.Firstly,!your!point!that!“Climate%can%be%defined%over%weeks,%months%or%years”%directly%contradicts%your%own%official%defini?on%of%“climate”%which%I%quote%above.%Are%you%now%redefining%“climate”%and%contradic?ng%the%official%BOM%defini?on%of%this%term?%If%so,%this%discussion%should%be%preceded%by%your%new%defini?on%of%the%term%“climate”.%The%term%“climatology”%is%completely%irrelevant%for%this%discussion%since%your%Annual%Climate%Statement%is%about%“climate”%not%“climatology”.!How!is!it!possible!to!reconcile!your!two!official!definiBons!of!“climate”,!weather!averaged!over!a!30!year!period,!and!“Climate%is%what%you%expect;%Weather%is%what%you%get”!with!your!“Annual%Climate%Statement”%which!was!produced%“to%describe%the%climate%of%the%past%year”?

You!point!out!that!“Climate%is%the%sta?s?cal%analysis%of%weather%over%a%given%?me%period”%(official!BOM!definiBon!is!30!years)%and%“This%analysis%produces%many%different%climate%variables,%such%as%annualVmean%temperature.”%In!other!words,!according!to!BOM,!30!years!of!annual!input!data!is!required!to!produce!the!annual!average!climate!data.!But!this!directly!contradicts!your!Annual%Climate%Statement%which!averages!weather!data!for!one!year!or!even!one!season!and!describes!this!data!derived!from!less!than!one!year!duraBon!as!“climate”.!We!need!to!be!very!clear!about!this.!Are!you!contradicBng!virtually!all!other!climate!scienBsts!and!suggesBng!average!weather!data!derived!from!1!calendar!year!or!even!less!is!“climate”!data!and!therefore!can!be!compared!to!other!longer!term!(30!year!or!more)!official!climate!data?!In!other!words,!if!we!have!one!very!cold!season!and!unusually!cool!year,!is!that!“climate”!or!“weather”?!You%have%completely%sidestepped%this%first%ques;on%and%made%no%serious%adempt%to%address%the%

issues%I%raised.%It%is%vitally%important,%for%the%clarity%of%our%discussion,%that%these%terms%are%

clearly%defined%at%the%outset.%To%contradict%previous%official%BOM%defini;ons,%and%s;ll%refuse%to%

supply%a%precise%new%defini;on,%merely%creates%the%percep;on%that%BOM%is%deliberately%

indulging%in%obfusca;on.%I%can%see%no%reason%for%this%so%I%hope%this%will%be%rec;fied%in%your%

response.

%

What%is%‘climate%change’?

The!term!“climate(change”!is!rather!meaningless!since!it!is!defined!differently!in!different!publicaBons.!According!to!the!AR5!WG2!SPM:“Climate%change%refers%to%a%change%in%the%state%of%the%climate%that%can%be%iden?fied%(e.g.,%by%using%sta?s?cal%tests)%by%changes%in%the%mean%and/or%the%variability%of%its%proper?es,%and%that%persists%for%an%extended%period,%typically%decades%or%longer.%Climate%change%may%be%due%to%natural%internal%processes%or%external%forcings%such%as%modula?ons%of%the%solar%cycles,%volcanic%erup?ons,%and%persistent%anthropogenic%changes%in%the%composi?on%of%the%atmosphere%or%in%land%use…….WGII(AR5(generally(links(responses(of(natural(and(human(systems(to(observed(climate(change,(

AR5(generally(links(responses(of(natural(and(human(systems(to(observed(climate(change,(regardless(of(its(cause”(As!the!SPM!explains!in!a!footnote:!“The%term%afribu?on%is%used%differently%in%WGI%and%WGII.%Afribu?on%in%WGII%considers%the%links%between%impacts%on%natural%and%human%systems%and%observed%climate%change,%regardless%of%its%cause.%By%comparison,%afribu?on%in%WGI%quan?fies%the%links%between%observed%climate%change%and%human%ac?vity,%as%well%as%other%external%climate%drivers.”%So!according!to!the!IPCC,!the!meaning!of!the!term!!“climate!change”!can!be!varied!at!will,!even!using!fundamentally!different!definiBons!in!different!volumes!of!the!AR5!report.!But!is!this!variable!definiBon!scienBfic!or!poliBcal?!And!is!this!pracBce!approved!by!Science?!But!it!does!not!stop!there!since!the!United!NaBons!Framework!ConvenBon!on!Climate!Change!(UNFCCC)!defines!“climate(change”!differently!to!the!IPCC:“Climate%change%in%IPCC%usage%refers%to%a%change%in%the%state%of%the%climate%that%can%be%iden?fied%(e.g.%using%sta?s?cal%tests)%by%changes%in%the%mean%and/or%the%variability%of%its%proper?es,%and%that%persists%for%an%extended%period,%typically%decades%or%longer.%It%refers%to%any%change%in%climate%over%?me,%whether%due%to%natural%variability%or%as%a%result%of%human%ac?vity.%This%usage%differs%from%that%in%the%United%Na?ons%Framework%Conven?on%on%Climate%Change%(UNFCCC),%where%climate%change%refers%to%a%change%of%climate%that%is%afributed%directly%or%indirectly%to%human%ac?vity%that%alters%the%composi?on%of%the%global%atmosphere%and%that%is%in%addi?on%to%natural%climate%variability%observed%over%comparable%?me%periods.”

In!SecBon!5!of!the!Clean!Energy!Act!the!term!“interna4onal(climate(change(agreement”!is!defined!as!“the(Climate(Change(Conven4on”.!But!inArBcle!1!of!the!UN!Climate!Change!ConvenBon!the!term!‘climate%change’!is!defined!thus:

"’Climate%change’%means%a%change%of%climate%which%is%afributed%directly%or%indirectly%to%human%ac?vity%that%alters%the%composi?on%of%the%global%atmosphere%and%which%is%in%addi?on%to%natural%climate%variability%observed%over%comparable%?me%periods.”

Of!course!this!is!a!deliberate!corrupBon!of!the!literal!meaning!of!the!term!by!an!organisaBon!that!has!its!own!global!agenda.!The!terms!‘climate’!and!‘change’!make!no!reference!whatsoever!to!humans,!to!causaBon,!or!to!greenhouse!gases,!so!it!is!hardly!surprising!that!the!standard!dicBonary!definiBon!of!this!term!has!absolutely!no!implicaBons!as!far!as!alleged!human!caused!climate!change!is!concerned.!The!Commonwealth!government!however,!in!their!publicaBon,!“Climate!Change!Impacts!&!Risk!Management”,!emphasises!that!the!term!‘climate%change’!embraces!ALL!climaBc!changes!and!does!NOT!mean!climate!change!caused!by!humans!as!suggested!by!the!UNFCC:!Climate%change%means,!“Any%change%in%climate%over%?me,%whether%due%to%natural%variability%or%as%a%result%of%human%ac?vity.”This!agrees!with!Ross!Garnaut!in!the!Garnaut!Climate!Change!Review,!who!adopts!the!IPCC!definiBon!(which!contradicts!the!UNFCC!definiBon)!and!points!out!that!‘climate%change’!includes!ALL!climaBc!changes,!not!just!alleged!human!caused!changes.

