Freight Demand Modeling and Data Improvement...

SHRP2 C20 | December 2013

Freight Demand Modeling and Data Improvement (C20)

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SHRP2 C20 | December 2013SHRP2 C20 | December 2013

Agenda

• SHRP2 Overview–What is SHRP2?–Focus Areas–Implementation Assistance

• Technical Product Description• Product Implementation• Implementation Timeline• Questions

Source: Iowa DOT

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Imagine the Possibilities

Innovations are available to transportation agencies through a variety of programs, including SHRP2 and EDC2. These innovations:

• May be applied individually or in combination with products from different programs.

• Are easy to learn more about through Websites, Webinars, demonstrations, and peer-to-peer programs.

• Are supported by funding and assistance opportunities that can help your agency quickly and confidently apply innovations to current challenges.

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State-Based Transportation Innovation Councils

• Provides state-based leadership for the innovation strategies and solutions

• Helps facilitate deployment of innovation initiatives

• Engages all the key stakeholders in a state

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What is SHRP2?(Second Strategic Highway Research Program)

• Products developed from objective, credible research

• Solutions that respond to transportation community challenges – safety, aging infrastructure, congestion

• Tested products, refined in the field

Save lives. Save money. Save time.

SHRP2 Solutions offer new technologies and processes to enhance the efficiency of transportation agencies

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Why is SHRP2 Important?

SHRP2 Solutions have the power to change the way transportation agencies do business.

Tools for the Road Ahead

By providing new research-based tools and innovative products and processes…

That will create more efficiencies and a smarter use of state and federal investments of taxpayer dollars.

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Safety: fostering safer driving through analysis of driver, roadway, and vehicle factors in crashes, near crashes, and ordinary driving

Renewal: rapid maintenance and repair of the deteriorating infrastructure using already-available resources, innovations, and technologies

Capacity: planning and designing a highway system that offers minimum disruption and meets the environmental and economic needs of the community

Reliability: reducing congestion and creating more predictable travel times through better operations

Focus Areas

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Implementing SHRP2 Solutions

Moving Forward• Approximately 66 high-priority

products introduced over the next several years

• Users run the gamut of the transportation industry

• Selected products integrated into current transportation practices

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SHRP2 Implementation AssistanceProgram

Proof of Concept Pilot• Funds for piloting products to evaluate readiness for implementation• Contractor support to collect data and evaluate the application

Lead Adopter Incentive • Funds for early adopters to offset implementation cost and mitigate risks• Recipients required to provide specific deliverables designed to further

refine the product, and possibly “champion” the product to other states and localities

User Incentive• Funds for implementation support activities after early adopter use• Used to conduct internal assessments, build capacity, implement system

process changes, organize peer exchanges, or offset other implementation costs

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Round 1 Implementation Assistance

First Round at a Glance• 34 states and the District of Columbia

• 6 SHRP2 Solutions at work on 108 transportation projects

• 2 proof of concept pilots

• 74 lead adopter incentives

• 24 user incentives

• Limited technical assistance to 8 states

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Round 2 Implementation Assistance

Second Round at a Glance• 18 states

• 4 SHRP2 Solutions at work on 27 transportation projects

• 18 lead adopter incentives

• 9 user incentives

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Round 3Implementation Assistance

Capacity• Freight Demand Modeling and Data Improvement (C20)

Renewal• GeoTechTools (R02)• Precast Concrete Pavement (R05)• Identifying and Managing Utility Conflicts (R15B)• Pavement Renewal Solutions (R23)

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Product Implementation AssistanceOpportunities

Product Proof of Concept Pilot

Lead Adopter Incentive

User Incentive

Freight Demand Modeling and Data Improvement (C20) 9-11

GeoTechTools (R02) 5

Precast Concrete Pavement (R05) 5

Identifying and Managing Utility Conflicts (R15B) 6

Pavement Renewal Solutions (R23) 5 10

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Implementation Assistance Selection Criteria

General Criteria for Participants(will vary somewhat among products)

• Geographic diversity of participants

• Demonstrated culture to implement new products or processes

• Demonstrated past interest and/or efforts to implement similar products or processes

• High commitment to making institutional/organizational changes

• Commitment to conduct demonstration workshops

• Willingness to share experience by facilitating peer-to-peer activities

• Commitment to dedicate staff to the implementation project

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Freight Demand Modeling and Data Improvement – C20

ChallengeCurrent freight planning and forecasting tools, data, and techniques are inadequate to support infrastructure planning that integrates the complex logistics practices of the freight industry.

