From building to area, and from smart to sustainable and ... · Real estate into tech Tech into...
Transcript of From building to area, and from smart to sustainable and ... · Real estate into tech Tech into...
From building to area, and from smart to sustainable and stakeholders
-Van Gebouw naar Gebied, en van smart naar
sustainable en stakeholders
Lucas Carmody
Senior Manager,
Urban Development and Smart Cities
PwC
PwC’s Digital Services
Introduction
2
01 Drivers of change
02 The challenge
03 Urbanists and technologists
04 The emerging response
05 From building to area and from smart to sustainable
06 Why PwC?
01 Drivers of change
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A lot of people love cities; they’re centers of culture
and business and life.
Confidential information for the sole benefit and use of PwC’s client.
More than half the world’s population now lives in
cities, and that figure will go to about two-thirds of
humanity by the year 2050.
Cities are getting bigger.
In 1990 there were ten “mega-cities” with 10
million inhabitants or more. In 2014, there were 28
mega-cities, home to 453 million people.
The coming decades, this increasing
urbanization comes together with the
challenge of sustainable competitiveness: a
city’s ability to keep growing and developing
over time while keeping the city a livable place,
fostering social cohesion and
environmental quality.
Key challenges cities are facing during the coming decades:
In the Netherlands, we are facing a substantial need to invest in new infrastructure and buildings in the coming decades
ICT infrastructureEnergy transition
Sources: 1) EIB studie over de toekomst van de bouw: 1 miljoen woningen nodig in 2040, feb 2015; 2) Energierapport - Transitie naar Duurzaam,, Ministerie van Economische Zaken, 18 jan, 2016; 3) Heel Nederland van het gas af, hoe gaan we dat
doen? Duurzaamnieuws.nl, 4 juli 2017, 4) Koers 2025: Ruimte voor de stad, April 2016, 4) 4 juli 2017; 5) Roadmap Next Economy for the Metropolitan Region Rotterdam-The Hague: an example of transition governance, Jan Rotmans, March 2017
• 1 million new residential houses
needed until 2040, on top of
renewal
• Renovation : >55% of corporation
housing stock is over 35y old
• 71% of pension funds indicates a
wish to invest in new buildings for
elderly and
sheltered accommodation
• An entirely new, decentralized
smart energy grid structure will
unfold in the next decades
• Large-scale retrofitting of the built
environment required
• 25% of the houses must change gas
into alternative energy supply in
2030
• Electrifying current heating needs
10x the capacity of new energy in
20 years
• Challenges in sufficient alternative
supplies (e.g. data centers)
Real estate
• Increased demand for ICT
infrastructure to enable self
driving cars & smart mobility
systems, smart buildings, sensor
networks and new data centers
• Telecom: Fiber network
backbones; Densifying mobile
networks,
• Connecting street furniture
• Challenges in cyber security
• Incoming 5G roll out
Problem
• Climate change
• Resource scarcity
• Social inclusion
• Public safety
Solution
• Energy transition
• Smart utilities management
• Citizen engagement
• Surveillance, sensor and better urban design
02 The challenge
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New and
innovative
approaches from
outside the
traditional urban
domain is needed
8
Commercial real estate
Residential housing
City infrastructure
Public safety & emergency
services
Traditional domain of urban development
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9
Ecosystem of multiple
stakeholders and interests
New business models & integrated
value cases
Many interdependencies
between actors and sub-systems
Smart mobility solutions
Renewable energy, electrification
Sensor networks & smart solutions
Smart buildings
Circularity, zero emission
Citizen centric design, citizen involvement
Sustainability criteria (ESG/SDG)
New domain of urban development
Commercial real estate
Residential housing
City infrastructure
Public safety & emergency
services
Traditional domain of urban development
03 Urbanists and technologists
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TechnologistNew urban domain
Understand how digital technology can be applied to
existing systems to improve urban lives and address
urban issues
Understand how cities work and use traditional levers
of policy, urban planning and architectural design to
improve urban lives and solve urban issues
Slow and calculated, view the city more as a set of
social constructs and deeply ingrained behaviors that
take time to change and influence
Limited ability to understanding their end user
(e.g. pedestrian movement in a development,
neighborhood post development)
UrbanistTraditional urban domain
VS
Fast and impatient, view the city as a system of systems
and looking for ways of optimizing systems
Intimate understanding of their end user with ability to
generate big data and live insights
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Urbanist and technologist speak a different language
• Technologists prefer to approach problems
from first principles, rather than existing
practice.