%

PREVIOUS%CORRESPONDENCE

%Email%of%6th%July%2014

Email%of%6th%July%2014

%Greg%Hunt

Minister%for%the%Environment

%Dear!Greg,You!have!not!yet!responded!to!BOM’s!inability!to!explain!the!scienBfic!distorBons!and!inconsistencies!I!referred!to!earlier.!They!cannot!agree!on!a!definiBon!of!‘climate’!or!‘climate!change’,!but!yet!they!know!how!to!control!the!climate!change!they!are!unable!to!define.Below!you!will!find!more!serious!problems!involving!the!poliBcisaBon!of!science!by!the!IPCC.!What!is!your!strategy!to!confront!those!responsible!and!ensure!these!problems!are!solved?RegardsGraham!Williamson!

%

IPCC%poli;cisa;on%of%science!Recently,!Brian!Wible,!senior!editor!of!Science,!in!a!series!of!3!papers!in!Science,!has!drawn!aMenBon!to!concerns!about!the!poliBcisaBon!of!science!by!the!IPCC!(Science%4%July%2014:%345.6192.34Va):!“In%April%in%Berlin,%governments%approved%the%third%of%three%reports%comprising%the%fiTh%assessment%report%(AR5)%of%the%Intergovernmental%Panel%on%Climate%Change%(IPCC).%The%report%from%Working%Group%1%(WGI)%made%clear%that%human%impact%on%climate%change%is%almost%certain.%WGII%showed%that%impacts%of%climate%change%are%evident%and%poised%to%worsen.%WGIII%focused%on%how%to%mi?gate%the%emissions%that%cause%global%warming%(1).”!Wible!concluded:

“the%SPM%is%intended%to%balance%governmental%and%scien?fic%input……To%promote%discussion%of%whether%and%how%to%reform%IPCC%in%advance%of%the%15th%Mee?ng%of%the%Conference%of%the%Par?es%to%the%UN%Framework%Conven?on%on%Climate%Change%(UNFCCC)%in%November%2015,%Science%invited%several%WGIII%members%to%share%their%perspec?ves%on%what%happened%in%Berlin%and%what%it%means%for%the%IPCC%and%climate%policy.”In!Gedng!serious!about!categorizing!countries!(Science%4%July%2014:%34V36),!Victor!and!colleagues!further!point!out!that!“IPCC%is%a%government%controlled%process”:“But%IPCC%is%a%governmentVcontrolled%process.%Its%lineVbyVline%approval%of%the%SPM%yields%the%lowest%common%denominator%of%what%is%scien?fically%accurate%and%not%too%toxic%for%governments.%A%small%number%of%countries%can%block%findings%that%a%large%number%of%scien?sts%working%over%many%years%with%extensive%review%have%agreed%are%robust.%Disentangling%IPCC%from%poli?cs%is%impossible,%especially%where%IPCC%engages%social%science%research%that%has%policyVrelevant%conclusions.%Yet%IPCC%as%a%scien?fic%body%can%sharpen%its%messages%by%focusing%more%afen?on%on%the%authorVapproved%technical%and%policy%summary%documents.”!Although!Science!is!to!be!applauded!for!drawing!aMenBon!to!the!criBcally!important!issue!of!IPCC!poliBcisaBon!of!science,!they!have!not!gone!anywhere!near!far!enough.!The!series!of!papers!in!Science!relate!to!governments!deleBng!country!sensiBve!data!relaBng!to!increased!emissions,!from!the!SPM.!But!this!ignores!much!more!fundamental!distorBons!of!science!in!the!SPM’s!(1,!2,!3,!4,!5).!Let!us!examine!a!couple!of!examples,!firstly!from!the!IPCC!Climate!Change!2013:!The!Physical!

Let!us!examine!a!couple!of!examples,!firstly!from!the!IPCC!Climate!Change!2013:!The!Physical!Science!Basis!Working!Group!I!Report,!and!the!resulBngIPCC!AR5!Working!Group!1!Summary!for!Policymakers!(SPM).!And!secondly,!from!the!AR5!WG2!Climate!Change!2014:!Impacts,!AdaptaBon!and!Vulnerability!report!and!the!resulBng!AR5!WG2!SPM.!

1. The%Climate%Change%2013:%The%Physical%Science%Basis%Working%Group%I%Report

!In!!Chapter!2!of!the!WG1!AR5!Report,!and!in!the!Technical!Summary,!IPCC!scienBsts!their!previous!claims!regarding!droughts!were!alarmist!or!exaggerated!(1).!This!fact!was!deleted!from!IPCC!AR5!Working!Group!1!Summary!for!Policymakers!(SPM).!In!Chapter!2!of!the!WG1!AR5!Report,Chapter!10!of!the!WG1!AR5!Report,!and!the!Technical!Summary,!IPCC!scienBsts!showed!that!globally%droughts%are%NOT%increasing,%there%is%no%reliable%evidence%that%humans%are%causing%droughts,%

and%droughts%are%much%less%severe%in%modern%;mes%as%atmospheric%CO2%levels%have%risen.%All%

these%conclusions%were%deleted%from%the%IPCC!AR5!Working!Group!1!Summary!for!Policymakers!(SPM).

Australian!scienBst!Dr!Lisa!Alexander!was!a!lead!author!of!Chapter!2!of!the!WG1!AR5!Report,!while!!Professor!Nathaniel!Bindoff!was!a!coordinaBng!lead!author!for!Chapter!10!of!the!WG1!AR5!Report.!!Dr!Lisa!Alexander,!Professor!Nathaniel!Bindoff,!and!Dr!John!Church,!were!also!lead!authors!for!the!AR5!WG1!Technical!Summary.!InteresBngly,!Dr!Lisa!Alexander,!Professor!Nathaniel!Bindoff,!and!Dr!John!Church,!were!also!draming!authors!for!the!IPCC!AR5!Working!Group!1!Summary!for!Policymakers!(SPM),!while!Viviane!Vasconcellos!de!Menezes,!Dr!ScoM!Power,!and!Dr!Stephen!Rintoul,!were!dram!contribuBng!authors. !