Solution • Documentation and data required for

effective freight modeling, data collection, and decision making.

• A strategic plan to advance improvements in freight planning; promote continuous innovation; and foster a collaboration between all stakeholders.

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Freight Demand Modeling and Data Improvement – C20

Project Purpose:

To foster fresh ideas and new approaches to freight demand modeling and data collection

that ultimately enhance decision-making.

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C20 Implementation Assistance Program:

Why this Focus?…Why Now?

• Clear Connection to U.S. Economic Productivity

• New and Existing Requirements–MAP21

• Freight and Performance Management Focus

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C20 Strategic Objectives

1. Improve and expand the knowledge base for planners and decision-makers.

2. Develop and refine forecasting/modeling practices that reflect the “real world” of supply chain management.

3. Develop and refine forecasting/modeling practices based on sound economic and demographic principles.

4. Develop standard freight data to smaller geographic scales.

continued next slide

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C20 Strategic Objectives, cont’d.

5. Establish methods for maximizing the beneficial use of new freight analytical tools by state departments of transportation (DOTs) and metropolitan planning organizations (MPOs) in their planning and programming activities.

6. Improve the availability and visibility of data among agencies and between the public and private sectors.

7. Develop new and enhanced visualization tools and techniques for freight planning and forecasting.

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C20 - Strategic Plan


C20 - Implementation Planning Workshop: Immediate focusModeling Priority Initiatives:• E: Develop a range of freight forecasting methods and tools that address

decision - making needs and that can be applied at all levels (national, regional, state, metropolitan planning organization, municipal).

• C: Establish modeling approaches for behavior-based freight movement. • B: Establish techniques and standard practices to review and evaluate freight

forecasts.

Data Priority Initiatives:• I: Develop freight data resources for application at sub-regional levels. • J: Establish, pool, and standardize a portfolio of core freight data sources and

data sets that supports planning, programming, and project prioritization. • H: Determine how economic, demographic, and other factors and conditions

drive freight patterns and characteristics. Document economic and demographic changes related to freight choices.

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C20 - Implementation Assistance

Behavior-Based Freight Modeling Pilot Assistance Program• Advance ‘tour-based’ and

‘supply chain’ freight modeling

• Improve the understanding of decision-making by freight agents and their implications for network modeling

Innovations in Local Freight Data Pilot Assistance Program • Identify and adapt

disparate sources of data• Refine of current data

sources• Develop new data sources

on smaller geographic scales

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Implementation Assistance:Behavior-based Freight Model

Behavior-based freight modeling represents decisions made by producers or logistics firms to ship goods to consumers. These decisions include: Supplier and Buyer Firms Size and value of shipments Supply chain elements – transfer facilities, retailers,

wholesalers Mode Vehicle type Tour patterns for pick-up and delivery of goods Stops and timing for pick-up and delivery of goods

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Behavior-based Freight Model:1. Supply-Chain Model Framework

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Supply-Chain Model:Sample Model Sequence #1


Supply-Chain Model:Sample Model Sequence #2


Behavior-based Freight Model:2. Tour Based Model Framework

Number of Stops

Stop Duration

Production Mode and Intermodal

Transfers

Truck Flows Rail Flows Air FlowsWater Flows

Number of Tours Choice

Delivery Time of Day

Truck Trip Tables by

TOD

Empty Trucks

Networks (Line-haul distance, Access,

Egress, Cost, Mode, Transfer Facilities)

Rail Trip Tables

Regional

Vehicle/Tour Pattern Choice

Stop Sequence

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Tour-based Model:Modeling Sequences