• Urbanists, prefer existing practice, as a
mechanism to get things built in the system
that currently exists.
When tech doesn’t understand urban:
• technology is develop that is urban in
application but doesn’t actually make cities
better
• introducing new tech and smart city solutions
to problems that don’t exist or you don’t
properly understand
Case study 1 - Songdo, South Korea
Case study 2 - IBM and Portland
• predictive model for urban planning
• using historical data to generate innovative
policies for city planning
• result was promote active transport to reduce
obesity
When urban doesn’t understand tech:
• Uber
• Airbnb
• Sidewalk Labs
Lost in translationWhy integration between tech and urban isn’t so simple
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Who pays?Multiple stakeholders requires identifying value and how to monetize this value
We are giving you our data, what do we get back?
Local community
We are giving you our product/ service, what do
we get paid?
Tech company
We have to accommodate new technology, how do
we get paid?
Urban developer
How do we fund this untested technology on a
city wide-scale?
Public sector
04 The industry response
What has the response been by the traditional urban domain?
BuryBuild
• Buy and invest in proptech that
improves the way traditional built
environment sector operates and
introduces new revenue streams to
the existing business model.
• Build, some companies are investing
in their own dedicated proptech
investment and R&D facilities.
• Embracing digital disruption, urban
development companies are looking to
hire tech talent from outside the
urbanist mould.
Buy
• While there remains many in the sector
who have decided to bury their heads in
the sand.
• The sector is too large and fragment to
see true disruption.
• Despite talk of disruptive technologies
and technical innovations, urban
development remains fundamentally
unchanged.
• Where is the Uber, Amazon or
Booking.com? Unthinkable business
models remain relatively absent in the
real estate industry (except retail).
PwC’s Emerging Trends in Real Estate
Blurred lines – merging of old business models with new
Real estate into tech Tech into real estate
Multifamily properties that can be rented out on Airbnb
Platform that empowers retailers to digitize sales
Cloud-based platform allows landlords to track repair projects/vendors across
portfolio
VC fund and tech accelerator
Tech-based leasing and management
platform
Real time network for office space. Connecting growing teams and
profession looking for space.
Development of city region in Toronto through Sidewalk Labs
Modular high-end housing startup that could be potentially integrated with
Alexa technology.
Enables long-term tenants to sublease apartments
Tech fund invests in ‘real estate’ business
Partners with managers to provide co-working space/ workplace services
Plans to create a mixed-use campus town
05 From building to area, and from smart to sustainable
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BuildingIsolation and silos
AreaConnected precincts
TO
1. Put people first – Understanding how the
community uses existing spaces to inform new
solutions (e.g. infrastructure, facilities and
services)
2. Connections driven – create vibrant and
productive places where people want to live, work
and play
3. Partnership models – Municipalities and
market parties function as partners, together in
eco-systems with diverse stakeholder objectives
and interests (e.g. solutions are developed in
‘innovative partnerships’ in PPP models)
1. Siloed approach – Individual solutions (e.g.
energy, mobility, housing, communication) are
executed as individual projects
2. Single use – Companies offer individual products
and solutions for singular use
3. Individual business model – targeted at
maximizing profitability or position in the value
chain
Smart precincts provide a greater opportunity for sustainability
The next step is
going from
benchmarking self-
sufficient precincts
and from there,
precincts that can
export their energy
and water resources
to surroundings
neighbourhoods
While there are
barriers preventing
investment in
sustainable
technology at a large
scale, it’s at the
precinct level that
we go from barriers
to benchmarks
What is the point of
working, living or
learning in a 5 star
Green Building if
people are leading 1
star lives once they
leave the building?