2. The%AR5%WG2%Climate%Change%2014:%Impacts,%Adapta;on%and%Vulnerability%report

In!Chapter!18!of!the!AR5!WG2!Climate!Change!2014:!Impacts,!AdaptaBon!and!Vulnerability!report!IPCC!scienBsts!clearly!conclude!(4),!“neither%the%detec?on%of%an%effect%of%climate%change%on%civil%conflict%nor%an%assessment%of%the%magnitude%of%such%an%effect%can%currently%be%made%with%a%degree%of%confidence.”%!But!not!only!was!this!conclusion!deleted!from!the!AR5!WG2!SPM,!the!SPM!provided!a!very!different!conclusion:!“Climate%change%can%indirectly%increase%risks%of%violent%conflicts%in%the%form%of%civil%war%and%interVgroup%violence%by%amplifying%wellVdocumented%drivers%of%these%conflicts%such%as%poverty%and%economic%shocks%(medium%confidence).%Mul?ple%lines%of%evidence%relate%climate%variability%to%these%forms%of%conflict”!InteresBngly,!Professor!HoeghVGuldberg,!and!Dr!Elvira!Poloczanska,!were!contribuBng!authors!to%Chapter!18!of!the!AR5!WG2!Climate!Change!2014:!Impacts,!AdaptaBon!and!Vulnerability!report!and!both!were!also!draming!authors!for!the!AR5!WG2!SPM.!!BOM!Deputy!Director!Dr!Neville!Smith,!was!a!review!editor!for!Chapter!18.!Anyone%remotely%interested%in%scien;fic%truth%should%be%extremely%concerned%and%alarmed%by%

the%results%of%poli;cisa;on%of%the%IPCC%%process.

%

So%what%is%the%Australian%government%doing%about%this%poli;cisa;on%of%science%by%the%IPCC?%And%

what%are%our%leading%‘scien;fic’%organisa;ons,%CSIRO,%BOM,%and%the%Australian%Academy%of%

Science,%doing%about%it?%Are%they%seen%to%be%proudly%leading%the%way%forward,%constantly%

proposing%means%of%reducing%this%poli;cisa;on?%Or%are%they%invisible,%pretending%the%issue%does%

proposing%means%of%reducing%this%poli;cisa;on?%Or%are%they%invisible,%pretending%the%issue%does%

not%exist%and%hoping%it%will%go%away.

%

Are%they%part%of%the%problem,%or%part%of%the%solu;on?

%

%

Email%of%14th%March

%Greg%Hunt%MP

Minister%for%the%Environment

!Dear!Greg,I!have!received!no!response!to!my!communicaBon!below.!Since!you!have!been!elected!your!government!has!made!a!number!of!posiBve!changes!which!you!are!to!be!commended!for.!However,!other!maMers,!specifically!the!return!to!ISDS,!refusal!to!ban!undemocraBc!internaBonal!agreements!such!as!AG21,!refusal!to!take!acBon!to!strengthen!sovereignty,!your!deliberate!conBnuaBon!of!the!myth!that!humans!can!control!climate!(referred!to!below),!are!indeed!disturbing.!You!have!clearly!stated!that!CoaliBon!policy!is!based!upon!the!belief!(which!you!claim!is!supported!by!science)!that!Australia’s!climate,!rainfall,!temperatures,!sea!level,!and!severe!weather!events,!are!being!adversely!impacted!by!human!caused!greenhouse!gas!emissions.!You!have!also!claimed!that!these!negaBve!effects!are!NOT!caused!(or!reversible!by!reducing)!by!Australian!emissions!however.!Since!CoaliBon!policy!is!apparently!based!upon!scienBfic!evidence!that!Australia’s!climate!is!being!controlled!by!other!countries!all!Australians!should!be!immediately!advised!which!countries!are!responsible.!Presumably!you!are!alleging!that!it!is!the!main!global!emiMers,!USA!and!China,!that!are!the!cause!of!Australia’s!climate!worries.!Which!one!is!mainly!to!blame!according!to!your!evidence?!As!you!are!aware,!internaBonal!law!forbids!transboundary!environmental!harm!and!permits!legal!acBon!(1,!2,!3,!4,!5).!In!fact,!this!cross!border!environmental!protecBon!is!a!sBpulaBon!of!Principal!2!of!the!Rio!DeclaraBon!as!well!as!the!Stockholm!DeclaraBon.!Your!Party!has!history!of!using!such!internaBonal!agreements!to!negaBvely!impact!Australia’s!sovereignty!and!independence,!so!why!not!use!them!to!protect!Australia’s!climate?!Given!the!seriousness!of!these!maMers!they!should!receive!urgent!publicity.!Regards!Graham!Williamson!From: Graham [mailto:[email protected]] Sent: Sunday, 9 March 2014 8:00 AMTo: [email protected]: Direct Action!Greg%Hunt%MP

Minister%for%the%Environment

Minister%for%the%Environment

!Dear!Greg,!I!thank!you!for!your!enclosed!response!to!my!earlier!correspondence!below.!In!my!previous!correspondence!I!asked,!regarding!AGW:%

11. A%human%influence%in%local%regions%can%neither%be%iden?fied%or%quan?fied.%Do%you%agree%or%can%you%provide%scien?fic%evidence%which%so%far%you%have%failed%to%do?

12. What%is%the%degree%of%human%caused%global%warming%in%Sydney%(which%is%reversible%by%mi?ga?on%strategies)?

13. In%deriving%the%(global)%data%for%Sydney%what%percentage%of%the%data%sets%were%actually%obtained%from%Sydney?%Are%you%sugges?ng%that%local%climate%policies%should%be%based%upon%what%is%happening%around%the%world%rather%than%a%direct%analysis%of%local%data?%Could%you%please%provide%the%scien?fic%evidence%showing%overseas%climate%data%provides%the%best%basis%for%local%policies?

14. If%you%have%scien?fic%evidence%of%the%degree%to%which%humans%have%raised%temperatures%and%sea%level%in%Sydney%why%are%you%so%determined%to%refuse%to%release%this%evidence%and%sefle%this%whole%mafer?

!From!your!response,!and!your!inability!to!answer!these!quesBons,!it!is!clear!that!we!both!agree!that!science!is!unable!to!idenBfy!and!quanBfy!human!caused!global!warming!in!any!local!area!in!Australia.!!As!you!point!out:!“afribu?on%studies%of%the%warming%experienced%on%a%local%scale%in%Sydney%have%not%been%done”

The!fact!that!neither!global!warming!or!human!causaBon!can!be!reliably!detected!in!local!areas!is!

confirmed!by!the!IPCC!5th!Assessment!Report,!and!also!by!CSIRO!and!BOM!who!state:

!“Trends%in%climate%are%evident%over%the%Pacific%as%a%whole,%including%the%PCCSP%region,%however%the%extent%to%which%these%trends%are%afributable%to%natural%variability%and%to%human%ac?vi?es%is%not%yet%well%understood.”………….”!“lifle%research%has%been%conducted%to%quan?fy%the%rela?ve%importance%of%humanVinduced%change%and%natural%variability%as%causes%of%the%observed%trends%in%the%PCCSP%region.”!But!why!have!you!sought!to!avoid!honestly!conveying!these!facts!to!the!Australian!public!and!structuring!your!policies!accordingly?