BASE

Destination #1

Destination #4

Destination #2

Destination #3

loaded empty

Trip #1

Trip #4

Trip #3

Trip #2

BASE

Territory A

Territory B Territory C

Territory D

Trip #1

Trip #4

Radial Peddle

Multi-leg

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Behavior-based Freight Model:Benefits and uses

Program level support Freight and Goods Movement Strategic Policy Plan Long Range Plan and Transportation Improvement Plan Safety Conformity Size and weight Modal diversion

Project level issues Bridge/roadway design Corridor study Modal diversion Weigh station/parking optimization Hazmat 29


Behavior-based Freight Model:Implementation Requirements

Freight model should represent supply chain behavior (selection of suppliers, shipments, transfers, mode) for different industries.

Freight model should represent touring behavior for pick up and deliver of goods within a region (MPO only).

Freight model should be able to reproduce observed data, such as truck counts, rail, air, and water volumes (where relevant).

A willingness to develop case studies to demonstrate the economic and environmental benefits of advancing freight modeling practice.

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Break for Questions

Submit a question using the chat box

Or

Unmute your phone line to ask a question over the phone!

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Implementation Assistance:Innovations in Local Freight Data Pilot

Why this Focus?…Why Now?Overcoming Challenges…..• Inconsistency of data across different modes of transport

(rail versus highway versus air cargo versus intermodal);• Need to manipulate data collected for other purposes in

order to incorporate or expand the data for modeling purposes;

• Limitations in the local applicability of national data, which typically result in less than robust tools;

• Matching the type and format of local and national collection efforts

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What do we mean by “innovation”?

• Refinement of existing freight data sources • Development of new data sources for use at sub-regional

levels • Integration and/or adaption of diverse data sources for

sub-regional application

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What do we mean by “innovation”?• Refinement of current commodity, origin-destination or

vehicle based freight data sources for smaller geographic application– Examples:

• Methods used to disaggregate national and regional data;• Methods used to link/fuse disparate modal data sources• Methods used to fill gaps in these data sources

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What do we mean by “innovation”?• Development of new data sources for use at sub-

regional levels – Examples:

• Development and implementation of new or expanded local freight data sources; such as:

– Permitting data– GPS data– WIM data– Specific modal data

• Evaluation of approaches to local freight data collection

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What do we mean by “innovation”?• Integration and/or adaption of non-standard

data sources for freight analysis at the sub-regional application – Example: Methods that demonstrate how to combine

commodity flow data on large geographic scales with local data related to distribution, touring, and intermodal transfers.

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Innovation Local Freight Data:Implementation Requirements

Commitment to identifying and adapting disparate sources of data.

Commitment to develop and/or refine new and current data sources on smaller geographic scales.

Commitment to documenting specific approaches used; challenges encountered and mitigation strategies

A willingness to develop case studies to demonstrate a range of benefits of developing local freight data analysis program.

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Benefits of Participating in the C20 IAP

By participating in the C20 IAP, your organization can benefit by:developing improved freight modeling tools and freight data to:

• develop freight plans• consistently evaluate transportation projects that

affect freight movement • better predict freight movement trends• make more informed project investment decisions • support businesses and economic development

decisions for communities

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Assistance Opportunities

Third Round - January 2014 Proof of Concept Pilot

Lead Adopter Incentive

User Incentive

C20 – Freight Demand Modeling and Data Improvement 9-11 - -

Funding (up to $350K per proof of concept pilot applicant) is available, for 4 pilots, to be applied to the implementation of - The Behavior-Based Freight Modeling, and,

Funding (up to $150K per proof of concept pilot applicant) is available, for 5-7 pilots, to be applied to the implementation of - The Innovations in Local Freight Data.

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Recipient Requirements

Commitment of DOT and/or MPO leadership.

Describe the need of advanced behavior-based freight

modeling tools and/or local freight data.

Willingness to share lessons learned.

Participation in regional/national events to share

knowledge about product use (peer

exchanges/conferences).

