Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June...

24
Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004 June 17-18, 2004

Transcript of Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June...

Page 1: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership

Summit

John E. Wennberg, MD, MPHJohn E. Wennberg, MD, MPH

Chicago, ILChicago, IL

June 17-18, 2004June 17-18, 2004

Page 2: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

Developing New Financing and Care Delivery Developing New Financing and Care Delivery Models: How Should Your Sector Respond?Models: How Should Your Sector Respond?

• Practice Variations can now be understood & Practice Variations can now be understood & interpreted normatively for all 3 categories of interpreted normatively for all 3 categories of care.care.

Page 3: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

Ben

efit

to

Pat

ien

tsB

enef

it t

o P

atie

nts

% Use of Effective Care% Use of Effective Care

U.S. issome-wherein thiszone

Underuse of Effective CareUnderuse of Effective Care

Page 4: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

Ben

efit

to

Pat

ien

tsB

enef

it t

o P

atie

nts

UNKNOWN

Units of Discretionary CareUnits of Discretionary Care

Misuse of Preference-Sensitive Care Misuse of Preference-Sensitive Care (e.g. discretionary surgery)(e.g. discretionary surgery)

Page 5: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

U.S. issome-wherein thiszone

Frequency of CareFrequency of Care

Lif

e E

xpec

tan

cy

Lif

e E

xpec

tan

cy

Overuse of Supply-Sensitive ServicesOveruse of Supply-Sensitive Services

Page 6: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

Developing New Financing and Care Delivery Developing New Financing and Care Delivery Models: How Should Your Sector Respond?Models: How Should Your Sector Respond?

• Variations can now be understood & interpreted Variations can now be understood & interpreted normatively for all 3 categories of care.normatively for all 3 categories of care.

• Remedies are available but have yet to be widely Remedies are available but have yet to be widely implemented.implemented.

Page 7: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.
Page 8: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

Knowledge of relevant treatment

options and outcomes

Concordance between patient values

and care receivedToronto trial

7.28

0.852.01

10.78

1.182.52

16.75

2.17

4.55

0

5

10

15

20

1 or 2 vesseldisease, w/o PLAD

disease

2 vessel + PLAD or3 vessel

left main disease

20-64 yrs65-74 yrs>=75 yrs

Impact of improved decision quality on surgery Impact of improved decision quality on surgery rates: CHDrates: CHD

Page 9: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

S P O R TS P O R TSpine Patient Outcomes Spine Patient Outcomes

Research Trial(s) Research Trial(s) model of new of potential partnershipsmodel of new of potential partnerships

Funded by: The National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases and the Office of Research on Women's Health, the National Institutes of Health,

and the National Institute of Occupational Safety and Health, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Page 10: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

San F ran cisco

Om ah a

St. L o u is

C h icag o

D etro it

C levelan d

A tlan ta

Ph i lad elp h ia N ew Yo rk (2)

H an o ver

S P O R T S ites

Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

**

****

Page 11: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

Informed,ActivatedPatient

ProductiveInteractions

Prepared,ProactivePractice Team

Functional and Clinical Outcomes

DeliverySystemDesign

DecisionSupport

ClinicalInformation

Systems

Self-Management

Support

Health System

Resources and Policies

Community

Health Care Organization

Chronic Care Model (Wagner)

Acknowledgements: Improving Chronic Illness Care, a national program of The Robert Wood Johnson Foundation

Page 12: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

Developing New Financing and Care Delivery Developing New Financing and Care Delivery Models: How Should Your Sector Respond?Models: How Should Your Sector Respond?

• Variations can now be understood & interpreted Variations can now be understood & interpreted normatively for all 3 categories of care.normatively for all 3 categories of care.

• Remedies are available but have yet to be widely Remedies are available but have yet to be widely implemented.implemented.

• Reform requires population-based Reform requires population-based provider-provider-specificspecific performance monitoring for various performance monitoring for various sectors of care.sectors of care.

Page 13: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

Supply-Sensitive Care can be measured for specific providersSupply-Sensitive Care can be measured for specific providers

Days in Hospitals During Last Six Months of LifeDays in Hospitals During Last Six Months of Life

8.08.0

12.012.0

16.016.0

20.020.0

24.024.0

28.028.0NYU Medical Center 27.1

Mount Sinai Hospital 22.8NY Presbyterian Hospital 21.6Cedars-Sinai Medical Center 21.3

Mass. General Hospital 16.5UCLA Medical Center 16.1Boston Medical Center 15.6

Brigham & Women's Hospital 13.9Beth Israel Deaconess 12.2UCSF Medical Center 11.5Stanford University Hospital 10.1

Page 14: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

Supply-Sensitive Care can be measured for specific providersSupply-Sensitive Care can be measured for specific providers

Physician Visits During the Last Six Months of LifePhysician Visits During the Last Six Months of Life

10.010.0

20.020.0

30.030.0

40.040.0

50.050.0

60.060.0

70.070.0

80.080.0NYU Medical Center 76.2

UCLA Medical Center 43.9NY Presbyterian Hospital 40.3Mass. General Hospital 38.8

Cedars-Sinai Medical Center 66.2

Mount Sinai Hospital 53.9

Brigham & Women's Hospital 31.9Boston Medical Center 31.5Beth Israel Deaconess 29.2UCSF Medical Center 27.2Stanford University Hospital 22.6