As!you!correctly!point!out,!in!agreement!with!the!IPCC!and!the!Chief!ScienBst,!claimed!local!warming!trends!(human!caused!or!otherwise)!are!purely!staBsBcal,!the!result!of!applying!average!climate!data!(majority!of!datasets!will!of!course!be!very!distant!from!Australia)!from!the!other!side!of!the!world!to!local!regions.!As!you!acknowledge,!the!only!way!any!appearance!of!local!warming!can!be!created,!is!by!globally!averaging!local!data!and!then!reapplying!this!theoreBcal!global!average!to!local!areas!in!order!to!create!a!mild!warming!trend!that!is!absent!from!real!measurements!derived!directly!from!local!data.!In!other!words,!according!to!this!procedure,!local!policies!in!Australia!must!be!adjusted!according!to!climaBc!changes!on!the!other!side!of!the!world,!even!in!the!absence!of!any!change!to!local!data.!In!spite!of!all!this,!you!claim!a!global!increase!in!temperature!of!less!than!1!degree!in!100!years.!You!claim!that!‘much’!of!this!warming!is!human!caused.!So!according!to!you,!perhaps!one!half!of!1!degree!!in!100!years!is!human!caused!(what!is!the!margin!of!error?).

degree!!in!100!years!is!human!caused!(what!is!the!margin!of!error?).

Given!the!fact!that!human!caused!climate!change!cannot!be!detected!or!quanBfied!in!any!local!council!area!in!Australia,!then!of!course!there!is!also!no!evidence!whatsoever!of!cost!effecBveness!of!expensive!council!promoted!miBgaBon!schemes.!But!in!spite!of!these!simple!facts,!amazingly,!theAustralian!government!is!sBll!encouraging!state!government’s!and!local!councils!to!waste!taxpayers!and!rate!payers!money!with!expensive!schemes!to!miBgate!a!problem!which!experts!agree!has!not!been!idenBfied!or!quanBfied.!!Given!these!facts!it!is!hardly!surprising!that!the!South!Australian!government!has!announced!it!is!abandoning!miBgaBon!because!it!will!have!no!effect!upon!global!climate.!Of!course!the!fact!that!‘global’!CO2!levels!and!temperatures!are!going!in!opposite!direcBons!completely!destroys!the!fundamental!basis!of!CAGW.!You!cite!the!IPCC!as!your!source,!however!you!fail!to!menBon!that!the!IPCC!also!confirms!global!warming!has!ceased.!According!to!the!IPCC!analysis!“The%rate%of%warming%over%the%past%15%years%(1998V2012;%0.05%deg.%C/decade)%is%smaller%than%the%trend%since%1951%(1951V2012;%0.12%deg.%C/decade)(SPMV3)”,%and!!!IPCC!boss!Rajendra!Pachauri!has!announced!that!there!has!been!no!warming!for!17!years.!But!In!spite!of!all!these!facts!you!sBll!contradict!your!sources!and!claim!“The%fact%is%that%climate%change%is%driven%by%greenhouse%gas%emissions,%and%these%emissions%are%a%byVproduct%of%the%things%that%improve%our%quality%of%life”.!The%ball%is%in%your%court.%You%have%been%totally%unable%to%supply%any%scien;fic%jus;fica;on%for%

your%policy%of%falsely%promo;ng%climate%change%alarmism%and%wasteful%mi;ga;on%schemes%in%

local%council%areas.%You%are%out%of%step%with%the%science,%and%out%of%step%with%progress.%And%

further,%you%agree%that%there%is%no%scien;fic%jus;fica;on%for%your%policy,%only%indirect%sta;s;cal%

‘evidence’%derived%from%remote%locali;es%on%the%other%side%of%the%world.%Though%you%have%failed%

to%iden;fy%or%quan;fy%a%problem%in%ANY%local%council%area,%you%are%s;ll%ac;vely%promo;ng%a%

solu;on%for%an%uniden;fied%problem.%This%is%ridiculous.

%

When%will%you%adopt%a%policy%which%has%a%sound%scien;fic%basis%and%cease%promo;ng%this%

fraudulent%wastage%of%taxpayers%and%ratepayers%money%on%imaginary%problems?

!You!also!refer!to!local!sea!level!changes,!as!if!to!imply!humans!can!control!such!changes!by!government!promoted!miBgaBon!schemes!(evidence!and!cost!effecBveness!please?).!You!claim!an!annual!sea!level!rise!of!2.00mm!globally!but!which!is!reduced!to!only!0.8mm!(margin!of!error!please?!What!%!caused!by!and!reversible!by!humans?)!if!you!use!local!data.!But!once!again!you!contradict!your!own!‘scienBfic!sources’.!According!to!CSIRO!inClimate%Change:%Science%and%

Solu;ons%for%Australia:

“SeaVlevel%rise%and%fall%is%nothing%new%and%earlier%popula?ons%have%experienced%large%fluctua?ons%in%sea%level.%Geological%records%indicate%that%sea%level%peaked%at%between%6%m%and%9%m%higher%than%today”!Furthermore,!according!to!BOM,!another!of!your!scienBfic!sources,!“nothing(can(be(done(to(stop”!natural!climate!variaBons!such!as!El!Niño!or!La!Nina!which!may!increase!sea!level!in!some!areas!by!20V30cm.!And!you!are!worried!about!0.8mm!which!you!believe!you!can!control!with!‘miBgaBon’!or!‘Direct!AcBon’?!You!state!the!“Australian%government%accepts%the%findings%of”!the!discredited!IPCC!(see!also!enclosed!for!unrefuted!evidence!discrediBng!both!CSIRO!and!IPCC),!but!when!I!asked,!Do(you(fully(endorse(the(IPCC(and(its(claims?!You!refused!to!answer.!Why?!InteresBngly,!the!IPCC!has!recently!

endorse(the(IPCC(and(its(claims?!You!refused!to!answer.!Why?!InteresBngly,!the!IPCC!has!recently!pointed!out!that!droughts!are!not!caused!by!human!influence,!directly!contradicBng!alarmist!scienBsts!and!organisaBons!like!CSIRO.!Which!do!you!support?!And!why!have!you!failed!to!publicise!this!good!news?!You!said!you!abide!by!the!Australian!Academy!of!Science!which!states,!as!I!indicated!below,!“It(is(difficult,(if(not(impossible,(to(prove(the(causes(of(this((global)warming.”!Seems!you!agree!with!me!on!many!aspects!of!the!debate!so!why!the!conBnued!pretence!about!CAGW?!In!fact,!you!seem!to!conBnue!to!contradict!so!many!of!your!own!sources,!CSIRO,!IPCC!etc.!In!my!previous!correspondence!I!referred!to!your!Direct!AcBon!policy!and!asked:

I!find!it!extremely!disturbing!that!you!were!unable!to!support!your!own!Direct!AcBon!policy!when!I!asked,!Is%the%goal%to%mi;gate%climate%change%and%control%temperatures%and%sea%level?%Or,%on%

the%other%hand,%is%the%goal%simply%to%lower%emission%levels%and%meet%emission%targets?%Are%you%

unaware%of%the%goal%of%your%own%policy?%Your%reluctance%to%answer%is%especially%surprising%given%

your%asser;on%that%you%agree%with%the%‘science’,%and%you%agree%with%the%ALP,%as%you%have%

recently%emphasised:

!“Let%me%set%out%the%points%of%bipar?san%agreement%in%this%area:V%We%agree%on%the%scienceV%We%agree%on%the%targetsV%We%agree%on%market%mechanisms”%

Since!you!admit!biparBsanship,!to!understand!which!version!of!the!science!you!accept!we!need!look!no!further!than!the!ALP,!as!outlined!below:!