Can submit for both (model and data) categories

Partnerships are strongly encouraged

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Application Tips

Do Don’tMake your application clear and concise

Forget that implementation assistance is to advance freight project and freight plan decision making process

Describe your pilot assistance plan that will advance freight data and modeling practices at DOT and MPO

Rely on your attachments; narrativeshould be complete

Describe how the DOT or MPO plan to conduct pilot including prevailing available resources

Focus your pilot plan relevant to an unique freight project

Describe the outcomes and deliverables you expect to achieve

Apply if you do not represent a state DOT or MPO

Expect to share the results of your product implementation

Be late; applications are due by February 14, 2014

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Round 3 Implementation Assistance Schedule

• Product Webinars held in December

• Implementation Assistance Timeline– Application period opens January 17 , 2014– Application period closes February 14, 2014– Selections announced March 28, 2014

• More information at www.fhwa.dot.gov/goshrp2

Precast Concrete Pavement (R05) December 12 2 - 3:30 p.m.

Identifying and Managing Utility Conflicts (R15B) December 13 2 - 3:30 p.m.

GeoTechTools (R02) December 16 12 - 1:30 p.m.

Freight Demand Modeling and Data Improvement (C20) December 16 2:30 - 4:00 p.m.

Pavement Renewal Solutions (R23) December 17 2 - 3:30 p.m.

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http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/goshrp2


• State Visits

• SHRP2 Tuesdays– R05: Precast Concrete Pavement (September 24, 2013)

– R15B: Identifying and Managing Utility Conflicts (July 30, 2013)

– R23:Pavement Renewal Solutions (February 4, 2014)

– C20: Freight Demand Modeling and Data Improvement (January 21, 2014)

– News on future webinars can be found at trb.org/SHRP2

Additional Resources

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http://www.trb.org/StrategicHighwayResearchProgram2SHRP2/Blurbs/169376.aspx

http://www.trb.org/StrategicHighwayResearchProgram2SHRP2/Blurbs/169143.aspx

http://www.trb.org/StrategicHighwayResearchProgram2SHRP2/CapacityWebinars.aspx


GoSHRP2 on the Web

• GoSHRP2 www.fhwa.dot.gov/goSHRP2

– Comprehensive information about SHRP2’s implementation phase

• SHRP2 @TRB www.TRB.org/SHRP2

– Information about research phase

• SHRP2 @AASHTO http://SHRP2.transportation.org

– Implementation information for AASHTO members

Rich source fordetails of

implementation assistance along with

focus area and product

information

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http://www.trb.org/SHRP2

http://www.trb.org/SHRP2

http://shrp2.transportation.org/


2014: Full Steam Ahead

• Round 3 opens January 17 through February 14, 2014. • Support follows for Round 3 recipients.• Anticipated Round 4 products projected for June 2014:

– R01A – Technologies to Store, Retrieve, and Use 3D Utility Location Data– R06A – Nondestructive Testing Technologies for Concrete Bridge Decks– R06G – Mapping Defects in or Behind Tunnel Linings– R06C – Rapid Technologies to Enhance Quality Control on Asphalt Pavements– R09 – Managing Risk in Rapid Renewal Projects– R10 – Innovative Strategies for Managing Complex Projects– R19A – Designing and Preserving Bridges to Achieve a 100-Year Service Life– R21 – Composite Pavement Systems– C03 & C11 – T-PICS / Economic Analysis Tools– C10 – Integrated Travel Demand Modeling– L02/05/07/08/37/38 – Reliability Data and Analysis Tools (Bundle)

• Continued technical and financial assistance for Rounds 1, 2 and 3 throughout the year.

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Questions?

C20: http://apps.trb.org/cmsfeed/TRBNetProjectDisplay.asp?ProjectID=2652

Implementation Assistance: www.fhwa.dot.gov/goSHRP2

Email: [email protected]

For more information:

Ed Strocko FHWA [email protected] Hardy AASHTO [email protected]

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http://apps.trb.org/cmsfeed/TRBNetProjectDisplay.asp?ProjectID=2652

http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/goSHRP2

mailto:[email protected]



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