Barangaroo – Sydney’s largest commercial urban renewal project
A model for precincts we can go from
neutral to positive.
22 ha site on Sydney Harbour featuring – a
mix of uses including recreational and
public park lands, residential, hotel, retail
and commercial. Key sustainability
features:
• Climate positive – generates more
energy than used, recycle and export
more water than is used, and recycle
more waste than is generated.
• Onsite power, cooling, water and
waste management to reduce
footprint.
• Recycling 99 per cent of
construction waste
• Social sustainability – a positive
social legacy that benefits the wellbeing
of everyone in the community. This has
resulted in establishing and delivering at
least 50 successful community learning
and wellbeing programs
Area development is transforming into a ‘new normal’ in which topics like zero-emission, energy neutrality, circularity, ‘smart’ and ‘sustainable’ are becoming part of tender-demands that must to be proven by contractors
• The individual dreams of the project partners in the area have been translated into a joint ambition for ArenAPoort.
ArenAPoort an example for sustainable area development
Amsterdam Arena has the ambition to make ArenAPoort a worldwide example for smart and sustainable area development.
Sustainability objectives include circularity, energy neutrality, citizen involvement, safety and accessibility
BajeskwartiesAmsterdam:
Energy neutral & circular
Brainport Smart District: Helmond
‘Smartest neighborhood of the world’
Toronto Waterfront-Sidewalks Lab
high-tech neighborhood
Milan Innovation District
Transformation of the Milan2015 Expo
And we see many other examples of transformations towards smart and sustainable area development, a.o:
Stockholm Royal SeaportNext-gen, sustainable urban
district
To tackle the key challenges for true realization of future proof sustainable cities
Integrated solution, overarching silos
Holistic approach with cross over
effects
People first -stakeholder
orchestration and balancing interests
Understanding the business models of
your partners
Capturing the real value of the project
Understand how you can measure
the impact of your investments
• Integrating point solutions of different layers of the value chain in 1 proposition
• 1 integrated solution,overarching silos and combining all needed skills
• Addressing big urban challenges within area development plans to improve quality of life in cities on 8 main themes
• Urban area development with new innovative solutions in 1 E2E solution
• Realizing cross-over effects
• Orchestration of external stakeholder landscape
• Balancing commercial and public interests
• Integrated business case• Managing stakeholder
field across the municipality and in Public-private partnership
• Improved prospect to value increase
• Social effects will be fact based demonstrable, resulting in:
• Lower risk estimation • Improved position to
attract equity • Broader range of
optional equity partners (green lease, DJSI)
• Able to provide assurance on social outcomes and effects (KPIs, and effect measuring both quantitative + qualitative)
• Realize visible commercial and social effects
• Contribute to business and governmental SDG targets
• Deal value: measureable results, business case realization (commercial and social)
• Life cycle approach: E2E approach: connecting up front city objectives with monitoring of effects during area maintenance
• Both commercial and social objectives as starting point
• Translation in clear KPI’s
• Data drivenmeasurement
• Link with SDGs and available measurement systems within the municipality
06 Why PwC?
PwC bridges and balances the divide between urban and tech
• PwC are a reflection of the new and old urban
domain
• We have diverse mix of experienced technologists
and urbanists (see digital services vs. capital
projects and real estate)
• Our technologist work with our industry experts to
help clients from all sectors embrace digital
disruption
• Our urbanists work across each phase of the urban
infrastructure delivery cycle, for both the public
and private sector
• We understand how to bring this together, balance
objectives and create large scale value cases and
business models that work for all parties
Contact us
25
Bart KruGrade
PwC [Country]
Phone: +00 00 0000-0000E-mail:
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PwC [Country]
Phone: +00 00 0000-0000E-mail:
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