1.! Prime!Minister!Julia!Gillard!said!in!May!2011,!we!must!act!now!to!“save(the(planet”!with!a!CO2!tax,!not!amer!the!next!elecBon!(5).!Although!Julia!Gillard!promised!(before!the!elecBon)!she!would!not!introduce!a!CO2!tax,!suddenly!she!claimed!it!is!now!or!never!(6)!and!we!must!act!(5)!“not%in%a%couple%of%genera?ons'%?me,%or%even%a%couple%of%years'%?me,%but%now.”

2.! Senator!Bob!Brown,!Julia!Gillard’s!then!coaliBon!partner,!confirmed!the!seriousness!of!the!situaBon!(7):!“There%is%no%bailout%op?on%for%the%planet,%like%there%is%for%Wall%Street.%If%the%world%can%take%massive!ac?on%to%save%Wall%Street%within%weeks,%it%should%take%urgent%ac?on%to%save%the%planet.”

3.! But!according!to!Anthony!Albanese!saving!the!planet!is!not!enough,!we!should!save!money!too!(8)!“early(ac4on(on(climate(change(is(what(is(required.(By(taking(early(ac4on(you(will(actually(save(money(as(well(as(save(the(planet.”!!Believe!it!or!not,!Deputy!Prime!Minister!Wayne!Swan!agreed,!noBng!that!just(saving!the!planet!may!not!be!enough!when!money!is!involved!(9):!“But%we%are%proceeding%with%this%because%we%do%believe%in%the%science%of%climate%change,%and%we%understand%the%economics%of%climate%change,%that%we%must%do%something%about%dangerous%climate%change,%not%just%to%save%the%planet%and%our%environment%but%to%keep%a%prosperous%economy.”

Since%you%admit%you%agree%with%this%ALP%alarmist%‘save%the%planet’%version%of%the%science,%why%

did%you%decide%to%exclude%saving%the%planet%from%the%goals%of%Direct%Ac;on?

In!your!answer!you!once!again!refused!to!outline!any!specific!goal!of!Direct!AcBon!other!than!meeBng!a!target!of!5%!emissions!reducBon!by!2020.!As!I!have!noted!previously,!the!Direct!AcBon!Plan!completely!avoids!any!commitment!to!‘saving!the!planet’,!lowering!temperatures!and!sea!

Plan!completely!avoids!any!commitment!to!‘saving!the!planet’,!lowering!temperatures!and!sea!level,!or!even!the!science!of!climate!change!(ie!AGW).!All!these!issues!are!very!carefully!avoided!by!the!Direct!AcBon!Plan!which!focuses!instead!on!vague!promises!of!improving!the!environment:

“A%Coali?on%Government%will%implement%a%climate%change%strategy%based%on%direct%ac?on%to%reduceemissions%and%improve%the%environment……%The%Coali?on%supports%strong%and%effec?ve%ac?on%to%improve%the%environment%and%to%reduce%CO2%emissions.%A%Coali?on%Government%will%support%direct%ac?on%on%climate%change%to%reduce%Australian%CO2%emissions%by%five%per%cent%by%2020,%while%at%the%same%?me%delivering%real%environmental%benefits.A%Coali?on%Government%will%establish%an%Emissions%Reduc?on%Fund%to%directly%support%CO2%emissionsreduc?on%ac?vi?es%by%business%and%industry.Through%the%Fund,%the%Coali?on%will%call%for%tenders%for%projects%that%will:1.%reduce%CO2%emissions;2.%deliver%addi?onal%prac?cal%environmental%benefits;3.%not%result%in%price%increases%to%consumers;4.%protect%Australian%jobs;%and5.%not%otherwise%proceed%without%Fund%assistance.”

Clearly,%any%commitment%to%save%the%planet%or%lower%temperatures%and%sea%level%have%been%

thoroughly%expunged%from%Coali;on%Direct%Ac;on%policy,%a%move%which%is%consistent%with%the%

reality%that%man%is%no%closer%to%being%able%to%control%global%temperatures,%sea%level,%rainfall,%and%

extreme%weather%events,%even%in%spite%of%the%protesta;ons%of%climate%change%alarmists.%Direct%

Ac;on%does%not%pretend%to%control%droughts,%cyclones%and%sea%level,%it%is%about%establishing%a%

new%industry%to%sell%carbon%abatement%back%to%the%government.

!It!is!interesBng!to!note!that!under!SecBon!3!of!the!Clean!Energy!Act,!Australia!is!commiMed!to!climate!change!miBgaBon!and!limiBng!global!temperature!rise!to!not!more!than!2!degrees:

3%%ObjectsThe%objects%of%this%Act%are%as%follows:%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%(a)%%to%give%effect%to%Australia’s%obliga?ons%under:%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%(i)%%the%Climate%Change%Conven?on;%and%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%(ii)%%the%Kyoto%Protocol;%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%(b)%%to%support%the%development%of%an%effec?ve%global%response%to%climate%change,%consistent%with%Australia’s%na?onal%interest%in%ensuring%that%average%global%temperatures%increase%by%not%more%than%2%degrees%Celsius%above%pre‑industrial%levels;!In!designing!Direct!AcBon!however,!you!have!clearly!decided!to!abandon!any!commitment!to!climate!change!miBgaBon!though!you!sBll!pretend!this!is!not!so.!Why?!No!doubt!this!is!why!you!refused!to!answer!my!previous!quesBon:!“Exactly%what%clima?c%impacts%is%your%Direct%Ac?on%Plan%intended%to%prevent?”!Direct!AcBon!expresses!complete!disinterest!in!miBgaBng!or!influencing!climate.!The!stated!goal!of!Direct!AcBon!is!to!“improve%the%environment”,!not!control!climate!and!sea!level.!In!spite!of!these!inconsistencies!in!your!posiBon!you!sBll!conBnue!the!chorus!of!alarmist!rhetoric!with!your!claim!that!!“The%fact%is%that%climate%change%is%driven%by%greenhouse%gas%emissions,%and%these%emissions%are%a%byVproduct%of%the%things%that%improve%our%quality%of%life”.%And!you!point!out!that!Direct!AcBon!is!a!‘soluBon’!to!this!problem!you!describe!as!‘climate!change’:%“If(ever(there(was(a(problem(requiring(new(solu4ons(to(be(unearthed,(it(is(climate(change.”