Page 15: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

0.00.0

10.010.0

20.020.0

30.030.0

40.040.0

50.050.0

60.060.0

70.070.0

80.080.0

Preference-sensitive care for specific providersPreference-sensitive care for specific providers

Invasive Cardiac Procedures (1998-2001)Invasive Cardiac Procedures (1998-2001)

Non-BlackMales

BlackMales

Non-BlackFemales

BlackFemales

Page 16: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

Resource Inputs can be measured for specific providersResource Inputs can be measured for specific providers

Physician Labor Inputs in Managing Cohorts of Physician Labor Inputs in Managing Cohorts of Chronically Ill Patients During Last Six Months of LifeChronically Ill Patients During Last Six Months of Life

FTE Physicians per 1,000FTE Physicians per 1,000

Hosp AHosp A

Hosp BHosp B

Hosp CHosp C

Hosp DHosp D

PrimaryPrimary CareCare

MedicalMedicalSpec.Spec.

1919 7676

3131 132132

2626 2020

3030 2727

Page 17: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

Resource Inputs can be measured for specific providersResource Inputs can be measured for specific providers

Physician Labor Inputs in Managing Cohorts of Physician Labor Inputs in Managing Cohorts of Chronically Ill Patients During Last Six Months of LifeChronically Ill Patients During Last Six Months of Life

FTE Physicians per 1,000FTE Physicians per 1,000

Hosp AHosp A

Hosp BHosp B

Hosp CHosp C

Hosp DHosp D

PrimaryPrimary CareCare

MedicalMedicalSpec.Spec.

Med Spec./lMed Spec./lPrimary MDPrimary MD

1919 7676 4.14.1

3131 132132 4.34.3

2626 2020 0.80.8

3030 2727 0.90.9

//

Page 18: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

Estimating Actuarial Costs of Managing Estimating Actuarial Costs of Managing Patient Cohorts with Chronic IllnessPatient Cohorts with Chronic Illness

Page 19: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

Actuarial Costs estimated for specific providersActuarial Costs estimated for specific providers

Medicare Spending During the Last Six Months of Medicare Spending During the Last Six Months of Life For Hospitals and PhysiciansLife For Hospitals and Physicians

10,00010,000

15,00015,000

20,00020,000

25,00025,000

30,00030,000

35,00035,000

40,00040,000

Page 20: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

Association Between Medicare Payments 18-24 Association Between Medicare Payments 18-24 Months and 0-6 Months Before DeathMonths and 0-6 Months Before Death

R2 = 0.795,0005,000

10,00010,000

15,00015,000

20,00020,000

25,00025,000

30,00030,000

35,00035,000

40,00040,000

1,5001,500 3,5003,500 5,5005,500 7,5007,500

Total Payments 18-24 Mos. Before DeathTotal Payments 18-24 Mos. Before Death

To

tal P

aym

ent

in L

ast

6 M

on

ths

To

tal P

aym

ent

in L

ast

6 M

on

ths

Page 21: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

Developing New Financing and Care Delivery Developing New Financing and Care Delivery Models: How Should Your Sector Respond?Models: How Should Your Sector Respond?

• Variations can now be understood & interpreted Variations can now be understood & interpreted normatively for all 3 categories of care.normatively for all 3 categories of care.

• Remedies are available but have yet to be widely Remedies are available but have yet to be widely implemented.implemented.

• Reform requires population-based Reform requires population-based provider-provider-specificspecific performance monitoring. performance monitoring.

• Reform requires partnerships between providers Reform requires partnerships between providers and payers to redesign care process and allow and payers to redesign care process and allow high quality providers to prosperhigh quality providers to prosper

Page 22: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

What “High Quality” Providers need to do:What “High Quality” Providers need to do:

• Eliminate Underservice of Effective CareEliminate Underservice of Effective Care• Reduce Medical Mistakes Reduce Medical Mistakes • Learn What Works (Outcomes Research)Learn What Works (Outcomes Research)• Assure Informed Patient Choice (Shared Decision Assure Informed Patient Choice (Shared Decision

Making)Making)• Promote Conservative Practice Patterns (When Promote Conservative Practice Patterns (When

More Isn’t Better) More Isn’t Better) • Achieve Efficient Allocation of ResourcesAchieve Efficient Allocation of Resources

Page 23: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

What payers need to do:What payers need to do:

• Demand Excellence in all 3 categoriesDemand Excellence in all 3 categories• Partner with Centers of Excellence who agree to reduce Partner with Centers of Excellence who agree to reduce

unwarranted variation in all 3 categoriesunwarranted variation in all 3 categories• Work with Centers of Excellence to design new payment Work with Centers of Excellence to design new payment

methods to promote and reward quality and efficiencymethods to promote and reward quality and efficiency• Support outcomes research as part of everyday practiceSupport outcomes research as part of everyday practice• Create incentives for the wide redesign of U.S. health care Create incentives for the wide redesign of U.S. health care

Page 24: Foundation for American Healthcare Leadership Summit John E. Wennberg, MD, MPH Chicago, IL June 17-18, 2004.

Dartmouthatlas.orgDartmouthatlas.org

Thank You!!!!!Thank You!!!!!