“If(ever(there(was(a(problem(requiring(new(solu4ons(to(be(unearthed,(it(is(climate(change.”%So!we!know!that!you!regard!something!which!you!describe!as!“climate%change”,!as!being!caused!by!human!caused!emissions!and!you!see!Direct!AcBon!as!the!‘soluBon’!to!this!(although!you!decided!to!exclude!this!claim!from!the!Direct!acBon!policy).!You!further!describe!the!dangerous!climate!change!by!which!you!jusBfy!DirecBon!AcBon!by!vague!claims!that!humans!are!causing!!perhaps!a!1/2!degree!staBsBcal!global!increase!in!temperature!over!100!years!but!you!note!that!neither!this!increase,!nor!the!degree!of!human!causaBon,!can!be!scienBfically!confirmed!in!any!local!area!in!Australia.%You%therefore%propose%that%Direct%Ac;on%is%a%‘solu;on’%to%an%undetectable%problem.!Clearly!there!is!no!relaBonship!between!the!science,!the!empty!alarmist!rhetoric!used!to!jusBfy!Direct!AcBon,!and!the!actual!goals!of!Direct!AcBon.!In%summary,%in%designing%Direct%Ac;on%you%have%chosen%to%completely%exclude%both%the%science%

of%AGW,%and%the%very%clima;c%goals%or%problems%by%which%you%seek%to%jus;fy%the%whole%policy.%

Why?%Direct%Ac;on%is%an%irresponsible%policy%built%on%exploita;on%of%community%fears%about%

scien;fically%vacuous%alarmist%claims.%It%is%a%policy%which%specifically%excludes%any%goal%which%is%

related%to%your%jus;fica;on%of%the%policy.

%

How%can%anyone%design%a%policy%to%address%an%issue%and%then%carefully%ensure%the%policy%

completely%avoids%any%specific%goals%concerning%the%issue%for%which%it%was%allegedly%created.%This%

is%what%you%have%achieved%with%Direct%Ac;on.%Even%if%global%temperatures%reduce%by%10%degrees%

it%makes%no%difference%to%Direct%Ac;on%which%would%con;nue%indefinitely%as%there%is%no%clima;c%

goal%or%end%point.

%

I%have%given%you%every%opportunity%to%explain%the%clima;c%goals%of%Direc;on%Ac;on%but%you%have%

been%completely%unable%to%do%so,%perhaps%because%you%agree%with%the!South!Australian!government!that!miBgaBon!is!useless.!Direct!AcBon!is!a!complete!sham.!It!is!jusBfied!by!exploitaBon!of!community!fears!about!climate!change!but!yet!has!no!climaBc!goals!whatsoever.!Your!only!defence!was!to!insinuate!that!if!every!country!in!the!world!lowers!their!emissions!we!can!then!control!climate,!temperature,!sea!level,!and!rainfall:!

Forgedng!for!the!moment!that!we!have!already!agreed!that!the!‘problem’!you!are!trying!to!solve!cannot!be!reliably!detected!or!quanBfied!in!any!local!council!area!in!Australia,!where!is!your!scienBfic!evidence!that!global!acBon!will!somehow!result!in!an!ideal!theoreBcal!average!temperature!and!sea!level?!Without!sound!scienBfic!evidence!this!is!just!crystal!ball!gazing.!Back%in%the%real%world,%you%admit%that%you%cannot%measure%any%‘global%warming’,%let%alone%

human%causa;on,%in%Sydney,%Melbourne,%Brisbane,%Adelaide,%or%any%local%council%area%in%

Australia,%but%yet%you%suggest%that%if%countries%around%the%world%followed%your%example%and%

lowered%their%emissions%then%the%problem%you%could%not%detect%in%these%local%areas%would%be%

solved!%Which%countries%do%you%believe%are%causing%this%undetectable%global%warming%in%these%

local%areas?

!

!This!sounds!more!like!witchcram!rather!than!science!Greg.!Can!you!confirm!any!of!these!wild!claims?!I!also!posed!the!following!query!regarding!per!capita!emissions:!I%no?ce%also%that%although%CSIRO,%the%Chief%Scien?st%and%many%others%base%their%climate%science%upon%per%capita%emissions,%when%I%asked%you%about%this%you%refused%to%answer.%Do%you%disagree%with%your%own%scien?fic%sources%yet%again?!You!responded,!staBng!that!“Australia’%mi?ga?on%policies%are%based%upon%a%number%of%metrics,%including%per%capita%emissions…..”

But!there!has!never!been!any!scienBfic!evidence!confirming!that!a!per!capita!strategy!is!the!best!means!of!controlling!climate,!although!according!to!the!Climate!Commission,!an!average!Indian!

ciBzen!produces!only!1/16th!the!emissions!of!average!Australian.!The!totally!ficBBous!and!meaningless!nature!of!average!per!capita!emissions!is!perfectly!clear,!as!I!have!indicated!elsewhere:

“If(an((undefined)(average(Indian(person,(who(allegedly(produces(only(1/16th(the(emissions(of(the((undefined)(average(Australian,(moves(to(Australia(but(adopts(exactly(the(same(life(style(in(Australia(as(he/she(did(in(India,(then(automa4cally(he(or(she(will(suddenly(be(producing(sixteen(4mes(more(emissions!”Australia’s%high%per%capita%emissions%are%due%to%our%low%popula?on%combined%with%rela?vely%high%transport%and%industrial%emissions,%especially%from%aluminium%and%metal%produc?on%(63,%64),%or,%%according%to%the%government’s%FiTh%Na?onal%Communica?on%on%Climate%Change,%our%high%per%capita%emissions%are%caused%by%“the%dominance%of%resourceVbased%industries%in%our%economy%and%its%reliance%on%lowVcost%fossil%fuels.”%Therefore,(when(our(typical(low(emission(Indian(ci4zen(moves(to(Australia,(irrespec4ve(of(his(lifestyle,(he(will(become(just(as(responsible(for(the(emissions(from(Aluminium(smelters(as(are(other(Aussies!But(wait,(it(also(depends(upon(what(state(of(Australia(our(typical(Indian(ci4zen(moves(to!(If(he(moves(to(Queensland(he(will(produce(more(than(double(the(emissions(of(those(he(would(produce(if(he(crossed(the(border(into(NSW%(Ben%Cubby,%Greenhouse%gas%emissions%s?ll%on%the%rise,%data%shows)!!Clearly!this!is!all!nonsense.!Highly!discriminatory!per!capita!emissions!have!always!been!an!obsession!with!those!who!see!climate!change!as!a!means!of!enforcing!their!socialisBc!dreams!of!equity.!A!far!more!important!metric!from!a!scienBfic!viewpoint,!is!emissions!per!square!kilometre,!as!this!acknowledges!the!importance!of!natural!carbon!sinks.!Such!a!measure!of!course,!would!reveal!Australia!has!one!of!the!lowest!emission!levels!in!the!world.!Given!the!fact!that!soil!sequestraBon!and!natural!carbon!sinks!are!claimed!to!be!central!to!Direct!AcBon!(you!predict!“minimum%150%million%tonnes%of%CO2%equivalent%per%annum%to%be%captured%in%soil%carbons%by%2020”),!it!is!extremely!disturbing!that!you!endorse!the!unscienBfic!poliBcal!discriminatory!measure!of!per!capita!emissions!rather!than!emissions!per!square!kilometre.!Your!stance!on!this!issue,!and!your!abandonment!of!science!yet!again,!once!again!makes!the!CoaliBon!look!absolutely!ridiculous.

Greg,!as!an!intelligent!man,!you!realise!humans!cannot!control!climate,!temperature,!sea!level,!rainfall,!droughts,!and!glaciers.!So!why!doesn’t!CoaliBon!policy!reflect!this!simple!fact?!Why!do!you!seek!to!fraudulently!turn!controlling!the!climate!into!a!business?!While!Direct!AcBon!

you!seek!to!fraudulently!turn!controlling!the!climate!into!a!business?!While!Direct!AcBon!expresses!no!climaBc!goals,!you!nevertheless!conBnue!the!pretence!that!it!is!a!policy!to!control!‘climate!change’.!The!coaliBon!creates!a!very!embarrassing!impression!of!trying!to!have!2!bob!each!way.!Why!should!the!SA!government!be!leading!the!Australian!government!in!expressing!the!uselessness!of!climate!change!miBgaBon!in!Australia?!Why!not!return!to!a!scienBfically!based!and!honest!policy!which!openly!rejects!miBgaBon,!and!move!on!to!allocaBng!the!wasted!money!to!people!in!real!need?!We!both!know!humans!cannot!control!climate,!how!about!some!poliBcal!honesty?!Regards!Graham!Williamson!!!!!! !From: Graham [mailto:[email protected]] Sent: Friday, 21 February 2014 12:09 AMTo: [email protected]: 'Climate Science'Subject: RE: Mc14-004671 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]!Greg%Hunt%MP

Minister%for%the%Environment

!Dear!Greg,

I!refer!to!the!enclosed!reply!of!20th!Feb!from!Jo!Mummery.!Firstly,!in!my!previous!communicaBon!I!asked!a!number!of!quesBons!which,!for!some!reason,!you!chose!to!completely!ignore.!I!start!by!repeaBng!those!quesBons.!

1. A!human!influence!in!local!regions!can!neither!be!idenBfied!or!quanBfied.!Do!you!agree!or!can!you!provide!scienBfic!evidence!which!so!far!you!have!failed!to!do?

2. What!is!the!degree!of!human!caused!global!warming!in!Sydney!(which!is!reversible!by!miBgaBon!strategies)?

3. In!deriving!the!(global)!data!for!Sydney!what!percentage!of!the!data!sets!were!actually!obtained!from!Sydney?!Are!you!suggesBng!that!local!climate!policies!should!be!based!upon!what!is!happening!around!the!world!rather!than!a!direct!analysis!of!local!data?!Could!you!please!provide!the!scienBfic!evidence!showing!overseas!climate!data!provides!the!best!basis!for!local!policies?

4. If!you!have!scienBfic!evidence!of!the!degree!to!which!humans!have!raised!temperatures!and!sea!level!in!Sydney!why!are!you!so!determined!to!refuse!to!release!this!evidence!and!seMle!this!whole!maMer?

5. You!state!that!the!Australian!government!“accepts%the%science%of%climate%change”.!But!which!version!of!the!science!do!you!accept!and!are!you!referring!to!human!caused!climate!change!or!natural!climate!change?!Yes,(impossible(to(believe(though(it(may(be,(you(were(not(even(able(to(define(what(you(meant(by(‘climate(change’.(Why?

6. CSIRO,!the!Chief!scienBst,!and!professor!Flannery,!have!all!stated!that!climate!change!

6. CSIRO,!the!Chief!scienBst,!and!professor!Flannery,!have!all!stated!that!climate!change!miBgaBon!in!Australia!is!based!upon!average!per!capita!emissions.!Is!this!the!science!you!accept?!Or!do!you!disagree!with!these!scienBsts?

7. Exactly!what!climaBc!impacts!is!your!Direct!AcBon!Plan!intended!to!prevent?8. In%view%of%the%above%evidence,%and%your%claim%that%humans%can%control%climate,%why%

has%this%vitally%important%mader%been%excluded%from%the%Direct%Ac;on%Plan?

9. Clearly,%any%commitment%to%save%the%planet%or%lower%temperatures%and%sea%level%have%

been%thoroughly%expunged%from%Coali;on%Direct%Ac;on%policy.%Why?%The%goal%of%

Direc;on%Ac;on%is%totally%unclear.%Is%the%goal%to%mi;gate%climate%change%and%control%

temperatures%and%sea%level?%Or,%on%the%other%hand,%is%the%goal%simply%to%lower%emission%

levels%and%meet%emission%targets?

!It!would!be!much!appreciated!if!you!could!answer!these!simple!quesBons!and!save!Bme!and!the!necessity!for!further!correspondence.!In!regard!to!the!first!2!quesBons!you!did!state!“few%studies%have%focussed%on%iden?fying%this%(human)%influence%at%a%local%scale”.!InteresBngly,!CSIRO!and!BOM,!whom!you!claim!are!responsible!for!your!policy,!also!agree!there!is!no!evidence!of!human!causaBon!in!local!areas!(see!Kevin!Hennessy,!ScoM!Power,!Australian%Bureau%of%Meteorology%and%CSIRO,%2011.!Climate%Change%in%the%

Pacific:%Scien;fic%Assessment%and%New%Research.%Volume%1:%Regional%Overview.%Volume%2:%

Country%Reports):!

“Trends%in%climate%are%evident%over%the%Pacific%as%a%whole,%including%the%PCCSP%region,%however%the%extent%to%which%these%trends%are%afributable%to%natural%variability%and%to%human%ac?vi?es%is%not%yet%well%understood.”………….”!“lifle%research%has%been%conducted%to%quan?fy%the%rela?ve%importance%of%humanVinduced%change%and%natural%variability%as%causes%of%the%observed%trends%in%the%PCCSP%region.”!Yet,!amazingly,!in!spite!of!all!these!facts,!the!Australian!government!is!encouraging!local!councils!to!waste!taxpayers!and!rate!payers!money!because!“Local%government%is%at%the%forefront%of%managing%the%impacts%of%climate%change”,%even!though,!as!you!admit,!there!is!no!evidence!at!the!local!level.

Do!you!endorse!this?!Is!there!any!scienBfic!jusBficaBon!whatsoever!for!basing!local!policies!on!staBsBcal!global!averages?!!Can!you!please!reveal!the!scienBfic!evidence!which!dictates!that!local!policy!is!best!based!upon!global!averages!rather!than!local!changes?

Since!there!is!no!evidence!of!human!causaBon!in!any!local!area!around!the!world,!is!your!government!formulaBng!local!policy!on!false!or!irrelevant!data?!Unless!you!can!immediately!quanBfy!the!degree!to!which!humans!have!increased!temperature!and!sea!level!in!Sydney,!Brisbane,!Melbourne!etc,!then!all!your!policy!disintegrates!into!a!mire!of!scienBfic!double!talk,!if!not!outright!fraud.!Where!is!the!evidence?!You!state!you!agree!with!CSIRO!and!BOM,!but!yet!you!promote!local!policies!for!which!CSIRO!and!BOM!say!there!is!no!evidence.!Can!you!name!just!one!city!in!Australia!where!the!human!influence!on!temperature!and!sea!level!has!been!idenBfied!and!quanBfied?!You!also!stated!you!based!your!policy!upon!data!from!the!Australian!Academy!of!Science,!but!as!I!pointed!out!in!my!last!communicaBon,!the!Academy!points!out!!“It(is(difficult,(if(not(impossible,(to(prove(the(causes(of(this(warming,%but%many%scien?sts%are%convinced%that%increasing%concentra?ons%of%greenhouse%gases%in%the%atmosphere%are%at%least%partly%to%blame.”!The!Academy!further!highlights!the!uncertainty:%

%

“It%is%very(likely%%that%most%of%the%recent%observed%global%warming%is%caused%by%increasing%greenhouse%gas%levels%………..many%%aspects%of%climate%change%will%likely%remain%difficult%to%foresee%despite%con?nuing%modelling%advances,%leaving%open%the%possibility%of%climate%change%surprises…….some(aspects%of%climate%science%are%s?ll%quite%uncertain%…….Uncertainty%about%future%climate%change%works%in%both%direc?ons:%there%is%a%chance%that%climate%change%will%be%less%severe%than%current%best%es?mates,%but%there%is%also%a%roughly%equal%chance%that%it%will%be%worse.”

You!said!you!agree!with!the!Academy,!so!you!believe!the!uncertainBes!of!climate!change!are!so!huge!that!there!will!be!many!surprises!and!these!surprises!could!be!posiBve!or!negaBve.!Is!this!correct?!Is!this!the!basis!of!your!policy?!I!asked!you!previously!if!this!is!the!‘science’!you!accept!but!you!refused!to!answer.!Consider!the!quesBon!repeated.!I!find!it!extremely!disturbing!that!you!were!unable!to!support!your!own!Direct!AcBon!policy!when!I!asked,!Is%the%goal%to%mi;gate%climate%change%and%control%temperatures%and%sea%level?%Or,%on%

the%other%hand,%is%the%goal%simply%to%lower%emission%levels%and%meet%emission%targets?%Are%you%

unaware%of%the%goal%of%your%own%policy?

%

All%of%this%makes%the%Coali;on%look%incredibly%ridiculous.

%

In!your!response!you!menBon!some!claims!about!hoMest!days,!hoMest!years!etc,!in!the!context!of!climate!policy.!Once!again!this!makes!you!look!absolutely!ridiculous!because!again!you!are!contradicBng!BOM,!one!of!your!claimed!sources!of!the!‘science’.!As!clearly!noted!by!BOM,!anything!less!than!30!years!is!weather,!NOT!climate,!as!you!see!from!BOM!below:!hMp://www.bom.gov.au/climate/glossary/climate.shtmlIn%brief:%the%weather%of%any%place%refers%to%the%atmospheric%variables%for%a%brief%period%of%?me.%Climate,%however,%represents%the%atmospheric%condi?ons%for%a%long%period%of%?me,%and%generally%refers%to%the%normal%or%mean%course%of%the%weather……Clima?c%data%are%usually%expressed%in%terms%of%an%individual%calendar%month%or%season%and%are%determined%over%a%period%(usually%about%30%years)%long%enough%to%ensure%that%representa?ve%values%for%the%month%or%season%are%obtained.!hMp://www.bom.gov.au/lam/climate/index.htmClimate & Weather: what's the difference?There is a variety of ways to explain the difference. Here are a few that may shed some light:Climate is what you expect; Weather is what you get!Do!you!disagree!with!BOM’s!definiBons?!Why!is!it!that!you!repeatedly!contradict!your!own!scienBfic!sources.!It!makes!it!appear!your!policy!is!based!upon!deliberate!fraud!and!decepBon!and!has!nothing!whatsoever!to!do!with!genuine!science.!I!noBce!also!that!although!CSIRO,!the!Chief!ScienBst!and!many!others!base!their!climate!science!upon!per!capita!emissions,!when!I!asked!you!about!this!you!refused!to!answer.!Do!you!disagree!with!your!own!scienBfic!sources!yet!again?!With!the!resources!available!to!you,!you!could!clarify!all!these!issues!so!simply!but!yet!you!consistently!refuse!to!do!so,!preferring!instead!to!obfuscate!and!create!an!impression!of!complete!incompetence!or!outright!fraud.!Why?!Is!your!policy!based!upon!per!capita!emissions!or!do!you!once!again!disagree!with!CSIRO?!InteresBngly,!according!to!the!South!Australian!government!however,!Australia!should!forget!about!miBgaBon!because!of!Australia’s!inconsequenBal!contribuBon!to!global!emissions:

about!miBgaBon!because!of!Australia’s!inconsequenBal!contribuBon!to!global!emissions:

“South%Australia%is,%however,%increasingly%moving%the%focus%pragma?cally%from%mi?ga?on%to%adapta?on,%as%efforts%in%South%Australia%and%Australia%are%modest%in%a%global%context.”

Do!you!agree!that!pursuing!‘miBgaBon’!in!Australia!is!useless,!or!does!the!SA!government!have!the!wrong!version!of!the!science?!I!must!admit,!I!am!finding!it!absolutely!impossible!to!locate!the!‘science’!to!which!you!refer.!Incidentally,!you!also!refer!to!the!IPCC!as!one!of!your!scienBfic!sources.!Do!you!fully!endorse!the!IPCC!and!its!claims?!Sir,!your!persistent!evasiveness!and!obfuscaBon,!and!your!repeated!contradicBng!of!your!own!scienBfic!sources,!seems!to!strongly!support!the!recent!views!of!Tony!AbboMs!advisor!Maurice!Newman!regarding!what!he!termed!‘climate%change%madness’:!“Since%its%first%report%in%1990,%the%UN%Intergovernmental%Panel%on%Climate%Change%progressively%has%applied%mass%psychology%through%a%compliant%media%to%spread%the%delusion%that%wicked%Western%industrialists%are%causing%irreparable%damage%to%the%climate……Australia,%too,%has%become%hostage%to%climate%change%madness.%It%has%been%a%major%factor%in%the%decima?on%of%our%manufacturing%industry…….If%the%IPCC%were%your%financial%adviser,%you%would%have%sacked%it%long%ago.%Yet,%undaunted,%some%NSW%councils%s?ll%restrict%beachside%development%based%on%IPCC%predic?ons,%which%are%10%?mes%the%80%years%observed%record………From%the%UN%down,%the%climate%change%delusion%is%a%gigan?c%money%tree.%It%is%a%tyranny%that,%despite%its%pretensions,%favours%the%rich%and%poli?cally%powerful%at%the%expense%of%the%poor%and%powerless.”%The!picture!you!paint,!with!your!determinaBon!not!to!answer!simple!quesBons,!certainly!reinforces!Newman’s!assessment.!Nevertheless!I!extend!to!you!yet!another!opportunity!to!correct!this!percepBon.!If!you!are!unable!to!answer!my!queries!then!please!forward!them!to!the!appropriate!person.!By!the!way,!who!exactly!is!the!‘parliamentary!clearance!officer’!to!whom!you!cc’d!this?!Regards!Graham!Williamson

%